Alert archive / Illinois / Flood Watches in 2014

Flood Watch 2, NWS Quad Cities, IA

March 14, 2014Henry County, Rock Island County, Whiteside County, Illinois

NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this flood watch at Mar 14, 2014, 7:14 PM CDT for Henry County, Rock Island County, Whiteside County, Illinois. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 14, 2014, 7:14 PM CDT (00:14 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2014, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Quad Cities, IA
Flood severity
None

Counties Henry County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Whiteside County, IL

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 27 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2014-03-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 30 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2014-03-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
30 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1095 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

460 
WGUS63 KDVN 150014
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
714 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...ICE JAM FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING ALONG 
THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.

ILZ015-016-150815-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FA.A.0002.140315T0014Z-140316T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
714 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING 
  THE FOLLOWING AREAS...HENRY IL AND ROCK ISLAND. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* AN ICE JAM HAD FORMED AT THE 27TH STREET BRIDGE IN MOLINE AND
  WAS CAUSING FLOODING FROM THE 27TH STREET BRIDGE UPSTREAM
  THROUGH THE ROUTE 84 BRIDGE. ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL ALSO BE
  POSSIBLE FURTHER UPSTREAM THROUGH JOSLIN. ALSO IF THE JAM BREAKS
  FREE AND MOVES DOWN STREAM FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE DOWN STREAM
  FROM THE 27TH STREET BRIDGE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
JAMS. MONITOR THE RIVER LEVELS IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO LEAVE
THE AREA IF FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

$$
20 follow-up statements
808 
WGUS63 KDVN 150406
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1106 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...ICE JAM FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING ALONG THE
LOWER ROCK RIVER.

ILZ015-016-151215-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140316T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
1106 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL AND ROCK ISLAND. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS
  INDICATE THAT THE ICE JAM NEAR THE 27TH ST BRIDGE IN MOLINE HAS
  BROKEN UP SOME ALLOWING WATER TO FLOW THROUGH. THIS HAS CAUSED
  FLOOD WATERS TO RECEDE UPSTREAM. EVEN THOUGH THIS ICE JAM WAS
  BREAKING UP THE RIVER CHANNEL REMAINS FULL OF ICE AND THIS JAM
  COULD REFORM OR OTHER ICE JAMS COULD REDEVELOP AT ANY TIME. IF
  MORE ICE JAMS OCCUR THEY WILL CAUSE RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER
  LEVELS AND COULD RESULT IN FLOODING WITH LITTLE ADVANCED NOTICE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
JAMS. MONITOR THE RIVER LEVELS IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO
LEAVE THE AREA IF FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

$$
DLF
942 
WGUS63 KDVN 150407 CCA
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1107 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING ALONG THE
LOWER ROCK RIVER.

ILZ015-016-151230-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140316T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
1107 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL AND ROCK ISLAND. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS
  INDICATE THAT THE ICE JAM NEAR THE 27TH ST BRIDGE IN MOLINE HAS
  BROKEN UP SOME ALLOWING WATER TO FLOW THROUGH. THIS HAS CAUSED
  FLOOD WATERS TO RECEDE UPSTREAM. EVEN THOUGH THIS ICE JAM WAS
  BREAKING UP THE RIVER CHANNEL REMAINS FULL OF ICE AND THIS JAM
  COULD REFORM OR OTHER ICE JAMS COULD REDEVELOP AT ANY TIME. IF
  MORE ICE JAMS OCCUR THEY WILL CAUSE RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER
  LEVELS AND COULD RESULT IN FLOODING WITH LITTLE ADVANCED NOTICE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
JAMS. MONITOR THE RIVER LEVELS IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO
LEAVE THE AREA IF FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

$$
DLF
928 
WGUS63 KDVN 150900
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
400 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING ALONG THE
LOWER ROCK RIVER.

ILZ015-016-151700-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140316T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
400 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL AND ROCK ISLAND. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS 
  INDICATE THAT THE ICE JAM NEAR THE 27TH ST BRIDGE IN MOLINE 
  HAS BROKEN UP SOME ALLOWING WATER TO FLOW THROUGH. THIS HAS 
  CAUSED FLOOD WATERS TO RECEDE UPSTREAM. EVEN THOUGH THIS ICE 
  JAM WAS BREAKING UP THE RIVER CHANNEL REMAINS FULL OF ICE AND 
  THIS JAM COULD REFORM OR OTHER ICE JAMS COULD REDEVELOP AT ANY 
  TIME. IF MORE ICE JAMS OCCUR THEY WILL CAUSE RAPID CHANGES IN 
  RIVER LEVELS AND COULD RESULT IN FLOODING WITH LITTLE ADVANCED 
  NOTICE. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
JAMS. MONITOR THE RIVER LEVELS IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO
LEAVE THE AREA IF FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

$$


ERVIN
845 
WGUS63 KDVN 151633
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1133 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING ALONG THE
LOWER ROCK RIVER.

ILZ015-016-160000-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140316T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
1133 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL AND ROCK ISLAND. 

* UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING

* THE LATEST INFORMATION INDICATES THAT THE ICE JAM NEAR THE 27TH
  STREET BRIDGE IN MOLINE HAS BROKEN UP AND RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE
  TO RECEDE. CONSIDERABLE ICE WAS REPORTED IN THE CHANNEL BUT IT
  WAS MOVING FREELY.

* THE THREAT REMAINS HIGH FOR ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS TO FORM ANYWHERE
  ALONG THE LOWER ROCK RIVER. IF A NEW ICE JAM DOES FORM...RAPID
  AND VERY LOCALIZED CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
  LITTLE ADVANCED NOTICE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
JAMS. MONITOR THE RIVER LEVELS IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO
LEAVE THE AREA IF FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

$$
648 
WGUS63 KDVN 152031
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
331 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING ALONG THE
LOWER ROCK RIVER.

ILZ015-016-160430-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140317T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
331 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL AND ROCK ISLAND. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS THAT THE ROCK RIVER IS OPEN WATER
  FROM THE HIGHWAY 84 BRIDGE TO VANDRUFFS ISLAND. FROM THE HIGHWAY
  84 BRIDGE TO INTERSTATE 80...SOLID SHEET ICE REMAINS. FROM
  INTERSTATE 80 TO HIGHWAY 92 NEAR JOSLIN...THE RIVER IS OPEN
  WATER. FROM HIGHWAY 92 TO COMO...SOLID SHEET ICE REMAINS IN THE
  RIVER. THIS REPORT IS BASED ON WHAT CAN BE SEEN FROM PAVED
  ROADS.

* THE THREAT REMAINS HIGH FOR ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS TO FORM 
  ANYWHERE ALONG THE LOWER ROCK RIVER. IF A NEW ICE JAM DOES 
  FORM...RAPID AND VERY LOCALIZED CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS CAN BE 
  EXPECTED WITH LITTLE ADVANCED NOTICE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
JAMS. MONITOR THE RIVER LEVELS IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO
LEAVE THE AREA IF FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

$$
195 
WGUS63 KDVN 160125
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
825 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE ROCK RIVER AS A MAJOR ICE
JAM IS DEVELOPING ON THE ROCK RIVER JUST UPSTREAM FROM COMO...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING ALONG THE LOWER
ROCK RIVER.

ILZ009-160930-
/O.EXA.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140317T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS
825 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* REPORTS FROM THE LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGER AND SPOTTERS SHOW A
  MAJOR ICE JAM IS CONTINUING TO INCREASE IN SIZE JUST UPSTREAM BY
  ROUGHLY 200 YARDS OF THE COMO GAUGE AND IS SLOWLY MOVING
  DOWNSTREAM. THE RISK THAT SIGNIFICANT TO MAJOR FLOODING WILL
  CONTINUE TO FURTHER INCREASE IF THE AMOUNT OF ICE WITH THIS ICE
  JAM CONTINUES TO BUILD WITHOUT BREAKING APART. THE LATEST
  INDICATIONS SUGGEST MAJOR RIVER FLOODING IS BECOMING LIKELY AS
  THIS ICE JAM MOVES DOWNSTREAM OVER AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

* THE THREAT REMAINS HIGH FOR ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS TO FORM ANYWHERE
  ALONG THE LOWER ROCK RIVER. IF A NEW ICE JAM DOES FORM...RAPID
  AND VERY LOCALIZED CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
  LITTLE ADVANCED NOTICE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
JAMS. MONITOR THE RIVER LEVELS IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO
LEAVE THE AREA IF FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

$$

ILZ015-016-160930-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140317T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
825 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL AND ROCK ISLAND. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS THAT THE ROCK RIVER IS OPEN WATER 
  FROM THE HIGHWAY 84 BRIDGE TO VANDRUFFS ISLAND. FROM THE 
  HIGHWAY 84 BRIDGE TO INTERSTATE 80...SOLID SHEET ICE REMAINS. 
  FROM INTERSTATE 80 TO HIGHWAY 92 NEAR JOSLIN...THE RIVER IS 
  OPEN WATER. FROM HIGHWAY 92 TO COMO...SOLID SHEET ICE REMAINS 
  IN THE RIVER. THIS REPORT IS BASED ON WHAT CAN BE SEEN FROM 
  PAVED ROADS. 

* THE THREAT REMAINS HIGH FOR ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS TO FORM 
  ANYWHERE ALONG THE LOWER ROCK RIVER. IF A NEW ICE JAM DOES 
  FORM...RAPID AND VERY LOCALIZED CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS CAN BE 
  EXPECTED WITH LITTLE ADVANCED NOTICE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
JAMS. MONITOR THE RIVER LEVELS IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO
LEAVE THE AREA IF FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

$$

NICHOLS
641 
WGUS63 KDVN 160822
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
322 AM CDT SUN MAR 16 2014

...ICE JAM FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE ROCK RIVER AS A LARGE ICE JAM
IS DEVELOPING ON THE ROCK RIVER NEAR COMO...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING ALONG THE LOWER
ROCK RIVER. UNTIL THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THERE IS A HIGH RISK
FOR ICE JAMS ON THE ROCK RIVER. 

ILZ009-015-016-161630-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140317T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
322 AM CDT SUN MAR 16 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS THAT THE ROCK RIVER IS OPEN WATER
  FROM THE HIGHWAY 84 BRIDGE TO VANDRUFFS ISLAND. FROM THE HIGHWAY
  84 BRIDGE TO INTERSTATE 80...SOLID SHEET ICE REMAINS. FROM
  INTERSTATE 80 TO HIGHWAY 92 NEAR JOSLIN...THE RIVER IS OPEN
  WATER. FROM HIGHWAY 92 TO COMO...SOLID SHEET ICE REMAINS IN THE
  RIVER. THIS REPORT IS BASED ON WHAT CAN BE SEEN FROM PAVED
  ROADS. 

  NEAR COMO...A LARGE ICE JAM IS REPORTED...RESULTING RIVER
  LEVELS ABOVE 12 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD STAGE. THIS ICE JAM MAY
  WORSEN FLOODING NEAR COMO THROUGH STERLING...AND IF IT BREAKS UP
  OR MOVES...MAY RESULT IN RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS BOTH UP
  AND DOWN STREAM. 

* THE THREAT REMAINS HIGH FOR ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS TO FORM 
  ANYWHERE ALONG THE LOWER ROCK RIVER. IF A NEW ICE JAM DOES 
  FORM...RAPID AND VERY LOCALIZED CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS CAN BE 
  EXPECTED WITH LITTLE ADVANCED NOTICE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE
JAMS. MONITOR THE RIVER LEVELS IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO
LEAVE THE AREA IF FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

$$
523 
WGUS63 KDVN 161547
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1047 AM CDT SUN MAR 16 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING ALONG THE LOWER
ROCK RIVER. A LARGE ICE JAM HAS FORMED ON THE ROCK RIVER NEAR
COMO.

UNTIL THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR ICE
JAMS ON THE ROCK RIVER. THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING WILL
INCREASE THIS WEEK AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 40S AND 50S.

ILZ009-015-016-170000-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140318T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
1047 AM CDT SUN MAR 16 2014

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS THAT THE ROCK RIVER IS 85 PERCENT
  OPEN WATER AND 15 PERCENT ICE...ON AVERAGE...FROM THE HIGHWAY 92
  BRIDGE NEAR JOSLIN TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIVER. UPSTREAM OF THE
  HIGHWAY 92 BRIDGE SOLID SHEET ICE REMAINS IN THE RIVER. THIS
  REPORT IS BASED ON WHAT CAN BE SEEN FROM PAVED ROADS.

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH AND WILL INCREASE EVEN
  MORE STARTING TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 40S AND 50S.
  THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY NEED TO BE
  EXTENDED WELL BEYOND MONDAY EVENING.

NEAR COMO...A LARGE ICE JAM IS REPORTED...RESULTING RIVER LEVELS
ABOVE 12 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD STAGE. THIS ICE JAM MAY WORSEN
FLOODING NEAR COMO THROUGH STERLING...AND IF IT BREAKS UP OR
MOVES...MAY RESULT IN RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS BOTH UP AND
DOWN STREAM.

$$
766 
WGUS63 KDVN 162037
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
337 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING ALONG THE LOWER
ROCK RIVER. UNTIL THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THERE IS A HIGH
RISK FOR ICE JAMS ON THE ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING WILL INCREASE THIS WEEK AS
TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 40S AND 50S.

A LARGE ICE JAM IS ON THE ROCK RIVER NEAR COMO. ADDITIONAL SMALLER
JAMS ARE STARTING TO FORM SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 88 ALONG MOLINE ROAD
AT THE BOAT LANDING.


ILZ009-015-016-170445-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140318T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
337 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS THAT THE ROCK RIVER IS 85 PERCENT 
  OPEN WATER AND 15 PERCENT ICE...ON AVERAGE...FROM THE HIGHWAY 
  92 BRIDGE NEAR JOSLIN TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIVER. UPSTREAM OF 
  THE HIGHWAY 92 BRIDGE SOLID SHEET ICE REMAINS IN THE RIVER. 
  THIS REPORT IS BASED ON WHAT CAN BE SEEN FROM PAVED ROADS. 

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH AND WILL INCREASE EVEN 
  MORE STARTING TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 40S AND 
  50S. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY NEED 
  TO BE EXTENDED WELL BEYOND MONDAY EVENING. 

NEAR COMO...A LARGE ICE JAM IS REPORTED ALONG THE HIGHWAY 30
BRIDGE...RESULTING RIVER LEVELS ABOVE 12 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD
STAGE. THIS ICE JAM HAS MOVED SOUTH SINCE SATURDAY AND FLOODING MAY
WORSEN NEAR COMO IF IT BREAKS UP OR MOVES FURTHER DOWNSTREAM. IF
THE ICE JAM BREAKS UP...RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS WILL OCCUR BOTH
UP AND DOWN STREAM.

TWO ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS HAVE FORMED SOUTH OF THE MAIN ICE JAM. THE
FIRST ICE JAM IS LOCATED ALONG MOLINE ROAD...SOUTH OF MELLOTS
ROAD AT THE BOAT LANDING. THE OTHER ICE JAM IS ONE QUARTER MILE
UPSTREAM OF THE MOLINE ROAD ICE JAM AT THE NEXT BEND IN THE RIVER.

$$
021 
WGUS63 KDVN 170128
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
828 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING ALONG THE LOWER
ROCK RIVER. UNTIL THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THERE IS A HIGH RISK
FOR ICE JAMS ON THE ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING MAY INCREASE THIS WEEK AS
TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 40S AND 50S.

THE LARGE ICE JAM ON THE ROCK RIVER NEAR COMO HAS AT LEAST PARTIALLY
BROKEN UP THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SMALLER JAMS ARE STARTING TO
FORM SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 88 ALONG MOLINE ROAD AT THE BOAT LANDING.

ILZ009-015-016-170930-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140318T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
828 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS THAT THE ROCK RIVER IS 85 PERCENT 
  OPEN WATER AND 15 PERCENT ICE...ON AVERAGE...FROM THE HIGHWAY 
  92 BRIDGE NEAR JOSLIN TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIVER. UPSTREAM OF 
  THE HIGHWAY 92 BRIDGE SOLID SHEET ICE REMAINS IN THE RIVER. 
  THIS REPORT IS BASED ON WHAT CAN BE SEEN FROM PAVED ROADS. 

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH AND MAY INCREASE EVEN
  MORE STARTING TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 40S AND 50S.
  THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY NEED TO BE
  EXTENDED WELL BEYOND MONDAY EVENING.

NEAR COMO...THE LARGE ICE JAM DOWNSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY 30 BRIDGE HAS
PARTIALLY BROKEN THIS AFTERNOON...RESULTING RIVER LEVELS ABOVE 13 FEET
EARLIER TODAY FEET HAVE DROPPED TO AROUND 12.5 FT...STILL IN MAJOR FLOOD
STAGE. THIS ICE JAM HAS MOVED SOUTH SINCE SATURDAY AND FLOODING MAY
WORSEN AS IT MOVES FURTHER DOWNSTREAM. IF THE ICE JAM COMPLETELY BREAKS
UP...RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS WILL OCCUR BOTH UP AND DOWN STREAM.

TWO ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS HAVE FORMED DOWNSTREAM AND SOUTHWEST OF THE
MAIN ICE JAM. THE FIRST ICE JAM IS LOCATED ALONG MOLINE ROAD...SOUTH
OF MELLOTS ROAD AT THE BOAT LANDING. THE OTHER ICE JAM IS ONE QUARTER
MILE UPSTREAM OF THE MOLINE ROAD ICE JAM AT THE NEXT BEND IN THE
RIVER.

$$

NICHOLS
112 
WGUS63 KDVN 170818
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
318 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ALONG THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.
UNTIL THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR ICE JAMS
ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING MAY INCREASE THIS WEEK AS
TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 40S AND 50S AND FURTHER EXTENSIONS OF
THIS FLASH FLOOD WATCH ARE POSSIBLE.

THE LARGE ICE JAM ON THE ROCK RIVER NEAR COMO HAS AT LEAST
PARTIALLY BROKEN UP SUNDAY. HOWEVER...NEW RISES NEAR COMO SUGGEST
THAT ICE MAY BE JAMMING AGAIN UPSTREAM OF JOSLIN. ICE JAMS CAN
CREATE RAPIDLY CHANGING WATER LEVELS ON THE RIVER.

ILZ009-015-016-171630-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140318T1200Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
318 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

* NEAR COMO...THE LARGE ICE JAM DOWNSTREAM OF COMO HAS BROKEN UP
  SUNDAY. HOWEVER...LEVELS ARE RISING AGAIN AS OF 2 AM AT COMO
  SUGGESTING THAT A NEW ICE JAM MAY BE FORMING DOWNSTREAM OF COMO. 

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH AND MAY INCREASE EVEN 
  MORE STARTING TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 40S AND 
  50S. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY NEED 
  TO BE EXTENDED WELL BEYOND TONIGHT. 



$$

ERVIN
473 
WGUS63 KDVN 171614
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1114 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.COLD TEMPERATURES THE PAST TWO NIGHTS HAVE RESULTED IN SOME
STABILIZATION OF THE ICE ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER. HOWEVER...UNTIL
THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THE RISK OF ICE JAM FLOODING REMAINS
HIGH ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
LATER THIS WEEK AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 40S AND 50S. FURTHER
EXTENSIONS OF THIS FLOOD WATCH ARE POSSIBLE.

THE LARGE ICE JAM ON THE ROCK RIVER NEAR COMO PARTIALLY BROKE UP
SUNDAY. HOWEVER...THE RIVER HAS ONLY FALLEN SLIGHTLY AT COMO
SINCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON SUGGESTING A NEW ICE JAM DOWNSTREAM OF COMO.
NEW RISES NEAR JOSLIN SUGGEST THAT ICE MAY BE JAMMING AGAIN NEAR
JOSLIN. ICE JAMS CAN CREATE VERY RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS ON
THE RIVER.

ILZ009-015-016-180015-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140318T1200Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
1114 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

* NEAR COMO...THE LARGE ICE JAM DOWNSTREAM OF COMO PARTIALLY BROKE
  UP SUNDAY. HOWEVER...LEVELS HAVE ONLY FALLEN SLIGHTLY SUGGESTING
  THAT A NEW ICE JAM MAY BE FORMING DOWNSTREAM OF COMO.

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH AND MAY INCREASE EVEN 
  MORE STARTING TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 40S AND 
  50S. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY NEED 
  TO BE EXTENDED WELL BEYOND TONIGHT. 

* ICE JAMS CAN RESULT IN RAPID INCREASES AND DECREASES IN RIVER
  LEVELS NEAR THE ICE JAM WITH LITTLE ADVANCE NOTICE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.  MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND TAKE ACTION IF A
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED OR FLOODING DEVELOPS.

&&

$$
176 
WGUS63 KDVN 172024
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
324 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.COLD TEMPERATURES THE PAST TWO NIGHTS HAVE RESULTED IN SOME
STABILIZATION OF THE ICE ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER. HOWEVER...UNTIL
THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THE RISK OF ICE JAM FLOODING REMAINS
HIGH ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
STARTING TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 40S AND 50S.
FURTHER EXTENSIONS OF THIS FLOOD WATCH ARE POSSIBLE.

A LARGE ICE JAM IS ON THE ROCK RIVER FROM THE BEND AT COMO TO NEAR
THE HIGHWAY 30 BRIDGE. THE RIVER HAS ONLY FALLEN SLIGHTLY AT COMO
SINCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NEW RISES NEAR JOSLIN SUGGEST THAT ICE
MAY BE JAMMING AGAIN NEAR JOSLIN. ICE JAMS CAN CREATE VERY RAPID
CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS ON THE RIVER.

ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS ARE LOCATED AT MOLINE ROAD...SOUTH OF MELLOTS
ROAD AT THE REST AREA AND BOAT RAMP.

ANOTHER LARGE ICE JAM RUNS FROM THE SOUTH SIDE OF LYNDON THROUGH
THE FIRST BEND OF THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF LYNDON...OR TO WHERE
HACKLEBERRY CREEK AND WALKER SLOUGH ENTER THE RIVER.

ILZ009-015-016-180430-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140320T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
324 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* THE LARGE ICE JAM HAS MOVED THE THE BEND IN THE RIVER AT COMO
  TO JUST SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 30 BRIDGE. RIVER LEVELS HAVE ONLY
  FALLEN SLIGHTLY SINCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH AND MAY INCREASE EVEN
  MORE STARTING TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 40S AND 50S.
  THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY NEED TO BE
  EXTENDED BEYOND WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.  MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND TAKE ACTION IF A
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED OR FLOODING DEVELOPS.

&&

$$
738 
WGUS63 KDVN 180253
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
953 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.COLD TEMPERATURES THE PAST TWO NIGHTS HAVE RESULTED IN SOME
STABILIZATION OF THE ICE ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER. HOWEVER...UNTIL
THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THE RISK OF ICE JAM FLOODING REMAINS
HIGH ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
STARTING TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 40S AND 50S.
FURTHER EXTENSIONS OF THIS FLOOD WATCH ARE POSSIBLE.

A LARGE ICE JAM IS ON THE ROCK RIVER FROM THE BEND AT COMO TO NEAR
THE HIGHWAY 30 BRIDGE. THE RIVER HAS ONLY FALLEN MODESTLY AT COMO
SINCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NEW RISES NEAR JOSLIN SUGGEST THAT ICE MAY
BE JAMMING AGAIN NEAR JOSLIN. ICE JAMS CAN CREATE VERY RAPID CHANGES
IN WATER LEVELS ON THE RIVER.

ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS ARE LOCATED AT MOLINE ROAD...SOUTH OF MELLOTS
ROAD AT THE REST AREA AND BOAT RAMP.

ANOTHER LARGE ICE JAM RUNS FROM THE SOUTH SIDE OF LYNDON THROUGH
THE FIRST BEND OF THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF LYNDON...OR TO WHERE
HACKLEBERRY CREEK AND WALKER SLOUGH ENTER THE RIVER.

ILZ009-015-016-181100-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140320T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
953 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* THE LARGE ICE JAM HAS MOVED THE THE BEND IN THE RIVER AT COMO TO
  JUST SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 30 BRIDGE. RIVER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN
  ONLY MODESTLY SINCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH AND MAY INCREASE EVEN 
  MORE STARTING TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 40S AND 
  50S. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY NEED 
  TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.  MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND TAKE ACTION IF A
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED OR FLOODING DEVELOPS.

&&

$$

NICHOLS
411 
WGUS63 KDVN 180819
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
319 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.COLD TEMPERATURES THE PAST TWO NIGHTS HAVE RESULTED IN SOME
STABILIZATION OF THE ICE ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER. HOWEVER...UNTIL
THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THE RISK OF ICE JAM FLOODING REMAINS
HIGH ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
STARTING TODAY AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 50S. FURTHER
EXTENSIONS OF THIS FLOOD WATCH ARE POSSIBLE.

A LARGE ICE JAM IS ON THE ROCK RIVER FROM THE BEND AT COMO TO
NEAR THE HIGHWAY 30 BRIDGE. THE RIVER HAS ONLY FALLEN MODESTLY AT
COMO SINCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NEW RISES NEAR JOSLIN SUGGEST THAT
ICE MAY BE JAMMING AGAIN NEAR JOSLIN. ICE JAMS CAN CREATE VERY
RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS ON THE RIVER.

ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS ARE LOCATED AT MOLINE ROAD...SOUTH OF MELLOTS
ROAD AT THE REST AREA AND BOAT RAMP.

ANOTHER LARGE ICE JAM RUNS FROM THE SOUTH SIDE OF LYNDON THROUGH
THE FIRST BEND OF THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF LYNDON...OR TO WHERE
HACKLEBERRY CREEK AND WALKER SLOUGH ENTER THE RIVER.

ILZ009-015-016-181630-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140320T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
319 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* THE LARGE ICE JAM HAS MOVED THE THE BEND IN THE RIVER AT COMO 
  TO JUST SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 30 BRIDGE. RIVER LEVELS HAVE 
  FALLEN ONLY MODESTLY SINCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH AND MAY INCREASE EVEN
  MORE STARTING TODAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 50S. THE
  FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY NEED TO BE
  EXTENDED BEYOND WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.  MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND TAKE ACTION IF A
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED OR FLOODING DEVELOPS.

&&

$$
981 
WGUS63 KDVN 181612
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1112 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.SEVERAL ICE JAMS HAVE FORMED ON THE ROCK RIVER UPSTREAM OF
JOSLIN. UNTIL THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THE RISK OF ICE JAM
FLOODING REMAINS HIGH ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
STARTING TODAY AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 50S. FURTHER
EXTENSIONS OF THIS FLOOD WATCH ARE POSSIBLE.

A LARGE ICE JAM IS ON THE ROCK RIVER FROM THE BEND AT COMO TO
NEAR THE HIGHWAY 30 BRIDGE. THE RIVER FELL SHARPLY OVERNIGHT
SUGGESTING THE ICE JAM MAY HAVE MOVED DOWNSTREAM. NEW RISES NEAR
JOSLIN SUGGEST THAT ICE MAY BE JAMMING AGAIN NEAR JOSLIN. ICE JAMS
CAN CREATE VERY RAPID CHANGES IN WATER LEVELS ON THE RIVER.

ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS ARE LOCATED AT MOLINE ROAD...SOUTH OF MELLOTS
ROAD AT THE REST AREA AND BOAT RAMP.

ANOTHER LARGE ICE JAM RUNS FROM SOUTH OF LYNDON THROUGH THE FIRST
BEND OF THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF LYNDON...OR TO WHERE HACKLEBERRY
CREEK AND WALKER SLOUGH ENTER THE RIVER NORTH OF PROPHETSTOWN.

ILZ009-015-016-190015-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140320T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
1112 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* THE LARGE ICE JAM HAS MOVED TO THE THE BEND IN THE RIVER AT
  COMO TO JUST SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 30 BRIDGE. RIVER LEVELS FELL
  SHARPLY OVERNIGHT SUGGESTING THE ICE JAM MAY HAVE MOVED FURTHER
  DOWNSTREAM.

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH AND MAY INCREASE EVEN 
  MORE STARTING TODAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 50S. THE 
  FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY NEED TO BE 
  EXTENDED BEYOND WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.  MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND TAKE ACTION IF A
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED OR FLOODING DEVELOPS.

&&

$$
333 
WGUS63 KDVN 182052
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
352 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.SEVERAL ICE JAMS HAVE FORMED ON THE ROCK RIVER UPSTREAM OF
JOSLIN. UNTIL THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THE RISK OF ICE JAM
FLOODING REMAINS HIGH ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING HAS INCREASED DUE TO
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S TODAY. THESE TEMPERATURES HAVE
WEAKENED THE ICE IN THE RIVER AND NEW ICE JAMS ARE VERY POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FURTHER EXTENSIONS OF THIS FLOOD
WATCH ARE POSSIBLE.

THE LARGE ICE JAM ON THE ROCK RIVER NEAR COMO BROKE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE ICE IS MOVING DOWNSTREAM BUT MAY CREATE ANOTHER JAM
AS IT MEETS UP WITH THE ICE JAMS AT MOLINE ROAD. ICE JAMS CAN
CREATE VERY RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE ADVANCE
NOTICE.

ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS ARE LOCATED AT MOLINE ROAD...SOUTH OF MELLOTS
ROAD AT THE REST AREA AND BOAT RAMP.

ANOTHER LARGE ICE JAM RUNS FROM SOUTH OF LYNDON THROUGH THE FIRST
BEND OF THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF LYNDON...OR TO WHERE HACKLEBERRY
CREEK AND WALKER SLOUGH ENTER THE RIVER NORTH OF PROPHETSTOWN.

RIVER LEVELS AT JOSLIN HAVE RISEN RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE
HENRY COUNTY ILLINOIS EMERGENCY MANAGER CONFIRMS SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS OF ICE MOVING PAST THE GAGE NEAR JOSLIN. AS THIS ICE MOVES
DOWNSTREAM IT MAY CREATE A NEW ICE JAM.

ILZ009-015-016-190500-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140320T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
352 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* THE LARGE ICE JAM NEAR COMO BROKE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE ICE IS
  MOVING DOWNSTREAM BUT MAY CREATE A NEW JAM WHEN IT REACHES THE
  ICE JAM AT MOLINE ROAD.

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS HAS INCREASED DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN
  THE 40S AND 50S. THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING REMAINS
  VERY HIGH. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK RIVER MAY
  NEED TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.  MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND TAKE ACTION IF A
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED OR FLOODING DEVELOPS.

&&

$$
101 
WGUS63 KDVN 190342
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1042 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS REMAINS HIGH ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.SIGNIFICANT ICE CONTINUES MOVING THROUGH THE ROCK RIVER. UNTIL
THE ICE LEAVES THE RIVER...THE RISK OF ICE JAM FLOODING REMAINS
HIGH ON THE LOWER ROCK RIVER.

THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING HAS INCREASED DUE TO
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S TODAY. THESE TEMPERATURES HAVE
WEAKENED THE ICE IN THE RIVER AND NEW ICE JAMS ARE VERY POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FURTHER EXTENSIONS OF THIS FLOOD
WATCH ARE POSSIBLE.

THE LARGE ICE JAM ON THE ROCK RIVER NEAR COMO BROKE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE ICE IS MOVING DOWNSTREAM THROUGH JOSLIN BUT MAY
CREATE ANOTHER JAM AS IT MEETS UP WITH THE ICE JAMS AT MOLINE
ROAD. ICE JAMS CAN CREATE VERY RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS WITH
LITTLE ADVANCE NOTICE.

ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS ARE LOCATED AT MOLINE ROAD...SOUTH OF MELLOTS
ROAD AT THE REST AREA AND BOAT RAMP.

ANOTHER LARGE ICE JAM RUNS FROM SOUTH OF LYNDON THROUGH THE FIRST
BEND OF THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF LYNDON...OR TO WHERE HACKLEBERRY
CREEK AND WALKER SLOUGH ENTER THE RIVER NORTH OF PROPHETSTOWN.

RIVER LEVELS AT JOSLIN ROSE RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE ICE 
WAS MOVING PAST THE GAGE NEAR JOSLIN. THE RIVER STAGE HAS
SINCE LEVELED OFF THIS EVENING... BUT AS THIS ICE MOVES DOWNSTREAM
IT MAY CREATE NEW ICE JAMS.

ILZ009-015-016-191145-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140320T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
1042 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* THE LARGE ICE JAM NEAR COMO BROKE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE ICE IS
  MOVING DOWNSTREAM THROUGH JOSLIN AND MAY CREATE A NEW JAM WHEN
  IT REACHES THE ICE JAM AT MOLINE ROAD.

* THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS HAS INCREASED DUE TO TEMPERATURES 
  IN THE 40S AND 50S. THE THREAT OF NEW ICE JAMS DEVELOPING 
  REMAINS VERY HIGH. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG THE ROCK 
  RIVER MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.  MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND TAKE ACTION IF A
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED OR FLOODING DEVELOPS.

&&

$$
360 
WGUS63 KDVN 190838
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
338 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2014

...THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS CONTINUES ALONG THE ROCK RIVER...

.THE CONDITION OF THE ROCK RIVER IS MOSTLY UNKNOWN EARLY THIS
MORNING...AND WHILE RIVER STAGES AT COMO AND JOSLIN ALONG THE 
ROCK RIVER INDICATE LEVELS FALLING TO NEAR OR BELOW FLOOD STAGE IT
IS VERY DIFFICULT TO SAY THAT THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS IS DECREASED
UNTIL A FULL SURVEY OF RIVER CONDITIONS TAKES PLACE. AS THE SUN
COMES UP TODAY...THE THREAT FOR ICE JAM FLOODING WILL BECOME MORE
CERTAIN AS ICE CONDITIONS ARE OBSERVED.

ILZ009-015-016-191645-
/O.CON.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140320T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
338 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HENRY IL...ROCK ISLAND AND WHITESIDE. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* RIVER STAGES AT COMO AND JOSLIN ALONG THE ROCK RIVER INDICATE
  LEVELS FALLING TO NEAR OR BELOW FLOOD STAGE IT IS VERY DIFFICULT
  TO SAY THAT THE THREAT OF ICE JAMS IS DECREASED UNTIL A FULL
  SURVEY OF RIVER CONDITIONS TAKES PLACE. AS THE SUN COMES UP
  TODAY...THE THREAT FOR ICE JAM FLOODING WILL BECOME MORE CERTAIN
  AS ICE CONDITIONS ARE OBSERVED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.  MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND TAKE ACTION IF A
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED OR FLOODING DEVELOPS.

&&

$$


ERVIN
123 
WGUS63 KDVN 200008
FFADVN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
708 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2014

ILZ009-015-016-200115-
/O.EXP.KDVN.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140320T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING...ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...
ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE
708 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2014

...FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS WILL EXPIRE
AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

AT 530 PM CDT...HENRY COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED ICE
FROM BANK TO BANK AT JOSLIN AND THE ROUTE 84 BRIDGE MOVING
SWIFTLY. THIS HAS PRODUCE RISES TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT JOSLIN
WHERE A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. THIS ICE WILL CONTINUE
MOVING DOWN THE LOWER ROCK WITH FLUCTUATIONS IN RIVER LEVELS
POSSIBLE THROUGH MOLINE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE ICE MOVES
THROUGH THE RIVER. UPSTREAM OF JOSLIN AND MOLINE...THE WHITESIDE
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS REPORTED NO SIGNIFICANT ICE ON THE
ROCK RIVER THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY... WITH THE CONDITIONS BEING
REPORTED AS OPEN AND FLOWING WITH JUST A FEW CHUNKS OF ICE IN THE
CHANNEL. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 14, 3:19 PM CDT, 3 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 3:19 PM CDT, 3 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
319 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

TYPICAL WINDY AND MILD MARCH WEATHER WAS IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT 2 PM...THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WAS
ROUGHLY FROM CHICAGO TO ST LOUIS. DEEP MIXING AND SUBSIDENCE BEHIND
THE FRONT HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE MID AND UPPER
50S SOUTH OF I-80...WHILE DEVELOPING STRATO CU...STRONGER COLD AIR
ADVECTION...AND PATCHY SNOW COVER WAS LIMITING THE HIGHWAY 20
CORRIDOR TO THE LOWER 40S. THE COLD FRONT WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A
SURFACE LOW OVER EASTERN UPPER MI...WHICH HAD A WEAK TROUGH AXIS
REACHING EAST ACROSS NORTHERN WI INTO CENTRAL MN. ALOFT...A STRONG
SHORTWAVE WAS MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES WITH AN UPSTREAM RIDGE
AXIS OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THE NEXT SHORTWAVE POISED TO AFFECT
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WAS EVIDENT ON WV IMAGES MOVING INTO THE
PACIFIC NW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

INITIAL FOCUS IS TEMPERATURES TODAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY...THEN
DEVELOPING PRECIPITATION AS THE ENERGY MOVING INTO THE NW LEADS TO
CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE PLAINS. TONIGHT...INCOMING CLOUD COVER OVER N
CENTRAL IA INTO MN AND EASTERN SD IS LOOKING MORE INSTABILITY DRIVEN
IN TIME AND SHOULD AFFECT MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA BEFORE DISSIPATING THIS EVENING...AS INDICATED BY SHORT TERM
MODEL LOW LEVEL RH TRENDS. THIS PROCESS WILL BE HELPED ALONG BY MID
LEVEL SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES. AT THE
SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE IS ANCHORED WELL TO THE NORTH OVER CENTRAL
CANADA...LEADING TO A COL TYPE REGION OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT
AS THE LOW CONTINUES WESTWARD. THIS COMBINATION OF CLEARING SKIES
AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP BELOW FREEZING
OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. LOOKING AT VERIFICATION FROM THE
SOURCE REGION THIS MORNING...WILL HAVE COLDEST VALUES IN THE MID 20S
CLOSEST TO THE LAST OF THE REMAINING SNOW IN THE FAR NORTH AND EAST
WITH UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ELSEWHERE.

SATURDAY...THE SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE NW U.S. IS EXPECTED TO
EMERGE INTO THE PLAINS...WHERE IT BEGINS TO PHASE WITH A SEPARATE
SOUTHERN STREAM LOW CURRENTLY OVER AZ. THIS LEADS TO THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SURFACE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND FORMATION OF A WARM FRONT
AND TIGHT BAROCLINIC AXIS AT 850 MB OVER SOUTHERN IA INTO CENTRAL IL
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY ...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS AND SUNSHINE SHOULD LEAD TO ANOTHER MILD DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
50S TO NEAR 60 ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 34 CORRIDOR. TO THE
NORTH...THE FRONTOGENESIS AND HIGH PRESSURE SINKING SOUTH OUT OF
CANADA WILL LEAD TO EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS. THIS ALONG WITH
THICKENING CLOUD COVER IN THE WARM AIR ADVECTION ALOFT WILL LIMIT HIGHS
TO THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. WITH THIS LOW LEVEL COOL DRY AIR...MID LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW
ALOFT AND MORE FAVORABLE JET PLACEMENT FURTHER NORTH...MODEL QPF
PLACEMENT INTO THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA LOOKS
OVERDONE. WILL INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE FAR NORTH AND WEST
FOR LATE AFTERNOON...BUT  BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL HOLD
OFF UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS GENERALLY SUPPORT ALL
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW IF IT DOES DEVELOP IN THE NORTH
WITH A WET SNOW/RAIN MIX CENTRAL AND WEST IF IT WERE TO DEVELOP IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

GENERALLY DRY AND MOSTLY SEASONABLE TEMPS FOR MID MARCH WITH SOME LIGHT
SNOW OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY.

OVERVIEW...INITIALIZATION AND VERIFICATION SLIGHTLY BETTER TODAY WITH
GOOD CONSISTENCY ON LARGE SCALE ISSUES. THE AMERICAN SOLUTIONS CONTINUE
A SLIGHT TOO MOIST BL. THIS CONSISTENT BIAS HAS BEEN ACCOUNTED FOR
A COUPLE OF DAYS IN THE FORECAST. AMERICAN SOLUTIONS AND TOO A LESSER
EXTENT OTHERS HAVE LOWERED THEIR SATURDAY QPF AMOUNTS BY 50-80 PERCENT
THE PAST 24-48 HOURS. A SLIGHTLY DRIER EVENT THAN SOLUTIONS INDICATE
IS SUGGESTED BEFORE THE EVENT OCCURS ON LATE SATURDAY PM AND SATURDAY
NIGHT. VERIFICATION AND RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY SHOWS MINOR SENSIBLE
WEATHER DIFFERENCES WITH A 70/30 MIX OF GFS TO HI-RES ECMWF/GEM-NH
MOST FAVORED FIT.

SATURDAY NIGHT...LIMITED FORCING AND MOISTURE SUPPORTS A 2 TO 5 HOUR
BAND OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO SLIDE SE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THERMAL
PROFILES SUGGEST GOOD EVAPORATIVE COOLING WITH SIGNIFICANT CAA ALOFT.
THIS PROVIDES GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT PRECIPITATION MAY START AS RAIN TO
TRANSITION TO SNOW WITHIN 1 TO AT MOST 2 HOURS OF STARTING. A BRIEF
PERIOD OF SLEET IS QUITE POSSIBLE FOR LATER SHIFTS TO CONSIDER. HAVE
TRIED TO HAVE A PERIOD OF RAIN/SNOW CHANGING TO SNOW. SNOW TOTALS ARE
AOB .5" TO LOCALLY NEAR 1 INCH NORTH OF I-80 CORRIDOR. MINS ARE GENERALLY
15 TO 25 WITH NORTH COLDER AS PARTIAL CLEARING OCCURS. BLUSTERY WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND SOME GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH STILL ON TRACK.

SUNDAY...SKIES TO BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY WITH LINGERING LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES
TO END BY MOVING TO THE SOUTH LATE MORNING. HIGHS...MINOR CHANGES MADE
WITH UPPER 20S NORTH TO LOWER TO MID 30S SOUTH. GUSTY NE WINDS OF 15
TO 30 MPH TO DIMINISH TOWARD LATE AFTERNOON. SUNDAY...COLD FOR MID MARCH
WITH LIGHT NE WINDS SUPPORTIVE OF VERY COLD IN LOW LYING LOCATIONS IN
THE WAPSI AND ROCK RIVER VALLEY/S. LOWS IN THE TEENS WITH SOME ISOLATED
VALUES NEAR 10F POSSIBLE NORTH OF I-80 FOR LATER SHIFTS TO REASSESS.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...SURFACE HIGH TO MOVE EAST WITH WARMING TREND WITH
HIGHS ABOUT 35 TO 43 ON MONDAY AND ABOUT 10 DEGREES WARMER ON TUESDAY.
LIMITED MOISTURE SUPPORTS ONLY LOW TO VERY LOW POPS TUESDAY WITH NEXT
UPPER DISTURBANCE AS GULF MOISTURE CLOSED AND LOW TRACK TO PASS TO NW
OR OVER FAR NW WHICH NOT FAVORABLE FOR ANY RAIN OR SNOW. WINDS MAY BECOME
GUSTY TUESDAY AHEAD OF NEXT SHORT WAVE. IF THIS SYSTEM SLOWS DOWN BY
6+ HOURS ALLOWING FOR MORE MOISTURE OR TRACKS FURTHER SE THEN HIGHER
POPS MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. LOWS SHOULD STAY AROUND FREEZING.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ANY PRECIPITATION TO END BY MID DAY WEDNESDAY
WITH ZONAL FLOW SUPPORTING TEMPERATURES AT OR ABOVE NORMAL WITH A WARMING
TREND THU/FRI. SOME LOCAL TOOLS BASED ON 850 TEMPS SUGGEST HIGHER TEMPS
BY 5 TO 8+ DEGREES FOR LATER SHIFTS TO REASSESS. SOME HIGHS IN THE 60S
ARE NOT UNREASONABLE IF TRENDS CONTINUE. LOWS IN THE 20S WITH 30S LIKELY
ON FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO AID DRYING AND THAWING OF AREA
SOILS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

THE SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED EAST OF THE TERMINALS AS OF MIDDAY...LEAVING
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN ITS WAKE. WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KTS
AND POTENTIAL GUSTS TO 30 KTS THIS AFTERNOON...WILL DIMINISH TO LESS
THAN 10 KTS THIS EVENING. A LARGE AREA OF LOW CLOUDS ADVANCING SOUTHEAST
OUT OF MN AND NORTHERN IA WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS
AT ESPECIALLY CID AND DBQ THIS AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...CONDITIONS
WILL BE VFR WITH VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM FORMS IN THE PLAINS.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SHEETS
SHORT TERM...SHEETS
LONG TERM...NICHOLS
AVIATION...SHEETS
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 14, 3:45 AM CDT, 15 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
345 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-150845-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
345 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW AREA TRIBUTARY RIVERS ARE EXPERIENCING FLOODING. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR DETAILS. THERE IS
AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL BREAK-UP ICE JAMS ON AREA
RIVERS DUE TO THE WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...ANY REPORTS OF ICE JAMS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

GROSS/ERVIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Quad Cities, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 14, 8:50 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningDVNHenry, Rock Island44 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in Illinois, 2014Every flood watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.