Gale Warning 22, NWS Detroit, MI

447 
WHUS73 KDTX 112043
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
343 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014

...WESTERLY GALES DEVELOPING TONIGHT...

.SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL LIFT THROUGH 
THE STRAITS REGION BY THIS EVENING...THEN CONTINUE NORTHEAST TOWARDS 
WESTERN QUEBEC LATE TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL VEER TO 
THE WEST THIS EVENING BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL BLAST 
THROUGH THE REGION. GALE WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF LAKE 
HURON FOR THE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 35 KNOTS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO 
DEVELOP THIS EVENING. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO THEN 
PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE SLOWLY WEAKENING.

ALTHOUGH WEST WINDS WILL BE WEAKER...GUSTS TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS ARE 
EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THURSDAY AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND 
COLD AIR PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.

LHZ421-422-441-120930-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0022.141112T0000Z-141112T1500Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
343 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-120930-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0022.141112T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
343 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-120930-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0022.141112T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
343 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-120930-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0048.141112T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
343 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO
  33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 FEET
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-120930-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0048.141112T0000Z-141112T1500Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
343 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 19 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 2 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 2 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

KURIMSKI

295 
WHUS73 KDTX 120903
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
403 AM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...WESTERLY GALES PERSISTING ON LAKE HURON...

.GALE WARNINGS ARE EXTENDED THROUGH TODAY FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE 
HURON AND SAGINAW BAY WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAINING IN 
EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER MARINE AREAS. STRONG WESTERLY WIND WILL 
CONTINUE TO CARRY AN ARCTIC AIR MASS INTO THE REGION. THE RESULTING 
INSTABILITY GENERATED BY THE COLD AIR OVER THE WARM LAKE WATER WILL 
MAINTAIN GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS UNTIL EVENING. ALTHOUGH WEST WINDS 
WILL BE WEAKER TONIGHT...GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO 
PERSIST INTO THURSDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS STEEP AND 
COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. HIGH PRESSURE IS 
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP CLOSE ENOUGH TO BRING IMPROVED WIND CONDITIONS 
BY FRIDAY.

LHZ421-422-441-122100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-141112T2100Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
403 AM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-122115-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
403 AM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462>464-122115-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
403 AM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-122100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-141112T2100Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
403 AM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-122115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
403 AM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO
  33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

CB

422 
WHUS73 KDTX 122036
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
336 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALES WINDING DOWN ACROSS LAKE HURON...

.MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HEADLINES THIS AFTERNOON TO INDICATE 
CURRENT AND FORECASTED CONDITIONS OF THE MICHIGAN WATERS. BUOYS AND 
OTHER OBS SHOW GALES HAVE SUBSIDED IN SOUTHERN LAKE HURON AND IN THE 
SAGINAW BAY. HAVE CANCELLED GALE WARNINGS THERE...AND HOISTED A 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR MOST NEARSHORE AREAS OF LAKE HURON TO
INCLUDE SAGINAW BAY. NORTHERN LAKE HURON CONTINUES MODERATE SEAS
WITH WAVE HEIGHTS OVER 8 FEET AND EARLIER READINGS OVER 10 FEET.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT TO BECOME NEAR 6 FEET. WINDS
AND WAVES WILL REMAIN QUITE ELEVATED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. COLD
AIR OVER WARM WATERS WILL KEEP THE LAKES UNSTABLE FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE. THIS MEANS ANY DISTURBANCE OR TIGHTENING OF
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LIKELY TIP THE SCALES TOWARDS FUTURE
HEADLINES THIS WEEK. MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES.

LHZ361>363-130000-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0023.141112T2100Z-141113T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
336 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ462-130000-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0023.141112T2100Z-141113T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
336 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 31 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-130300-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-141112T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0049.141112T2100Z-141113T0300Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
336 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ463-464-122145-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
336 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. 

$$

LHZ442-443-130000-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-141113T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0049.141112T2100Z-141113T0000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
336 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-122145-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-141112T2100Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
336 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

MM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1152 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014

.AVIATION...

//DISCUSSION...

SSE FLOW OF 10 KNOTS OR LESS CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH A 40+ KT
LOW LEVEL JET PRODUCING LLWS. THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL THEN MIX BY
MID/LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND ALLOW FOR GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 KNOTS
AS WINDS VEER GRADUALLY TO THE SSW. VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
UNTIL THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. BY THIS TIME
MVFR/LOWER VFR CIGS WILL BE COMMON AS SHRAS OVERSPREAD THE REGION.
SSW WINDS WILL VEER TO THE WEST WITH TIME IN THE 23Z-02Z TIME FRAME
WITH FROPA.

FOR DTW...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT BEFORE
MVFR CEILINGS MOVE IN LATE TUESDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LIKELY EXPECTED BETWEEN 22Z AND 01Z WEDNESDAY.

//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...

* MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN CEILINGS BELOW 5000FT TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 346 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014

SHORT TERM...THROUGH TONIGHT

THE WARM FRONT THAT STALLED ACROSS THE CWA HAS ONLY MOVED SLIGHTLY
NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCH SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.  THE ONLY SHOWER ACTIVITY WAS SEEN EARLY
THIS MORNING ALONG THE BETTER ISENTROPIC ASCENT OVER THE SAGINAW
VALLEY/THUMB AREA. AS THE FRONT DOES SHIFT NORTH...SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN MILDER AIR TO THE AREA.  WITH SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN IN THE WARM SECTOR...LOWS TONIGHT WILL NOT DROP TOO
MUCH...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN CWA WHERE HIGHER CLOUDS TIED TO
THE WARM FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO HANG AROUND LONGER.  THE CWA WILL
REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS UNLIKE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE GREAT LAKES WHERE SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL.

LONG TERM...

NATIONAL OBSERVATIONS SHOW A STRONG SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE HUGGING
THE FRONT RANGE OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH THE SOUTHERN EXTENT
SURGING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS. THE FRONT THEN
EXTENDS NORTHEAST IN ALIGNMENT WITH DEEP SWLY FLOW INTO THE WESTERN
AND NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WHERE IT IS SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR ONGOING
PRECIPITATION.

A PV ANOMALY WITH ORIGINS IN THE DESCENDING BRANCH OF AN UPPER LEVEL
FGEN CIRCULATION ALONG THE AXIS OF THE DIGGING JET OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST IS READILY EVIDENT IN WV IMAGERY OVER NORTHERN
UTAH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER THE FRONT
RANGE TONIGHT AND PROPAGATE TOWARD THE STRAITS DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY. THIS WILL FOSTER THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK BAROCLINIC WAVE
THAT IS PROGGED TO LIFT THROUGH NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THE 12Z
GUIDANCE TRENDED A TOUCH STRONGER WITH THE ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW AND
IS COMING INTO BETTER OVERALL CONSENSUS, WHICH INCREASES CONFIDENCE
IN TIMING OF FROPA TOMORROW EVENING. IN THE MEANTIME, A MODEST WARM
CONVEYOR WILL DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE FRONT. INCREASING
LOW-LEVEL FGEN AIDED BY DCVA SUPPORT ALOFT WILL SUPPORT A HIGH
LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS WORKING THROUGH THE CWA 18Z-00Z. THE BEST
COVERAGE/INTENSITY WILL BE NORTHWEST WHERE MID-LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL
BE MAXIMIZED. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL VEER
SHARPLY WESTWARD COINCIDENT WITH FROPA. THE SHARP TEMPERATURE
GRADIENT HAS A BIT OF A DENSITY CURRENT LOOK IN MODEL CROSS
SECTIONS. THIS WILL CREATE PLENTY OF INSTABILITY WITHIN THE FRONTAL
ZONE ITSELF...GOOD FOR TURBULENT MIXING OF MOMENTUM. IN ADDITION,
280K SYSTEM RELATIVE ISENTROPIC DESCENT IS SHOWN TO BE STRONG IN THE
PRESENCE OF 30+KT WINDS. FORECAST WIND GUSTS HAVE BEEN REVISED
UPWARD BY A GOOD MARGIN TO REFLECT WIND GUSTS OF 30 KTS WITHIN THE
FRONT AND 25-28KTS BEHIND.

COLD ADVECTION WILL BE STRONG AS NOTED BY H85 TEMPERATURES FALLING
BY 10C IN THE 21-03Z WINDOW, ULTIMATELY BOTTOMING OUT AROUND -9C BY
12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING. WELL-MIXED WESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP THE GUSTS
AND EXTENSIVE STRATOCU GOING THROUGH TUESDAY, WHICH WILL KEEP LOWS
CAPPED NEAR 30F. UNIFORMLY WESTERLY FLOW AND 0-1KM LAPSE RATES AS
HIGH AS -6C OVER LAKE MICHIGAN SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO ELICIT THE
BEST LAKE RESPONSE OF THE SEASON SO FAR. AS A RESULT, LEFT A BLANKET
CHC POP IN TOMORROW NIGHT TO ALLOW FOR SCATTERED COVERAGE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.

SUPER SATURATION WRT ICE AT THE TOP OF AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER IS THEN NOTED IN AREA SOUNDINGS FOR MUCH OF THE DAY
WEDNESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT, SO OPTED TO INTRODUCE A CHANCE
OF FLURRIES DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH POTENTIAL FOR A BETTER DEFINED
CORRIDOR OF SNOW SHOWERS CONDITIONAL ON LAKE MICHIGAN RESPONSE.
HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE MID 30S, A 2ND STD DEVIATION NUMBER FOR
MID NOV (THE LOWER BOUND OF 1ST STD DEVIATION OF HIGH TEMPERATURE
FOR NOV 12 IS 41F). THE DEEPER COLD WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT,
SENDING 850MB TEMPS DOWN ANOTHER NOTCH TO AROUND -14C. LOWS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE 20S ONCE AGAIN, BUT WELL-MIXED
CONDITIONS AND LAKE CLOUD CONCERNS WARRANTED AN UPWARD BOOST OF A
COUPLE DEGREES TO THE INHERITED FORECAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL START OFF THE DAY ON THURSDAY WITH DRY
CONDITIONS PREVAILING. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE
REGION ON THURSDAY...TRIGGERING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. DISAGREEMENT AMONGST MODELS REGARDING WHETHER
THIS SHORTWAVE WILL EVEN DEVELOP HAS WARRANTED ONLY CHANCE POPS FOR
SNOW ON THURSDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECASTED TO STICK AROUND THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS NORTHWEST WINDS
TRY TO FORCE SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. HIGH
PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER WILL THEN TAKE CONTROL OVER THE GREAT LAKES
ONCE AGAIN FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THE NEXT DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND CHANCE OF SNOW...WILL
ARRIVE DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS
SYSTEM AS IT GETS CLOSER TO SEE HOW MUCH IF ANY ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD STEADY IN THE
MID 30S WITH LOW TEMPERATURES WILL REMAINING IN THE LOW TO MID 20S
THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY NIGHT.

MARINE...

GUSTS TO MARGINAL LOW-END EASTERLY GALES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHERN LAKE HURON. MODERATE SOUTH SOUTHEAST BREEZE OVER SOUTHERN
LAKE HURON WILL ALLOW SIGNIFICANT WAVES TO BUILD IN THE NEARSHORE
WATERS WARRANTING CONTINUANCE OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS
WILL THEN VEER TO SOUTHERLY FOR MUCH OF TUESDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD FRONT WHICH WILL TRAVERSE THE WATERS DURING THE EVENING.
WESTERLY GALES ARE APPEARING INCREASINGLY LIKELY TUESDAY EVENING
INTO WEDNESDAY. ISSUANCE OF A GALE WATCH OR WARNING FOR THIS PERIOD
WILL CONSIDERED  ONCE THE CURRENT GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN LAKE
HURON EXPIRES.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LAKE HURON...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LHZ361-362.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LHZ441-442.

LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.
&&

AVIATION.....DG
SHORT TERM...SS
LONG TERM....JVC/RK
MARINE.......JVC

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
351 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-112100-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
351 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-112100-
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
351 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A GALE WARNING AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN LAKE HURON
NORTH
OF STURGEON POINT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SS
YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).