Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2014

Gale Warning 36, NWS Detroit, MI

December 30, 2014

NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Dec 30, 2014, 9:38 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 31, 2014, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 27 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 30, 2014, 9:38 AM EST (14:38 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 31, 2014, 10:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 1, 2015, 1:00 PM EST
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

893 
WHUS73 KDTX 301438
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
938 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...SOUTHWEST GALES DEVELOPING TOMORROW...

.COLD AND UNSTABLE ARCTIC AIR WILL RESIDE OVER THE LAKES IN THE 
COMING DAYS LEADING TO ELEVATED WINDS AND WAVES. MAIN FOCUS IS 
TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT AS AN APPROACHING WAVE DIVING THROUGH 
SOUTHERN CANADA INCREASES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALLOWING WINDS TO 
INCREASE FURTHER AS THEY BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
WINDS REACHING GALE FORCE OVER MUCH OF LAKE HURON WEDNESDAY 
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH HIGHER END GALES POSSIBLE OVER 
THE CENTRAL SECTION OF LAKE HURON. GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT 
ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED.

LHZ361>363-310300-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0031.141231T1500Z-150101T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0036.141231T1700Z-150101T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-310300-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0031.141231T1500Z-150101T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0036.141231T1700Z-150101T1000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-310300-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0031.141231T1500Z-150101T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0036.141231T1900Z-150101T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-310300-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0031.141231T1500Z-150101T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0068.141231T1600Z-150101T2000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 3 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO
3 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-310300-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0068.141231T1800Z-150101T1600Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO
11 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 4 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SF
3 follow-up statements
796 
WHUS73 KDTX 302042
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
342 PM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...SOUTHWEST GALES DEVELOPING TOMORROW...

.COLD AND UNSTABLE ARCTIC AIR WILL RESIDE OVER THE LAKES IN THE 
COMING DAYS LEADING TO ELEVATED WINDS AND WAVES. MAIN FOCUS IS 
TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT AS AN APPROACHING WAVE DIVING THROUGH 
SOUTHERN CANADA INCREASES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALLOWING WINDS TO 
INCREASE FURTHER AS THEY BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. LATEST MODEL DATA 
CONTINUES TO SUPPORT GALE FORCE OVER MUCH OF LAKE HURON WEDNESDAY 
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH BRIEF HIGHER END GALES OVER 
THE CENTRAL SECTION OF LAKE HURON. GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT 
ADVISORIES HAVE ALREADY BEEN ISSUED WHICH LINGER INTO THURSDAY. 
AFTER CLOSER LOOK AT TEMPERATURES AND WIND...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 
WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON.

LHZ361>363-310900-
/O.NEW.KDTX.UP.W.0007.141231T1500Z-150101T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0036.141231T1500Z-150101T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
342 PM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM
WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 
  PM EST THURSDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-310900-
/O.NEW.KDTX.UP.W.0007.141231T1900Z-150101T1800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0036.141231T1900Z-150101T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
342 PM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM
WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 
  PM EST THURSDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-310900-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0036.141231T1700Z-150101T1000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
342 PM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-310900-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0068.141231T1600Z-150101T2000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
342 PM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO
3 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-310900-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0068.141231T1800Z-150101T1600Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
342 PM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO
11 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 4 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM THURSDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SF
820 
WHUS73 KDTX 310853
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 AM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...SOUTHWEST GALES THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A COLD AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL PERSIST OVER THE GREAT LAKES 
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK LEADING TO ELEVATED WINDS AND WAVES. AN 
APPROACHING WAVE WILL DIVE THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TODAY INCREASING 
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE GREAT LAKES CAUSING WINDS TO TO 
INCREASE FURTHER AS THEY BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN 
EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT FOR MUCH OF THE LAKE HURON 
BASIN. THE EXCEPTION BEING A FEW NEARSHORE ZONES THAT WILL REACH 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE COLD TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH 
THE WIND WARRANT A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT 
FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON.

LHZ361>363-312115-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0036.141231T1500Z-150101T1800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0007.141231T1500Z-150101T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
353 AM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING 
  TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-312115-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0036.141231T1900Z-150101T1800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0007.141231T1900Z-150101T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
353 AM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON 
  TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-312115-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0036.141231T1700Z-150101T1000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
353 AM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-312115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0068.141231T1600Z-150101T2000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
353 AM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 3 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-312115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0068.141231T1800Z-150101T1600Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
353 AM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 4 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM THURSDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DRK
204 
WHUS73 KDTX 312035
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
335 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...WESTERLY GALES INTO THURSDAY...

.COLD AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES 
AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A STRONG HIGH CENTERED OVER THE FRONT RANGE 
OF THE ROCKIES. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OUT OF THE WEST WILL GUST TO 
GALES WELL INTO THURSDAY. ALL GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT 
ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT. IN ADDITION...SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS 
WILL EXCEED 10 FEET ACROSS CENTRAL LAKE HURON AND HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON. 
WINDS AND WAVES WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THURSDAY NIGHT.

LHZ361>363-010915-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-150101T1800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150101T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
335 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-010915-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-150101T1800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150101T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
335 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-010915-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-150101T1000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
335 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-010915-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-150101T2000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
335 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 4 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-010915-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-150101T1600Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
335 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 3 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM THURSDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 30, 6:40 AM EST, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 30, 6:40 AM EST, 2 hours 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
640 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

.AVIATION...

AN AREA OF LOW VFR STRATUS WILL ATTEMPT TO EXPAND ACROSS SE MICHIGAN
EARLY TODAY.  GREATEST COVERAGE WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES...A DRY NORTHWEST WIND PROVIDING MORE FORMIDABLE OPPOSITION
TOWARD THE SOUTH /PTK-DTW/.   LITTLE VARIATION IN CONDITIONS FOR
TONIGHT...VFR CONDITIONS WITH JUST A LOW PROBABILITY FOR STRATUS
DEVELOPMENT/EXPANSION.

FOR DTW...THE POTENTIAL EXIST FOR LOWER STRATUS /4000 FT CIGS/
CURRENTLY LIFTING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOWER MI TO EXPAND INTO THE
AIRSPACE BY MIDDAY.  CONFIDENCE ON THIS PROGRESSION REMAINS LOW AND
WILL LEAN MORE OPTIMISTIC WITH A LIMITED COVERAGE /SCT/ AT THIS
TIME.

//DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* LOW CONFIDENCE THAT CEILINGS WILL FALL BELOW 5000 FT THIS
  AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 341 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

SHORT TERM... TODAY AND TONIGHT

SURFACE RIDGING TUCKED BENEATH CONFLUENT MID LEVEL FLOW WILL SUSTAIN
A FAIRLY DEEP DRY AND STABLE PROFILE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  CLOUD
TRENDS REMAIN THE BIGGEST PEST TO THIS OTHERWISE BENIGN WEATHER
FORECAST.  SOME SOUTHEASTWARD EXPANSION OF THE EXISTING MODEST LAKE
SUPERIOR/NORTHERN LAKE HURON MOISTURE PLUME NOW NOTED WORKING INTO
THE TRI-CITIES/THUMB...PROMPTED BY RENEWED AND INCREASING COLD AIR
ADVECTION.  THIS PROCESS MAY ALLOW FOR FURTHER EXPANSION ACROSS SE
MICHIGAN...BUT WILL BE WORKING AGAINST A HEALTHY EXISTING DRY LAYER.
WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL SIMPLY LEAN TOWARD SOME PARTIAL COVERAGE
WITH POINTS TOWARD THE SOUTH LIKELY TO SEE A HIGHER DEGREE OF SUN
TODAY.  THE STRENGTH OF THE ADVECTIVE PROCESS WILL CERTAINLY CUT
INTO THE TEMPERATURE RESPONSE TODAY.  HIGHS REMAIN PROJECTED TO
ARRIVE IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 20S.

ELONGATED SHORTWAVE WORKING THROUGH THE MEAN NORTHERN TROUGH WILL
LIFT THROUGH TONIGHT.  MEAGER MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST LITTLE
RESPONSE ASIDE FROM A BRIEF UPTICK IN MID CLOUD WITH THIS FEATURE /A
PASSING FLURRY NORTH?/.  LOWS TONIGHT 10 TO 15 DEGREE RANGE...A FEW
SINGLE DIGIT READINGS IN THE COLDEST LOCALES. THIS WILL BRING WIND
CHILL READINGS BELOW ZERO FOR A PERIOD DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS.

LONG TERM... WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

EXTREME POSITIVE TILT TO THE UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM WILL UNDERGO
CHANGES THROUGH MID WEEK AS THE NEXT STRONG JET MAX SURGING SE
THROUGH CENTRAL CANADA PINCHES OFF THE BASE OF THE TROUGH INTO A
CLOSED LOW. THIS WILL SET UP A CONFLUENT PATTERN OVER THE GREAT
LAKES WITH STRONG SFC RIDGING...1050MB HIGH...DROPPING INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND THEN EASTWARD TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST BY THE
END OF THE WEEK. THE TWO MAIN FORECAST POINTS FOR THE WEEK ARE THE
SURGES OF ARCTIC AIR KEEPING COOL TEMPS MORE OF THE NORM AND ALSO A
POTENTIAL SYSTEM LIFTING INTO/NEAR THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

FOR THE MID WEEK PERIOD...THE BAROCLINIC ZONE STILL RESIDES TO OUR
SOUTH WITH A HEALTHY COLD POOL STILL WORKING THROUGH LOWER MI.
TEMPERATURES AT 925/500MB WILL FALL TO AROUND -16C/-35C BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING WITH A SLOW CLIMB UPWARD FROM THEN TIL LATE THURSDAY. AFTER
THE POTENTIALLY STRONG SYSTEM SAT/SUN...ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR
WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION RESULTING IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPS...HIGHS
ONLY 20-25F...TO START THE NEW WEEK.

THE MAIN FOCUS IS ON THE POTENTIAL WEEKEND SYSTEM. AS THEY DID WITH
THE CHRISTMAS EVE STORM...MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO WAVER AND
DISAGREE WITH EACH OTHER BY HUNDREDS OF MILES WITH THE STORM TRACK.
HAVING SAID THAT...THE NEW ECMWF RUN HAS MADE A SIGNIFICANT JUMP
NORTHWARD WITH THE STORM TRACK WHICH WOULD MAKE FOR A MORE
INTERESTING SCENARIO FOR SE MI. REASON BEING IT BRINGS IN DEEPER
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH WHICH WOULD PHASE THE SYSTEMS SOONER AND
FARTHER WEST. GFS AND GFS PARALLEL STILL ADVERTISE SIMILAR TRACKS
BUT DIFFER BY 6-12 HOURS IN TIMING. THEN THERES THE CANADIAN WHICH
TAKES A TRACK MUCH FARTHER WEST. SO WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY PERIODS FOR BEST SHOTS AT PRECIP FROM THE
SYSTEM. PTYPES MAY BE A BIT MESSY WITH THE SYSTEM AS THERMAL
PROFILES ARE SUGGESTING WARMING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS AS THE WARM
CONVEYOR BELT NOSES INTO SOUTHERN MI. WILL KEEP IT SIMPLE WITH THE
RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR SATURDAY AT THE ONSET CHANGING TO ALL SNOW AS THE
SYSTEM QUICKLY SLIDES EAST.

AN ADDITIONAL FORECAST NOTE...THERE MAY BE A CLIPPER DIVING THROUGH
NORTHERN MI ON THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY WHICH COULD REACH INTO THE
SAGINAW VALLEY. HAVE MINOR ACCUMULATIONS AND CHANCE POPS FOR THE
PERIOD TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW AS THE TRACK
WILL DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH OF THE INCOMING NORTHERN STREAM
TROUGH...SO IT MAY TRY TO STAY NORTH.

MARINE...

COLD AND UNSTABLE ARCTIC AIR WILL RESIDE OVER THE LAKES IN THE
COMING DAYS LEADING TO ELEVATED WINDS AND WAVES. ATTENTION FALLS ON
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN APPROACHING WAVE DIVING THROUGH
SOUTHERN CANADA WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALLOWING WINDS
TO INCREASE FURTHER AS THEY BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. THIS MAY RESULT
IN WINDS REACHING GALE FORCE THROUGH THE PERIOD. CENTRAL LAKE HURON
MAY SEE THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS REACH HIGH END GALES APPROACHING 45
KNOTS. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL LAKE HURON MARINE
ZONES.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LAKE HURON...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR
     LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464.

LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.
&&

AVIATION.....MR
SHORT TERM...MR
LONG TERM....DRK
MARINE.......DRK

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 30, 4:09 AM EST, 5 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
409 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-311000-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
409 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP OVER TEXAS FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN
LIFT NORTHEAST INTO LOWER MICHIGAN OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS STORM
MAY BRING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE AREA LATE SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL NOT BE OUT OF THE
QUESTION AS COLD AIR RUSHES IN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-311000-
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
409 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

GALE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR ALL
LAKE HURON MARINE ZONES. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECAST FOR
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

DRK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 30, 9:38 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryDTX53 hr
Dec 30, 3:42 PM ESTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningDTX45 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2014Every gale warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.