Alert archive / Illinois / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014

Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Quad Cities, IA

February 17, 20144 counties in Iowa; 8 counties in Illinois

NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this winter storm warning at Feb 17, 2014, 4:03 AM CST for 4 counties in Iowa; 8 counties in Illinois. It took effect at Feb 17, 2014, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for 10 hr. 32 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 17, 2014, 4:03 AM CST (10:03 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 17, 2014, 6:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 17, 2014, 3:35 PM CST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Quad Cities, IA

Counties Clinton County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Scott County, IA, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 17, 6:48 AM CSTSLEET 04 Ese Princeton, ILPUBLIC REPORT RELAYED BY WQAD - SLEET ACROSS EASTERN BUREAU COUNTY
Feb 17, 6:48 AM CSTSLEET 0Rock Falls, ILPUBLIC REPORT RELAYED BY WQAD
Feb 17, 9:28 AM CSTSNOW 0.8Moline, ILSNOW WAS MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES
Feb 17, 10:00 AM CSTSLEET 02 Ssw Calamus, IASLEET FOR THE PAST HALF HOUR
Feb 17, 12:00 PM CSTSNOW 13 Ne Freeport, ILSINCE 6 AM. SNOWING LIGHTLY.
Feb 17, 12:00 PM CSTSNOW 2.6Dubuque, IA
Feb 17, 12:00 PM CSTSNOW 3.6Moline, IL
Feb 17, 12:00 PM CSTSNOW 3.8Davenport, IA
Feb 17, 12:08 PM CSTSNOW 3.8E Andrew, IASNOWFALL SINCE 830 AM
Feb 17, 12:31 PM CSTSNOW 4.53 Wsw Bettendorf, IA
Feb 17, 12:33 PM CSTSNOW 2.4Sterling, ILSNOW CONTINUES TO FALL
Feb 17, 1:00 PM CSTSNOW 1.4Princeton, ILCURRENTLY EXPERIENCING THUNDERSNOW.
Feb 17, 1:00 PM CSTSNOW 4Davenport, IASTORM TOTAL
Feb 17, 1:43 PM CSTSNOW 46 Sse Council Hill, ILSTORM TOTAL- SNOW BEGAN AT 9 AND ENDED AT 130
Feb 17, 1:45 PM CSTSNOW 5Maquoketa, IASNOW TOTAL- RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
Feb 17, 1:52 PM CSTSNOW 3.5Geneseo, ILRECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
Feb 17, 1:56 PM CSTSNOW 32 E Winslow, ILSTILL SNOWING
Feb 17, 2:00 PM CSTSNOW 4Davenport, IARECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
Feb 17, 2:02 PM CSTSNOW 53 Ssw Moline, ILSTILL SNOWING
Feb 17, 2:35 PM CSTSNOW 41 Ssw Cordova, ILSNOW TOTAL
Feb 17, 2:44 PM CSTSNOW 4.5Sse Le Claire, IA
Feb 17, 2:55 PM CSTSNOW 3.82 Ssw Calamus, IATOTAL.
Feb 17, 2:56 PM CSTSNOW 4.51 Wnw Morrison, ILSTILL SNOWING LIGHTLY.
Feb 17, 2:56 PM CSTSNOW 5.12 Ne Calamus, IAEVENT TOTAL.
Feb 17, 3:00 PM CSTSNOW 4.7Davenport Municipal Air, IATOTAL.
Feb 17, 3:00 PM CSTSNOW 5.9Moline Quad-City Airpor, ILTOTAL.
Feb 17, 3:10 PM CSTSNOW 3Se Galva, ILTOTAL.
Feb 17, 3:15 PM CSTSNOW 5.3Park View, IATOTAL.
Feb 17, 3:18 PM CSTSNOW 4.81 W Bettendorf, IATOTAL.
Feb 17, 3:25 PM CSTSNOW 43 Nne Stockton, ILTOTAL.
Feb 17, 3:35 PM CSTSNOW 44 Nnw Lanark, ILTOTAL.
Feb 17, 3:36 PM CSTSNOW 51 Nw Davenport, IATOTAL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 38 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2014-02-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2014-02-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1284 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

943 
WWUS43 KDVN 171003
WSWDVN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
403 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY...

.A WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN TO THE AREA TODAY. THE SNOW WILL BECOME
WIDESPREAD AFTER MID MORNING WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE. EARLY THIS MORNING THE SNOW...BRIEFLY MIXED WITH SOME
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 34. SOME ICING
WILL OCCUR IN THOSE AREAS. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH
LOW VISIBILITIES AND FAST ACCUMULATIONS. THERE MAY EVEN BE A
CHANCE FOR SOME THUNDER SNOW IN PLACES. THE SNOW WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THE MORNING
COMMUTE WILL BE IMPACTED.

IAZ042-054-066-068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015>018-171815-
/O.UPG.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.140217T1200Z-140217T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KDVN.WS.W.0005.140217T1200Z-140218T0000Z/
DUBUQUE-JACKSON-CLINTON-SCOTT-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBUQUE...MAQUOKETA...CLINTON...
BETTENDORF...DAVENPORT...GALENA...FREEPORT...MOUNT CARROLL...
STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE...
PRINCETON...HENNEPIN
403 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING... SNOW AND SOME SLEET SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA AFTER 6
  AM...BECOMING ALL SNOW AND HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER 9 AM CST.
  THUNDER SNOW MAY BE POSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL THEN EXIT THE AREA
  FROM WEST TO EAST FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 7 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH PRODUCING
  DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVIER
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL RATES
  POSSIBLY REACHING TWO INCHES PER HOUR FOR A TIME FROM MID
  MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW COVERED ROADS
  WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL VERY
  HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS 6 TO 7 INCHES OR MORE
OF SNOW FALLING AT INTENSE RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR...IS
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE...SO ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY AND TAKE YOUR WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT.

&&

$$

IAZ040-041-051-052-063-064-076-077-171815-
/O.CON.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T2100Z/
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-BENTON-LINN-IOWA-JOHNSON-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INDEPENDENCE...MANCHESTER...VINTON...
CEDAR RAPIDS...MARENGO...IOWA CITY...SIGOURNEY...WASHINGTON
403 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...NOW THROUGH TO 3 PM CST.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. SOME SLEET POSSIBLE EARLY
  THIS MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH PRODUCING
  DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO UNDER 1/2 MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVIER
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...THE SNOW WILL CAUSE SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL AFFECT THE MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

IAZ053-065-067-078-ILZ024-171815-
/O.CON.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.140217T1200Z-140217T2200Z/
JONES-CEDAR-MUSCATINE-LOUISA-MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANAMOSA...TIPTON...MUSCATINE...
WAPELLO...ALEDO
403 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...6 AM TO 4 PM CST.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES. SOME SLEET POSSIBLE EARLY
  THIS MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH PRODUCING
  DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO UNDER 1/2 MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVIER 
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...THE SNOW WILL CAUSE SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL AFFECT THE MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

IAZ087>089-098-099-MOZ009-010-171815-
/O.CON.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T2100Z/
JEFFERSON-HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIRFIELD...MOUNT PLEASANT...
BURLINGTON...KEOSAUQUA....FORT MADISON...MEMPHIS...KAHOKA
403 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...THROUGH 3 PM CST.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. ANY ICE
  ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD OCCUR AS THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS...THEN
  CHANGE TO SLEET OR SNOW.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH PRODUCING
  DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO UNDER 1/2 MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVIER 
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE SLIPPERY
  ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. THIS WILL AFFECT THE
  MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

ILZ025-026-034-035-171815-
/O.CON.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.140217T1200Z-140217T2100Z/
HENDERSON-WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OQUAWKA...MONMOUTH...CARTHAGE...MACOMB
403 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...6 AM TO 3 PM CST.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. ANY ICE
  ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD OCCUR AS THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS...THEN
  CHANGE TO SLEET OR SNOW.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH PRODUCING
  DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO UNDER 1/2 MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVIER 
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...THE SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. THIS MAY AFFECT
  THE MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

GROSS/12
4 follow-up statements
644 
WWUS43 KDVN 171652
WSWDVN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1052 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER STORM IMPACTING AREA TO END BETWEEN 1 AND 4 PM...

.THE WINTER STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE AREA WITH A WINTRY MIX OF
SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN HAS NOW CHANGED TO ALL SNOW. AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES AND LOCALLY TO NEAR 4 INCHES IN NW
ILLINOIS OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ENDING THIS AFTERNOON. AREA
WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO 10 TO 20 MPH LIMITING ANY ADDITIONAL
DRIFTING. 

IAZ042-054-066-068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015>018-172200-
/O.EXT.KDVN.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140217T2200Z/
DUBUQUE-JACKSON-CLINTON-SCOTT-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBUQUE...MAQUOKETA...CLINTON...
BETTENDORF...DAVENPORT...GALENA...FREEPORT...MOUNT CARROLL...
STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE...
PRINCETON...HENNEPIN
1052 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES. STORM TOTALS
  OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVIER
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL RATES
  REACHING OVER AN INCH AN HOUR. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW COVERED
  ROADS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES...MAKING
  TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS 6 TO 7 INCHES OR MORE
OF SNOW FALLING AT INTENSE RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR...IS
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE...SO ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY AND TAKE YOUR WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT.

&&

$$

IAZ040-041-051-052-063-064-076-077-171900-
/O.EXT.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T1900Z/
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-BENTON-LINN-IOWA-JOHNSON-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INDEPENDENCE...MANCHESTER...VINTON...
CEDAR RAPIDS...MARENGO...IOWA CITY...SIGOURNEY...WASHINGTON
1052 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...UNTIL 1 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH. STORM TOTALS OF
  2 TO 5 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVIER
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL RATES
  REACHING OVER AN INCH AN HOUR. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW COVERED
  ROADS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES...MAKING
  TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

IAZ053-065-067-078-ILZ024-172000-
/O.EXT.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T2000Z/
JONES-CEDAR-MUSCATINE-LOUISA-MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANAMOSA...TIPTON...MUSCATINE...
WAPELLO...ALEDO
1052 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH. STORM TOTALS OF
  2 TO 4 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVIER
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL RATES
  REACHING OVER AN INCH AN HOUR. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW COVERED
  ROADS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES...MAKING
  TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

IAZ087>089-098-099-MOZ009-010-172000-
/O.EXT.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T2000Z/
JEFFERSON-HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIRFIELD...MOUNT PLEASANT...
BURLINGTON...KEOSAUQUA....FORT MADISON...MEMPHIS...KAHOKA
1052 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES. STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS POSSIBLY A TRACE. STORM
  TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 TENTHS OF AN INCH.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVIER
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL RATES
  REACHING OVER AN INCH AN HOUR. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW COVERED
  ROADS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES...MAKING
  TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

ILZ025-026-034-035-172100-
/O.CON.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T2100Z/
HENDERSON-WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OQUAWKA...MONMOUTH...CARTHAGE...MACOMB
1052 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES. STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS POSSIBLY A TRACE. STORM
  TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 TENTHS OF AN INCH.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVIER
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL RATES
  REACHING OVER AN INCH AN HOUR. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW COVERED
  ROADS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES...MAKING
  TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

NICHOLS
519 
WWUS43 KDVN 171905
WSWDVN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
105 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER STORM IMPACTING AREA TO END BETWEEN 1 AND 4 PM...

.THE WINTER STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE AREA WITH A WINTRY MIX OF
SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN HAS NOW CHANGED TO ALL SNOW. AN
ADDITIONAL 1 INCHES TO LOCALLY NEAR 2 INCHES IN NW ILLINOIS OF
SNOW IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ENDING THIS AFTERNOON. AREA WINDS HAVE
DIMINISHED TO 10 TO 20 MPH LIMITING ANY ADDITIONAL DRIFTING.

IAZ087>089-098-099-MOZ009-010-172015-
/O.CAN.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T2000Z/
JEFFERSON-HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIRFIELD...MOUNT PLEASANT...
BURLINGTON...KEOSAUQUA....FORT MADISON...MEMPHIS...KAHOKA
105 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

SNOW HAS ENDED WITH ANY LINGERING FLURRIES ENDING IN AN HOUR OR TWO
WITH NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. CLEARING SKIES AND RISING
TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR IMPROVEMENT OF ROAD CONDITIONS THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ON TREATED ROADWAYS.

$$

ILZ025-026-034-035-172015-
/O.CAN.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T2100Z/
HENDERSON-WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OQUAWKA...MONMOUTH...CARTHAGE...MACOMB
105 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

SNOW HAS ENDED WITH ANY LINGERING FLURRIES ENDING IN THE NEXT HOUR
OR TWO WITH NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. CLEARING SKIES AND RISING
TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR IMPROVEMENT OF ROAD CONDITIONS THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ON TREATED ROADWAYS.

$$

IAZ040-041-051-052-063-064-076-077-172015-
/O.EXP.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T1900Z/
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-BENTON-LINN-IOWA-JOHNSON-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INDEPENDENCE...MANCHESTER...VINTON...
CEDAR RAPIDS...MARENGO...IOWA CITY...SIGOURNEY...WASHINGTON
105 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

SNOW HAS ENDED WITH ANY LINGERING FLURRIES ENDING IN THE NEXT HOUR
OR TWO WITH NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. CLEARING SKIES AND RISING
TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR IMPROVEMENT OF ROAD CONDITIONS THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ON TREATED ROADWAYS.

$$

IAZ042-054-066-068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015>018-172200-
/O.CON.KDVN.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140217T2200Z/
DUBUQUE-JACKSON-CLINTON-SCOTT-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBUQUE...MAQUOKETA...CLINTON...
BETTENDORF...DAVENPORT...GALENA...FREEPORT...MOUNT CARROLL...
STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE...
PRINCETON...HENNEPIN
105 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES. STORM TOTALS
  OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVIER 
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL 
  RATES REACHING OVER AN INCH AN HOUR. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW 
  COVERED ROADS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES...
  MAKING TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS 6 TO 7 INCHES OR MORE
OF SNOW FALLING AT INTENSE RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR...IS
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE...SO ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY AND TAKE YOUR WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT.

&&

$$

IAZ053-065-067-078-ILZ024-172015-
/O.CON.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T2000Z/
JONES-CEDAR-MUSCATINE-LOUISA-MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANAMOSA...TIPTON...MUSCATINE...
WAPELLO...ALEDO
105 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH. STORM TOTALS 
  OF 2 TO 4 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVIER 
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL 
  RATES REACHING OVER AN INCH AN HOUR. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW 
  COVERED ROADS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES...
  MAKING TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

NICHOLS
453 
WWUS43 KDVN 171956
WSWDVN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
156 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER STORM IMPACTING AREA TO END BETWEEN 1 AND 4 PM...

.THE WINTER STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE AREA WITH A WINTRY MIX OF
SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN HAS NOW CHANGED TO ALL SNOW. AN
ADDITIONAL 1 INCHES TO LOCALLY NEAR 2 INCHES IN NW ILLINOIS OF
SNOW IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ENDING THIS AFTERNOON. AREA WINDS HAVE
DIMINISHED TO 10 TO 20 MPH LIMITING ANY ADDITIONAL DRIFTING.

IAZ053-065-067-078-ILZ024-172100-
/O.CAN.KDVN.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-140217T2000Z/
JONES-CEDAR-MUSCATINE-LOUISA-MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANAMOSA...TIPTON...MUSCATINE...
WAPELLO...ALEDO
156 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

SNOW HAS ENDED WITH ANY LINGERING FLURRIES ENDING IN AN HOUR OR TWO
WITH NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. CLEARING SKIES AND RISING
TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR IMPROVEMENT OF ROAD CONDITIONS THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ON TREATED ROADWAYS.

$$

IAZ042-054-066-068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015>018-172200-
/O.CON.KDVN.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140217T2200Z/
DUBUQUE-JACKSON-CLINTON-SCOTT-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBUQUE...MAQUOKETA...CLINTON...
BETTENDORF...DAVENPORT...GALENA...FREEPORT...MOUNT CARROLL...
STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE...
PRINCETON...HENNEPIN
156 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH. STORM TOTALS
  OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO 1/2 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVIER
  SNOW BURSTS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL RATES
  REACHING UP TO AN INCH AN HOUR. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW COVERED
  ROADS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A HALF MILE AT TIMES... MAKING TRAVEL
  VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS 6 TO 7 INCHES OR MORE
OF SNOW FALLING AT INTENSE RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR...IS
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE...SO ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY AND TAKE YOUR WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT.

&&

$$

NICHOLS
659 
WWUS43 KDVN 172135
WSWDVN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
335 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014


...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...


IAZ042-054-066-068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015>018-172245-
/O.CAN.KDVN.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140217T2200Z/
DUBUQUE-JACKSON-CLINTON-SCOTT-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBUQUE...MAQUOKETA...CLINTON...
BETTENDORF...DAVENPORT...GALENA...FREEPORT...MOUNT CARROLL...
STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE...
PRINCETON...HENNEPIN
335 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING.

SNOW HAS ENDED WITH ANY LINGERING FLURRIES ENDING IN AN HOUR OR TWO
WITH NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. CLEARING SKIES AND RISING TEMPERATURES
WILL ALLOW FOR IMPROVEMENT OF ROAD CONDITIONS THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
ON TREATED ROADWAYS.

$$

NICHOLS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 16, 11:38 PM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 11:38 PM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1138 PM CST SUN FEB 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 256 PM CST SUN FEB 16 2014

ANALYSIS AT 2 PM SHOWS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO ILLINOIS WITH
HIGH CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE PLAINS. VERIFICATION SHOWS MOISTURE
IS POSSIBLY OVERDONE ON MOST SOLUTIONS WITH SYSTEM IN INTER MOUNTAIN
REGION SLIGHTLY STRONGER. THIS PORTENDS WHERE ENERGY AND MOISTURE
COLLIDE FOR PRECIPITATION DEVELOPMENT CIRCA 08-10Z TONIGHT VERY
IMPORTANT. THIS WILL DECIDE THE LOCATIONS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION.
CONCEPTUAL TOOLS ALL SUGGEST BEST FORCING NEAR LOW TRACK TO OUR SE
WITH STRATIFYING SNOW WITH EVAPORATIVE COOLING SUGGESTING ONLY
LIMITED SLEET IN SOUTH SECTIONS BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW. ENERGY
OFF PACIFIC CONTINUES TO SUGGEST FAST ZONAL NEXT 3-4 DAYS...PATTERN
SUGGESTS MUCH MILDER AIR INTO THURSDAY WITH CHANGEABLE BUT DRY
WIND DIRECTION AND SPEEDS. THURSDAY SYSTEM WILL ALSO BE DYNAMIC
WITH AREA NEAR RIGHT REAR AND LEFT FRONT REGION FAVORED FOR GOOD
CYCLOGENESIS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 PM CST SUN FEB 16 2014

TONIGHT...HAVE DELAYED WATCH ISSUANCE START TIME UNTIL 12Z FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. SKIES SHOULD
BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY BY MIDNIGHT WITH SE WINDS OF 5 TO
10+ MPH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD SETTLE BY MID/LATE EVENING AND THEN
SLOWLY RISE MOST LOCATIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT BY 2 TO 5 DEGREES. HAVE
POPS MOSTLY DEVELOPING AFTER 08Z IN WEST WITH CATEGORICAL POPS
WEST BY 12Z. LOCAL TOOLS SUGGEST LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 34 CORRIDOR MAY SEE SLEET INITIALLY BUT SHOULD CHANGE TO
SNOW WITH ANY DURATION. KEPT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN BUT CONDITIONS
CONTINUE TO COOL ALOFT AND SUGGEST LITTLE OR NO DURATION AS LATER
SHIFTS MAY BE ABLE TO REMOVE IF TRENDS CONTINUE. SNOW TOTALS OF AN
INCH OR MORE MAY BE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK WEST OF HIGHWAY 218/I-380
CORRIDOR.

MONDAY...CATEGORICAL POPS WITH MOST LOCATIONS WILL PICKING UP 3 TO
5 HOURS OF SNOW...MAINLY BETWEEN 5 AM AND 12 PM. EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCHES
OF SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80 WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES ALONG AND SOUTH
OF HIGHWAY 34 IN IOWA DUE TO SLEET LIMITING SNOW AMOUNTS A BIT THERE.
SKIES WILL CLEAR OVER SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS BY MID AFTERNOON WHICH MAY
ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WITH MILD PACIFIC ORIGIN AIR AND GUSTY WEST
WINDS TO REACH TO NEAR 40 DEGREES DESPITE SNOW COVER. LATER SHIFTS
MAY BE ABLE TO REMOVE ADVISORY EARLIER SINCE THIS APPEARS WILL BE
A PROGRESSIVE AND OPEN SYSTEM.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 PM CST SUN FEB 16 2014

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
QUIET AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD AVERAGE ABOVE NORMAL.
ATTENTION THEN TURNS AN INTERESTING SYSTEM WED NIGHT/THURS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON...
WED NIGHT/THURS LOOKS QUITE INTERESTING. THE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS
LIKELY POPS WED NIGHT AND CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS ON THURSDAY.

NEARLY EVERY MODEL HAS STRONG WAA ALOFT MOVING INTO THE AREA
COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG FORCING. THERMAL PROFILES POINT TO MAINLY
RAIN BUT THE NORTH THIRD MAY SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIX WITH POSSIBLY A
LITTLE FREEZING RAIN BEFORE THE DEEPER WARM AIR AT THE SURFACE
ARRIVES AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE FORCING AND WAA ALOFT IS OF SUCH STRENGTH THAT ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT WED NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. IF
THUNDERSTORMS DO OCCUR THEY WOULD BE ISOLATED IN NATURE AND
GENERALLY SOUTH OF A KOOA TO KSQI LINE WITH AREAS ALONG/EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI BEING FAVORED.

TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE ABOVE NORMAL WED NIGHT/THURSDAY WITH LOWS
OCCURRING WEDNESDAY EVENING AND THEN SLOWLY RISING THE REMAINDER OF
THE NIGHT. ON THURSDAY THE RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING
THE DAY.

THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY QUIET AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS THE
MODEL CONSENSUS HAS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE
MIDWEST. TEMPERATURES SHOULD AVERAGE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY THE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS SLIGHT CHANCE TO
CHANCE POPS AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE MIDWEST. THERE
ARE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS ON TIMING/LOCATION. IF CURRENT
THERMAL PROFILES ARE CLOSE TO BEING CORRECT...SOME SNOW WOULD BE
SEEN FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE NORTHWEST THIRD TO 40 PERCENT OF THE AREA
SEEING MORE SNOW ON SATURDAY. THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF THE AREA WOULD
SEE A COLD RAIN.

SATURDAY NIGHT THE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF LINGERING LIGHT SNOW FROM THE DEPARTING SYSTEM.

ON SUNDAY...THE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AS ANOTHER
STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE MIDWEST. THERE ARE TIMING/LOCATION
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD AVERAGE A LITTLE
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CST SUN FEB 16 2014

CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH MISSOURI. A RAPID DECREASE
IN CIGS AND VSBYS FROM WEST TO EAST BETWEEN 10Z AND 14Z STILL
LOOKS ON TRACK AS A MIX OF PRECIPITATION SPREADS OVER THE AREA.
AREAS NEAR AND NORTH OF I80 WILL HAVE MAINLY SNOW ALTHOUGH A BRIEF
PERIOD OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE NEAR I80 AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES
IN. TO SOUTH THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE A SNOW/SLEET MIX WITH A
BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE FROM A LINE THROUGH KOTM
AND KBRL. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO ALL SNOW WITH
ABOUT A 2 HOUR OR SO PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW AND IFR OR LIFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT ALL TAF SITES. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE
JUST AS RAPIDLY  MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE
AREA. IT/S POSSIBLE THAT ALL TAF SITES WILL BE BACK TO VFR
CONDITIONS BETWEEN 21Z AND 00Z. SURACE WINDS SO FAR THIS EVENING
HAVE BEEN STRONGER THAN THE MODELS HAD SUGGESTED. WITH THIS IN
MIND THE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR THREAT APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL AND
HAVE NOT MENTIONED IN ANY OF THE TAFS

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM CST MONDAY FOR CEDAR-
     CLINTON-DUBUQUE-JACKSON-JONES-LOUISA-MUSCATINE-SCOTT.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST MONDAY FOR BENTON-
     BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DES MOINES-HENRY IA-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
     JOHNSON-KEOKUK-LEE-LINN-VAN BUREN-WASHINGTON.

IL...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM CST MONDAY FOR BUREAU-
     CARROLL-HENRY IL-JO DAVIESS-MERCER-PUTNAM-ROCK ISLAND-
     STEPHENSON-WHITESIDE.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 3 PM CST MONDAY FOR HANCOCK-
     HENDERSON-MCDONOUGH-WARREN.

MO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST MONDAY FOR CLARK-
     SCOTLAND.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NICHOLS
SHORT TERM...NICHOLS
LONG TERM...08
AVIATION...DLF
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 16, 5:00 AM CST, 23 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
500 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2014

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-171100-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-
CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-
HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-
JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-
MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-
WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
500 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION
INCLUDING FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LATE TONIGHT. LATEST
INDICATIONS SUGGEST SOME LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE BY
SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING IN SOUTHEASTERN IOWA AND FAR NORTHEASTERN
MISSOURI. LIGHT SNOW AND SOME SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 80 AFTER MIDNIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WINTER
WEATHER PRODUCT FOR MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MONDAY...CONTINUING WITH THE WINTER STORM SYSTEM...ACCUMULATING SNOW
WILL OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR DURING
THE MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY BEFORE THE SNOW DECREASES AND MOVES OFF
TO THE EAST. 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL OCCUR BY EARLY
AFTERNOON ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM SIGOURNEY IOWA...TO
MONMOUTH ILLINOIS. THE MORE WIDESPREAD HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM INDEPENDENCE
IOWA...TO THE QUAD CITIES...AND TO KEWANEE ILLINOIS. FURTHER SOUTH
WHERE FREEZING RAIN AND SOME SLEET OCCUR EARLY MONDAY MORNING...UP TO
A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE GLAZE WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
FAIRFIELD IOWA...TO BURLINGTON...AND TO MONMOUTH ILLINOIS BY 9 AM
CST. THEN THE WINTERY MIX IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO ALL SNOW IN
THESE AREAS WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. A BRISK SOUTHEAST WIND OF 15 TO 25 MPH MONDAY MORNING MAY
CAUSE SOME DRIFTING OF ANY NEW SNOWFALL...AS WELL AS ADDED STRESS
TO ANY ICE COVERED TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. THE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON. AS STATED ABOVE...
THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA IS UNDER A WINTER WESTERN ADVISORY THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM NEXT WEEK TO BRING
RAIN OR SNOW TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT...HOWEVER
SNOWFALL REPORTS OF AN INCH OR MORE WOULD BE APPRECIATED ON MONDAY.

GROSS/12

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Illinois, 2014Winter Storm Warnings in Iowa, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.