Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 178, NWS Kansas City, MO

October 13, 20144 counties in Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Oct 13, 2014, 8:21 PM CDT for 4 counties in Missouri. It took effect at Oct 14, 2014, 8:29 AM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 13, 2014, 8:21 PM CDT (01:21 UTC)
In effect from: Oct 14, 2014, 8:29 AM CDT
Expired: Oct 18, 2014, 1:23 AM CDT
In force: 4 days
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Moderate

Counties Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Grand River near Sumner (SNZM7). The gauge peaked at 32.94 ft at Oct 15, 2014, 5:00 AM CDT.

Action stage: 21 ft
Minor stage: 26 ft
Moderate stage: 28 ft
Major stage: 40 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06902000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

304 
WGUS43 KEAX 140121
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
821 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014
  

...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston 
  Counties.
  Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton 
  and Linn Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC115-117-150121-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0177.141014T1821Z-141016T2100Z/
/CHZM7.1.ER.141014T1821Z.141015T0600Z.141015T2100Z.NO/
821 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Grand River near Chillicothe.
* from Tuesday afternoon to Thursday afternoon.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 27.4 feet by early Wednesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Low-lying cropland floods.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Chillicothe     24    9.8   Mon 08 PM   27.4 early Weds morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367

  

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-150121-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0178.141014T2122Z-141018T0623Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.141014T2122Z.141016T0000Z.141017T0623Z.NO/
821 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Grand River near Sumner.
* from Tuesday afternoon to late Friday night.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday afternoon and continue
  to rise to near 32.3 feet by Wednesday evening. The river will fall
  below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Sumner          26   12.6   Mon 08 PM   32.3 Wednesday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330

  

$$

6 follow-up statements

630 
WGUS83 KEAX 141330
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
830 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton 
  and Linn Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC115-117-151330-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0177.141014T1329Z-141016T1330Z/
/CHZM7.1.ER.141014T1209Z.141015T0000Z.141015T1330Z.NO/
830 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Chillicothe.
* from this morning to Thursday morning.
* At  7:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Low-lying cropland floods.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Chillicothe     24   24.4   Tue 08 AM   27.0 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367

  

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-151329-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0178.141014T1329Z-141018T0718Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.141014T1225Z.141015T1800Z.141017T0718Z.NO/
830 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Sumner.
* from this morning to late Friday night.
* At  7:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 32.5 feet by 
  early Wednesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Friday morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to 
  flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Sumner          26   26.4   Tue 08 AM   32.5 early Wednesday aft
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330

  

$$

716 
WGUS83 KEAX 150204
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014
   

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Platte River At Sharps Station affecting Platte County.

  Platte River near Platte City affecting Platte County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson Counties.

  Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis 
  Counties.

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.

  Crooked River near Richmond affecting Ray County.

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton 
  and Linn Counties.

  Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.

  Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.

  South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry 
  Counties.

  Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-160204-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0171.000000T0000Z-141016T0358Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.141013T2136Z.141014T1115Z.141015T0358Z.UU/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Big Creek
  Blairstown      20   20.9   Tue 08 PM   19.4 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391

  

$$

MOC101-159-160204-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0173.000000T0000Z-141016T1308Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.141013T2127Z.141014T1830Z.141015T1308Z.NO/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Thursday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...County Highway E near Valley City and Highway 23 
  near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Valley City     22   25.8   Tue 08 PM   24.4 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348

  

$$

MOC053-195-160204-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0172.000000T0000Z-141017T1952Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.141014T1542Z.141016T0000Z.141016T1952Z.NO/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.9 feet by 
  Wednesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   25.2   Tue 09 PM   25.9 Wednesday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC177-160203-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0170.000000T0000Z-141017T0611Z/
/RICM7.2.ER.141014T0040Z.141015T1200Z.141016T0611Z.NO/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Crooked River near Richmond.
* until late Thursday night.
* At  8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday morning.
* At 21.0 feet...Water begins to overtop a gravel road about 1 mile 
  south of the F and B Highway intersection.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying rural roads along with cropland and 
  woodlands flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Crooked River
  Richmond        20   24.1   Tue 08 PM   25.0 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3935 9407 3938 9402 3932 9389 3928 9392

  

$$

MOC115-117-160203-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0177.000000T0000Z-141017T0140Z/
/CHZM7.1.ER.141014T1209Z.141015T0600Z.141016T0140Z.NO/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Chillicothe.
* until Thursday evening.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.9 feet by 
  early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday evening.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 24.0 feet...Low-lying cropland floods.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Chillicothe     24   27.6   Tue 09 PM   27.9 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367

  

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-160203-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-141018T1200Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.141014T1225Z.141015T1800Z.141017T1200Z.NO/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Sumner.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 32.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 33.5 feet by 
  early Wednesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to 
  flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Sumner          26   32.5   Tue 09 PM   33.5 early Wednesday 
afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330

  

$$

MOC021-160203-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-141016T2024Z/
/AGYM7.1.ER.141014T2305Z.141015T1200Z.141015T2024Z.NO/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Platte River near Agency.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Agency          20   20.2   Tue 08 PM   20.5 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472

  

$$

MOC165-150234-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0181.000000T0000Z-141018T0936Z/
/SSTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Platte River At Sharps Station.
* At  8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  25.0 feet early Thursday morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Sharps Station  26   21.6   Tue 08 PM   25.0 early Thursday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3941 9474 3941 9464 3935 9476 3939 9479

  

$$

MOC165-150234-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0182.000000T0000Z-141018T2005Z/
/PLCM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Platte River near Platte City.
* At  8:22 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  19.2 feet early Thursday afternoon.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Platte City     20   12.3   Tue 08 AM   19.2 early Thursday 
afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9479 3935 9476 3927 9481 3929 9484 3933 9483

  

$$

MOC053-160203-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0169.000000T0000Z-141016T1527Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.141013T1653Z.141014T2115Z.141015T1527Z.UU/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until Thursday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Wednesday morning.
* At 19.5 feet...The creek floods U Highway about 4 miles southeast 
  of Boonville.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Petite Saline Creek
  Boonville       16   19.5   Tue 08 PM   19.3 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279

  

$$

MOC013-037-083-160203-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0174.000000T0000Z-141016T1748Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.141014T0031Z.141015T0600Z.141015T1748Z.UU/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 27.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.7 feet by 
  early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Wednesday afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5 
  miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
  with cropland and secondary roads.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

South Grand River
  Urich           24   27.7   Tue 08 PM   27.7 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425

  

$$

MOC033-160203-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-141017T0207Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.141014T0720Z.141015T1200Z.141016T0207Z.UU/
904 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* until Thursday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.5 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  before midnight.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the 
  creek begins.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Wakenda Creek
  Carrollton      16   17.7   Tue 08 PM   18.5 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359

  

$$

200 
WGUS83 KEAX 151252
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
752 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2014
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton 
  and Linn Counties.

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC115-117-161252-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0177.000000T0000Z-141016T2043Z/
/CHZM7.1.ER.141014T1209Z.141015T0030Z.141015T2043Z.NO/
752 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Chillicothe.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  6:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Low-lying cropland floods.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Chillicothe     24   26.3   Wed 07 AM   25.0 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367

  

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-161252-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-141018T0442Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.141014T1225Z.141015T1115Z.141017T0442Z.NO/
752 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Sumner.
* until Friday evening.
* At  6:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 32.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Thursday before midnight.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to 
  flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Sumner          26   32.9   Wed 07 AM   32.9 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330

  

$$

MOC033-041-161252-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0183.141015T1555Z-141018T1047Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.141015T1555Z.141016T0600Z.141017T1047Z.UU/
752 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Brunswick.
* from this morning to late Friday night.
* At  6:05 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 19.9 feet by early Thursday morning. The river will
  fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west 
  bank of the grand river near the u.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1 
  mile west of brunswick.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Brunswick       19   18.3   Wed 06 AM   19.9 early Thursday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327

  

$$

334 
WGUS83 KEAX 160052
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
752 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2014
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton 
  and Linn Counties.

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC033-041-115-117-170052-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-141018T0600Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.141014T1225Z.141015T1115Z.141017T0600Z.NO/
752 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Sumner.
* until late Friday night.
* At  6:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 32.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Friday morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to 
  flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Sumner          26   32.2   Wed 07 PM   31.7 early Thursday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330

  

$$

MOC033-041-170052-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0183.000000T0000Z-141018T0000Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.141016T0600Z.141017T0000Z.UU/
752 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Brunswick.
* until Friday evening.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 19.5 
  feet early Thursday morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west 
  bank of the grand river near the u.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1 
  mile west of brunswick.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Brunswick       19                      19.5 early Thursday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327

  

$$

688 
WGUS83 KEAX 161421
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
921 AM CDT THU OCT 16 2014
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton 
  and Linn Counties.
  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC053-195-171421-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0172.000000T0000Z-141018T0840Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.141014T1542Z.141015T1515Z.141017T0840Z.NO/
921 AM CDT THU OCT 16 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until late Friday night.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   25.2   Thu 09 AM   25.2 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-171421-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-141018T0600Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.141014T1225Z.141015T1115Z.141017T0600Z.NO/
921 AM CDT THU OCT 16 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Sumner.
* until late Friday night.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 30.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Friday morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to 
  flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Sumner          26   30.4   Thu 09 AM   30.1 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330

  

$$

MOC033-041-171421-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0183.000000T0000Z-141018T0000Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.141016T1800Z.141017T0000Z.UU/
921 AM CDT THU OCT 16 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Brunswick.
* until Friday evening.
* At  6:00 AM Thursday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.3 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west 
  bank of the grand river near the u.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1 
  mile west of brunswick.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Brunswick       19   19.1   Thu 06 AM   19.3 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327

  

$$

536 
WGUS83 KEAX 170858
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
358 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014
   

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton 
  and Linn Counties.

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC053-195-180858-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0172.000000T0000Z-141018T1727Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.141014T1542Z.141015T1515Z.141017T1727Z.NO/
358 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  3:45 AM Friday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   25.2   Fri 04 AM   25.0 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-170928-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-141018T0600Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.141014T1225Z.141015T1115Z.141017T0753Z.NO/
358 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Grand River near Sumner.
* At  3:45 AM Friday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  2:53 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 16.9 feet by Saturday
  morning.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Sumner          26   25.7   Fri 04 AM   23.3 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330

  

$$

MOC033-041-170928-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0183.000000T0000Z-141018T0000Z/
/BRNM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
358 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Grand River near Brunswick.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast below flood stage with a maximum 
  value of 18.0 feet this morning.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Brunswick       19                      18.0 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327

  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 13, 6:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 6:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
651 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 353 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

Short Range (tonight through tomorrow night):

The main concern with this forecast package will be the rain
potential over the next 36 hours. The good news is rain rate will be
low enough to preclude and flash flooding however with many
locations receiving 1.5"-2.0" of rainfall through the event it is
possible we will see some flooding along area creeks, streams, and
rivers.

This afternoon an upper level low is evident on water vapor over
northeastern OK. An associated cold front with this low extends from
near Quincy to Moberly to Joplin. A surface low along the front is
located near Moberly and is deepening. This is causing the pressure
gradient to tighten behind the front and winds are picking up behind
the front to 20 to 30 MPH with gusts to 30 to 40 MPH. These strong
winds will continue through tonight and into Tuesday. The upper low
is expected to slowly move to near STL by tomorrow morning pushing
the cold front slowly east across the CWA tonight. The convective
element of the system will be well southeast of the area however a
deformation band has formed behind the cold front bringing light to
moderate rain over eastern Kansas and western Missouri. This
deformation band will move very slowly eastward tonight and through
the overnight as the upper level low moves slowly northeastward
across MO. Another 0.5"-1.0" of precipitation will be possible as
this band moves slowly east. By tomorrow morning the upper low will
be over eastern MO and will only move to central Illinois by
tomorrow night. This will keep the chance for light rain going over
the eastern half of the CWA through the day on Tuesday and even into
Tuesday night. Temperatures behind the cold front tomorrow will
range from the mid 50s across the east to the low 60s over the west
where the sun might peek out tomorrow afternoon.

Extended range (Wednesday through Monday):

Wednesday, the upper level trough that had brought rain to the area
today and Tuesday will finally move into the Ohio River Valley.
Height rises on Wednesday will allow temperatures to rise into the
low to mid 60s. Thursday we being to see a pattern shift as the
upper level trough moves into the Great lakes and weakens and the
flow across the CONUS become more zonal. Highs will return to near
normal with highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. A weak upper level
trough will track through the southern Canadian Plains on Thursday
night forcing a weak cold front through the area. The frontal
passage will be dry but it will knock highs down a degree or two on
Friday. The Canadian trough will deepen as it moves eastward into
the northern Great Lakes. This will provide for cooler northwesterly
flow aloft as we move into the weekend with highs cooling into the
low to mid 60s.

Model solutions diverge as we head into the latter part of the
weekend with the GFS bringing a shortwave into the area Sunday on
weak northwest flow aloft. This solution would provide for a chance
of precipitation on Sunday into Sunday night before drying out on
Monday. The EC, on the other hand, advertises upper level ridging
building out west across the Rockies putting the local area in
northwest flow aloft. It also, advertises a shortwave but it is well
north of the area keeping the local area dry but cooler. Have
generally sided with the GFS providing the wetter solution based on
persistent wet pattern the local area has been in.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 650 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

Large band of light to moderate rain will stay parked over the KS/MO
border for several more hours before slowly dissipating and shifting
east of the area toward sunrise. Ceilings through this time will be
mainly MVFR but could see a few instances of IFR particularly around
MCI. Gusty winds will be the rule through the period, increasing
through the day tomorrow.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...Hawblitzel

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 13, 3:07 PM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
307 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-142015-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
307 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

 A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
 REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS THIS FEATURE PASSES...MODERATE TO
 LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED. THIS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED MINOR
 FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

 WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH
 LIKELY. GUSTS AT TIMES MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 35 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

 LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH MINOR
 POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING REMAINING POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 13, 7:42 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Cooper	29 hr
Oct 13, 7:47 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Carroll	56 hr
Oct 13, 8:21 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Linn, Livingston	68 hr
Oct 14, 7:50 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Buchanan	70 hr
Oct 14, 7:50 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Platte	4 days
Oct 14, 7:50 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Platte	4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2014 Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.