Small Craft Advisory 50, NWS Cleveland, OH

097 
WHUS71 KCLE 220842
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
342 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

LEZ146>149-221700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0050.141122T1200Z-141123T0900Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
342 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS DURING THE
  DAY TODAY THEN DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT.

* WAVES: WAVES OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ142>145-221700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0050.141122T1200Z-141123T0300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
342 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS DURING THE
  DAY TODAY AND THEN DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS THIS EVENING.

* WAVES: WAVES OF 1 TO 3 FEET WILL BUILD TO 2 TO 4 FEET TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

416 
WHUS71 KCLE 221524
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1024 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

LEZ146>149-222330-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0050.000000T0000Z-141123T0900Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1024 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: WAVES OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET BY THIS 
  EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LEZ142>145-222330-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0050.000000T0000Z-141123T0300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
1024 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST
  THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WAVES: WAVES OF 1 TO 3 FEET WILL BUILD TO 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

480 
WHUS71 KCLE 222043
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
343 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

LEZ142>145-222145-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0050.000000T0000Z-141123T0300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
343 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

$$

LEZ146>149-230445-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0050.000000T0000Z-141123T0900Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
343 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
  OVERNIGHT.

* WAVES: WAVES 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

519 
WHUS71 KCLE 230320
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1020 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON LAKE ERIE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...
.A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS LAKE ERIE ON MONDAY
AND STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP MAINLY BEHIND THE FRONT. THE WINDS
AND WAVES WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE ON TUESDAY. LOW WATER IS ALSO
POSSIBLE ON THE WEST END OF THE LAKE LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

LEZ146>149-231130-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0050.000000T0000Z-141123T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.GL.A.0011.141124T1400Z-141125T2100Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1020 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM
EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
  OVERNIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING EARLY SUNDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
  INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES ON MONDAY AND THEN INCREASE TO 40
  KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN BEGIN TO DECREASE ON TUESDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES 5 TO 7 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY DAYBREAK
  SUNDAY. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 13 FEET MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN SUBSIDE
  ON TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR GALE 
FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS IN UPCOMING DAYS. MARINERS SHOULD
MONITOR THE FORECAST AND PREPARE TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS OR
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ142>145-162>165-231130-
/O.NEW.KCLE.GL.A.0011.141124T1400Z-141125T1500Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
1020 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES ON MONDAY
  AND BEGIN TO DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WAVES:WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 7 TO 10 FEET MONDAY NIGHT AND WILL BEGIN
  TO SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR GALE 
FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS IN UPCOMING DAYS. MARINERS SHOULD
MONITOR THE FORECAST AND PREPARE TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS OR
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-166>169-231130-
/O.NEW.KCLE.GL.A.0011.141124T1400Z-141125T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1020 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES ON MONDAY
  AND INCREASE TO 40 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT AND DECREASE TO 30 KNOTS ON
  TUESDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 13 FEET MONDAY NIGHT AND
  WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR GALE 
FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS IN UPCOMING DAYS. MARINERS SHOULD
MONITOR THE FORECAST AND PREPARE TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS OR
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

575 
WHUS71 KCLE 230905
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
405 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY ON LAKE ERIE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY... 

.A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS LAKE ERIE
ON MONDAY AND GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...MAINLY
BEHIND THE FRONT. THE WINDS AND WAVES WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE ON
TUESDAY. LOW WATER IS ALSO LIKELY ON THE WEST END OF THE LAKE
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

LEZ146>149-231800-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0050.000000T0000Z-141123T0900Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.A.0011.141124T1400Z-141125T2100Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
405 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES ON MONDAY
  AND THEN INCREASE TO 40 KNOTS GALES MONDAY EVENING. GALE FORCE
  WINDS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON
  TUESDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 13 FEET MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN
  SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE
WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS IN UPCOMING DAYS. MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR
THE FORECAST AND PREPARE TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS OR CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ142>145-162>165-231800-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.A.0011.141124T1400Z-141125T1500Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
405 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 40 KNOT GALES ON MONDAY.
  GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT...DIMINISHING TOWARD
  TUESDAY MORNING.

* WAVES:WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 7 TO 10 FEET MONDAY NIGHT AND 
  WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY. 

* LOW WATER: LOW WATER IS ALSO LIKELY ON THE WEST END OF THE LAKE
  LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE
WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS IN UPCOMING DAYS. MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR
THE FORECAST AND PREPARE TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS OR CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-166>169-231800-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.A.0011.141124T1400Z-141125T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
405 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES ON MONDAY
  AND THEN INCREASE TO 40 KNOTS GALES MONDAY EVENING. GALE FORCE
  WINDS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON
  TUESDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 13 FEET MONDAY NIGHT AND 
  THEN SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE
WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS IN UPCOMING DAYS. MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR
THE FORECAST AND PREPARE TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS OR CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
935 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY. DEEP LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
TOUGH FORECAST WITH PRECIP TIMING AND TYPE THE MAIN CONCERN. THE
CLOUDS ARE STILL SEVERAL HOURS FROM REACHING THE WESTERN END OF
THE FORECAST AREA. TIMING PUTS THEM INTO NW PA AROUND DAYBREAK.
00Z SOUNDINGS ARE VERY DRY AND NOT SURE HOW FAST THE PRECIP WILL
START. GIVEN THE FACT TEMPS ARE CURRENTLY IN THE TEENS AND HAVE A
LONG WAY TO GET BACK TO FREEZING...PRECIP TYPE IS AN ISSUE.
UNFORTUNATELY EVEN THIS LATE INTO THE GAME CONFIDENCE IN TEMPS AND
PRECIP ONSET IS JUST NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO TRY TO PIN POINT A
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. FORTUNATELY QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE NO MORE
THAN A HUNDREDTH OR TWO OR THREE. WILL BEEF UP THE HAZARDOUS
OUTLOOK AND PASS CONCERNS ON TO THE MIDNIGHT CREW. SUSPECT THAT WE
WILL EVENTUALLY NEED A HEADLINE FOR A HANDFUL OF COUNTIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE POP FOR SATURDAY IS TOUGH. THE MODELS ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE. IT
SEEMS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE OVER THE EXTREME NORTH. OTHERWISE
CONTINUING WITH CHANCE POPS...EXCEPT LIKELY IN THE NORTH. TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM QUICKLY SATURDAY MORNING. STILL CONTINUING THAT THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE SO LIGHT AND MAY NOT REACH THE GROUND SO NO
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY AT THIS TIME. THAT WILL HAVE TO BE
MONITORED BY THE NEXT SHIFTS.

A LINGERING THREAT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN ON SUNDAY AS
THE LOW APPROACHES THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE OVER
NORTHWEST OHIO. THE THREAT WILL SPREAD EAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. SOME QUESTION ABOUT THE POPS ON MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS VERY
PESSIMISTIC ALL DAY AND THIS DOES NOT SEEM REASONABLE BASED ON THE
FRONT MOVING THROUGH. MONDAY NIGHT THE FLOW IS SOUTHWEST AND THE
CHANCE PRECIPITATION THREAT WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SINCE THE FLOW WILL BE SOUTHWEST NOT EXPECTING ANY
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT.

WENT CLOSE TO GUIDANCE FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
COLDER AIR AND MOISTURE WRAPPING BACK INTO THE AREA SHOULD RESULT IN
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH. SOME SURFACE RIDGING
MOVES UP THE OHIO VALLEY TUE NIGHT AND MAY LESSEN THE SHSN BUT UPPER
TROUGHING REMAINS OVER THE AREA SO PROBABLY WILL CONTINUE TO SEE
SOME SHSN IN THE SNOWBELT THAT MAY LINGER INTO WED.

ANOTHER S/W DIGS INTO THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH LATER WED INTO THU. THE
MODELS DIFFER ON THE SURFACE LOW WITH THIS S/W BUT ON AVERAGE A LOW
LOOKS TO TRACK SOMEWHERE NEAR LAKE ERIE EARLY ON THU SO WILL SHOW A
MORE WIDESPREAD CHANCE FOR SNOW WITH THIS LOW. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA LATER FRI SO OTHER THAN SOME LINGERING SHSN IN THE
SNOWBELT IN THE MORNING THINGS LOOK TO BE DRY.

TEMPS TO CONTINUE BELOW NORMAL THRU THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
TONIGHT WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH 08-11Z AT WHICH TIME SKY
COVER WILL INCREASE WITH CEILINGS DEVELOPING AROUND 3500 FT. 2000FT
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30-35KT OVERNIGHT AS WARM AIR ADVECTION
MOVES INTO THE REGION...BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN UNDER 15KT
OUT OF THE SOUTH. AS THE WARM/MOIST AIR ERODES THE DRY/ARCTIC
AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION THERE COULD BE A TRANSITION
PERIOD WITH A FEW HOURS OF VERY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN TO THE SITES
STARTING AROUND 08Z AT KTOL AND KFDY AND 12-15Z AT KCLE AND KCAK.
EXPECT IT TO LAST FOR JUST AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE THE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING. AROUND 12Z THE LOW LEVEL JET
WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SW AT 40-45KT WHILE THE SURFACE WINDS
REMAIN SOUTH UNDER 15KT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW THIS CONTINUING
THROUGH THE BETTER PART OF THE DAY WITH AN INVERSION STAYING IN
PLACE AND OFF AND ON RAIN SHOWERS AND MVFR CEILINGS.

.OUTLOOK...MORE NON VFR SHOULD RETURN SAT NIGHT AND CONTINUE MUCH OF
THE TIME SUN THRU TUE SHIFTING INTO MAINLY THE SNOWBELT WED.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE LAKE THAT MOVES OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT
WILL CAUSE WINDS TO BACK TO SSW DURING THE NIGHT WHILE WIND SPEEDS
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY ABOUT MIDDAY SAT SO ANOTHER SCA WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED. THE LOW LEVEL JET PEAKS OUT SAT EVE SO THERE MAY
BE A PERIOD WHERE WINDS INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS. WINDS DECREASE BY SUN
MORNING WHILE GRADUALLY BACKING TO SE BY LATE SUN.

A STRONG LOW MOVES NE THRU THE UPPER LAKES LATE SUN NIGHT AND MON
PULLING A COLD FRONT ACROSS LAKE ERIE MON. SOUTH WINDS SHOULD
INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS BY DAYBREAK MON AND COULD BE A LITTLE HIGHER
NEAR THE ERIE SHORELINE. WINDS TURN SW WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE MON
AND LOOK TO GENERALLY CONTINUE TO RUN 20 TO 30 KNOTS INTO TUE BEFORE
DIMINISHING SOME LATER TUE INTO WED AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES UP THE OH
VALLEY.

THE STRONGER WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO LOW WATER PROBLEMS IN THE
WESTERN BASIN LATE MON INTO TUE.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
     LEZ146>149.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     LEZ142>145.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KIELTYKA
NEAR TERM...KUBINA
SHORT TERM...KIELTYKA
LONG TERM...ADAMS
AVIATION...ADAMS/JAMISON
MARINE...ADAMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
943 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-221445-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
943 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MAY OCCUR EARLY SATURDAY
BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ011>014-020>023-031>033-038-089-PAZ001>003-221445-
CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
943 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-221445-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
943 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
430 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     SNOW             1 SSE PARMA             41.37N  81.70W
11/21/2014  M5.0 INCH        CUYAHOGA           OH   SNOW SPOTTER

            12 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1401987

THOMPSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
802 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     SNOW             EDINBORO                41.87N  80.13W
11/21/2014  M4.0 INCH        ERIE               PA   SNOW SPOTTER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1401988

THOMPSON