Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 165, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 25, 2014Hamilton County, Kearny County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 25, 2014, 5:14 PM MDT for Hamilton County, Kearny County, Kansas. It was in force for 61 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 25, 2014, 5:14 PM MDT (23:14 UTC)
Expired: Jun 25, 2014, 6:15 PM MDT
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Hamilton County, KS, Kearny County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 148 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 25, 5:35 PM MDT	HAIL 1.75	4 S Syracuse, KS
Jun 25, 6:22 PM MDT	HAIL 1.25	7 Wsw Syracuse, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 21 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1637 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

500 
WUUS53 KDDC 252314
SVRDDC
KSC075-093-260015-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0165.140625T2314Z-140626T0015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
514 PM MDT WED JUN 25 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
  WESTERN KEARNY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 615 PM MDT/715 PM CDT/

* AT 511 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST
  OF SYRACUSE...AND MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
           ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  KENDALL AND SYRACUSE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3823 10196 3819 10126 3775 10151 3778 10193
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 169DEG 13KT 3791 10171

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

FINCH

2 follow-up statements

765 
WWUS53 KDDC 252345
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
645 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

KSC075-093-260015-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0165.000000T0000Z-140626T0015Z/
KEARNY KS-HAMILTON KS-
545 PM MDT WED JUN 25 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAMILTON AND
WESTERN KEARNY COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM MDT/715 PM CDT/...

AT 541 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF SYRACUSE...AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...AT 635 PM A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL 4 
MILES SOUTH OF SYRACUSE.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3823 10196 3819 10126 3775 10151 3778 10193
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 063DEG 9KT 3787 10182

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

FINCH

198 
WWUS53 KDDC 260002
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
702 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

KSC093-260010-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0165.000000T0000Z-140626T0015Z/
KEARNY KS-
702 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN KEARNY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE 
WARNED AREA FOR THE DURATION OF THE INITIAL WARNING PERIOD.

LAT...LON 3810 10155 3779 10155 3778 10193 3823 10196
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 067DEG 5KT 3787 10183

$$

KSC075-260015-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0165.000000T0000Z-140626T0015Z/
HAMILTON KS-
602 PM MDT WED JUN 25 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL
HAMILTON COUNTY UNTIL 615 PM MDT...

AT 556 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF SYRACUSE...AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3810 10155 3779 10155 3778 10193 3823 10196
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 067DEG 5KT 3787 10183

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

FINCH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 25, 2:10 PM MDT, 3 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 2:10 PM MDT, 3 hours 4 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
310 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2014

...Updated for Short Term...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

The main forecast challenges are chances of thunderstorms into
Thursday.

Moist upslope flow continues tonight with south to southeast winds
of 10 to 15 mph and dewpoints in the 60s. Many of the short term
models show thunderstorms moving east from eastern Colorado and into
far western Kansas by around 7 to 10 pm, then towards Dodge City by
around midnight. Very light winds aloft with jet level winds less
than 30 knots are forecast into tonight, along with weak mid level
winds of 10 to 20 knots. With weak wind shear the chances for
supercell and rotating thunderstorms are not good, with only
marginally severe storms far west towards the Colorado border. Some
brief heavy rainfall and strong wind gusts will be the main hazards
tonight. Will keep the highest chances for thunderstorms west early
then towards Dodge City around midnight, then ending in far south
central sections by morning. Overnight lows will be mild in the low
to mid 60s.

For Thursday, an upper level trough moves toward the Intermountain
West with still not very strong winds across western Kansas. The
upper level winds increase to around 50 knots, with mid levels still
weak at 10 to 15 knots. South winds will increase to 15 to 25 mph
with some moderate instability forecast. Current thoughts are a few
thunderstorms could form toward late afternoon or evening. If they
form some could be severe with heavy rainfall. Highs will be warmer
and around 90 to 93 degrees.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

Thursday night/Friday:

Another MCS is possible Thursday night per EC/WRF-ARW/WRF-NMM. The operational
NAM is drier, so will keep just with slight pops now. Overnight lows
will be in the 60s and 70s.

A more significant upper level trough will move across the region Friday.
This system has more dynamics associated with it with 75-100 kt 250-hPa
jet nosing in from the northwest. Will have to watch for severe thunderstorms
as plenty of cape is forecast along with fairly strong and veering upper
level winds.

Saturday and beyond:

More thunderstorms will be possible Saturday along a frontal boundary.
Beyond that, temperatures will moderate and be in the 90s by the end
of the weekend into next week. Another chance for storms is possible
Tuesday and Wednesday with a fropa and eventual upslope flow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1151 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

Expect VFR conditions to continue into early evening. There may be
a scattered thunderstorm after 3 pm CDT. More thunderstorms are
possible after midnight with some models indicating a cluster of
storms moving out of Colorado and into western Kansas. Other
models show little to nothing. Have removed thunder probabilities
out of the TAFs for now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  66  90  68  92 /  50  10  20  10
GCK  66  92  68  93 /  50  10  20  20
EHA  65  92  67  94 /  50  20  10  10
LBL  67  93  69  96 /  50  10  10  10
HYS  66  90  71  91 /  40  20  20  20
P28  67  90  73  92 /  30  20  20  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Kruse

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 2:32 PM MDT, 2 hours 42 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
332 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-262200-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
332 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014 /232 PM MDT WED JUN 25 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON,
THEN INCREASING ACROSS FAR WESTERN KANSAS IN THE EVENING. MORE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO AND FAR WESTERN
KANSAS DURING THE EVENING AND PROPAGATE EASTWARD TOWARD DODGE CITY
BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT LIKELY, WITH THE MAIN THREAT OF SMALL HAIL, BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL, AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR
PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL, SOUTHWEST, AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE GREATEST CHANCE WILL BE FARTHER
NORTH, THOUGH, ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 96.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

06

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 25, 4:32 PM MDT, 42 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
532 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

KSZ061-062-252315-
HAMILTON-KEARNY-
432 PM MDT WED JUN 25 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN HAMILTON AND WESTERN
KEARNY COUNTIES...

AT 431 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES SOUTH OF SYRACUSE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3823 10176 3814 10131 3774 10161 3781 10180
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 197DEG 17KT 3782 10171

FINCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 25, 4:32 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hamilton	43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.