Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Quad Cities, IA

634 
WWUS53 KDVN 202326
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
626 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

IAC105-210000-
/O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140521T0000Z/
JONES IA-
626 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN JONES
COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 622 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LANGWORTHY...
AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTICELLO...MONTICELLO MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...PICTURED ROCKS WILDLIFE
AREA...CAMP COURAGEOUS...SCOTCH GROVE AND TEMPLE HILL.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE JONES COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE
QUAD CITIES.

&&

LAT...LON 4229 9092 4215 9092 4217 9135 4229 9136
      4230 9120
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 270DEG 29KT 4224 9121

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

ERVIN

250 
WWUS53 KDVN 202331
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
631 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

IAC105-210000-
/O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140521T0000Z/
JONES IA-
631 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN JONES
COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 626 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MONTICELLO...
AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PICTURED ROCKS WILDLIFE AREA...CAMP COURAGEOUS...SCOTCH GROVE AND
TEMPLE HILL.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE JONES COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4229 9119 4229 9092 4215 9092 4217 9135
      4229 9129 4230 9120
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 270DEG 29KT 4224 9117

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

ERVIN

552 
WWUS53 KDVN 202333
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
633 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

IAC105-210000-
/O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140521T0000Z/
JONES IA-
633 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN JONES
COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 631 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MONTICELLO...
AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL DAMAGING WIND SHIELDS OF CARS

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PICTURED ROCKS WILDLIFE AREA...CAMP COURAGEOUS...SCOTCH GROVE AND
TEMPLE HILL.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE JONES COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4229 9119 4229 9092 4215 9092 4218 9127
      4226 9127 4229 9121
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 270DEG 29KT 4224 9115

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

ERVIN

462 
WWUS53 KDVN 202338
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
638 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

IAC105-210000-
/O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140521T0000Z/
JONES IA-
638 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN JONES
COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 636 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MONTICELLO...
AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TEMPLE HILL.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE JONES COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4229 9116 4229 9092 4215 9092 4220 9125
      4225 9124 4227 9120
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 270DEG 24KT 4224 9112

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

ERVIN

972 
WWUS53 KDVN 202342
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
642 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

IAC105-210000-
/O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140521T0000Z/
JONES IA-
642 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
JONES COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 640 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES EAST OF
MONTICELLO...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TEMPLE HILL.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE JONES COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4220 9120 4225 9121 4226 9117 4229 9114
      4229 9092 4215 9092
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 270DEG 24KT 4223 9106

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

ERVIN

250 
WWUS53 KDVN 202348
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
648 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

IAC105-210000-
/O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140521T0000Z/
JONES IA-
648 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
JONES COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 645 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF
CASCADE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TEMPLE HILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4220 9116 4226 9116 4229 9111 4229 9092
      4215 9092
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 270DEG 24KT 4223 9101

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

ERVIN

550 
WWUS53 KDVN 202352
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
652 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

IAC105-210000-
/O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140521T0000Z/
JONES IA-
652 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
JONES COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 650 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF
CASCADE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN JONES COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4220 9106 4228 9108 4229 9101 4229 9092
      4215 9092
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 270DEG 24KT 4223 9097

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

ERVIN

840 
WWUS53 KDVN 202354
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
654 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

IAC105-210005-
/O.EXP.KDVN.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140521T0000Z/
JONES IA-
654 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JONES COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 700 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
 HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4220 9106 4228 9108 4229 9101 4229 9092
      4215 9092
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 270DEG 24KT 4223 9095

$$

ERVIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
332 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

WEAK COLD FRONT WAS SAGGING TOWARDS OUR FAR NW CWA WITH VERY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES HAVE
CLIMBED INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S WITH DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S. SBCAPES HAVE RISEN TO 2500 J/KG WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES OF
8 TO 9 C/KM. CU/TCU WAS FORMING ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM OUR FAR
NORTHERN CWA BACK WEST TO OMAHA. MODEST CAPPING IN PLACE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE EML SHOULD WEAKEN BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED SUPERCELLS TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN OUR NORTHERN CWA. IF THERE WAS A
SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE THIS WOULD BE A MORE WIDESPREAD EVENT BUT
THERE IS NOT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

FORECAST FOCUS ON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING THEN WARM BUT LESS HUMID ON WEDNESDAY.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH OVERNIGHT...RAPID REFRESH MESO MODEL
SUGGESTS SCATTERED SUPERCELLS ROUGHLY FROM I-80 NORTHWARD 4-9 PM THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOCAL SEVERE TOOLS ANALYSIS INDICATES HAIL TO
ABOUT GOLF BALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 60-70 MPH. THE 0-3KM
SHEAR VECTOR IS ONLY 20 KNOTS SO THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS QUITE
LOW AT THIS TIME BUT NOT ZERO. WILL KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR ANY COLD
POOLS THAT MAY FORM AND INCREASING FORWARD SPEEDS OF LINE SEGMENTS
THAT WOULD ENHANCE THE WIND THREAT. THE SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO
DIMINISH ABOUT 9 PM AS WE LOWER THE CAPE WITH THE SCATTERED STORMS
GRADUALLY SHIFTING SOUTHEAST INTO OUR SOUTHERN CWA LATER
TONIGHT...AS THE FRONT SAGS SOUTHEAST. DUE TO THE RATHER SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF UP TO AN INCH IS
LIKELY. HOWEVER... ANY REPEATING STORMS MAY PRODUCE OVER AN INCH.
THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO OUR NW CWA LATER THIS EVENING
REACHING OUR FAR SE COUNTIES EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BE
A MILD NIGHT WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S
FAR NW TO THE MID 60S SE.

WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE GRADUALLY BUILDING INTO THE CWA
FROM THE DAKOTAS. THIS SHOULD BRING A PLEASANTLY WARM DAY WITH
LOWERING HUMIDITY AS DEW POINTS DROP THROUGH THE 50S. ALSO PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED WHICH WILL BOOST AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES INTO
THE UPPER 70S NORTH TO MID 80S SOUTH.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...UPPER MO AND MS RVR VALLEY LLVL
RIDGE STILL PROGGED TO DUMP DOWN THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS
PERIOD...WHILE UPPER RIDGING TO LEE OF WEST COAST REX BLOCK AMPLIFIES
UPSTREAM CARS THE WESTERN PLAINS. WEST-TO-EAST LLVL BOUNDARY/FRONT
TO TEMPORARILY GET HUNG UP UNDER THE RIDGE/S SOUTHERN PERIPHERY ACRS
KS INTO MO WED NIGHT. MORE OPTIMUM NORTHERLY THTA-E FEED AND
CONVERGENCE TO SET UP MCS SPAWNING GROUNDS FROM EASTERN CO ACRS
SOUTHERN NEB AND KS...WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAKING
IT INTO THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN CWA IN DECAYING ALMOST DEBRIS FASHION
INTO THU MORNING. COOL LOWS IN TH UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S BY EARLY THU
MORNING NORTH OF I80. LONG FETCH LLVL MOISTURE CONVEYOR OFF THE
WESTERN GULF AND THEN WRAPPING AROUND UP THROUGH MEXICO THROUGH THE
LEE SIDE ROCKIES...COMBINED WITH VORT SPOKES OFF SOUTHWEST UPPER LOW
WILL MAKE FOR AN ACTIVE WESTERLY HIGH PLAINS THU INTO THU NIGHT.
WITH SEASONABLY STOUT LLVL RIDGE ESTABLISHING ACRS THE WESTERN GRT
LKS ALMOST BACKDOOR STYLE...DRYING NORTHEASTERLY LLVL FLOW AND
NORTH-WESTERLIES FURTHER ALOFT FROM UPPER RIDGE AXIS TO HAVE IT/S
PRECIP SHUNTING/EATING EFFECT AS ANYTHING ELEVATED TRIES TO COME ACRS
FROM THE CENTRAL TO NW HIGH PLAINS. THE NEW 12Z RUN ECMWF IS
ACTUALLY MORE BULLISH WITH THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA GETTING IN
UNDER SOME OF THIS ELEVATED SHOWER/ISOLATED EMBEDDED STORM ACTIVITY
FROM THE WEST...WHILE MOST OTHER MODELS JUST CLIP THE FAR SOUTHWEST
OR ARE MAINLY DRY THU INTO THU NIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHC POPS GOING IN
THE SOUTHWEST AS A COMPROMISE...BUT CURRENTLY PROGGED STRENGTH OF
RIDGE MAKES FOR A LEAN TOWARD THE DRIER SOLUTIONS. LLVL
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WITH SOME LK MI EFFECT...AND HIGH DEBRIS CLOUDS
FILTERING THE INSOLATION SHOULD MAKE FOR JUST 70S BOTH THU AND FRI.
WHERE CIRRUS BLOW OFF THINNEST COULD MAKE FOR LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S THU AND FRI NIGHTS IN SOME PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL FCST
AREA.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...LATEST MEDIUM RANGE TRENDS SUGGEST BLOCKED
PATTERN TO EDGE EASTWARD SLOWLY OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH BOTH SFC
AND UPPER RIDGING TO LEE OF SOUTHWEST CONUS UPPER LOW COMPLEX MAKING
FOR MAINLY DRY AND PLEASANT WX THROUGH SAT EVENING. THE 12Z GFS
WOULD BE DRY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...UNTIL ELEVATED WINGS OF WARM
AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS POSSIBLY RIDGE-RIDE/DRIFT ACRS THE CWA FROM
THE WEST ON SUNDAY. THE 12Z ECMWF IS MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH A TYPE OF
ELEVATED MCS ACRS THE AREA SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...BUT
SYNOPTIC SCALE PATTERN TRENDS AND FEATURE RECOGNITION SUGGEST THE
GFS MORE ON TRACK. IF DEBRIS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED SHOWERS DECAY
ENOUGH...EXTENT OF SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW COULD BOOST TEMPS WELL INTO
THE 80S ON SUNDAY WITH SFC DPT INCREASE BACK AT LEAST TO THE LOWER
60S.

NEXT MONDAY AND TUESDAY...TIMING WILL BE EVERYTHING WITH RESPECT TO
THE CUT-OFF UPPER LOW ACRS THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS FINALLY EJECTING TO
THE NORTHEAST. WHERE IT GOES/SHUNTED MORE TO THE NORTHEAST OR TRIES
TO UNDERCUT MORE EASTWARD/...AND STRENGTH OF LINGERING RIDGE COMPLEX
ALL NOT BEING HANDLED WELL. IT COULD BE WHERE THE LOCAL AREA REMAIN
LARGELY DRY AND WARMING INTO MEMORIAL DAY...WHILE THE PLAINS AND
UPPER MS RVR VALLEY/MN INTO WI/ STAY ACTIVE AMD WET. CURRENT LONG
RANGE MODEL TRENDS AND ENSEMBLES SUGGEST DAMPENING AND OPENING
UP UPPER LOW WILL EDGE CLOSE ENOUGH FOR MORE SCTRD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY BY NEXT TUESDAY...BUT AGAIN UNCERTAINTY
REIGNS AND COULD SEE A SCENARIO WHERE UNDERCUTTING EASTWARD DRIFT OF
THE CYCLONE MAKES FOR MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIP ACTIVITY TO THE SOUTH OF
THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK.     ..12..

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

WEAK COLD FRONT TO PROVIDE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED STORMS FROM MID-LATE
AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING...WITH BEST POTENTIAL ALONG AND NORTH OF
I-80 AS IT LOOKS ATTIM. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. PERIODS OF MVFR TO LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED IN THE STORMS...OTHERWISE VFR CONDS AWAY FROM THE STORMS.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY LOWER AND SHIFT SOUTH OF
I-80 OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. POTENTIAL FOR SOME FOG LATE
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND WET GROUND. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO SWITCH TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE FRONT. WINDS SPEEDS OUTSIDE OF THE STORMS WILL BE LESS THAN 10 KNOTS.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...HAASE
SHORT TERM...HAASE
LONG TERM...12
AVIATION...HAASE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1043 AM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-211545-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
1043 AM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING
AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE OR LARGER THE MAIN
THREATS. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY NEAR AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30.

THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS EXPERIENCING FLOODING. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A NEAR DAILY CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING.

HAASE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
539 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     HAIL             6 WSW SCHAPVILLE        42.38N 90.31W
05/20/2014  M1.00 INCH       JO DAVIESS         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOTS OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

&&

HAASE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
545 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0544 PM     HAIL             CASCADE                 42.30N 91.01W
05/20/2014  M1.75 INCH       DUBUQUE            IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PEA TO GOLF BALL SIZED

&&

GROSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
546 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             ST. DONATUS             42.36N 90.54W
05/20/2014  M2.00 INCH       JACKSON            IA   PUBLIC

            1.5 TO 2.0 INCH HAIL. RELAYED BY LOCAL MEDIA

&&

GROSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
549 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0546 PM     HAIL             FILLMORE                42.32N 90.92W
05/20/2014  E1.75 INCH       DUBUQUE            IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEEN AT FILLMORE FAIRWAYS GOLF COURSE.

&&

GROSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
558 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     HAIL             1 ESE NORA              42.46N 89.93W
05/20/2014  M0.88 INCH       JO DAVIESS         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LASTED FOR 10 MINUTES.

&&

GROSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
618 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             3 NNE STOCKTON          42.39N 89.98W
05/20/2014  E0.75 INCH       JO DAVIESS         IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

GROSS