Red Flag Warning 1, NWS State College, PA

766 
WWUS81 KCTP 240704
RFWCTP

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
304 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014


PAZ042-051>053-057>059-065-066-241515-
/O.CON.KCTP.FW.W.0001.140424T1500Z-140425T0000Z/
SULLIVAN-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-
LEBANON-YORK-LANCASTER-
304 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

* AFFECTED AREA...MOST OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S.

* LIGHTNING...NONE.

* IMPACTS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT AND 
  SPREAD OF WILD FIRES...OR FOR PRESCRIBED BURNS TO GET OUT OF 
  CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CTP (ALL LOWER CASE)

130 
WWUS81 KCTP 241050
RFWCTP

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
650 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014


PAZ042-051>053-057>059-065-066-241900-
/O.CON.KCTP.FW.W.0001.140424T1500Z-140425T0000Z/
SULLIVAN-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-
LEBANON-YORK-LANCASTER-
650 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF EASTERN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...

* AFFECTED AREA...PORTIONS OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE SUSQUEHANNA
  VALLEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S.

* LIGHTNING...NONE.

* IMPACTS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT AND SPREAD
  OF WILDFIRES...OR FOR PRESCRIBED BURNS TO GET OUT OF CONTROL.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS. ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP MAY QUICKLY GET
OUT OF CONTROL AND BECOME DIFFICULT TO CONTAIN.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CTP (ALL LOWER CASE)

123 
WWUS81 KCTP 242018
RFWCTP

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
418 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014


PAZ042-051>053-057>059-065-066-250000-
/O.CON.KCTP.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140425T0000Z/
SULLIVAN-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-
LEBANON-YORK-LANCASTER-
418 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR MOST OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

* AFFECTED AREA...MOST OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOW 60S.

* LIGHTNING...NONE.

* IMPACTS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT AND 
  SPREAD OF WILDFIRES...OR FOR PRESCRIBED BURNS TO GET OUT OF 
  CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS. ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP MAY QUICKLY GET
OUT OF CONTROL AND BECOME DIFFICULT TO CONTAIN.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CTP (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
519 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT. COOL
AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY...AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OVER THE AREA. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT
AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BRING OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ON
FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
AN EXTENSIVE BLANKET OF COLD AIR STRATO-CU REMAINS OVER THE AREA
LATE THIS AFTN...AS THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH MOVES OVR THE
REGION. SETTING SUN...COMBINED WITH ARRIVAL OF MUCH DRIER AIR ON
NW FLOW WILL PRODUCE CLEARING SKIES THIS EVENING. LATEST RAP
SOUNDINGS AND LAMP GUIDANCE SUGGEST CLEAR SKIES ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA BY 00Z.

THE WIND WILL REMAIN FAIRLY GUSTY INTO THE OVERNIGHT OVER CENTRAL
AND EASTERN AREAS...BUT WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER
THE WEST WHERE THE GRADIENT WILL SLACKEN IN RESPONSE TO THE HIGH
MOVING IN. WHILE TEMPS WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE FROSTY LEVELS IN OUR
COUNTIES WHERE THE GROWING SEASON HAS TECHNICALLY BEGUN...THINKING
IS THAT THE WIND WILL KEEP FROST AT BAY. NO HEADLINES ARE PLANNED
AT THIS JUNCTURE FOR THE POCKETS OF FROST AND NORMAL CHILLY AREAS
WHERE LOWS WILL DROP TO NEAR FREEZING.

OVERALL LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE QUITE CHILLY FOR THE SEASON...RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 20S ACROSS THE NRN AND WRN MTNS...TO THE MID
30S IN THE SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL AVERAGE SOME 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE HIGH WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY WITH ABUNDANT
SUNSHINE AND LOW HUMIDITIES. THE MAIN WEATHER ELEMENT OF CONCERN
THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WIND. GIVEN THE DRY CONDITIONS AND
EXPECTED GUSTY WIND...A FIRE WEATHER HEADLINE LOOKS LIKE A DECENT
BET.

HIGH TEMPS WILL REBOUND BY A SOLID 8-12 DEGREES COMPARED TO
TODAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE.

STILL LOOKING AT SOME SHOWERS ON FRIDAY. TRIPLE POINT FURTHER
SOUTH...THUS DID NOT ADD THUNDER. TEMPS LOOKING COOLER NOW.
STILL SOME CHC FOR A SHOWER EARLY FRIDAY AM ACROSS WESTERN
WARREN CO.

FOR SAT...SECONDARY COLD FRONT DROPS SE.

WENT DRY FOR SUNDAY...FLOW IS FROM THE NORTH...AND RATHER
DRY...EVEN WITH SOME UPPER LVL SUPPORT...HARD TO SEE MUCH
GOING ON.

LEFT MONDAY DRY. HOWEVER...DID BRING SHOWERS IN FASTER
NOW...MONDAY NIGHT...INSTEAD OF TUE. AMOUNTS WILL BE
LIGHT...GIVEN THAT MAIN SYSTEM IS WELL TO THE SOUTH.

POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A EXTENDED PERIOD OF WET AND COOL
CONDITIONS FOR TUESDAY INTO LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
POST-FRONTAL COLD ADVECTION HAS PRODUCED AN EXTENSIVE
STRATOCUMULUS DECK WITH MVFR AND SHOWERS OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER
THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN TERMINALS. CEILINGS WILL LIFT AND MIX OUT
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING WITH ALL SITES EXPECTED TO
BE VFR BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. EXPECT BFD/JST TO IMPROVE
SLOWEST.

THE WIND HAS BEEN GUSTING 20-30KT AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

THURSDAY WILL BE NEARLY PERFECT WITH BRIGHT SUNSHINE BUT WITH A
LINGERING GUSTY WIND IN THE 15-20KT RANGE OVER EASTERN AREAS. THE
WIND WILL DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...

FRI-SAT...MVFR WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.

SUN-MON...VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH CONTINUES FOR ABOUT THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
CWA FOR LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
EVENING...SINCE WIND GUSTS WILL STILL BE MODERATELY STRONG
THERE...AND FINE FUEL MOISTURE AND RHS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR PAZ051>053-056>059-063>066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LA CORTE
NEAR TERM...FITZGERALD/LA CORTE
SHORT TERM...LA CORTE
LONG TERM...MARTIN
AVIATION...LA CORTE
FIRE WEATHER...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
324 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049-050-
240730-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-
JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-
324 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DRY LEAF LITTER AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE AN ELEVATED
THREAT OF WILDFIRE SPREAD TODAY. OTHERWISE THE PROBABILITY FOR
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ051>053-056>059-063>066-240730-
MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-
CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
324 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DRY LEAF LITTER AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE AN ELEVATED
THREAT OF WILDFIRE SPREAD TODAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.