Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Quad Cities, IA

873 
WGUS73 KDVN 192358
FFSDVN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
658 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

ILC015-085-177-195-200345-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140620T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JO DAVIESS IL-STEPHENSON IL-WHITESIDE IL-CARROLL IL-
658 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR
CARROLL...WHITESIDE...WESTERN STEPHENSON AND JO DAVIESS COUNTIES...

AT 651 PM CDT...THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED HEAVY RAINS LATE 
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE AREA. 
HOWEVER...RUNOFF FROM THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS 
AND POSSIBLY ROADWAYS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. LAW 
ENFORCEMENT REPORTED SOME STREAMS AND CREEKS WERE ALREADY RUNNING AT
BANKFULL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY ON AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS.

DO NOT DRIVE ON FLOODED ROADS. MOST FATALITIES OCCUR IN VEHICLES
SWEPT AWAY IN FLOOD WATERS AS SHALLOW AS 1 FOOT.

PLEASE REPORT ANY FLOODING OR DAMAGE TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4251 8992 4231 8974 4220 8968 4194 8968
      4193 8962 4158 8963 4159 9019 4164 9016
      4168 9023 4178 9024 4181 9018 4190 9015
      4212 9016 4223 9040 4228 9043 4232 9041
      4248 9066 4251 9064

$$

HAASE

145 
WGUS73 KDVN 200055
FFSDVN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
755 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

ILC015-085-177-195-200104-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140620T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JO DAVIESS IL-STEPHENSON IL-WHITESIDE IL-CARROLL IL-
755 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR CARROLL...
WHITESIDE...WESTERN STEPHENSON AND JO DAVIESS COUNTIES...

THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED AND LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 
NO SIGNIFICANT OR WIDESPREAD FLOODING. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4251 8992 4231 8974 4220 8968 4194 8968
      4193 8962 4158 8963 4159 9019 4164 9016
      4168 9023 4178 9024 4181 9018 4190 9015
      4212 9016 4223 9040 4228 9043 4232 9041
      4248 9066 4251 9064

$$

HAASE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
330 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

SQUALL LINE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN IA AT MID AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED
WITH THE STRONGEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT WITH PRECIPITABLE WATERS OF
2 INCHES. ISOLATED STRONG WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES IN A SHORT TIME WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. A SECOND SQUALL
LINE WAS IN WESTERN IA ALONG A COLD FRONT. A WARM FRONT ALSO
EXTENDED NEAR I-80. TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE MID 80S WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE LOWER 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

FORECAST FOCUS ON LOCALIZED SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING THIS
EVENING ALONG WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 80.

TONIGHT...LOCALIZED SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING AS SQUALL LINE IN EASTERN IA WILL
GRADUALLY PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE CWA. LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-80
WILL BE THE MOST PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING DUE TO PREVIOUS ROUNDS OF
HEAVY RAIN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. PRECIPITABLE WATERS OF OVER 2
INCHES IS IN THE 99TH PERCENTILE FOR JUNE. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY THE SECOND LINE OF STORMS WHICH SHOULD MOVE INTO THE CWA LATER
THIS EVENING. THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE CWA LATE
TONIGHT WITH DECREASING POPS AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

FRIDAY...WEAK COLD FRONT EXITS THE CWA IN THE MORNING WITH
NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT BUT IT WILL STILL REMAIN WARM AND
HUMID. THIS IS MORE OF A WIND SHIFT LINE ACTUALLY. WILL ONLY HAVE
A CHANCE OF STORMS IN THE MORNING IN OUR EASTERN CWA BUT SHOULD BE
DRY ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...ANOTHER ACTIVE PATTERN WITH A SLOW
MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A WARM MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. THIS WILL AGAIN SUPPORT PERIODIC EPISODES OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 80S WITH DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE
60S TO LOWER 70S.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MODELS SUGGEST A NORTHWEST FLOW
RETURNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS SHOULD
ALLOW FOR A FEW DAYS TO DRY OUT BEFORE THE PATTERN GETS ACTIVE
AGAIN TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK AND THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...MANY AREA
SOILS ARE WELL SATURATED...ESPECIALLY IN OUR NORTHERN CWA. ALSO
EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINS HAVE FALLEN ACROSS NORTHERN IA AND SOUTHERN
AND EASTERN MN DURING THE PAST WEEK OR TWO. SEVERAL AREA RIVERS HAVE
RISEN OR WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. PLUS...SOME
OF THE RIVERS ARE FORECASTED TO RISE TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE INCLUDING
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. SOME OF THE CRESTS WILL NOT OCCUR FOR AT LEAST
A WEEK. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS FOR THE LATEST
FORECAST ON AREA RIVERS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 320 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

VFR TO PATCHY VFR OUT AHEAD OF MAIN LINE OF STORMS NOW PUSHING
TOWARD EASTERN IA THROUGH 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MVFR TO
LOCALIZED IFR CONDITIONS AS THE INITIAL LINE OF STORMS PUSHES
THROUGH THE TAF SITES FROM 3-6 PM CDT. SOME VARIABLE WIND GUSTS UP
TO 45 KTS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...ALONG WITH VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. AFTER THAT...THE TRANSITION TO MORE ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT WITH LOW MVFR TO IFR
FROM HEAVY RAIN AND LOW CIGS POSSIBLE. LESS WIND THREAT AFTER 7 PM
CDT. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 8-13 KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THEN MAINLY LIGHT SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT UNTIL WIND SWITCH
TO THE WEST BY FRI MORNING. AFTER SHOWERS/STORMS LET UP LATER
TONIGHT...SOME LOW MVFR OR EVEN IFR CIGS POSSIBLE INTO EARLY FRI
MORNING BEFORE LIFTING AS FRI MORNING PROGRESSES. SOME AMBIENT
2-4SM FOG AS WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT BEFORE WEST WINDS INCREASE AFTER
DAWN FRI AM.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR BENTON-BUCHANAN-
     CLINTON-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-JACKSON-JONES-LINN.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR CARROLL-JO DAVIESS-
     STEPHENSON-WHITESIDE.

MO...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...HAASE
SHORT TERM...HAASE
LONG TERM...HAASE
AVIATION...12
HYDROLOGY...HAASE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
416 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-200915-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
416 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE SEEN ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY DUE TO VERY HIGH MOISTURE
LEVELS IN THE ATMOSPHERE.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS FOR
AREAS WEST OF A DUBUQUE...IOWA TO KIRKSVILLE...MISSOURI LINE. THE
PRIMARY THREATS LOOKS TO BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH NO
SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED...A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG.

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA FROM LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. THERE IS A DAILY CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.

RIGHT NOW NO SEVERE STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
RAINFALL REPORTS OF AN INCH OR MORE ARE APPRECIATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
422 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HEAVY RAIN       EDGEWOOD                42.64N 91.40W
06/19/2014  M1.50 INCH       CLAYTON            IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

0420 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MASONVILLE              42.48N 91.59W
06/19/2014  E1.00 INCH       DELAWARE           IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

TEO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
428 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

IAZ042-054-066-068-ILZ001-007-009-015-192230-
CARROLL-CLINTON-DUBUQUE-JACKSON-JO DAVIESS-ROCK
ISLAND-SCOTT-WHITESIDE-
428 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...STRONG LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST...

AT 426 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTH OF
BERNARD TO WELTON TO DONAHUE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LONG GROVE...WELTON...MAQUOKETA AND HURSTVILLE AROUND 435 PM CDT...
  DEWITT...DELMAR AND FULTON AROUND 440 PM CDT...
  ZWINGLE AND ANDREW AROUND 445 PM CDT...
  LA MOTTE AROUND 450 PM CDT...

WINDS UP TO 55 MPH...HEAVY RAIN...ARE ALL EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4178 8990 4155 9075 4250 9088 4251 9004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 245DEG 27KT 4222 9082 4194 9068
          4168 9065

KINNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
429 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 W STANLEY             42.64N 91.89W
06/19/2014  M3.23 INCH       BUCHANAN           IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            TOTAL SINCE 951AM TODAY. SINCE 7AM YESTERDAY MORNING 4.62
            INCHES.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
435 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ESE KEOSAUQUA         40.72N 91.92W
06/19/2014  M1.10 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL SO FAR.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
445 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SE CANTRIL            40.60N 92.02W
06/19/2014  M1.60 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FELL IN 30 TO 40 MINUTES.

&&

BILLN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
448 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     TSTM WND GST     SW CHARLOTTE            41.96N 90.47W
06/19/2014  E40 MPH          CLINTON            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 30 TO 40 MPH WINDS WITH HEAVY RAIN.

&&

TEO