Alert archive / Iowa / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 6, NWS Quad Cities, IA

March 10, 2014Iowa County, Johnson County, Iowa

NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this river flood warning at Mar 10, 2014, 10:14 AM CDT for Iowa County, Johnson County, Iowa. It took effect at Mar 10, 2014, 5:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2014, 10:14 AM CDT (15:14 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 10, 2014, 5:00 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 15, 2014, 9:50 AM CDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Quad Cities, IA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Iowa County, IA, Johnson County, IA

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Iowa River at Marengo (MROI4). The gauge peaked at 16.10 ft at Mar 11, 2014, 12:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate101503/1003/1103/1203/1303/1403/1503/16
Action stage
13 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05453100, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

130 
WGUS43 KDVN 101514
FLWDVN


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1014 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-110314-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0006.140310T2200Z-140313T0400Z/
/MROI4.1.ER.140310T2200Z.140311T0600Z.140311T1600Z.NO/
1014 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TODAY...AND CONTINUE RISING TO 
  14.2 FEET TUESDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$
12 follow-up statements
025 
WGUS43 KDVN 110204
FLWDVN


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
904 PM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO AFFECTING IOWA AND JOHNSON COUNTIES

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT SNOW MELT AND ICE ACTION WILL CAUSE FLOODING 
 ON THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-111404-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140314T1630Z/
/MROI4.2.IC.140310T2204Z.140311T0600Z.140313T0430Z.NO/
904 PM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.5 FEET TUESDAY MORNING. FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING. ICE ACTION MAY CAUSE FLUCTUATIONS OF A FOOT 
  OR SO FROM THE EXPECTED STAGE.
* IMPACT...AT  14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$
398 
WGUS83 KDVN 111207
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
707 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

.RUN OFF FROM RECENT SNOW MELT AND ICE ACTION WILL CAUSE FLOODING 
 ON THE IOWA AND SKUNK RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-120407-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140314T2125Z/
/MROI4.2.IC.140310T2204Z.140312T0600Z.140313T0925Z.NO/
707 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.6 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE THURSDAY MORNING. ICE ACTION MAY CAUSE FLUCTUATIONS OF A FOOT
  OR SO FROM THE EXPECTED STAGE.
* IMPACT...AT  14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$

IAC057-087-111-120406-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140313T2040Z/
/AGSI4.1.IC.140311T0315Z.140311T1800Z.140312T0840Z.NO/
707 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.8 FEET TODAY. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. ICE ACTION MAY CAUSE FLUCTUATIONS OF A FOOT OR SO
  FROM THE EXPECTED STAGE.
* IMPACT...AT  15 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS THE SOUTH RIVER BANK NEAR 
  THE PERKINS ROAD BRIDGE AT AUGUSTA.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4095 9156 4091 9163 4082 9152 4066 9116 4074 9112

$$

HAASE
373 
WGUS83 KDVN 111834
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
134 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

.RUN OFF FROM RECENT SNOW MELT AND ICE ACTION WILL CONTINUE FLOODING ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE IOWA RIVER. 

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-121034-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140316T0045Z/
/MROI4.1.IC.140310T2204Z.140311T1530Z.140314T1245Z.NO/
134 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 1:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.3 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE FRIDAY MORNING. ICE ACTION MAY CAUSE FLUCTUATIONS OF A FOOT
  OR MORE FROM THE FORECAST STAGE. 
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$
364 
WGUS83 KDVN 120113
FLSDVN

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
813 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT SNOW MELT AND ICE ACTION HAS RESULTED IN 
MINOR FLOODING ON THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST 
RAINFALL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-121713-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140316T0045Z/
/MROI4.1.IC.140310T2204Z.140311T1530Z.140314T1245Z.NO/
813 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 15.3 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$

IAC103-183-120143-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140313T1621Z/
/KALI4.N.SM.140311T1832Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ENGLISH RIVER AT KALONA.
* AT  7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...FALL TO 9.8 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152 4152 9153

$$
516 
WGUS83 KDVN 121529
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1029 AM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT SNOW MELT AND ICE ACTION HAS RESULTED IN 
MINOR FLOODING ON THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-130729-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140315T1720Z/
/MROI4.1.IC.140310T2204Z.140311T1530Z.140314T0520Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 15.1 FEET THURSDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$
220 
WGUS83 KDVN 130138
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
838 PM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT SNOWMELT AND ICE ACTION WAS CAUSING SOME FLOODING
ON AREA RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC045-163-130208-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140315T0300Z/
/DEWI4.N.IC.140312T1536Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 PM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT 4S.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  11 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ICE ACTION MAY CAUSE THE RIVER STAGE TO CHANGE
  RAPIDLY THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* FORECAST...CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A STAGE OF 10.6 FEET 
  THURSDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT  10 FEET...WATER AFFECTS A FEW RESIDENCES ALONG THE 
  RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4200 9090 4185 9090 4171 9080 4169 9035 4176 9033

$$

IAC095-103-131737-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140315T1708Z/
/MROI4.1.IC.140310T2204Z.140311T1530Z.140314T0508Z.NO/
838 PM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ICE ACTION MAY CAUSE THE RIVER STAGE TO CHANGE
  RAPIDLY THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 15.0 FEET THURSDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$

IAC115-131737-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140315T0430Z/
/WAPI4.2.IC.140312T2007Z.140312T2215Z.140313T1630Z.NO/
838 PM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  20 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ICE ACTION MAY CAUSE THE RIVER STAGE TO CHANGE
  RAPIDLY THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4108 9111 4110 9104 4115 9102 4125 9127 4122 9130

$$

IAC057-087-111-131737-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140315T0742Z/
/AGSI4.2.IC.140311T0315Z.140312T2030Z.140313T1942Z.NO/
838 PM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* UNTIL THURSDAY.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ICE ACTION MAY CAUSE THE RIVER STAGE TO CHANGE
  RAPIDLY THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT  16 FEET...WATER FLOODS SOME AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE
  RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4095 9156 4091 9163 4082 9152 4066 9116 4074 9112

$$
168 
WGUS83 KDVN 131527
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1027 AM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT SNOWMELT AND ICE ACTION WAS CAUSING SOME FLOODING
ON AREA RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-140727-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140316T0000Z/
/MROI4.1.IC.140310T2204Z.140311T1530Z.140314T1200Z.NO/
1027 AM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 14.4 FEET THIS EVENING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$

IAC115-131557-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140315T0430Z/
/WAPI4.2.IC.140312T2007Z.140312T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1027 AM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 19.3 FEET. FALL TO 17.9 
  FEET FRIDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4108 9111 4110 9104 4115 9102 4125 9127 4122 9130

$$

IAC057-087-111-140726-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140321T1800Z/
/AGSI4.2.IC.140311T0315Z.140312T2030Z.140320T0600Z.NO/
1027 AM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 16.9 FEET TODAY. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16 FEET...WATER FLOODS SOME AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE
  RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4095 9156 4091 9163 4082 9152 4066 9116 4074 9112

$$

ILC073-161-195-140726-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0011.140314T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.140314T0000Z.140314T0600Z.140317T1200Z.NO/
1027 AM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCK RIVER NEAR JOSLIN.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 12.2 FEET FRIDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002

$$

NICHOLS
217 
WGUS43 KDVN 140127
FLWDVN


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
827 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO AFFECTING IOWA AND JOHNSON COUNTIES

.snow melt runoff and ice action were causing river levels to change
rapidly on the iowa river at marengo.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-141327-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140316T1044Z/
/MROI4.2.IC.140310T2204Z.140314T0600Z.140314T2244Z.NO/
827 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY.
* AT  8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ice jams in the vicinity of marengo will cause river levels 
  to change rapidly during the next couple of days.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 17.7 FEET FRIDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT  16 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$
047 
WGUS83 KDVN 141044
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
544 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT SNOWMELT AND ICE JAMS HAS CAUSED SOME FLOODING 
ON AREA RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-150244-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140316T1044Z/
/MROI4.2.IC.140310T2204Z.140314T0615Z.140314T2244Z.NO/
544 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TODAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL TODAY.
* AT  5:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ICE JAMS IN THE VICINITY OF MARENGO WILL CAUSE RIVER 
  LEVELS TO CHANGE RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT  16 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$

IAC057-087-111-150243-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140322T0000Z/
/AGSI4.2.IC.140311T0315Z.140312T2030Z.140320T1200Z.NO/
544 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  4:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  16 FEET...WATER FLOODS SOME AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE
  RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4095 9156 4091 9163 4082 9152 4066 9116 4074 9112

$$

ILC073-161-195-150243-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140316T0600Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.140314T1200Z.140314T1200Z.140314T1800Z.NO/
544 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TODAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCK RIVER NEAR JOSLIN.
* UNTIL TODAY.
* AT  4:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET...AND SLOWLY RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  12 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  12 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002

$$
396 
WGUS83 KDVN 141500
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1000 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014


.RUNOFF FROM RECENT SNOWMELT AND ICE JAMS HAS CAUSED SOME FLOODING 
ON AREA RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-150700-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140316T0546Z/
/MROI4.2.IC.140310T2204Z.140314T0615Z.140314T1746Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TODAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL TODAY.
* AT 9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$

IAC057-087-111-150659-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140320T0300Z/
/AGSI4.2.IC.140311T0315Z.140312T2030Z.140318T1500Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 16.7 FEET TODAY. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16 FEET...WATER FLOODS SOME AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE
  RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4095 9156 4091 9163 4082 9152 4066 9116 4074 9112

$$

ILC073-161-195-150659-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140320T0600Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.140314T1800Z.140315T1200Z.140318T1800Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCK RIVER NEAR JOSLIN.
* UNTIL TUESDAY.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET...AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TODAY...AND CONTINUE RISING TO 
  12.2 FEET SATURDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002

$$
983 
WGUS83 KDVN 150258
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
957 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

.ICE ACTION WAS CAUSING FLOODING ON THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-151857-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140317T0036Z/
/MROI4.2.IC.140310T2204Z.140314T0615Z.140315T1236Z.NO/
957 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* THE OBSERVED STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 14 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ICE ACTION MAY CAUSE RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS
  THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT  14 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$
281 
WGUS83 KDVN 151450
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
950 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

.RECENT WARM WEATHER HAS INCREASED THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS ON SOME
AREA RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC095-103-151520-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140317T0036Z/
/MROI4.2.IC.140310T2204Z.140314T0615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* AT 7:00 AM SATURDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ICE WAS AFFECTING THE RIVER GAGE AND GIVING
  READINGS THAT WERE TOO HIGH. ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE ON THE IOWA RIVER AROUND MARENGO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
  DAYS. IF A NEW ICE JAM FORMS...RAPID AND VERY LOCALIZED CHANGES
  IN RIVER LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED.
* IMPACT...AT  11 FEET...WATER AFFECTS THE LOWEST AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9176 4181 9176 4187 9230

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 10, 10:04 AM CDT, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 10:04 AM CDT, 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1004 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1001 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

OVERALL THE FCST LOOKS ON TRACK. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE THE
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE THINNING. THE THINNING CLOUDS COMBINED WITH
THE STRONGER MARCH INSOLATION WILL HELP BOOST TEMPERATURES TO VERY
SPRING LIKE LEVELS.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 355 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BRINGING WARM PACIFIC AIR INTO THE MIDWEST.
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WERE KEEPING TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL AND AT 3 AM READINGS IN THE CWA WERE IN THE MID 30S TO MID
40S...AND THE MELTING PROCESS CONTINUES. SOME OF THE RIVERS IN
THE CWA WERE SHOWING A RISING TREND IN RESPONSE TO THIS SNOW MELT
BUT WERE STILL WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT THIS POINT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 355 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

FORECAST FOCUS ON A WARM SPRING DAY BUT COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURN
ALREADY TONIGHT. STILL MONITORING FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR BREAK-UP
ICE JAMS ON SOME AREA RIVERS.

TODAY...A REMARKABLY WARM DAY WITH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL
FOR A CHANGE. 850 MB TEMPERATURES ARE PROGGED AT +10 TO 12C ACROSS
THE CWA. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH MUCH OF THE DAY WILL BE
AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT ARRIVING IN OUR WESTERN CWA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL THEN TURN WINDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. EVEN
THE CIRRUS WITH PATCHY MID LEVEL CLOUDS THIS MORNING WILL THIN OUT
THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. TO SHOW YOU HOW
WARM THIS AIRMASS IS LOOK AT HIGH TEMPERATURES YESTERDAY IN NEB
AND KS WHERE READINGS WERE IN THE 70S! WHILE THE THERMAL RIDGE
AXIS IS PROGGED TO SLIDE TO THE SOUTH OF THE CWA TODAY WE WILL
STILL BENEFIT FROM THIS AIRMASS AND CONTINUED RAPIDLY MELTING
SNOW. I WILL CONTINUE THE SPRING THEME FROM PREVIOUS SHIFTS IN
FORECASTING HIGHS IN THE 50S NORTH HALF TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S
SOUTH HALF. SEEMS REASONABLE CONSIDERING THE WARM START TO THE DAY
ALREADY. THESE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
FOR TODAY.

TONIGHT...WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE CWA THIS
EVENING WITH LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. MID/HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ONCE AGAIN AS A SECOND AND
STRONGER COLD FRONT DROPS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. OPERATIONAL
MODELS WANT TO DEVELOP SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THAT
FRONT LATE TONIGHT BUT MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MN AND SOUTHERN WI.
FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE THE DRY LOOK FOR THE DVN CWA BUT LATER
SHIFTS CAN RE-EVALUATE. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE
LOWER 30S FAR NORTH TO NEAR 40 FAR SOUTH.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 355 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

MARCH MADNESS TO BEGIN THE PERIOD AS WE TRANSITION FROM WELL ABOVE
NORMAL HIGHS TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TUESDAY
NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH EXITING
SOUTHERN CWA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN A LARGE
TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ACROSS CWA... WHICH COULD BE ON THE ORDER OF
20+ DEGS DIFFERENCE FROM NORTH (30S) TO SOUTH (50S)... AND
REPRESENTS THE FIRST OF SEVERAL CHALLENGES. EXPECT A BAND OF
PRECIPITATION POST-FRONTAL EVENTUALLY TO SAG INTO THE NORTHERN
CWA BY LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON IN REGION OF MODERATE MID LEVEL
FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING IN RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF GREAT LAKES JET.
COLD ADVECTION ON STRENGTHENING NORTHERLY WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN TRANSITION TO RAIN/SNOW MIX AND POSSIBLY TO ALL SNOW BY MID-LATE
TUE PM. WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING AND GROUND WET
ANY SNOW ACCUMS PRIOR TO SUNSET LIKELY WILL BE HARD TO COME BY
EXCEPT ON GRASSY AND ELEVATED SURFACES WHERE MINOR ACCUMS POSSIBLE.

TUESDAY NIGHT...COUPLING OF UPPER JETS BETWEEN GREAT LAKES JET
SEGMENT AND EMERGING JET SEGMENT FROM SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL AID IN
STRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW TRANSLATING EASTWARD FROM KANSAS/MISSOURI
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. THIS LIKELY TO RESULT IN
UPTICK IN PRECIPITATION COVERAGE ACROSS CWA BETWEEN MID LEVEL
FRONTOGENETICAL BAND SAGGING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND DEVELOPING DEFORMATION
ZONE WHICH LOOKS TO SWIPE SOUTHEAST 1/3 TO POSSIBLY 1/2 OF CWA WITH
POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE QPF AMOUNTS FAR SOUTHEAST CWA (ROUGHLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF PRINCETON ILLINOIS TO FORT MADISON IOWA LINE) WHERE
SOME SUGGESTION OF POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI
STRATIFYING INTO THIS AREA RESULTING IN MODERATE AMOUNTS OF 0.25+ INCH.
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF HEADING NORTHEAST
TO AROUND 0.1 INCH OR LESS...WITH PRECIPITATION OVER NORTHEAST IOWA AND
FAR NORTHWEST ILLINOIS CONFINED TO MAINLY IN THE EVENING. COLD ADVECTION
ALONG WITH DYNAMICAL COOLING SHOULD RESULT IN RAIN OR RAIN/SNOW MIX
CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW. ACCUMS OF AN INCH OR TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA INTO FAR NORTHWEST ILLINOIS DURING THE EVENING
IN SAGGING FGEN BAND... WITH OTHER CORRIDOR OF HIGHER SNOW ACCUMS ON
ORDER OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 4 INCHES BEING OVER FAR SOUTHEAST CWA ATTENDANT
TO DEFORMATION ZONE. CENTRAL CWA BEING MOSTLY IN BETWEEN THE BRUNT
OF BOTH FORCING MECHANISMS PROBABLY AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW OR LESS. SNOW
AMOUNTS THOUGH QUITE CHALLENGING AS TEMPS LIKELY TO REMAIN AT OR ABOVE
FREEZING FOR MUCH OF THE SNOWFALL... AND ADDING IN WET GROUND PLUS
VERY WET NATURE OF SNOW (SLRS 10:11-1) AND COMPACTION ALL TO FACTOR INTO
AMOUNTS. NORTHERLY WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AT TIMES AT 10-20 MPH BUT WET NATURE
OF SNOW SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY BLOWING OR DRIFTING IN AREAS THAT SEE OVER AN
INCH OF SNOW. WHILE CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT THE AREA WILL SEE RAIN
TO SNOW DEVELOPING TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT... CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH
WITH QPF/SNOW AMOUNTS GIVEN THE ABOVE MENTIONED FACTORS WHILE ALSO ADDING
IN SOME VARIANCES STILL SEEING IN MODELS FROM RUN-TO-RUN WITH REGARDS TO
TRACK AND STRENGTH OF SYSTEM... ALL OF WHICH WILL HAVE IMPACT ON AMOUNTS.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST LOOKS MAINLY DRY.
ON WEDNESDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW
SHOWERS WITH INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH SHOWN BY SOME MODELS LINGERING
OVER CWA AND ASSOCIATED CONVERGENCE ACTING AS LIFTING MECHANISM.
WEDNESDAY LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST OF THE PERIOD WITH CLOUDS AND CONTINUED
COLD ADVECTION ON NORTHERLY WINDS KEEPING HIGHS BELOW NORMAL AND MAINLY IN
THE 30S. SPLIT FLOW PATTERN THEN REDEVELOPS LATE WEEK WITH NORTHERN STREAM
DOMINANT WITH TRACK INTO THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL THRUST AREA INTO THE
WARM SECTOR AND RESULT IN COUPLE OF NICE DAYS WITH TEMPS REBOUNDING NEAR
TO ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. POTENTIAL SYSTEM OVER THE WEEKEND
BUT MOST MEDIUM RANGE SOLUTIONS NOW SHUTTLE THIS TO OUR SOUTH KEEPING US
MAINLY ON THE DRY SIDE... BUT MODEL RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY LEAVES A LOT
TO BE DESIRED THUS CONFIDENCE IS LOW AND REASON FOR MAINTAINING VERY SMALL
PCPN CHANCES SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

VFR CONDS THROUGH THIS TAF CYCLE. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AROUND
10 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH BY THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...08
SYNOPSIS...HAASE
SHORT TERM...HAASE
LONG TERM...05
AVIATION...HAASE
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 5:21 AM CDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
521 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-111030-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
521 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ICE JAMS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AREA
TRIBUTARY RIVERS AND STREAMS...AS SIGNIFICANT SNOW MELT
CONTINUES. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 80.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
NIGHT...AND CHANGE TO SNOW AS COLDER AIR IS USHERED IN ON
NORTHERLY WINDS. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE MOSTLY ANTICIPATED
WITH A FEW INCHES OF WET SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 30...AND ALSO SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 34.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...ANY REPORTS OF ICE JAMS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Iowa, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.