Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
243 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE CWA. ACTIVITY SHOULD
DISSIPATE AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL
LOW NEAR THE TX/LA BORDER IS IN THE PROCESS OF WEAKENING INTO AN
INVERTED TROUGH AXIS. THIS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. THERE COULD BE SOME RE-DEVELOPMENT OF
ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE MARINE AND COASTAL AREAS OVERNIGHT. THEN
ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE CWA FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS FORMING DURING THE DAY SUNDAY WITH
WEAK FORCING FROM THE SEA BREEZE. WITH LESS OF A SOUTHWEST FLOW
TO START THE DAY ON SUNDAY...SO HIGH TEMPS SUNDAY SLIGHTLY COOLER
THAN TODAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW MVG
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NW GULF IS PROGD TO BECOME SHEARED THROUGH MON
AS A RIDGE BUILDS E ACROSS TX. THIS RIDGE WILL BRING DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE CWA THROUGH THE WEEK ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY ABV
NORMAL TEMPS. WENT WITH SILENT 10 POPS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE EACH
AFTERNOON DUE TO SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR A BRIEF STRAY
-SHRA TO DVLP. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS PROG LOW QPF VALUES ON FRI AS
THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS SLIGHTLY W...HOWEVER THE PWATS REMAIN LOW AND
AM NOT EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIP TO WARRANT MENTIONING
CONVECTION JUST YET FOR FRI. THROUGH THE WEEK...ONSHORE WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE WEAK TO MODERATE WITH NO ADVISORIES ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    72  89  72  91  73  /  10  20  10  10  10
VICTORIA          71  89  72  89  73  /  20  20  10  10  10
LAREDO            75  99  74  99  75  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE             71  91  71  92  72  /  20  20  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          74  88  76  89  75  /  10  20  10  10  10
COTULLA           73  97  71  97  72  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        72  91  72  92  73  /  10  20  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       75  87  75  87  76  /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

JR/76...SHORT TERM
TE/81...LONG TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
452 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2014

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-010000-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
452 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS TO THE COASTAL BEND AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY TODAY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS
AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS ON SUNDAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

TMT/RH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
330 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2014

TXZ243-244-312115-
NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-
330 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM AFFECTING SAN PATRICIO COUNTIES AND MOVING
TOWARD NUECES COUNTY...

AT 322 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TAFT...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
A BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOUR WILL ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

PZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
419 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2014

TXZ242-243-312200-
KLEBERG-NUECES-
419 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING NUECES COUNTY AND MOVING
TOWARD KLEBERG COUNTY...

AT 414 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CORPUS CHRISTI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...
MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

PZ

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