Beach Hazards Statement 6, NWS Duluth, MN

670 
WHUS43 KDLH 050100
CFWDLH

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
800 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

MNZ037-WIZ001-050200-
/O.EXP.KDLH.BH.S.0006.000000T0000Z-140805T0100Z/
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE BEACHES OF...DULUTH...SUPERIOR...
AND PARK POINT BEACH
800 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

NORTHEAST WINDS AND WAVES WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING.
EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TUESDAY BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BE QUITE AS STRONG AS THEY WERE TODAY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
716 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 714 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

UPDATED FOR NEW AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH
WILL PRODUCE QUIETER AND COOLER WEATHER ACROSS THE NORTHLAND TODAY.
MORNING FOG IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY MID MORNING. THIS
MORNING WE HAVE A VERY LARGE TEMPERATURE RANGE ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH MID 40S AS OF 3 AM ALONG AND NORTH OF THE IRON
RANGE...AND VALUES AROUND 60 FROM THE BRAINERD LAKES TO THE SAINT
CROIX RIVER VALLEY.  DESPITE THIS COOL START...HIGHS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO YESTERDAY...RISING TO THE LOW TO MID 70S NORTH...TO MID AND UPPER
70S SOUTH.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND THE TIP OF THE ARROWHEAD TODAY
AND THIS EVENING...BUT WILL NOT BE VERY STRONG AND NO SEVERE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED.  THE SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND LEAVE US
WITH CLEARING SKIES FOR OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  IT WILL BE ANOTHER COOL
ONE WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE MID 40S AGAIN NORTH...WITH LOW 50S SOUTH.

TUESDAY WE BEGIN TO GET INTO SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES ALREADY...WITH A
SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS ONTARIO DURIN THE DAYTIME.  MOST MODELS ARE
KEEPING THIS WAVE AND RESULTING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
ONTARIO...BUT A FEW ARE BRINGING THEM DOWN INTO THE ARROWHEAD DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  FOR NOW HAVE DECIDED TO GO DRY...WITH THE
SURFACE RIDGE FAIRLY STRONG AND DEWPOINTS LIKELY TO BE IN THE UPPER
40S-LOW 50S...IF NOT LOWER.  THE MODELS SHOWING SHOWERS HAVE MUCH
HIGHER DEWPOINTS...SHOWING THEY HAVE TOO MUCH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
THUS...HAVE GONE WITH THE DRIER SOLUTIONS.  WITH ANOTHER RELATIVELY
DEEP MIXING DAY EXPECTED...HAVE GONE WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID
70S...THOUGH WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW HIGHER READINGS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL BRING A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHEASTERN MINNESOTA TUESDAY EVENING...BUT
OTHERWISE IT SHOULD BE A QUIET NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL
ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
AND MAJOR UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SHOULD BRING A DRY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY TO THE NORTHLAND. WHILE THERE MAY BE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM ON THOSE DAYS...DO NOT FEEL IT IS ENOUGH OF A THREAT TO
INCLUDE AREA WIDE AT THIS POINT. WILL GRADUALLY INTRODUCE POPS
STARTING IN THE WESTERN AREAS ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND THEN INCREASING
IN COVERAGE AND CHANCE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. STILL MAINTAINING CHANCE
POPS FOR THE WEEKEND THOUGH AS IT SO FAR LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE
VARIOUS CHANCES BUT NOTHING WELL ORGANIZED. BEST CHANCE MAY COME
LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE REGION. HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE FROM
THE MID 70S TO THE MID 80S. HUMIDITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING
THE WEEKEND AS MOISTURE MAKES A RETURN TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 714 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

LOCAL FOG WILL GRADUALLY BURN OFF DURING THE MORNING...REVEALING
VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. THE MOST SUBSTANTIAL FOG
EARLY TODAY WILL BE CONFINED TO THE KHYR AREA WITH LESSER FOG
NORTH AND WEST OF THAT AREA. SOME ADDITIONAL FOG DEVELOPMENT WILL
BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...DUE TO LIGHT WINDS...AND RELATIVELY HIGH
DEWPOINT AIR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  71  53  74  55 /  10   0   0  10
INL  75  48  77  53 /   0   0  10  20
BRD  78  54  76  56 /  10   0   0  10
HYR  75  50  74  52 /  20  10  10  10
ASX  72  49  74  52 /  20   0   0  10

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...DAP
SHORT TERM...LE
LONG TERM...DAP
AVIATION...DAP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
429 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-051130-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
429 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN AND THE TIP OF THE ARROWHEAD FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH
EARLY EVENING. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE PARK POINT
BEACH IN DULUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS MEANS CONDITIONS SUPPORT STRONGER OR MORE FREQUENT
RIP CURRENTS.

PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST BEGINNING ON THURSDAY...AND
CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

LSZ121-140>148-051130-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
429 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

LE

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH (ALL LOWER CASE)