River Flood Warning 1, NWS Quad Cities, IA

196 
WGUS43 KDVN 201824 CCA
FLWDVN


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1218 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

.RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN ON FROZEN GROUND AND SOME SNOW MELT WILL 
CAUSE FLOODING ALONG THE FOX RIVER AT WAYLAND.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

MOC045-210618-
/O.COR.KDVN.FL.W.0001.140220T2307Z-140223T0150Z/
/WYLM7.1.ER.140220T2307Z.140221T0600Z.140221T1350Z.NO/
1218 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
  THE FOX RIVER AT WAYLAND.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 11:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...ICE BREAKING UP DUE TO THE RAPIDLY RISING RIVER 
  MAY INTERFERE WITH THE RIVER GAGE CAUSING ERRATIC READINGS.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TODAY...AND CONTINUE RISING TO 
  15.7 FEET FRIDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  15 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ON THE SOUTH
  BANK.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4060 9188 4052 9194 4031 9149 4035 9147

$$

159 
WGUS83 KDVN 210153
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
753 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

.HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO OVER 2 INCHES ALONG WITH SNOW MELT
WILL CAUSE FLOODING ON THE FOX RIVER.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

MOC045-211753-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140223T0316Z/
/WYLM7.1.ER.140220T2205Z.140221T0600Z.140221T1516Z.NO/
753 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER AT WAYLAND.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 16.0 FEET FRIDAY MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  15 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ON THE SOUTH
  BANK.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4060 9188 4052 9194 4031 9149 4035 9147

$$

HAASE

549 
WGUS83 KDVN 210953
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
353 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

.HEAVY RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY HAS PUSHED SOME AREA
RIVERS INTO FLOOD.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC107-220153-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140223T1037Z/
/SIGI4.1.ER.140221T0656Z.140221T1200Z.140221T2237Z.NO/
353 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TODAY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH SKUNK RIVER NEAR SIGOURNEY.
* UNTIL TODAY.
* AT  3:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE RIVER IS APPROACHING A CREST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 16.4 FEET THIS MORNING. FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT  16 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND...SOME 
  COUNTY ROADS AND FARM HOUSES.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240 4129 9240

$$

MOC045-220152-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140223T0400Z/
/WYLM7.1.ER.140220T2205Z.140221T0845Z.140221T1600Z.NO/
353 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER AT WAYLAND.
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT  3:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET...AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE RIVER IS CRESTING.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  15 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ON THE SOUTH
  BANK.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4060 9188 4052 9194 4031 9149 4035 9147

$$

986 
WGUS83 KDVN 211610
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1010 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

.UPDATED RIVER INFORMATION FOR THE ENGLISH...SKUNK AND FOX RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

IAC103-183-220810-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140223T1227Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140221T1115Z.140222T0027Z.NO/
1010 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ENGLISH RIVER AT KALONA.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152 4152 9153

$$

IAC107-211640-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140223T1037Z/
/SIGI4.1.ER.140221T0656Z.140221T1145Z.140221T1507Z.NO/
1010 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH SKUNK RIVER NEAR SIGOURNEY.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.96 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  16 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  9:07 AM FRIDAY.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...FALL TO 13.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  16 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND...SOME 
  COUNTY ROADS AND FARM HOUSES.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240 4129 9240

$$

IAC057-087-111-220809-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140223T2042Z/
/AGSI4.2.ER.140221T0749Z.140221T1445Z.140222T0842Z.NO/
1010 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  19 FEET...WATER AFFECTS DRIVEWAYS AND GRAVEL ACCESS 
  ROADS IN AUGUSTA.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4095 9156 4091 9163 4082 9152 4066 9116 4074 9112

$$

MOC045-220809-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140223T0350Z/
/WYLM7.1.ER.140220T2205Z.140221T0845Z.140221T1550Z.NO/
1010 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER AT WAYLAND.
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT  9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  15 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ON THE SOUTH
  BANK.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4060 9188 4052 9194 4031 9149 4035 9147

$$

HAASE

572 
WGUS83 KDVN 211703
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1103 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

.UPDATED RIVER INFORMATION FOR THE FOX AND LA MOINE RIVERS.

RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE PAST PRECIPITATION AND FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES .

&&

MOC045-211733-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140223T0350Z/
/WYLM7.1.ER.140220T2205Z.140221T0845Z.140221T1547Z.NO/
1103 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FOX RIVER AT WAYLAND.
* AT 10:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  15 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  9:47 AM FRIDAY.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...FALL TO 9.8 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4060 9188 4052 9194 4031 9149 4035 9147

$$

ILC067-109-220902-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140223T1912Z/
/CLMI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140221T1245Z.140222T0712Z.NO/
1103 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT COLMAR.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET...AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  20 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT  20 FEET...WATER AFFECTS THE LOWEST PORTIONS OF LAMBERT
  ROAD AND AFFECTS LAMAR ROAD APPROXIMATELY 100 FEET NORTH OF THE 
  INTERSECTION WITH COUNTY ROAD 26.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4043 9093 4041 9102 4013 9072 4013 9066 4024 9074

$$

HAASE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1130 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 410 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

AGAIN AN ABBREVIATED QUICK HIT SHORT TERM AFD THIS MORNING WITH
EXTENDED COORDINATION AND STORM ANALYSIS. CURRENT ELEVATED COOL
SEASON MCS TYPE COMPLEX WILL MOVE OUT THIS MORNING WITH TEMPORARY
LULL OR JUST FESTERING RAIN/SHOWERS/SOME THUNDER. BUT NEXT BIG
CONVERGENT SURGE AND STRONG LLVL THTA-E ADVECTION ON 50-60 KT LLJ
WILL PUSH ANOTHER ROUND UP ACRS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF TO
2/3S OF THE CWA FROM MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS
ACTIVITY ALREADY FORMING IN EASTERN KS INTO SOUTHWEST MO ATTM.
ANOTHER HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS SECOND
ROUNDS WARRANTS AN EXPANSION OF THE FLOOD WATCH WEST AND SOUTHWEST
A TIER OF COUNTIES. MAY BE SOME NUISANCE FLOODING WITH ALREADY
SOAKED/FULL DRAINAGE DITCHES AND CREEKS FROM THIS MORNING/S
RAINFALL. MID LEVEL INSTABILITY/MUCAPE PLUME OF 200-600+ J/KG
H85-H5 MB MUCAPES AND STRENGTHENING SHEAR IN THAT LAYER MAY PRODUCE
MORE DISCRETE CELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGER HAIL THAN PEA SIZE
INTO THE SOUTHERN CWA LATER THIS MORNING AND MIDDAY. MAY HAVE TO
WATCH FOR SEVERE SIZE HAIL OF AN INCH.

00Z RUN MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT OF BOMBING CYCLONE ROLLING UP
ALONG AND WEST OF THE MS RVR IN EASTERN IA...TO CENTRAL WI BY THIS
EVENING POSSIBLY DEEPENING TO VERY INTENSE LOW PRESSURE VALUES OF
975 MB OR EVEN LOWER ACRS WI INTO THE U.P. OF MI. THIS PATH AND
CURRENT TIMING OF IN-WRAPPING COLD CONVEYOR SUGGESTS RAIN SWITCH
OVER TO SNOW NOT TO OCCUR ACRS THE FAR WEST TIL AFTER 3 PM CST AND
POSSIBLY LATER. RAIN SNOW MIX AND TO ALL SNOW NOT TO HIT THE MS
RVR VALLEY TIL PROBABLY AFTER 5 PM CST. THIS DELAY IN SWITCH
OVER...SOME ADJUSTMENT OF HEAVY DEF ZONE SNOWS FURTHER WEST AND
NORTH SUGGEST THE PREVIOUS WARNING AREAS TO GET ONLY 1-3 INCHES OF
SNOW...4 INCHES AT THE MOST NEAR INDEPENDENCE. IT COULD BE LESS
THAN THIS OF ONLY 1-2 WIND BLOWN INCHES HARD TO ACCURATELY
MEASURE. THUS HAVE ADJUSTED THE WINTER STORM WARNING TO AN
ADVISORY WITH THE REDUCED SNOW AMOUNTS. INTENSE CYCLONIC GRADIENT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING...TROP FOLD DOWN
UNDER H6 MB POSSIBLE ALL SUGGEST SFC WINDS OF 25-35 MPH SUSTAINED
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 TO 55 MPH. SO THERE COULD STILL BE SOME NEAR
WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW SQUALLS....SUPPORTING THE
NEED OF A WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR COMBO OF VERY STRONG WINDS AND
REDUCED VSBYS. A SCENARIO WHICH MAY EVEN SUGGEST GRAVITY WAVE HIGH
GUST ENHANCEMENT THIS EVENING. HAVE EXPENDED THE HIGH END WIND
ADVISORY ACRS THE REST OF THE CWA NOT COVERED BY THE WINTER
HEADLINES. A VERY INTERESTING BUT CHALLENGING SYSTEM TO SAY THE
LEAST. WRAP AROUND LIGHTER SNOW SHOWERS FROM MID EVENING TO PAST
MIDNIGHT NORTH OF HWY 30.    ..12..

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 410 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE EXTENDED.

FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT...STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN TO AN
IMPRESSIVE 972MB AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST OUT OF MIDWEST AND INTO THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. AFTER A VERY WINDY THURSDAY PM/FRIDAY
AM...WEST WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY DIMINISH TO AROUND 15 MPH DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH CLEARING SKIES. RAISED HIGH TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WITH
THE ANTICIPATION OF CLOUDS CLEARING FROM SW TO NE BY LATE MORNING.
IF CLOUDS LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON THEN TEMPS MAY BE TOO HIGH. ALSO
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINS MAY LOWER THE DIURNAL
TEMP RANGE FOR LATER SHIFTS TO CONSIDER. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 20 TO THE MIDDLE 40S IN
THE FAR SOUTH WHERE CLOUDS CLEAR THE FASTEST. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL
DROP SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE PLAINS WHICH WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN OR SNOW TO THE FAR SOUTH PORTIONS OF CWA. HOWEVER...MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY ON THE LATEST MODEL RUNS NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE AND LATER
SHIFTS MAY BE ABLE TO REMOVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FROM FORECAST.

SATURDAY-MONDAY NIGHT...UPPER PATTERN CHANGE TO BRING A RETURN TO BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION.  500 MB RIDGE CURRENTLY JUST OFF
THE WEST COAST TO RE-AMPLIFY OVER THE NORTHWEST CONUS REACHING AS
FAR NORTH AS ALASKA PROVIDING MERIDIONAL FLOW INTO THE UPPER PLAINS
WITH LARGE TROUGH OVER EASTERN CANADA. COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL DROP
INTO THE CONUS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH 85H TEMPS IN THE -4 TO
-10C RANGE THROUGH TUESDAY OVER THE CWA. THIS TRANSLATES TO HIGHS
MAINLY IN THE 20S AND LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS THROUGH
TUESDAY. UNFORTUNATELY WINTER IS NOT OVER YET. ANOTHER CLIPPER TYPE
SYSTEM TO DROP SOUTH OUT OF CANADA ON MONDAY BRINGING CHANCES OF
LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO BE STRONGER THAN
FRIDAY NIGHT/S SYSTEM WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMS POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA. HOWEVER...THERE IS SIGNIFICANT TIMING AND STRENGTH ISSUES
IN THE MODELS TO REALLY GET INTO MUCH DETAIL THIS FAR OUT IN THE
FORECAST ATTIM.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH 1030 MB SURFACE
HIGH TO BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH A DRY COLD FRONT PASSAGE
ACROSS THE CWA WEDNESDAY. STRONG CAA IN THE LOW LEVELS TO BRING EVEN
COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION. 85H TEMPS WILL DROP INTO THE -16 TO -24C
RANGE MAKING FOR THE COLDEST DAYS IN THE EXTENDED. HIGHS TO ONLY
REACH THE LOWER TEENS NORTH TO THE MIDDLE 20S SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NEAR KANSAS CITY THIS MORNING
WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AND INTENSIFY AS IT PASSES THROUGH EASTERN IOWA
THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST OF THE LOW...WIDESPREAD FOG...LOW
CLOUDS...AND AREAS OF RAIN AND DRIZZLE WERE RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD
LIFR AND EVEN VLIFR CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF IOWA AND NORTHWEST
ILLINOIS. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP POOR CONDITIONS OVER THE
TERMINALS UNTIL THE STORM CENTER PASSES LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...ESPECIALLY AT
CID...DBQ AND MLI THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE LOW LIFTS INTO WI...THE
COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH EASTERN IOWA WITH DEVELOPING VERY STRONG
WEST WINDS THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. SURFACE WIND GUSTS
UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL IMPACT
PRIMARILY DBQ...MLI AND CID. AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...RAIN
SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO SNOW WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE AT
CID AND DBQ WITH CONTINUED IFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING WITH
POSSIBLE BLOWING SNOW. WHILE WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG...CIGS AND
VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE TO MVFR AND THEN VFR OVERNIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY FOR
     CEDAR-CLINTON-DES MOINES-HENRY IA-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-
     KEOKUK-LEE-LOUISA-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-VAN BUREN-WASHINGTON.

     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR DES MOINES-HENRY
     IA-JEFFERSON-LEE-LOUISA-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-VAN BUREN.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST
     FRIDAY FOR BENTON-BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-IOWA-JONES-LINN.

IL...WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY FOR
     BUREAU-CARROLL-HANCOCK-HENDERSON-HENRY IL-JO DAVIESS-
     MCDONOUGH-MERCER-PUTNAM-ROCK ISLAND-STEPHENSON-WARREN-
     WHITESIDE.

     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR BUREAU-HANCOCK-
     HENDERSON-HENRY IL-MCDONOUGH-MERCER-PUTNAM-ROCK ISLAND-
     WARREN-WHITESIDE.

MO...WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY FOR
     CLARK-SCOTLAND.

     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR CLARK-SCOTLAND.

&&

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM...GROSS
AVIATION...SHEETS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
515 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-211100-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-
CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-
HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-
JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-
MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-
WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
515 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN INTENSE WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. ROUNDS OF
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THE SEASONABLY HIGH AMOUNTS OF
RAINFALL MAY CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THAT THE NEXT ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING OUT OF MISSOURI MAY PRODUCE HAIL UP TO 1 INCH THIS MORNING
THROUGH MIDDAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. TEMPORARY LULLS IN
THE RAIN MAY ALLOW AREAS OF DENSE FOG TO FORM AT TIMES THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON BEFORE THE WINDS PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO
SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE NOW
EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM IOWA CITY TO
DUBUQUE.

VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH ARE LIKELY...
WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE OVER THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA.

WITH THE LOWER SNOW AMOUNTS NOW EXPECTED...THE WINTER STORM WARNING
HAS BEEN SWITCHED OVER TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHWEST
PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
COMBINATION OF THE SNOWFALL AND VERY STRONG WINDS...WILL RESULT IN
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. DESPITE THE LOWER SNOW AMOUNTS NOW
EXPECTED...THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH THE SNOW WILL STILL RESULT
IN SOME PERIODS OF NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER PRODUCT FOR MORE COMPLETE AND
UPDATED INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW ON MONDAY OVER THE
OUTLOOK AREA. HOWEVER...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF SYSTEM AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THAT SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ALONG
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 TODAY. REPORTS OF SNOWFALL AMOUNTS GREATER
THAN 1 INCH THIS EVENING WILL BE APPRECIATED.

12/GROSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
845 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     FLOOD            W MEMPHIS               40.46N 92.17W
02/20/2014                   SCOTLAND           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAINS FOR ABOUT 60 TO 90 MINUTES. FLOWING WATER 4
            TO 6 INCHES DEEP AND 150 TO 200 FEET WIDE IS AFFECTING
            ABOUT 10 STREETS IN MEMPHIS.

0810 AM     FLOOD            MEMPHIS                 40.46N 92.17W
02/20/2014                   SCOTLAND           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAINS FOR PAST 25 MINUTES OR SO. SPOTTER HAS ABOUT
            4 INCHES OF FLOWING WATER PAST HIS MOBILE HOME. AREA IS
            RELATIVELY FLAT.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NW MONMOUTH           40.95N 90.70W
02/20/2014  M1.03 INCH       WARREN             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LA HARPE                40.58N 90.97W
02/20/2014  M0.93 INCH       HANCOCK            IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0750 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GLADSTONE               40.86N 90.96W
02/20/2014  M1.11 INCH       HENDERSON          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0750 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N KEOSAUQUA           40.75N 91.96W
02/20/2014  M0.86 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL. THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE AREA NOW.

0745 AM     HEAVY RAIN       FAIRFIELD               41.01N 91.97W
02/20/2014  M0.68 INCH       JEFFERSON          IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0740 AM     HEAVY RAIN       AUGUSTA                 40.23N 90.95W
02/20/2014  M0.68 INCH       HANCOCK            IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0721 AM     FLOOD            8 S MEMPHIS             40.35N 92.17W
02/20/2014                   SCOTLAND           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROADS IN THE VICINITY OF HIGHWAY 15 AND ROUTE
            W.

0720 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 S DEWITT              41.76N 90.55W
02/20/2014  M0.57 INCH       SCOTT              IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E BURLINGTON REGIONAL 40.78N 91.11W
02/20/2014  M1.08 INCH       DES MOINES         IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N NEW WINDSOR         41.23N 90.45W
02/20/2014  M0.69 INCH       MERCER             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL SO FAR.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ROCK FALLS              41.77N 89.69W
02/20/2014  M0.58 INCH       WHITESIDE          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MUSCATINE               41.42N 91.07W
02/20/2014  M0.76 INCH       MUSCATINE          IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MACOMB                  40.47N 90.68W
02/20/2014  M0.85 INCH       MCDONOUGH          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       KEWANEE                 41.24N 89.93W
02/20/2014  M1.29 INCH       HENRY              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ELDRIDGE                41.64N 90.57W
02/20/2014  M0.65 INCH       SCOTT              IA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PRINCETON               41.38N 89.47W
02/20/2014  M0.95 INCH       BUREAU             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WASHINGTON              41.30N 91.69W
02/20/2014  M0.76 INCH       WASHINGTON         IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NW BUSHNELL             40.56N 90.51W
02/20/2014  M1.04 INCH       MCDONOUGH          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL SO FAR.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ALEDO                   41.20N 90.75W
02/20/2014  M1.05 INCH       MERCER             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DONNELLSON              40.64N 91.56W
02/20/2014  M1.27 INCH       LEE                IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0655 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SALEM                   40.85N 91.62W
02/20/2014  M1.05 INCH       HENRY              IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 ENE CHARLIE HEATH MEM 40.60N 91.84W
02/20/2014  M1.00 INCH       CLARK              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL AMOUNT SO FAR.

0605 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MEMPHIS                 40.46N 92.17W
02/20/2014  M1.84 INCH       SCOTLAND           MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR 41.62N 90.58W
02/20/2014  M0.75 INCH       SCOTT              IA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            24 HOUR TOTAL. NWS OFFICE COOP STATION.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MOLINE QUAD-CITY AIRPOR 41.45N 90.50W
02/20/2014  M0.79 INCH       ROCK ISLAND        IL   ASOS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SW MOLINE QUAD-CITY A 41.41N 90.55W
02/20/2014  M0.82 INCH       ROCK ISLAND        IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            24 HOUR TOTAL. COOP STATION.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR 41.62N 90.58W
02/20/2014  M0.66 INCH       SCOTT              IA   ASOS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LE CLAIRE               41.60N 90.36W
02/20/2014  M0.77 INCH       SCOTT              IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ILLINOIS CITY           41.57N 90.40W
02/20/2014  M0.69 INCH       ROCK ISLAND        IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NEW BOSTON              41.17N 91.00W
02/20/2014  M0.88 INCH       MERCER             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       KEOKUK                  40.41N 91.40W
02/20/2014  M0.71 INCH       LEE                IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BURLINGTON REGIONAL AIR 40.78N 91.13W
02/20/2014  M1.00 INCH       DES MOINES         IA   ASOS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0500 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N MUSCATINE           41.45N 91.07W
02/20/2014  M0.59 INCH       MUSCATINE          IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
852 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SW ALEXIS             41.05N 90.58W
02/20/2014  M1.03 INCH       WARREN             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BRIGHTON                41.17N 91.82W
02/20/2014  M0.72 INCH       WASHINGTON         IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL. PONDING OF WATER AS MUCH AS 4 TO 5 INCHES
            DEEP IN PLACES. LIGHT FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY TO A MILE.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
855 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W BETTENDORF          41.56N 90.49W
02/20/2014  M0.78 INCH       SCOTT              IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL SO FAR.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
927 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

ILZ009-016>018-201630-
HENRY IL-PUTNAM IL-WHITESIDE IL-BUREAU IL-
927 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH WILL MOVE THROUGH
EASTERN HENRY...BUREAU...AND PUTNAM COUNTIES BY 1030 AM.  BRIEF
HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLY SOME PEA SIZE HAIL WILL OCCUR WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS.  HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN POORLY
DRAINED AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 8916 4110 8935 4111 8936 4114 8934
      4115 8963 4123 8964 4123 8986 4114 8987
      4115 9009 4167 8973 4166 8963 4159 8962
      4158 8916

DLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
953 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 AM     HAIL             DONNELLSON              40.64N 91.56W
02/20/2014  E0.25 INCH       LEE                IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            PEA SIZED AND SMALLER. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1201 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR 41.62N 90.58W
02/20/2014  M0.97 INCH       SCOTT              IA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            UPDATE. 24 HOUR TOTAL. NWS OFFICE COOP STATION.

1200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SW MOLINE QUAD-CITY A 41.41N 90.55W
02/20/2014  M1.13 INCH       ROCK ISLAND        IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            UPDATE. 24 HOUR TOTAL. COOP STATION.

&&