River Flood Warning 63, NWS Kansas City, MO

984 
WGUS83 KEAX 191523
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1023 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...

  Missouri River at St Joseph affecting Doniphan...Andrew and Buchanan
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Atchison affecting Atchison...Buchanan and Platte 
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Leavenworth affecting Leavenworth and Platte 
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Napoleon affecting Jackson...Lafayette and Ray 
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Waverly affecting Carroll...Lafayette and Saline 
  Counties.

  Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Missouri River at Sibley affecting Clay...Jackson and Ray Counties.

.These river stage predictions are based on earlier runoff resulting
from several days of heavy rainfall across portions of Nebraska and
Iowa. In addition, this river forecast incorporates the next 24 hours 
of forecast rainfall. Adjustments in the crest timing and magnitude 
are likely as additional scattered thunderstorms will likely affect 
the region late this week into early next week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-201523-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0057.140620T0000Z-140627T1715Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.140620T0000Z.140624T1200Z.140626T1715Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at St Joseph.
* from this evening to Friday June 27.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 22.9 feet by Tuesday June 24th. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Thursday June 26th.
* At 21.0 feet...Riverfront Park in St. Joseph begins to flood.
* At 19.0 feet...Backwater from the Missouri River floods property 
  along the Nodaway river at Nodaway, Missouri.
* At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St. 
  Joseph occurs.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  St Joseph       17   16.2   Thu 09 AM   22.9 Tuesday June 24
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3991 9501 3990 9489 3975 9483 3964 9488 3970 9505

  

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-201522-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0061.140622T0359Z-140627T1108Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.140622T0359Z.140624T1200Z.140626T1108Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Atchison.
* from Saturday evening to Friday June 27.
* The 9:30 AM Thursday stage is estimated near 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast rise to flood stage on Saturday.
  The river is expected to crest near 25.2 feet on Tuesday June 24th.
  The river will fall below flood stage on Thursday June 26th.
* At 25.0 feet...A castings plant in Atchison is affected by flood 
  waters.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying areas on the Missouri side of the river 
  begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Atchison        22   19.9E  Thu 09 AM   25.2 Tuesday June 24
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3970 9505 3964 9488 3942 9493 3942 9508 3958 9516

  

$$

KSC103-MOC165-201522-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0062.140623T1200Z-140626T1800Z/
/LEVK1.1.ER.140623T1200Z.140624T1200Z.140625T1800Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Leavenworth.
* from Monday morning to Thursday June 26.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday June 23rd and 
  continue to rise to near 20.9 feet by Tuesday June 24th. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday June 25th.
* At 20.0 feet...Lowland flooding occurs along the east and west 
  banks of the river.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Leavenworth     20   13.5   Thu 09 AM   20.9 Tuesday June 24
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3942 9508 3942 9492 3918 9460 3913 9460 3918 9484

  

$$

MOC047-095-177-201522-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0063.140624T1400Z-140626T2000Z/
/SBEM7.1.ER.140624T1400Z.140625T0600Z.140625T2000Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Sibley.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday June 26.
* At  9:38 AM Thursday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday June 24th and 
  continue to rise to near 22.4 feet by Wednesday June 25th.
  The river will fall below flood stage by early Thursday June 
  26th. 
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river and outside of
  levee protection flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Sibley          22   18.7   Thu 10 AM   22.4 Wednesday June 25
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3925 9431 3922 9417 3916 9415 3918 9420 3918 9432

  

$$

MOC095-107-177-201522-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0058.140623T0112Z-140627T2100Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.140623T0112Z.140625T0600Z.140626T2100Z.UU/
1023 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Napoleon.
* from Sunday evening to Friday June 27.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Sunday evening and continue to
  rise to near 19.8 feet by Wednesday June 25th. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Thursday June 26th.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying areas unprotected by levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Napoleon        17   15.5   Thu 09 AM   19.8 Wednesday June 25
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3916 9415 3922 9417 3925 9386 3918 9384 3911 9405

  

$$

MOC033-107-195-201522-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0059.140623T0600Z-140628T0800Z/
/WVYM7.1.ER.140623T0600Z.140625T1200Z.140627T0800Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Waverly.
* from late Sunday night to Saturday June 28.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 22.5 feet by Wednesday June 25th. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Friday June 27th.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Waverly         20   18.4   Thu 09 AM   22.5 Wednesday June 25
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3925 9386 3933 9331 3928 9327 3922 9330 3918 9384

  

$$

MOC033-041-195-201522-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0060.140620T0500Z-140629T0142Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.140620T0500Z.140625T1800Z.140628T0142Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River At Miami.
* from late tonight to Saturday June 28.
* At  8:44 AM Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 21.9 feet by Wednesday June 25th. The
  river will fall below flood stage by Friday June 27th.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Miami           18   15.3   Thu 09 AM   21.9 Wednesday June 25
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327

  

$$

140 
WGUS83 KEAX 200302
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1002 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline 
  Counties.
  Missouri River at St Joseph affecting Doniphan...Andrew and 
  Buchanan Counties.
  Missouri River at Atchison affecting Atchison...Buchanan and Platte
  Counties.
  Missouri River at Leavenworth affecting Leavenworth and Platte 
  Counties.
  Missouri River at Sibley affecting Clay...Jackson and Ray Counties.
  Missouri River at Napoleon affecting Jackson...Lafayette and Ray 
  Counties.
  Missouri River at Waverly affecting Carroll...Lafayette and Saline 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-210302-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-140627T1715Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.140620T0343Z.140624T1200Z.140626T1715Z.NO/
1002 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at St Joseph.
* until Friday June 27.
* At  9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 22.9 feet by Tuesday morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early Thursday afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...Riverfront Park in St. Joseph begins to flood.
* At 19.0 feet...Backwater from the Missouri River floods property 
  along the Nodaway river at Nodaway, Missouri.
* At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St. 
  Joseph occurs.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  St Joseph       17   16.9   Thu 09 PM   22.9 Tuesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3991 9501 3990 9489 3975 9483 3964 9488 3970 9505

  

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-210302-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0061.140622T0359Z-140627T1108Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.140622T0359Z.140624T1200Z.140626T1108Z.NO/
1002 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Atchison.
* from Saturday evening to Friday June 27.
* At 10:25 AM Thursday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday before midnight and 
  continue to rise to near 25.2 feet by Tuesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...A castings plant in Atchison is affected by flood 
  waters.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying areas on the Missouri side of the river 
  begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Atchison        22   19.2   Thu 10 AM   25.2 Tuesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3970 9505 3964 9488 3942 9493 3942 9508 3958 9516

  

$$

KSC103-MOC165-210302-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0062.140623T1200Z-140626T1800Z/
/LEVK1.1.ER.140623T1200Z.140624T1200Z.140625T1800Z.NO/
1002 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Leavenworth.
* from Monday morning to Thursday June 26.
* At  9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to
  rise to near 20.9 feet by Tuesday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Wednesday afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Lowland flooding occurs along the east and west 
  banks of the river.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Leavenworth     20   14.0   Thu 09 PM   20.9 Tuesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3942 9508 3942 9492 3918 9460 3913 9460 3918 9484

  

$$

MOC047-095-177-210302-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0063.140624T1400Z-140626T2000Z/
/SBEM7.1.ER.140624T1400Z.140625T0600Z.140625T2000Z.NO/
1002 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Sibley.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday June 26.
* At  9:38 AM Thursday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 22.4 feet by early Wednesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river and outside of
  levee protection flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Sibley          22   18.7   Thu 10 AM   22.4 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3925 9431 3922 9417 3916 9415 3918 9420 3918 9432

  

$$

MOC095-107-177-210301-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0058.140623T0112Z-140627T2100Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.140623T0112Z.140625T0600Z.140626T2100Z.UU/
1002 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Napoleon.
* from Sunday evening to Friday June 27.
* At  9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Sunday evening and continue to
  rise to near 19.8 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying areas unprotected by levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Napoleon        17   15.5   Thu 09 PM   19.8 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3916 9415 3922 9417 3925 9386 3918 9384 3911 9405

  

$$

MOC033-107-195-210301-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0059.140623T0600Z-140628T0800Z/
/WVYM7.1.ER.140623T0600Z.140625T1200Z.140627T0800Z.NO/
1002 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Waverly.
* from late Sunday night to Saturday June 28.
* At  9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 22.5 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Waverly         20   18.8   Thu 09 PM   22.5 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3925 9386 3933 9331 3928 9327 3922 9330 3918 9384

  

$$

MOC033-041-195-210301-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0060.140620T0525Z-140629T0142Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.140620T0525Z.140625T1800Z.140628T0142Z.NO/
1002 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River At Miami.
* until Saturday June 28.
* At  8:44 AM Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 21.9 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Miami           18   15.3   Thu 09 AM   21.9 early Wednesday 
afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327

  

$$

403 
WGUS83 KEAX 201553
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014
   

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kansas...Missouri...

  Missouri River at Leavenworth affecting Leavenworth and Platte 
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Sibley affecting Clay...Jackson and Ray Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...

  Missouri River at St Joseph affecting Doniphan...Andrew and Buchanan
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Atchison affecting Atchison...Buchanan and Platte 
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Napoleon affecting Jackson...Lafayette and Ray 
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Waverly affecting Carroll...Lafayette and Saline 
  Counties.

  Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline 
  Counties.

.Forecast crests are several feet lower this morning due to levee
breaches along the Big Sioux River in Iowa and South Dakota. In 
addition, this river forecast incorporates the next 24 hours of 
forecast rainfall. Adjustments in the crest timing and magnitude are 
likely as widespread significant rainfall is possible Sunday night 
into Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

KSC043-MOC003-021-211553-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-140626T0336Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.140620T0552Z.140623T1200Z.140625T0336Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at St Joseph.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.4 feet by 
  Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  before midnight.
* At 19.0 feet...Backwater from the Missouri River floods property 
  along the Nodaway river at Nodaway, Missouri.
* At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St. 
  Joseph occurs.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  St Joseph       17   17.1   Fri 09 AM   19.4 Monday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3991 9501 3990 9489 3975 9483 3964 9488 3970 9505

  

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-211553-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0061.140623T0300Z-140625T1200Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.140623T0300Z.140623T1800Z.140624T1200Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Atchison.
* from Sunday evening to Wednesday morning.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 22.5 
  feet early Monday afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying areas on the Missouri side of the river 
  begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Atchison        22   Not Available      22.5 Monday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3970 9505 3964 9488 3942 9493 3942 9508 3958 9516

  

$$

KSC103-MOC165-201623-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-140626T1800Z/
/LEVK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Missouri River at Leavenworth.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  17.5 feet early Monday afternoon.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Leavenworth     20   14.5   Fri 10 AM   17.5 Monday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3942 9508 3942 9492 3918 9460 3913 9460 3918 9484
  

$$

MOC047-095-177-201623-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-140626T2000Z/
/SBEM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Missouri River at Sibley.
* At  9:46 AM Friday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  19.6 feet Tuesday morning.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Sibley          22   18.6   Fri 10 AM   19.6 Tuesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3925 9431 3922 9417 3916 9415 3918 9420 3918 9432

  

$$

MOC095-107-177-211552-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0058.140624T0600Z-140625T1200Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.140624T0600Z.140624T0600Z.140624T1200Z.UU/
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Napoleon.
* from late Monday night to Wednesday morning.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying areas unprotected by levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Napoleon        17   15.6   Fri 10 AM   17.0 early Tuesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3916 9415 3922 9417 3925 9386 3918 9384 3911 9405

  

$$

MOC033-107-195-211552-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0059.140624T1200Z-140626T0000Z/
/WVYM7.1.ER.140624T1200Z.140624T1200Z.140625T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Waverly.
* from Tuesday morning to Wednesday evening.
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Waverly         20   18.8   Fri 09 AM   20.0 Tuesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3925 9386 3933 9331 3928 9327 3922 9330 3918 9384

  

$$

MOC033-041-195-211552-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-140626T0600Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.140624T1800Z.140625T0000Z.140625T0600Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River At Miami.
* until late Wednesday night.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 18.1 
  feet Tuesday evening.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Miami           18   Not Available      18.1 Tuesday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327

  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
638 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 410 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

Water vapor imagery, as well as 08z RAP analysis indicates a fairly
potent trough over the northern Rockies, with southwesterly flow
over the Central Plains and over the forecast area. A shortwave
trough rotating around the larger low has sparked thunderstorms
across eastern Colorado and central Kansas, which have since moved
into central Nebraska. A decent veered low level jet is currently
nosing into southern Iowa and could produce enough convergence to
produce some early morning convection across southern/central Iowa,
and perhaps northern Missouri. The scenario in which the forecast
area gets any appreciable precip during the morning hours on
Thursday is pretty low confidence, but will cover the potential with
SChc PoPs through 12z and Chc PoPs through 18z. The better chance
for precipitation will come later this afternoon and this evening,
as the axis of a shortwave trough pivots through the area. This will
likely provide enough mid level ascent to produce scattered to
widespread showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon hours. A
warm and very moist atmosphere will lend itself to a high amount of
instability, ranging from 3000 to 3500 J/kg of SB Cape. With the
lack of any really good veering winds with height and lack of any
appreciable speed increase with height the deep layer shear on
Thursday will be rather anemic, generally in the 20 to 30 kt range.
The large instability will lend itself to strong updrafts, but with
the chance for competing updrafts and lack of wind shear feel the
severe threat for Thursday will be marginal. While scattered to
widespread thunderstorms will be possible later this evening, the
severe threat should be relegated to isolated coverage, with gusty
winds, heavy rain, lighting, and perhaps hail up to half dollar in
size will be the main hazards as we go forward into the evening.
Given the potential for scattered to broken clouds through the day,
with perhaps some rain, took temperatures for Thursday afternoon
down a couple degrees, with max temps in the lower to middle 80s.

The trough axis should clear the forecast area by late tonight,
shunting the better lift for precipitation formation further to the
east. Thus have a gradual decrease in PoPs through the overnight
hours, with the best chances across central Missouri toward the
overnight hours on Thursday. Expect Friday and Saturday to remain
mostly dry across the area, however with one or more MCS's rolling
through the northern plains through the weekend it will remain
possible for the northern half of the CWA to perhaps see the
southern end of any MCS activity through Sunday morning. Latest
ECMWF paints a trough, embedded within the mostly zonal flow,
rolling through the area Sunday afternoon, perhaps bringing the next
best chance for rain Sunday afternoon through the evening. Showers
and thunderstorms could remain in the area through Monday afternoon,
as a cold frontal boundary will eventually slide through the area
erasing the chances for rain. The timing of this front on Monday
will dictate how long the thunderstorms stick around, but the
general feeling at this point is that they should be at least
through western Missouri by Monday evening, moving through central
Missouri by early Tuesday morning. Thereafter, expect a generally
dry forecast with perhaps a few bouts with isolated to scattered
convection through the mid to late week period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 634 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

Southerly winds will pick up through the day, bringing gusts up to 20
25 knots. Early morning could see a few isolated showers pop up near
the terminals, but expect the bulk of that activity to become more
established farther east. The better chance for precipitation will
come later this afternoon and this evening as scattered storms form
near and at the terminals. Expect at least a few hours of storms to
affect the terminals with periods of heavy rain and erratic, gusty
winds. The bulk of that activity should wane by the late evening, and
move toward the southeast, away from the terminals. Expect a weak
boundary to come into play tonight as winds may become calm and
variable for the final 8-10 hours of this forecast period.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Leighton
AVIATION...Leighton

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
454 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-201000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
454 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A FEW ISOLATED STORMS
 MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN
 THREAT NORTH OF KIRKSVILLE TO KANSAS CITY LINE.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

 SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
 TUESDAY...SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF