Alert archive / Wyoming / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 5, NWS Cheyenne, WY
NWS Cheyenne, WY issued this river flood warning at May 25, 2014, 10:38 AM MDT for Carbon County, Wyoming. It took effect at May 29, 2014, 2:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 59 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 25, 2014, 10:38 AM MDT (16:38 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 29, 2014, 2:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- May 31, 2014, 12:53 PM MDT
- In force
- 59 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cheyenne, WY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Carbon County, WY
The radar
The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 165 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Encampment River at Mouth near Encampment (ECRW4).
- Action stage
- 5.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 6.5 ft
- Moderate stage
- 7.5 ft
- Major stage
- 8.5 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06625000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
918
WGUS45 KCYS 251638
FLWCYS
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1038 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WYOMING...
...ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY...
...NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY...
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY:
RAIN SHOWERS TO BECOME WIDESPREAD BY EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY ACROSS
THE SNOWY AND SIERRA MADRE RANGES WHICH WILL INCREASE SNOW MELT
FROM ELEVATIONS ABOVE 9500 FEET. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES MONDAY
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE SNOW MELT
AND CAUSE RIVERS TO CONTINUE RISING THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED:
&&
WYC007-261638-
/O.NEW.KCYS.FL.W.0005.140529T1030Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECRW4.1.ER.140529T1030Z.140529T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1038 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT.
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BY THURSDAY
MORNING THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR 6.6 FEET BY 6 AM.
* THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 6.5 FEET LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
&&
* IMPACT...AT 6.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. LOW LYING FLOODING UPSTREAM IN
RIVERSIDE. FLOODING OVER LOWER CAMPSITES ALONG RIVER AT LAZY ACRES
CAMPGROUND IN RIVERSIDE. MINOR FLOODING OVER ODD FELLOWS CAMPGROUND
AND BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD. WATER BEGINS TO ENCROACH GAGEHOUSE.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...BANKFULL STAGE. NEED TO MONITOR LEVEL OF THE
RIVER UPSTREAM IN RIVERSIDE. WATER BEGINS TO FLOW OVER THE LOW
LYING AREAS NEAR LAZY ACRES CAMPGROUND IN RIVERSIDE. WATER BEGINS
TO FLOW OVER THE LOW LYING AREAS OF ODD FELLOWS CAMPGROUND AND
BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 6.6 FEET
ON JUN 6 1974.
&&
LAT...LON 4132 10673 4129 10669 4105 10675 4105 10690
4124 10686
$$
WYC007-261638-
/O.NEW.KCYS.FL.W.0006.140526T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/SINW4.2.ER.140526T1500Z.140530T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1038 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR.
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AT 9 AM AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FEET BY NOON
WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 9.9 FEET BY 9 AM
MONDAY.
* THE STAGE WILL CREST AROUND 10.2 FEET THURSDAY EVENING.
&&
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD
ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR THE FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE.
FLOODING ALSO INTENSIFIES ACROSS LOW LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR
GOLF COURSE.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING ALONG
LEFT BANK NEAR THE FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE. MINOR FLOODING
ACROSS LOW LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...BANKFULL STAGE. THE RIVER MAY BEGIN TO
OVERTOP ITS BANKS ACROSS LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR
THE FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE. MINOR FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE ALONG LOW LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.9 FEET
ON JUN 26 1983.
&&
LAT...LON 4193 10697 4188 10694 4174 10688 4174 10707
4191 10712
$$8 follow-up statements
624
WGUS85 KCYS 260429
FLSCYS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1029 PM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WYOMING...
...ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY...
...NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY...
...NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY...
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY:
A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP THIS WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CAUSE RAPID SNOW MELT IN THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING.
RUNOFF DUE TO SNOWMELT WILL CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED: MONDAY MORNING.
&&
WYC007-261629-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0005.140529T1030Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECRW4.1.ER.140529T1030Z.140529T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1029 PM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT
* THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 6.5 FEET AT 06 AM
MDT MONDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER STAGE IS EXPECTED TO FLUCTUATE BETWEEN 6.0 FEET AND
6.5 FEET THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
&&
* IMPACT...AT 6.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. LOW LYING FLOODING UPSTREAM IN
RIVERSIDE. FLOODING OVER LOWER CAMPSITES ALONG RIVER AT LAZY ACRES
CAMPGROUND IN RIVERSIDE. MINOR FLOODING OVER ODD FELLOWS CAMPGROUND
AND BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD. WATER BEGINS TO ENCROACH GAGEHOUSE.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...BANKFULL STAGE. NEED TO MONITOR LEVEL OF THE
RIVER UPSTREAM IN RIVERSIDE. WATER BEGINS TO FLOW OVER THE LOW
LYING AREAS NEAR LAZY ACRES CAMPGROUND IN RIVERSIDE. WATER BEGINS
TO FLOW OVER THE LOW LYING AREAS OF ODD FELLOWS CAMPGROUND AND
BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 6.6 FEET
ON JUN 6 1974.
&&
LAT...LON 4132 10673 4129 10669 4105 10675 4105 10690
4124 10686
$$
WYC007-261629-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0006.140526T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/SINW4.2.ER.140526T1500Z.140530T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1029 PM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR
FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AT 9 AM AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FEET BY NOON
WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 9.9 FEET BY 9 AM
MONDAY.
* THE STAGE WILL CREST AROUND 10.2 FEET THURSDAY EVENING.
&&
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD
ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR THE FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE.
FLOODING ALSO INTENSIFIES ACROSS LOW LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR
GOLF COURSE.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING ALONG
LEFT BANK NEAR THE FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE. MINOR FLOODING
ACROSS LOW LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...BANKFULL STAGE. THE RIVER MAY BEGIN TO
OVERTOP ITS BANKS ACROSS LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR
THE FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE. MINOR FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE ALONG LOW LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.9 FEET
ON JUN 26 1983.
&&
LAT...LON 4193 10697 4188 10694 4174 10688 4174 10707
4191 10712
$$
WYC007-261628-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRAW4.2.ER.140524T2330Z.140531T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1029 PM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
* THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE OF
9.5 FEET BY NOON TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL STAY AROUND 9.5 FEET THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...THEN INCREASE TO 9.9 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AT 10 PM MDT SUNDAY EVENING.
* THE STAGE WILL CREST AROUND 9.9 FEET FRIDAY.
&&
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OF DEER HAVEN MOBILE HOME PARK
JUST NORTH OF DOWNTOWN SARATOGA. MINOR FLOODING OF HOMES ALONG LEFT
AND RIGHT BANKS IN SARATOGA. VETERANS ISLAND PARK IS INUNDATED WITH
FLOOD WATERS. A MAJORITY OF THE GOLF COURSE NEAR THE SARATOGA INN
IS UNDER WATER. WATER APPROACHING BASE OF WOODEN STEPS OF NE
CORNER OF SIERRA MADRE TROUT CLUB HOUSE 100 FT DOWNSTREAM ON LEFT
BANK.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IN THE DEER HAVEN
MOBILE HOME AND RV PARK INTENSIFIES AND BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD.
STANDING WATER OVER YARDS OF HOMES ALONG RIVER IN TOWN. FLOOD
WATERS BEGIN AFFECTING ACCESS TO VETERANS ISLAND PARK. THE GOLF
COURSE NEAR THE SARATOGA INN BECOMES INUNDATED WITH WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. LOW LYING AREAS IN THE DEER
HAVEN MOBILE HOME AND RV PARK JUST NORTH OF DOWNTOWN BEGIN TO BE
IMPACTED BY FLOOD WATERS. WATER APPROACHES LOW LYING AREAS OF HOMES
ALONG RIVER IN TOWN. WATER ENTERING LOW AREAS OF VETERANS ISLAND
PARK.
* IMPACT...AT 7.5 FEET...BANKFULL STAGE. WATER APPROACHES LOW LYING
AREAS WITH ONLY MINOR FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.2 FEET
ON JUN 13 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 4174 10707 4174 10688 4140 10665 4132 10684
4155 10705
$$
SML596
WGUS85 KCYS 261804
FLSCYS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1204 PM MDT MON MAY 26 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WYOMING...
ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY:
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THE ACCELERATED SNOW MELT
OFF THE SNOWY AND SIERRA MADRE RANGES THROUGH MOST OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AS A RESULT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED: TUESDAY MORNING.
&&
WYC007-271804-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0005.140529T1030Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECRW4.1.ER.140529T1030Z.140529T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1204 PM MDT MON MAY 26 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT
* THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 6.5 FEET BY 4 AM
THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...LOWER ENDS OF LAZY ACRES CAMPGROUND BEGIN TO
BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. INCREASED FLOODING OVER THE ODD FELLOWS
CAMPGROUND. LOW AREAS ALONG BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD MAY BECOME
IMPASSABLE. ACCESS ROAD NEAR RIVER TO GAGE HOUSE MAY BECOME
IMPASSABLE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 6.6 FEET
ON JUN 6 1974.
&&
LAT...LON 4132 10673 4129 10669 4105 10675 4105 10690
4124 10686
$$
WYC007-271804-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SINW4.2.ER.140526T1715Z.140530T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1204 PM MDT MON MAY 26 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR
* THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 9.0 FEET BY NOON
TODAY.
* THE STAGE WILL CREST AROUND 10.4 FEET BY 6 PM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND AREAS ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR THE
FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. LOW
LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE BECOME TOTALLY SUBMERGED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.9 FEET
ON JUN 26 1983.
&&
LAT...LON 4193 10697 4188 10694 4174 10688 4174 10707
4191 10712
$$
WYC007-271804-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRAW4.2.ER.140524T2330Z.140531T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1204 PM MDT MON MAY 26 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA
* THE STAGE WILL CREST AROUND 10.4 FEET BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...RECORD STAGE ON JUNE 9 2011.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.2 FEET
ON JUN 13 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 4174 10707 4174 10688 4140 10665 4132 10684
4155 10705
$$409
WGUS85 KCYS 270422
FLSCYS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1022 PM MDT MON MAY 26 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WYOMING...
ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WYOMING...
NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY:
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THE ACCELERATED SNOW MELT
OFF THE SNOWY AND SIERRA MADRE RANGES THROUGH MOST OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AS A RESULT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED: TUESDAY MORNING
&&
WYC007-280422-
/O.EXT.KCYS.FL.W.0005.140529T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECRW4.1.ER.140529T0800Z.140530T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1022 PM MDT MON MAY 26 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT
* THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 6.5 FEET AT 2 AM
THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...LOWER ENDS OF LAZY ACRES CAMPGROUND BEGIN TO
BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. INCREASED FLOODING OVER THE ODD FELLOWS
CAMPGROUND. LOW AREAS ALONG BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD MAY BECOME
IMPASSABLE. ACCESS ROAD NEAR RIVER TO GAGE HOUSE MAY BECOME
IMPASSABLE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 6.8 FEET
ON JUN 14 1965.
&&
LAT...LON 4132 10673 4129 10669 4105 10675 4105 10690
4124 10686
$$
WYC007-280422-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SINW4.2.ER.140526T1945Z.140530T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1022 PM MDT MON MAY 26 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR
* THE STAGE WILL CREST AROUND 10.2 FEET AT MIDNIGHT THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND AREAS ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR THE
FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. LOW
LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE BECOME TOTALLY SUBMERGED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.8 FEET
ON MAY 26 1984.
&&
LAT...LON 4193 10697 4188 10694 4174 10688 4174 10707
4191 10712
$$
WYC007-280422-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRAW4.2.ER.140524T2330Z.140530T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1022 PM MDT MON MAY 26 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA
* THE STAGE WILL CLIMB TO AROUND 9.9 FEET AT 12 PM TUESDAY...
AND CONTINUE CLIMBING TO AROUND 10.4 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...RECORD STAGE (6/9/2011).
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.5 FEET
ON JUN 9 2011.
&&
LAT...LON 4174 10707 4174 10688 4140 10665 4132 10684
4155 10705
$$693
WGUS85 KCYS 271751
FLSCYS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1151 AM MDT TUE MAY 27 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WYOMING...
ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY:
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE ACCELERATED SNOW MELT
OFF THE SNOWY AND SIERRA MADRE RANGES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. WE COULD SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR
70 DEGREES WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 40S...KEEPING SNOW
MELT GOING OVERNIGHT. REMNANTS OF HURRICANE AMANDA COULD ARRIVE
IN SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING AS EARLY AS FRIDAY WHICH COULD CREATE
A SIGNIFICANT RAIN ON SNOW EVENT. RIVER LEVELS COULD BE
SUBSTANTIALLY HIGHER THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST BASED ON RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ACTUALLY RECEIVED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED: WEDNESDAY MORNING.
&&
WYC007-281751-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0005.140529T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECRW4.1.ER.140529T0800Z.140530T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1151 AM MDT TUE MAY 27 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT
* THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 6.5 FEET AT 02 AM
THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...LOWER ENDS OF LAZY ACRES CAMPGROUND BEGIN TO
BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. INCREASED FLOODING OVER THE ODD FELLOWS
CAMPGROUND. LOW AREAS ALONG BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD MAY BECOME
IMPASSABLE. ACCESS ROAD NEAR RIVER TO GAGE HOUSE MAY BECOME
IMPASSABLE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 6.8 FEET
ON JUN 14 1965.
&&
LAT...LON 4132 10673 4129 10669 4105 10675 4105 10690
4124 10686
$$
WYC007-281751-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SINW4.2.ER.140526T1945Z.140530T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1151 AM MDT TUE MAY 27 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR
* THE STAGE WILL RISE TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FEET BY 8 PM
WEDNESDAY AND IS FORECAST TO CREST AROUND 10.4 FEET NEAR MIDNIGHT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND AREAS ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR THE
FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. LOW
LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE BECOME TOTALLY SUBMERGED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.8 FEET
ON MAY 26 1984.
&&
LAT...LON 4193 10697 4188 10694 4174 10688 4174 10707
4191 10712
$$
WYC007-281751-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRAW4.2.ER.140524T2330Z.140530T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1151 AM MDT TUE MAY 27 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA
* THE STAGE WILL CREST AROUND 10.4 FEET AT 12 PM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...RECORD STAGE JUNE 9 2011.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.5 FEET
ON JUN 9 2011.
&&
LAT...LON 4174 10707 4174 10688 4140 10665 4132 10684
4155 10705
$$865
WGUS85 KCYS 281820
FLSCYS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1220 PM MDT WED MAY 28 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WYOMING...
ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY:
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ACCELERATE SNOW MELT OFF THE SNOWY AND
SIERRA MADRE RANGES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL BE NEAR 70 WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. REMNANTS OF HURRICANE AMANDA COULD ARRIVE
IN SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING AS EARLY AS FRIDAY WHICH COULD CREATE
A SIGNIFICANT RAIN ON SNOW EVENT. RIVER LEVELS COULD BE
SUBSTANTIALLY HIGHER THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST BASED ON RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ACTUALLY RECEIVED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED: LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
&&
WYC007-291820-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0005.140529T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECRW4.1.ER.140529T0800Z.140531T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1220 PM MDT WED MAY 28 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT
* THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 6.5 FEET THURSDAY
MORNING AND FLUCTUATE BETWEEN 6.5 FEET AND 6.7 FEET THROUGH
SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...LOWER ENDS OF LAZY ACRES CAMPGROUND BEGIN TO
BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. INCREASED FLOODING OVER THE ODD FELLOWS
CAMPGROUND. LOW AREAS ALONG BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD MAY BECOME
IMPASSABLE. ACCESS ROAD NEAR RIVER TO GAGE HOUSE MAY BECOME
IMPASSABLE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 6.9 FEET
ON JUN 5 1956.
&&
LAT...LON 4132 10673 4129 10669 4105 10675 4105 10690
4124 10686
$$
WYC007-291820-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SINW4.2.ER.140526T1945Z.140601T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1220 PM MDT WED MAY 28 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR
* THE STAGE WILL FLUCTUATE BETWEEN 10.1 FEET AND 10.4 FEET THROUGH
FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND AREAS ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR THE
FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. LOW
LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE BECOME TOTALLY SUBMERGED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.8 FEET
ON MAY 26 1984.
&&
LAT...LON 4193 10697 4188 10694 4174 10688 4174 10707
4191 10712
$$
WYC007-291820-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRAW4.2.ER.140524T2330Z.140531T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1220 PM MDT WED MAY 28 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT SARATOGA
* THE STAGE WILL FLUCTUATE BETWEEN 10.1 FEET AND 10.4 FEET THROUGH
FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...RECORD STAGE (6/9/2011).
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.5 FEET
ON JUN 9 2011.
&&
LAT...LON 4174 10707 4174 10688 4140 10665 4132 10684
4155 10705
$$523
WGUS85 KCYS 291822
FLSCYS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1222 PM MDT THU MAY 29 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WYOMING...
ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY:
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL PRODUCE GOOD SNOW MELT OFF THE SNOWY AND SIERRA
MADRE RANGES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
MOUNTAINS WILL BE IN THE 60S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 40S...KEEPING
SNOW MELT GOING OVERNIGHT. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE RAIN SHOWER
CHANCES ON FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED: LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
&&
WYC007-301822-
/O.EXT.KCYS.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140603T0600Z/
/ECRW4.3.ER.140529T0552Z.140531T1200Z.140603T0000Z.NR/
1222 PM MDT THU MAY 29 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT
* THE STAGE WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 7.4 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.5 FEET...HALF OF THE LAZY ACRES CAMPGROUND BECOMES
INUNDATED. INCREASED FLOODING ALONG BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD. ROAD MAY
BECOME IMPASSABLE AT MANY LOCATIONS NEAR THE RIVER. ACCESS ROAD
NEAR RIVER TO GAGE HOUSE BECOMES IMPASSABLE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.3 FEET
ON JUN 17 2011.
&&
LAT...LON 4132 10673 4129 10669 4105 10675 4105 10690
4124 10686
$$
WYC007-301822-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SINW4.2.ER.140526T1945Z.140602T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1222 PM MDT THU MAY 29 2014
* FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR
* THE STAGE WILL BE BETWEEN 10.4 FEET AND 10.6 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND AREAS ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR THE
FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. LOW
LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE BECOME TOTALLY SUBMERGED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.8 FEET
ON MAY 26 1984.
&&
LAT...LON 4193 10697 4188 10694 4174 10688 4174 10707
4191 10712
$$645
WGUS45 KCYS 301656
FLWCYS
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1056 AM MDT FRI MAY 30 2014
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE
FOLLOWING RIVER IN WYOMING...
ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY FOR THE
FOLLOWING RIVER IN WYOMING...
NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY:
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO PRODUCE GOOD RUNOFF FROM THE SIERRA
MADRE AND SNOWY RANGES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE MOUNTAINS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE LOW 40S. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL STREAM ACROSS THE REGION
TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED: LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
&&
WYC007-311656-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140603T0600Z/
/ECRW4.3.ER.140529T0552Z.140531T1200Z.140603T0000Z.NR/
1056 AM MDT FRI MAY 30 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT.
* FORECAST...THE STAGE WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST AROUND 7.6 FEET
BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* THE STAGE WILL DECREASE AFTER SATURDAY MORNING BUT REMAIN ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE OF 6.5 FEET THROUGH SUNDAY.
&&
* IMPACT...AT 7.5 FEET...HALF OF THE LAZY ACRES CAMPGROUND BECOMES
INUNDATED. INCREASED FLOODING ALONG BAGGOT ROCKS ROAD. ROAD MAY
BECOME IMPASSABLE AT MANY LOCATIONS NEAR THE RIVER. ACCESS ROAD
NEAR RIVER TO GAGE HOUSE BECOMES IMPASSABLE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.3 FEET
ON JUN 17 2011.
&&
LAT...LON 4132 10673 4129 10669 4105 10675 4105 10690
4124 10686
$$
WYC007-311656-
/O.CON.KCYS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SINW4.2.ER.140526T1945Z.140602T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1056 AM MDT FRI MAY 30 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR SINCLAIR.
* FORECAST...THE STAGE WILL CONTINUE RISING AND RISE ABOVE 11.0
FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* THE STAGE WILL CREST AROUND 11.6 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING.
&&
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND AREAS ALONG THE LEFT BANK NEAR THE
FORT STEELE STATE HISTORIC SITE BECOME TOTALLY INUNDATED. LOW
LYING AREAS AT THE SINCLAIR GOLF COURSE BECOME TOTALLY SUBMERGED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.8 FEET
ON MAY 26 1984.
&&
LAT...LON 4193 10697 4188 10694 4174 10688 4174 10707
4191 10712
$$187
WGUS85 KCYS 311853
FLSCYS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1253 PM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WYOMING...
ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT AFFECTING CARBON COUNTY
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY:
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO PRODUCE RUNOFF FROM THE SIERRA
MADRE AND SNOWY RANGES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE MOUNTAINS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE LOW 40S. DESPITE THE RUNOFF...STAGES ALONG THE
ENCAMPMENT RIVER ARE FORECASTED TO START DECREASING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS EVENT.
&&
WYC007-311923-
/O.CAN.KCYS.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140603T0600Z/
/ECRW4.1.ER.140529T0552Z.140531T1000Z.140531T1415Z.NR/
1253 PM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014
* FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE ENCAMPMENT RIVER AT ENCAMPMENT
* THE STAGE WILL CONTINUE FALLING AND REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 6.4 FEET
ON JUN 26 1982.
&&
LAT...LON 4132 10673 4129 10669 4105 10675 4105 10690
4124 10686
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cheyenne, WY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 25, 5:56 AM MDT, 4 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 25, 5:56 AM MDT, 4 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
556 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 428 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS A VIGOROUS UPPER-LEVEL
LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS TREND HAS BEEN WELL ADVERTISED IN THE MODELS OVER
THE PAST FEW DAYS...BUT IT DOES APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE AHEAD OF
SCHEDULE. SHOULD SEE THIS SYSTEM CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS BY THIS AFTN AHEAD OF A SHORT
WAVE DISTURBANCE OVER THE EASTERN NPAC. AS SUCH...POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTN STILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER
HEADLINES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PATCHY FOG AND OTHERWISE LOW CEILINGS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE
PLAINS OVERNIGHT. KIMBALL WAS REPORTING VISIBILITIES DOWN TO ONE
QUARTER OF A MILE AT 230 AM MDT AND AM SEEING SOME HINTS OF LOWER
VISIBILITY ELSEWHERE ON AREA WEBCAMS. MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE
LLVLS WILL KEEP T-TD SPREADS LESS THAN 3 DEG F...SO CONTINUED THE
MENTION OF PATCHY FOG IN THE FCST. EXPANDED THAT AREA INTO THE
PLATTE RIVER VALLEY AS WOULD EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS TO FUNNEL UP
THE VALLEY IN THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT. COLUMN
DRIES QUITE A BIT AFTER 15Z...SO DO NOT EXPECT FOG TO LAST VERY
LONG MUCH LIKE PREVIOUS DAYS.
MID AND UPPER-LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL IMPROVE TREMENDOUSLY OVER THE
AREA THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE APPROACHING LOW. 700-500 MILLIBAR
THETA-E RIDGE AXIS/TROWAL FEATURE ON THE BACK SIDE IS EVIDENT ON
INFRARED SATELLITE WITH PRECIP SHIELD CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN
THIRD OF CO. THE MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT BRINGING THIS
FEATURE INTO OUR WESTERN AND NORTHERN ZONES BY AFTN. STILL HAVE
SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE IMPACT OF THE MIDLVL DRY SLOT PROGGED
TO MOVE INTO OUR SOUTHEAST ZONES. COULD HAVE SOME MORE CIRRUS BLOW
OFF FROM CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. BUT IF NOT...THIS
WOULD SUPPORT SLIGHTLY STRONGER DIURNAL HEATING AND PTNL FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD AFTN CONVECTION AS THE HRRR MIGHT SUGGEST. HOWEVER THE
GREATEST COVERAGE WILL BE TO THE WEST IN THE MORE PRONOUNCED 700
TO 300 MILLIBAR MOISTURE. THE WESTERN FOCUS OF THIS EVENT SUPPORTS
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE MOUNTAINS. SINCE THE UPPER LOW IS
EJECTING OUT SO EARLY...THE GFS SUGGESTS THE FLOW ALOFT MAY BE A
FEW KTS STRONGER AND STORM MOTIONS WILL NOT BE STATIONARY...BUT
STILL NOT MOVING ALL THAT QUICKLY. STRONGER FLOW COULD ALSO MEAN
BETTER STORM ORGANIZATION AND MORE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS. FCST
SOUNDINGS STILL SHOW TALL/SKINNY CAPE PROFILES AND PW VALUES ARE
WELL OVER A HALF INCH FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. EVEN THOUGH THE GFS
AND ECMWF ARE IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT WITH HIGHER QPF OVER A MORE
WIDESPREAD AREA...SUSPECT SOUTHERN PLAINS CONVECTION WILL ROB A
BIT OF THE MOISTURE AND KEEP COVERAGE FROM BECOMING ANYTHING MORE
THAN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS. STILL...COULD BE QUITE A DANGEROUS
SITUATION OF HEAVY RAIN FALLS ON EXISTING SNOWPACK.
WARMER AND DRIER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST PERIOD WITH
ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS EXPECTED. MODELED CAPE VALUES ARE
LESS THAN 200 J/KG DURING THIS TIME...SO THE THREAT FOR ANY
STRONGER STORMS WILL BE NIL. GFS AND ECMWF BOTH SHOW A THERMAL
RIDGE AXIS BUILDING INTO THE CWA ON MON...BECOMING MUCH MORE
PRONOUNCED BY TUE AFTN WITH H7 TEMPS RANGING FROM AROUND 14 C
ABOVE RWL TO 10 C OVER THE WESTERN PANHANDLE. SOME MOS GUIDANCE IS
SHOWING TEMPS APPROACHING 90 IN THE VALLEYS...BUT DID NOT GO QUITE
THAT WARM GIVEN THE NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE LOW TO MID LVL FLOW
ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE.
.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 428 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER DEEP UPPER LOW DIGS INTO THE PAC NW.
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL MOVE OVERHEAD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS AND 700 MB
TEMPS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10 AND 14C ON WEDNESDAY WITHIN THIS
WAA PATTERN. RESULTING MAX TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE WITHIN THE 80S
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS...AND WILL ALSO INCREASE TO THE UPPER 70S
TO LOW 80S ACROSS THE WEST. EVEN IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 9000
FT...TEMPERATURES LOOK TO INCREASE WELL INTO THE 60S AND POSSIBLY
THE 70S. THESE WARM TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE SNOWMELT IN
THE HIGH PEAKS...AND THUS EXPECT RAPID RUNOFF INTO AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS WITH DOWNSTREAM FLOODING ALONG THESE RIVERS AN INCREASING
CONCERN. A WEAK SHORTWAVE LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON
WEDNESDAY AS WELL...BUT CONVECTION WILL REMAIN MINIMAL DUE TO
MARGINAL MOISTURE MOVING OVERHEAD.
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEING TO SHIFT EASTWARD ON THURSDAY WITH SW
WINDS ALOFT INCREASING A BIT AND ADVECTING IN MORE MID/UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE AND SHORTWAVE ENERGY. TEMPS WILL AGAIN BE WIDESPREAD 70S
AND 80S WITH A BETTER LIKELIHOOD OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. 00Z MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A
BATCH OF MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST PACIFIC STREAM UP INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR FRIDAY...SO WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS FOR
AFTERNOON TSTMS. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN PARKED ALONG THE WEST
COAST THROUGH SATURDAY UNTIL A STRONGER SUBTROPICAL JET PUSHES
ONSHORE AND INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE TO SEE ENERGETIC AND MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER THE ROCKIES AND WILL KEEP A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
FOR SATURDAY. COULD SEE A RETURN OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS
ACTIVITY DUE TO THE TROPICAL MOISTURE SOURCE. DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL
FLOW WILL MOVE OVERHEAD AS THE JET APPROACHES ON SUNDAY...SO COULD
SEE AN INCREASED COVERAGE OF CONVECTION DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY.
SO...AFTER A BRIEF BREAK IN STORM ACTIVITY MIDWEEK...AN ACTIVE
PATTERN WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 555 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
AREAS OF IFR-VLIFR CIGS AND VSBYS DEVELOPED EARLY THIS MORNING
FOR MANY AREAS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS IN MOIST EAST-SOUTHEAST
SFC FLOW. WILL SEE CONDITIONS STEADILY IMPROVE THROUGH 14-16Z.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND TSTORMS IS ANTICIPATED THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA...WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF THE LARAMIE RANGE. MVFR CONDITIONS
LOOK LIKELY IN THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN LIKELY
TONIGHT FOR MANY AREAS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KLAR AND KCYS
WHERE WEAK NNE UPSLOPE WINDS MAY PRODUCE LOW STRATUS AND FOG EARLY
MONDAY MORNING.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 428 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
MINIMAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. A FAIRLY MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND...WITH SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ALONG AND WEST OF A
CHEYENNE TO CHADRON LINE ON SUN AFTN AND EARLY EVE. HEAVY RAIN AND
SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS ACTIVITY. WARMER AND DRIER
WEATHER WILL RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER WINDS WILL BE ON THE
LIGHT SIDE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MORE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OFFING BY
LATE THIS WEEK. FUELS ARE IN GREEN UP FOR MUCH OF THE AREA...ALSO
LIMITING FIRE CONCERNS.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 428 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014
SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT IS ALREADY OCCURRING ACROSS MUCH OF THE SNOWY
AND SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS IN RESPONSE TO THE RECENT WARM WEATHER
PATTERN IN PLACE OVER THE AREA. THIS HAS PUSHED WATER LEVELS ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE AT THE LARAMIE RIVER AT LARAMIE AND THE NORTH PLATTE
RIVER AT SARATOGA. CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL COMBINE
WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PRODUCE
CONTINUED RIVER RISES ALONG MAJOR MAIN STEM RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH ADDITIONAL AREAS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING
FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE VALLEYS AND BASINS ADJACENT TO THE SOURCE
OF THE SNOWMELT. DEEP SNOW PACK STILL EXISTS OVER THE SNOWY AND
SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAIN RANGES. HEAVY RAIN ON THIS SNOW WILL CREATE
A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING...INCLUDING DANGEROUS MUD SLIDES AND
DEBRIS FLOWS AS SNOW COULD MELT RAPIDLY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH THE MID EVENING HOURS ON SUN FOR THE HIGH
COUNTRY. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGH
PLAINS...BUT THE THREAT IS TOO ISOLATED TO JUSTIFY THE EXPANSION
OF THE WATCH. REFER TO FFACYS FOR THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION ON
THE FLOODING POTENTIAL. WARNING INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
FLWCYS AND FLSCYS.
&&
.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR WYZ103-112-114.
FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
WYZ105-109-110-113-115.
NE...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...HAMMER
LONG TERM...RJM
AVIATION...RJM
FIRE WEATHER...HAMMER
HYDROLOGY...HAMMERHazardous weather outlook, May 25, 6:04 AM MDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 604 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014 NEZ002-003-019>021-054-055-095-096-WYZ101-102-107-108-118-119- 261215- DAWES-BOX BUTTE-SCOTTS BLUFF-BANNER-MORRILL-KIMBALL-CHEYENNE- NORTH SIOUX-SOUTH SIOUX-CONVERSE COUNTY LOWER ELEVATIONS- NIOBRARA COUNTY-EAST PLATTE COUNTY-GOSHEN COUNTY- CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY-EAST LARAMIE COUNTY- 604 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST WYOMING. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND EAST CENTRAL WYOMING...WHICH COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR STORMS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING OR ANY NOTABLE RISES IN RIVER OR STREAM LEVELS OVER THE WEEKEND. && THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CHEYENNE WYZ103>106-109>117-261215- NORTH LARAMIE RANGE-FERRIS/SEMINOE/SHIRLEY MOUNTAINS- SHIRLEY BASIN-CENTRAL LARAMIE RANGE AND SOUTHWEST PLATTE COUNTY- CENTRAL CARBON COUNTY-NORTH SNOWY RANGE FOOTHILLS- SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-SIERRA MADRE RANGE- UPPER NORTH PLATTE RIVER BASIN-SNOWY RANGE-LARAMIE VALLEY- SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE FOOTHILLS- 604 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL WYOMING... SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE LARAMIE RANGE...WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OVER A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. EMBEDDED...SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL OVER AN INCH IN PLACES...ESPECIALLY EAST AND NORTH FACING SLOPES OF THE SNOWY AND SIERRA MADRE RANGES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS WHERE RAIN COULD ACCELERATE MELTING OF THE DEEP SNOW PACK. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL INTERESTS OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND ADJUST PLANS ACCORDINGLY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR STORMS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING OR ANY NOTABLE RISES IN RIVER OR STREAM LEVELS OVER THE WEEKEND. && THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CHEYENNE
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 25, 5:40 AM MDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 540 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014 NEZ019>021-054-055-096-WYZ101-102-107-108-119-251400- SCOTTS BLUFF-BANNER-MORRILL-KIMBALL-CHEYENNE-SOUTH SIOUX- CONVERSE COUNTY LOWER ELEVATIONS-NIOBRARA COUNTY- EAST PLATTE COUNTY-GOSHEN COUNTY-EAST LARAMIE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTTSBLUFF...GERING...HARRISBURG... BRIDGEPORT...BAYARD...KIMBALL...SIDNEY...AGATE...DOUGLAS... GLENROCK...LUSK...GLENDO...WHEATLAND...CHUGWATER...GUERNSEY... TORRINGTON...BURNS...CARPENTER...ALBIN...PINE BLUFFS 540 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 2014 PATCHY DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND THE WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. THIS INCLUDES THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER VALLEY FROM GLENDO TO SCOTTSBLUFF AND OTHER LOW ELEVATION AREAS OF CONVERSE AND NIOBRARA COUNTIES...AS WELL AS THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR BETWEEN CHEYENNE AND SIDNEY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING...SLOW DOWN AND USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS. THE FOG SHOULD LIFT BY MID MORNING. HAMMER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Cheyenne, WY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 10:38 AM MDT | River Flood Warning | CYS | Carbon | 6 days |
| May 25, 11:29 AM MDT | River Flood Warning | CYS | Carbon | 8 days |
| May 25, 1:13 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | CYS | Goshen | 6 hr |
| May 25, 1:32 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | CYS | Goshen | 43 min |
| May 25, 1:46 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | CYS | Albany | 6 hr |
| May 25, 2:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Goshen | 64 min |
| May 25, 3:19 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | CYS | Platte | 26 min |
| May 25, 3:24 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | CYS | Albany, Carbon | 6 hr |
| May 25, 3:45 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | CYS | Platte | 30 min |
| May 25, 4:05 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | CYS | Platte | 25 min |
| May 25, 4:16 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | CYS | Platte | 29 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Wyoming, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.