Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

755 
WWUS84 KCRP 192027
RFWCRP

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
327 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR WEBB COUNTY INCLUDING THE CITY OF
LAREDO...

.DRY FUELS OVER WEBB COUNTY WILL COMBINE WITH 20 FOOT WINDS
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH...AND LOW
HUMIDITY VALUES TO RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

TXZ239-200200-
/O.CON.KCRP.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140820T0200Z/
WEBB-
327 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR WEBB COUNTY FOR DRY FUELS...MODERATE WINDS WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS AND LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY...

* AFFECTED AREA...WEBB COUNTY.

* TIMING...MAINLY THROUGH 8 PM.

* WIND...20 FOOT WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...25 TO 30 PERCENT

* IMPACTS...FIRES WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. SUBSTANTIAL 
  RESISTANCE TO CONTROL EFFORTS WILL OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CARE WITH RESPECT TO ALL OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES THAT COULD INADVERTENTLY CAUSE WILDFIRES. REPORT
WILDFIRES QUICKLY TO THE NEAREST FIRE DEPARTMENT OR LAW
ENFORCEMENT OFFICE.

&&

$$

TMT/GW

670 
WWUS84 KCRP 200150
RFWCRP

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
850 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

TXZ239-200300-
/O.EXP.KCRP.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140820T0200Z/
WEBB-
850 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR WEBB
COUNTY...

RED FLAG CONDITIONS NO LONGER EXIST FOR WEBB COUNTY AS RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES CONTINUE TO INCREASE. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG
WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE FOR WEBB COUNTY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
340 AM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...ISOLATED CONVECTION
YESTERDAY SHOULD BB EVEN MORE ISOLATED TODAY AS MID LEVEL DRIER AIR
IS FORECAST TO COME IN AND MODERATE WINDS SHOULD PRECLUDE DEEP
CONVECTION. WILL MAINTAIN VERY ISOLATED CONVECTION TODAY TO MATCH
SURROUNDING OFFICES AS COULD NOT RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER/STORM...
BUT THINK BETTER ACTIVITY (ALBEIT STILL ISOLATED) WILL BE ON
WEDNESDAY WHEN THE TUTT WILL HAVE A BIT MORE INFLUENCE...AT LEAST IN
BRINGING BETTER MOISTURE AND MOISTURE ADVECTION TO THE AREA. WILL
ALSO KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THIS MORNING OVER THE
NORTHWEST CWFA WHERE DYING MCS/MCV IS PROXIMATE TO AREA. WITH
MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS COMING IN TODAY FROM REMNANT CONVECTION IN
HILL COUNTRY...WILL LOWER MAX TEMPS A TAD FROM YESTERDAY (ESPECIALLY
OVER THE NORTHEAST). WILL BRING IN A MENTION OF CONVECTION OVER THE
GULF WATERS OVERNIGHT...SOME POSSIBLY GETTING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN
INLAND AREAS BEFORE DAWN. FOR WEDNESDAY...20 POPS ALONG THE
SEA-BREEZE. TEMPERATURES A BIT WARMER TO THE NORTHWEST FROM TODAY
BUT A TAD COOLER OVER THE SOUTHEAST DUE TO MORE CLOUDS/CONVECTION.
AM GOING TO GO WITH SIMILAR LOWS FOR TONIGHT AS EXPECTED THIS
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...SCEC CONDITIONS SOUTHERN
BAYS/NEARSHORE TODAY AND SPREADS AT LEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN OFFSHORE
GULF WATERS TONIGHT. HOWEVER...WILL LIKELY JUST GO WITH SCEC FOR
EVEN THE NORTHERN OFFSHORE FOR TONIGHT. SCEC AGAIN FOR THE SOUTHERN
BAYS AND NEARSHORE ON WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED MAINLY MORNING CONVECTION
EACH DAY...MORE LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING THAN TODAY WITH THE
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MOVING IN.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF WEBB
COUNTY AS SEEN BY FIRE WEATHER PROCEDURE. ALSO A COUPLE HOURS OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF DUVAL AND KLEBERG
COUNTIES. HOWEVER...FUEL DRYNESS MAP SHOWS NORMAL MOISTURE OVER
WESTERN DUVAL COUNTY. FOR BREVITY (IN SHORT)...WILL ISSUE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WEBB COUNTY AND ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER FOR KLEBERG..DUVAL
AND MOST OTHER AREAS NEAR AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 77.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...SWELL PERIODS AT BOY020 HAVE BEEN RUNNING BETWEEN 7
AND 13 FEET (MOSTLY THE FORMER BUT LATTER WERE OBSERVED YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON). FORECAST WINDS ARE MAINLY FROM THE SOUTH. HOWEVER...
COULD BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON AND IF SWELLS STAY
ABOVE 7 FEET...WILL HAVE A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK. THUS...AM
GOING TO GO WITH MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK TODAY (WAVE MODEL ON
INTERNET SHOWS SWELLS UP TO 9 FEET TODAY). HOWEVER...IF SWELLS GET
UP TO 13 SECONDS AGAIN WHEN WINDS MORE SOUTHEAST...RIP CURRENT RISK
MAY GET TO THE HIGH SIDE. WILL BRIEF DAY SHIFT...BUT FOR NOW ALL
GUIDANCE POINTS TO MODERATE RISK IN WORST-CASE SCENARIO (RIP CURRENT
RISK SMART TOOL KEEPS IT LOW).

&&

&&

.LONG TERM...MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES WEDNESDAY
EVENING/THURSDAY MORNING IN RESPONSE TO TUTT LOW SKIRTING THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CWA. ECM/GFS MORE NORTHERLY IN TUTT PLACEMENT
THAT OTHER LONG RANGE GUIDANCE AT THIS TIME. H500 SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCE WILL ROUND THE HIGH OVER THE EAST/CENTRAL GOM DURING
THIS TIME AND ENHANCE LIFTING . BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON MOISTURE
WILL MOVE OUT...MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL DOMINATE...AND POPS WILL
DROP FROM THURSDAY NIHT INTO FRIDAY. SATURDAY WILL SEE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE INCREASE A BIT...BRINGING PWATS BACK TO NEAR NORMAL
VALUES. PUT A MENTION OF SH/TS OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS AND WATERS
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. GFS HAS BACKED OFF A BIT ON
THE POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER TUTT LOW MONDAY...BUT LONGER RANGE
MODELS ARE SHOWING ABOVE AVERAGE PWATS...SO HAVE INCLUDED 20 POPS
FOR DAYS 7 AND 8 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS AND LOWS ARE MORE OR LESS
A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WITH SLIGHT MODIFICATIONS BASED FORECAST
CLOUD COVER...HOT BRUSH COUNTRY AND HOT AND MUGGY EVERYWHERE ELSE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    96  79  95  78  97  /  10  10  20  10  20
VICTORIA          99  78  98  79 100  /  20  10  20  10  10
LAREDO           103  82 103  79 102  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE            100  77  99  78 100  /  10  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          94  82  93  82  93  /  20  20  20  20  20
COTULLA          100  77 101  77 101  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        99  77  98  79  98  /  10  10  20  10  20
NAVY CORPUS       94  82  93  82  93  /  10  10  20  20  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WEBB.

GM...NONE.

&&

GW/86...SHORT TERM
IB/90...LONG TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
535 AM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-191100-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
535 AM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THROUGH 7 PM CDT FOR JIM
WELLS AND KLEBERG COUNTIES...FOR HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 110 AND 115
DEGREES. HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 105 AND 109 INCLUSIVE ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH TEXAS COUNTIES.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF WATERS THIS
MORNING...THEN OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND WESTERN BRUSH
COUNTRY THIS EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE
GULF WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF WEBB COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL BEND AND OVER
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 105 AND 109 ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
COASTAL BEND...EASTERN BRUSH COUNTRY...AND COASTAL BEND DURING THE
AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SOME PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL BEND
MAY SEE HEAT INDICES IN EXCESS OF 110F.

ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GW/IB