Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS State College, PA

February 2, 201411 counties in Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this winter storm warning at Feb 2, 2014, 5:06 PM EST for 11 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Feb 3, 2014, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 15 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 2, 2014, 5:06 PM EST (22:06 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 3, 2014, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 3, 2014, 2:35 PM EST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA

Counties Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Perry County, PA, Somerset County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2014-02-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2014-02-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2030 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

306 
WWUS41 KCTP 022206
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
506 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

PAZ033>036-064>066-030815-
/O.UPG.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.140203T0500Z-140203T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0003.140203T0500Z-140203T2100Z/
SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG...
CHAMBERSBURG...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER
506 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...EXTREME SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY. THE
  HEAVIEST SNOW WILL LIKELY FALL BETWEEN 5 AND 11 AM.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE
  MORNING COMMUTE.

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE EXTREME CAUTION IF PLANNING TO TRAVEL. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ050-052-030815-
/O.EXA.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.140203T0500Z-140203T2100Z/
SNYDER-NORTHUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SELINSGROVE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN
506 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
4 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...PARTS OF THE MIDDLE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. 

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY. THE
  HEAVIEST SNOW WILL LIKELY FALL BETWEEN 4 AND 10 AM.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

* WINDS...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO
TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ024>028-056>059-063-030815-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.140203T0500Z-140203T2100Z/
CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-
LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...
MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...
HERSHEY...POTTSVILLE...LEBANON...CARLISLE
506 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MOST OF SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTH OF THE TURNPIKE.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY. THE
  HEAVIEST SNOW WILL LIKELY FALL BETWEEN 5 AM AND 11 AM. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO
TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
548 
WWUS41 KCTP 030810
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
310 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

PAZ056-057-059-063-031815-
/O.UPG.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KCTP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...
LEBANON...CARLISLE
310 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.
  THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL AFTER SUNRISE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE
  MORNING COMMUTE.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...UNDER ONE MILE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE EXTREME CAUTION IF PLANNING TO TRAVEL. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ033>036-064>066-031815-
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG...
CHAMBERSBURG...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER
310 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...EXTREME SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY. THE 
  HEAVIEST SNOW WILL LIKELY FALL BETWEEN 5 AND 11 AM. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE. 

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE EXTREME CAUTION IF PLANNING TO TRAVEL. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ024>028-050-052-058-031815-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SNYDER-NORTHUMBERLAND-
SCHUYLKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...
MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...SELINSGROVE...SUNBURY...
SHAMOKIN...POTTSVILLE
310 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MOST OF SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTH OF THE 
  TURNPIKE.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY. THE 
  HEAVIEST SNOW WILL LIKELY FALL BETWEEN 5 AM AND 11 AM. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO
TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$
582 
WWUS41 KCTP 031238
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
738 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

PAZ033>036-056-057-059-063>066-031800-
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG...
CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...LEBANON...
CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER
738 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...EXTREME SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. THE
  HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE. 

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE EXTREME CAUTION IF PLANNING TO TRAVEL. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ019-045-049-051-053-031800-
/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0002.140205T0300Z-140206T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON-UNION-MONTOUR-COLUMBIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATE COLLEGE...LOCK HAVEN...
LEWISBURG...DANVILLE...BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK
738 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL MOUNTAINS

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES TODAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF
  6 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TO MID
  AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL THIS MORNING.

  SNOW WILL BEGIN FROM THE NEXT STORM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH
  SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO
TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ050-052-031800-
/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0002.140205T0300Z-140206T0400Z/
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
SNYDER-NORTHUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SELINSGROVE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN
738 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...MOST OF SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTH OF THE 
  TURNPIKE. 

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF
  6 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON
  BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING LATE AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW
  WILL FALL THIS MORNING.

  SNOW WILL BEGIN FROM THE NEXT STORM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO
TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ024>028-058-031800-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SCHUYLKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...
MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...POTTSVILLE
738 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MOST OF SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTH OF THE 
  TURNPIKE. 

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON
  BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING LATE AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW
  WILL FALL THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO
TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-037-041-042-046-031800-
/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0002.140205T0300Z-140206T0400Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD...COUDERSPORT...
ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD...
PHILIPSBURG...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO...LAPORTE...WILLIAMSPORT
738 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW

* ACCUMULATIONS...MORE THAN 6 INCHES. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGAN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS.

* WINDS...EAST AT 5 TO 15 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MOSTLY IN THE 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

$$

DEVOIR
125 
WWUS41 KCTP 031823
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
123 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

PAZ033>036-056-057-059-063>066-032100-
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG...
CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...LEBANON...
CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER
123 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...EXTREME SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR LESS THIS AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE. 

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE EXTREME CAUTION IF PLANNING TO TRAVEL. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ019-045-049>053-032100-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.A.0002.140205T0300Z-140206T0400Z/
SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATE COLLEGE...LOCK HAVEN...
LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...
BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK
123 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...MOST OF SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTH OF THE 
  TURNPIKE. 

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN AN INCH
  THIS AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE
  FROM A DIFFERENT STORM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL END LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 

  SNOW WILL BEGIN FROM THE NEXT STORM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND  
  CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO
TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ024>028-058-032100-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SCHUYLKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...
MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...POTTSVILLE
123 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MOST OF SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTH OF THE 
  TURNPIKE. 

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN AN INCH
  THIS AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON 
  BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING LATE AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST 
  SNOW WILL FALL THIS MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.
USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO
TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
@NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG #CTPWX.

&&

$$

PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-037-041-042-046-032100-
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.A.0002.140205T0300Z-140206T0400Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD...COUDERSPORT...
ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD...
PHILIPSBURG...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO...LAPORTE...WILLIAMSPORT
123 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGAN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE 
  THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS.

* WINDS...EAST AT 5 TO 15 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MOSTLY IN THE 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

$$

DEVOIR
644 
WWUS41 KCTP 031935
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
235 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

PAZ033>036-056-057-059-063>066-032045-
/O.CAN.KCTP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG...
CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...LEBANON...
CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER
235 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON. ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
SNOW OR SLUSH COVERED AND SLIPPERY...SO USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING THROUGH THIS EVENING.



$$

PAZ019-045-049>053-040100-
/O.CAN.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.A.0002.140205T0300Z-140206T0400Z/
SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATE COLLEGE...LOCK HAVEN...
LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...
BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK
235 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE LYCOMING VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE
  POSSIBLE FROM A DIFFERENT STORM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A MIX WITH SLEET IS POSSIBLE...AND
  PRECIPITATION MAY END AS FREEZING DRIZZLE WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

$$

PAZ024>028-058-032045-
/O.CAN.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140203T2100Z/
CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SCHUYLKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...
MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...POTTSVILLE
235 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW OR SLUSH COVERED AND SLIPPERY...SO
USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-037-041-042-046-040100-
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.A.0002.140205T0300Z-140206T0400Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD...COUDERSPORT...
ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD...
PHILIPSBURG...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO...LAPORTE...WILLIAMSPORT
235 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGAN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE 
  THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS.

* WINDS...EAST AT 5 TO 15 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MOSTLY IN THE 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

$$

DEVOIR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 2, 3:51 PM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 3:51 PM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
351 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM THE LOUISIANA
GULF COAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC
STATES ON MONDAY...BRINGING LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL TO SOUTH-
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA TO START THE WORK WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PROVIDE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTIVE EARLY FEBRUARY WINTER WEATHER
PATTERN FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A STRONGER AND MORE
DYNAMIC WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA FROM TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND
ICE. DRY WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD FINISH OUT
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER WINTER STORM SYSTEM MAY
AFFECT THE AREA SOMETIME OVER THE WEEKEND OR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
IN GENERAL...RADAR TRENDS SHOW THE FRONTAL BAND PCPN WEAKENING
AND DECREASING IN CVRG/INTENSITY AS IT SHIFTS TO THE EAST ACRS THE
CNTRL RIDGE/VLY REGION AND MID-LWR SUSQ VLY THIS AFTERNOON. WILL
MAKE SOME FINAL/MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF
TODAY. THE FRONT APPEARS TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF STALLING OUT FROM
NRN WV/SW PA EWD ACRS FAR SRN PA. SFC TEMPS HAVE ECLIPSED 50F FROM
THV-MQS...BUT SHOULD REMAIN STEADY TO SLOWLY FALLING ACRS THE NW
MTNS INTO THE EVE AS COLDER AIR ALOFT SLOWLY WORKS ITS WAY
SEWD...HELPING TO TIGHTEN THE DEVELOPING BAROCLINIC ZONE NEAR THE
MASON-DIXON LINE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
A SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE...CURRENTLY EJECTING EWD FM THE DESERT SW
AND IGNITING CONVECTION ACRS THE ARKLATEX...WILL CONTINUE TO
RAPIDLY PROGRESS DOWNSTREAM THRU THE MS/TN VALLEY TONIGHT BEFORE
TRACKING ENEWD ACRS THE MID-ATL REGION ON MON. THIS WILL INDUCE A
SFC-700MB LOW THAT WILL LIFT NEWD ALONG A WELL-DEFINED BAROCLINIC
ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE MID-SOUTH ACRS THE CENTRAL APPLCHNS INTO
THE SRN MID-ATL/DELMARVA REGION. THE 02/12Z MODELS ARE COMING INTO
BETTER OVERALL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE PRESSURE PATTERN
WHILE SOME DETAILS CONCERNING QPF AND THE LLVL/BLYR THERMAL
STRUCTURE REMAIN...MAKING FOR A SOMEWHAT CHALLENGING WINTER WX
FCST WITH AVG CONFIDENCE FOR SRN PA. FWIW THE GFS HAS TRENDED
FASTER WITH THE SFC LOW AND SEEMS TO BE ON THE LOW/SRN END OF THE
SOLN SPREAD QPF-WISE.

A GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS DEPICTS A MEAN STRIPE OF 0.25-0.50 INCH
WTR EQUIVALENTS OVER THE SRN 1/3 OF THE CWA..WITH 0.50-0.75 INCH
WTR EQUIVS NEAR/ALONG THE MASON DIXON LINE. DEEP LAYER ASCENT IS
EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED ON THE NRN EDGE OF ANOMALOUS GOMEX MSTR
PLUME WITHIN A ZONE OF 850-700MB CONVERGENCE/THETAE ADV. 500MB HGT
FALLS ARE QUITE MODEST WITH THE RELATIVELY FLAT/PROGRESSIVE WAVE
ALOFT...HOWEVER FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL JET DYNAMICS/ENHANCED UVVEL
COULD AID IN GENERATING OCNL MOD-HVY SNFL RATES. ELEVATION MAY
ALSO BE A FACTOR. BLYR TEMPS ARE MARGINAL TO START ESP IN THE LSV
BUT SHOULD SUFFICIENTLY COOL TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW PTYPES INTO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. THE 02/12Z TABULAR MOS GUID SHOWS Z PTYPES AT
MDT/LNS EARLY TOMORROW MORNING BUT SREF MEANS STRONGLY SUPPORT
CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW.

INCREASED SNOWFALL TOTALS TO 4-6" ALONG/S OF THE PA TURNPIKE AND
RT 30 CORRIDORS WITH THE LATE MORNING UPDATE...WHICH RESULTED IN
HIGH-END ADVY AMTS IN THE 2-4/3-6 INCH RANGE. WHILE THESE AMTS
STILL APPEAR TO BE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY/HIGHEST CONFIDENCE
OUTCOME...THE LATEST 15Z SREF AND 12Z GEFS MEAN ARE SUGGESTING
THAT WARNING CRITERIA AMTS />= 6 INCHES IN 12 HRS/ MAY BE ACHIEVED
IN A NARROW W-E ZONE ACRS XTRME S-CNTRL PA NEAR/ALONG THE MASON-
DIXON LINE. THEREFORE...WILL INCREASE AMTS SLIGHTLY WITH THE FINAL
AFTN FCST BUT KEEP HEADLINES GENERALLY AS IS. EARLIER CHANGES
WERE MADE TO HIGHLIGHT THE SRN TIER ZONES WITH HIER SNFL
AMTS...AND WILL ADD SCHUYLKILL COUNTY IN WWY TO MATCH UP WITH PHL
WFO BERKS COUNTY.

SNOW ENDS FROM W TO EAST MON AFTN AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY VISITS
THE REGION INTO EARLY TUES...SETTING THE STAGE FOR A MESSY MID-
WEEK WINTER STORM SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A VERY ACTIVE EXTENDED PERIOD IS IN STORE WITH STORM CHANCES EVERY
1 1/2 TO 2 1/2 DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE A BRIEF BREAK IN
THE ACTION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY BEFORE THE NEXT WINTER STORM
TAKES AIM AT THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY. THE
~1030MB SFC HIGH WILL DIRECT ENOUGH COLD AIR AND PRODUCE
SUFFICIENT CAD TO PRODUCE HEAVY FROZEN AND FREEZING PRECIPITATION
ACROSS JUST ABOUT ALL OF CENTRAL PA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURFACE HIGH RETREATS TO OUR NORTHEAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A MOISTURE LADEN STORM SYSTEM MOVES UP THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS PRIMARY LOW WILL
TRACK INTO THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WHILE A
SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE CAROLINAS AND TRACKS TOWARDS CAPE
MAY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

EXACT PRECIP TYPE OF COURSE WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK AND
EVOLUTION OF THE PRIMARY AND SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT...BUT TRENDS
SUGGEST COLD AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED FOR A GOODLY IF NOT MOST OF
THE HEAVIEST QPF OF THE STORM. THIS MEANS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
SNOW NORTH TRANSITIONING TO A SNOW/SLEET/FREEZING RAIN TO RAIN
POTPOURRI ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL PA AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT ICING.

AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...STORM TOTAL QPF FROM THE SYSTEM LOOKS
IMPRESSIVE...WITH ENEMBLES CONTINUING TO SHOW HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF
24 HOUR QPF TOTALS EXCEEDING 1 INCH. IN AREAS WHERE PRECIP CAN
BECOME ALL RAIN...FLOODING COULD BECOME A CONCERN DUE TO THE VERY
COLD-FROZEN GROUND AND INCREASED RUNOFF...FLOWS AND ICE BREAKUP
RAMPING UP ICE JAM CONCERNS AS WELL. HPC HAS PARTS OF SRN PA IN
SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINS INTO WED MORNING BECAUSE OF THE
THREAT.

A COLD ARCTIC HIGH /1050MB/ BUILDING DOWN FROM WRN CANADA ACROSS
THE NRN HIGH PLAINS AND MIDWEST STATES WILL DIRECT COLD AIR BACK
INTO THE REGION FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND...
RESULTING IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPS INTO THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

ECMWF AND GFS HAVE DIFFERED SIGNIFICANTLY ON TIMING AND EVOLUTION
OF POTENTIAL ADDITIONAL STORMINESS NEXT WEEKEND...BUT IT APPEARS
THAT ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER IS ON THE HORIZON FOR NEXT
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
02/18Z...THE PCPN BAND HAS WEAKENED WITH NOT MUCH LEFT ON RADAR.
CIGS ARE STARTING TO LOWER ACRS THE CNTRL SITES WHICH SHOULD DIP
TO LOW VFR/MVFR CAT. THE LATE AFTN AND EARLY TGHT PERIOD SHOULD
BE MAINLY DRY. THE WORST FLYING CONDS WILL PREVAIL AT JST DUE TO
MOIST UPSLOPE NEAR/BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLING OUT JUST
SOUTH OF THE PA/MD BORDER. FOCUS WILL SHIFT ON NEXT WAVE LIFTING
NEWD FROM THE TN VLY ACRS THE SRN APPLCHNS/MID-ATL WHICH WILL
BRING IFR-LIFR SNOW TO THE SRN TERMINALS FROM LATE TGHT/AFT
MIDNIGHT INTO MONDAY AFTN. CONFIDENCE IS SLIGHTLY ABV AVG IN IFR
CONDS FROM JST-AOO TO MDT-LNS.

OUTLOOK...
MON...MAINLY VFR ACROSS NRN PA. LIGHT SNOW AND MVFR/IFR SOUTH.
TUE-WED...IFR LKLY IN MIXED PCPN.
THU...MVFR W AND N WITH SCT SNOW SHOWERS...MVFR TO VFR CENTRAL AND
SOUTH.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY FOR PAZ024>028-033>036-056>059-063>066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...STEINBUGL
NEAR TERM...STEINBUGL
SHORT TERM...STEINBUGL
LONG TERM...DEVOIR/LA CORTE
AVIATION...STEINBUGL
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 2, 3:03 PM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
303 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

PAZ024>028-033>036-056>059-063>066-032015-
CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-
FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-
LANCASTER-
303 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-032015-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-
303 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 2, 3:46 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryCTPAdams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Centre, Clinton and 18 more35 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.