Alert archive / Ohio / Small Craft Advisories in 2014

Small Craft Advisory 37, NWS Cleveland, OH

October 6, 2014

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this small craft advisory at Oct 6, 2014, 10:11 AM EDT. It took effect at Oct 6, 2014, 6:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 57 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 6, 2014, 10:11 AM EDT (14:11 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 6, 2014, 6:00 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 9, 2014, 3:00 AM EDT
In force
57 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

948 
WHUS71 KCLE 061411
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1011 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2014

LEZ146>149-062215-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.141006T2200Z-141008T0000Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1011 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS
  TODAY AND THEN BECOME SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS EVENING.
  THIS WILL CAUSE WAVES TO BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS EVENING AND 4
  TO 6 FEET LATER TONIGHT. THE HIGHER WAVES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
  TOMORROW. EARLY ON...THE HIGHEST WAVES WILL BE APPROXIMATELY 3
  TO 5 MILES FROM SHORE AND BEYOND WHILE THE WINDS ARE FROM THE
  SOUTH. AS THE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHWEST...THE HIGHER WAVES
  WILL BE CLOSER TO SHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET 
OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOMBARDY
10 follow-up statements
365 
WHUS71 KCLE 061951
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
351 PM EDT MON OCT 6 2014

LEZ146>149-070400-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.141006T2200Z-141008T0000Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
351 PM EDT MON OCT 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS
  THIS EVENING AND THEN BECOME SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATER
  THIS EVENING. THIS WILL CAUSE WAVES TO BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET
  THIS EVENING AND 4 TO 6 FEET LATER TONIGHT. THE HIGHER WAVES
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW. EARLY ON...THE HIGHEST WAVES
  WILL BE APPROXIMATELY 3 TO 5 MILES FROM SHORE AND BEYOND WHILE
  THE WINDS ARE FROM THE SOUTH. AS THE WINDS BECOME MORE
  SOUTHWEST... THE HIGHER WAVES WILL BE CLOSER TO SHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOMBARDY
884 
WHUS71 KCLE 070209
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1009 PM EDT MON OCT 6 2014

LEZ146>149-071015-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141009T0800Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1009 PM EDT MON OCT 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
  KNOTS TONIGHT...SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS TUESDAY AND THEN WEST AT
  15 TO 25 KNOTS TUESDAY NIGHT AND THEN WEST TO 30 KNOTS WEDNESDAY
  AND THEN DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

  WAVES WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET BY DAYBREAK AND THEN DECREASE TO
  2 TO 4 FEET LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET
  TUESDAY NIGHT AND THEN TO 7 TO 10 FEET WEDNESDAY AND THEN
  DECREASING SOME WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
 
 THE HIGHEST WAVES ON TUESDAY WILL BE APPROXIMATELY 3 TO 5 MILES
 FROM SHORE BECAUSE OF THE SOUTH WINDS. SOUTHWEST WINDS CAUSE THE
 HIGHER WAVES TO BE CLOSER TO SHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
283 
WHUS71 KCLE 070851
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
451 AM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

LEZ146>149-071700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141009T0800Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
451 AM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY THEN SHIFTING TO
  WEST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS ON WEDNESDAY.
  WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY THURSDAY. 

* WAVES WILL DECREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND BRIEFLY
  DROP TO 3 FEET OR LESS THIS EVENING. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7
  BY LATE TONIGHT THEN TO 7 TO 10 FEET WEDNESDAY. WAVES WILL
  GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THURSDAY BUT THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
  MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
131 
WHUS71 KCLE 071522
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1122 AM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

LEZ146>149-072330-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141009T0800Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1122 AM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY THEN SHIFTING TO WEST
  OVERNIGHT AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS
  WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY THURSDAY.

* WAVES WILL DECREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND BRIEFLY 
  DROP TO 3 FEET OR LESS THIS EVENING. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 
  7 BY LATE TONIGHT THEN TO 7 TO 10 FEET WEDNESDAY. WAVES WILL 
  GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THURSDAY BUT THE SMALL CRAFT 
  ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
345 
WHUS71 KCLE 071936
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
336 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

LEZ146>149-080345-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141009T0800Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
336 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST
  AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS ON FROM THE
  WEST ON WEDNESDAY.

* WAVES: THE WAVES WILL BE 1 TO 3 FEET THIS EVENING AND THEN BUILD
  TO 3 TO 5 FEET OVERNIGHT AND TO 6 TO 9 FEET ON WEDNESDAY
  SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY
  NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOMBARDY
562 
WHUS71 KCLE 080221
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1021 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

LEZ142>145-081030-
/O.EXB.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.141008T1000Z-141009T0700Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
1021 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM
EDT THURSDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST AND INCREASE
  TO 30 KNOTS AROUND DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH
  TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

  THE WINDS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE THE WATER LEVELS ON
  THE WEST END OF THE LAKE TO DROP TO THE CRITICAL MARK LATE
  WEDNESDAY. THIS POSSIBILITY WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED BY SHIPS.

* WAVES: THE WAVES WILL BE 1 TO 3 FEET TONIGHT AND THEN BUILD TO 5
  TO 7 FEET ON WEDNESDAY AND SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FEET LATE WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ146>149-081030-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141010T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1021 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS FROM
  THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY AND DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS FOR WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT AND THURSDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING THURSDAY EVENING.

* WAVES: THE WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT AND BUILD
  TO 8 TO 10 FEET ON WEDNESDAY AND THEN SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET
  THURSDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
981 
WHUS71 KCLE 080851
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
451 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

LEZ146>149-081700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141010T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
451 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
  TODAY...THEN DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
  WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS ON THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* WAVES: THE WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 8 TO 11 FEET BY LATE
  AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASE TO 5 TO 7 FEET ON THURSDAY. WINDS WILL
  CONTINUE TO DECREASE FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ142>145-081700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.141008T1000Z-141009T0700Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
451 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS: WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25
  KNOTS TODAY. WINDS WILL DROP BACK TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT
  INTO THURSDAY. 

  THE WINDS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE THE WATER LEVELS ON  
  THE WEST END OF THE LAKE TO DROP TO THE CRITICAL MARK LATE  
  WEDNESDAY. THIS POSSIBILITY WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED BY SHIPS.

* WAVES: WAVES WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
  SLOWLY DECREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT. 

* THE WINDS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE THE WATER LEVELS ON
  THE WEST END OF THE LAKE TO DROP TO NEAR THE CRITICAL MARK FOR
  SAFE NAVIGATION THIS AFTERNOON. WATER LEVELS WILL BE MONITORED
  AND SHIPS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CHECK FOR UPDATED FORECAST
  INFORMATION LATER THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
131 
WHUS71 KCLE 081527
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1127 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

LEZ146>149-082330-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141010T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1127 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM THURSDAY FROM
AVON POINT TO RIPLEY NEW YORK.

* WINDS: WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON...THEN 15 TO 25
  KNOTS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20
  KNOTS ON THURSDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES: THE WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 8 TO 11 FEET BY LATE 
  AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASE TO 5 TO 7 FEET ON THURSDAY. WINDS 
  WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ142>145-082330-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141009T0700Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
1127 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM THURSDAY FROM
MAUMEE BAY TO AVON POINT.

* WINDS: WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DROP
  BACK TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
  SLOWLY DECREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* THE WINDS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE THE WATER LEVELS ON
  THE WEST END OF LAKE ERIE TO DROP TO NEAR THE CRITICAL MARK FOR
  NAVIGATION BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS POSSIBILITY WILL NEED TO
  BE MONITORED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
267 
WHUS71 KCLE 081947
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
347 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

LEZ146>149-090400-
/O.UPG.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141010T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0014.141008T1947Z-141008T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0038.141008T2300Z-141010T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
347 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS THEN IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS: WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS INTO EARLY EVENING THEN WINDS
  DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES 8 TO 12 FEET THIS EVENING...DECREASING TO 7 TO 10
  FEET LATE TONIGHT AND 5 TO 7 FEET ON THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT 
OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET 
OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ061-166>169-082300-
/O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0014.141008T1947Z-141008T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
347 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING.

* WINDS: WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS INTO EARLY EVENING THEN WINDS
  DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES 8 TO 12 FEET THIS EVENING...DECREASING TO 7 TO 10
  FEET LATE TONIGHT AND 5 TO 7 FEET ON THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT 
OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ142>144-090400-
/O.NEW.KCLE.LO.Y.0003.141008T1947Z-141009T0100Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141009T0700Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
347 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LOW WATER
ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING FOR THE
WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE AND NEAR THE ISLANDS. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS: WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL DROP TO
  10 TO 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET THIS EVENING...THEN
  SLOWLY DECREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING

* LOW WATER: WEST WINDS TO 25 KNOTS WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS ON THE
  WEST END OF LAKE ERIE TO DROP TO NEAR THE CRITICAL MARK FOR
  NAVIGATION BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. RECENT
  WATER LEVELS HAVE AVERAGED ABOUT 30 INCHES ABOVE LOW WATER
  DATUM. THE CRITICAL LEVEL FOR SAFE NAVIGATION IS CURRENTLY
  AROUND 6 INCHES ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM. WATER LEVELS WILL RISE BY
  LATE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 
BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. VESSELS MAY BOTTOM
OUT OR BECOME GROUNDED. CONTACT THE COAST GUARD FOR THE LATEST
WATER LEVEL. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION OR CONSIDER
WAITING UNTIL WATER LEVELS RISE.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-090100-
/O.NEW.KCLE.LO.Y.0003.141008T1947Z-141009T0100Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
347 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LOW WATER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* LOW WATER...WEST WINDS TO 25 KNOTS WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS ON
THE WEST END OF LAKE ERIE TO DROP TO NEAR THE CRITICAL MARK FOR
NAVIGATION BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. RECENT
WATER LEVELS HAVE AVERAGED ABOUT 30 INCHES ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM.
THE CRITICAL LEVEL FOR SAFE NAVIGATION IS CURRENTLY AROUND 6
INCHES ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM. WATER LEVELS WILL RISE BY LATE
EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 
BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. VESSELS MAY BOTTOM
OUT OR BECOME GROUNDED. CONTACT THE COAST GUARD FOR THE LATEST
WATER LEVEL. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION OR CONSIDER
WAITING UNTIL WATER LEVELS RISE.

&&

$$

LEZ145-090400-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141009T0700Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
347 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS: WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE
  TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES WILL AVERAGE 8 TO 10 FEET THIS EVENING...THEN
  SLOWLY DECREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
557 
WHUS71 KCLE 082321
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
721 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

LEZ146>149-090730-
/O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-141008T2300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-141010T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
721 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THURSDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS
  OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES 7 TO 10 FEET DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 FEET BY THURSDAY
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&


$$

LEZ061-166>169-090030-
/O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-141008T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
721 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW GALE FORCE.

$$

LEZ142>144-090700-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-141009T0100Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141009T0700Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
721 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LOW
WATER ADVISORY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
3 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL DROP TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS
  LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL DECREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* LOW WATER: DIMINISHING WEST WINDS ARE ALLOWING WATER LEVELS IN
  THE WESTERN BASIN TO RISE BACK ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE
  NAVIGATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET 
OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-090030-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-141009T0100Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
721 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LOW
WATER ADVISORY. 

DIMINISHING WEST WINDS ARE ALLOWING WATER LEVELS IN THE WESTERN
BASIN TO RISE BACK ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION.

$$

LEZ145-090700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141009T0700Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
721 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS: WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL DROP TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS
  LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. 

* WAVES: WAVES OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL DECREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 6, 7:58 AM EDT, 2 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 7:58 AM EDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
758 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
SEVERAL PIECES OF JET ENERGY WILL PASS THROUGH AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH THAT WILL RESIDE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH
FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE FEW REMAINING SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST OF THE COUNTY
WARNING AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A DECENT AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE FOR
MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH MID MORNING. WE WILL THEN SEE THE CLOUD
COVER RETURN WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
FROM WEST TO EAST.

WITH A BIT MORE SUNSHINE WE HAVE NUDGED HIGHS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
OTHERWISE MINIMAL CHANGES FOR THE AFTERNOON PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS MAY BE OVER THE COUNTY WARNING AREA THIS MORNING AS
SOME UPPER LEVEL JET ENERGY MOVES EAST OF THE REGION. THE REGION
WILL THEN BE IN A LULL BETWEEN PIECES OF JET ENERGY AS THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE GREAT LAKES. WE EXPECT TO
AT LEAST SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SUNSHINE OVER THE AREA TODAY BEFORE
THE WARM ADVECTION INCREASES AHEAD OF THE JET ENERGY THAT IS
MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS OF 08Z. THE INCREASED WARM
ADVECTION AT THE LOWER LEVELS COMBINED WITH THE LIFT FROM THE
UPPER LEVEL JET WILL PRODUCE AN AREA OF SHOWERS THAT WILL MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA FOR MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS THERE MAY BE ENOUGH HEATING UNDER THE COOL
AIR ALOFT TO ALLOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME THUNDER FOR LATE
AFTERNOON. HAVE ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER TO THE GRIDS AND
WILL INCREASE THESE CHANCES LATER IF WARRANTED.

TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL ALL HINGE ON HOW LONG A BREAK IN THE CLOUD
COVER MATERIALIZES. FOR THIS FORECAST WE DID NOT GO AS WARM AS THE
MAV GUIDANCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
SHOWERS AND MAYBE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE
REGION WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN A LULL FOR A FEW HOURS ON TUESDAY
BEFORE THE NEXT PIECE OF JET ENERGY MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL
ONCE AGAIN BE THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME THUNDER AS THIS JET ENERGY
MOVES OVERHEAD. THE BEST CHANCES OF THUNDER WILL LIKELY BE OVER
LAKE ERIE WHERE STEEPER LAPSE RATES WILL RESIDE. THERE WILL BE
SOME LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS OVER NE OHIO INTO NW PA WEDNESDAY MORNING
BEFORE TAPERING OFF INTO THE AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING SHOULD BE DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY RIDGES
ACROSS OHIO. WE WILL THEN AWAIT THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL
ATTEMPT TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT.
WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SHOULD INCREASE
RAIN CHANCES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE SOUTH WITH THIS PIECE OF ENERGY.

TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE SHORT TERM WITH
HIGHS WITHIN A COUPLE DEGREES OF SEASONAL AVERAGES. COOLER
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MIDDLE 50S
ACROSS INLAND NW PA TO THE LOWER 60S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING WITH
DRIER AIR SPREADING IN QUICKLY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES. LOWERED TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S
BUT THESE MAY EVEN BE TOO WARM. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH ALTHOUGH SOME CLOUDS OFF THE LAKE WILL LIKELY FILL BACK INTO
NE OHIO LATE IN THE DAY. ALSO LOWERED POPS WITH MAINLY JUST A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF. DESPITE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING TO THE NORTH...SUSPECT WE WILL SE A PRETTY GOOD
AMOUNT OF LAKE EFFECT CLOUD ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH MOISTURE TRAPPED
BENEATH THE INVERSION. ALTHOUGH GENERALLY EXPECT TO SEE SUBSIDENCE
INCREASING INTO SATURDAY...CAN NOT RULE A FEW LAKE EFFECT RAIN
SHOWERS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURES ON
FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE TRICKY AND DEPEND A LOT ON WHERE THE CLOUDS ARE
LOCATED...WITH CLEAR AREAS SEEING TEMPERATURES DROP QUICKLY. CLOUDS
SHOULD CLEAR THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL AFTER A COOL START.

SPREAD WITHIN THE MODELS INCREASES BY SUNDAY AS THE 00Z/ECMWF AND
GEM ARE FASTER TO DEVELOP THE NEXT TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS WITH
MOISTURE QUICKLY RETURNING. TEMPERATURES WILL START TO WARM ON
SUNDAY BUT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THERE IS A BREAK IN THE CLOUD COVER AT MOST SITES TO START THE TAF
CYCLE WITH THE NEXT ROUND OF VFR CLOUDS ALREADY MOVING INTO
WESTERN OHIO. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE THE NEXT PIECE OF ENERGY MOVES THROUGH
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE AND ADDED VCTS TO MFD/CAK/YNG TO THE TAFS WHERE CHANCES
OF IMPACTING A TERMINAL SEEM HIGHEST. ALL SITES DO STAND A CHANCE
TO SEE THUNDERSTORMS THOUGH AND UPDATES MAY BE NEEDED AS
CONFIDENCE INCREASES IN LOCATION AND TIMING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
BE BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KNOTS. STRONGER
GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IF THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP.

SKIES WILL TRY TO CLEAR OUT LATE THIS EVENING BUT COULD END UP WITH
MVFR CLOUDS LINGERING INSTEAD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF IFR STRATUS
DEVELOPING FOR A BRIEF WINDOW LATE TONIGHT.

.OUTLOOK...NON-VFR POSSIBLE AS ANOTHER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH TUESDAY.
NON-VFR LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL KEEP A CHOP ON THE LAKE WITH 2
TO 4 FOOT WAVES IN THE NEARSHORE AND 4 TO 6 FEET ON THE OPEN
WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS ON THE
EAST HALF OVERNIGHT AS A TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE LAKE. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ON THE EAST HALF AS WAVES
BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET. THE SMALL CRAFT WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN EFFECT
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A STRONGER TROUGH PULLS A COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE LAKE EARLY WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE A WINDOW OF
SLIGHTLY BETTER CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT WILL BE
BRIEF. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AT 15-25 KNOTS BEHIND THE
FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WITH WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET ON THE EAST END OF
THE LAKE. A BRIEF WINDOW OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE LAKE
THURSDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MULLEN
NEAR TERM...MULLEN
SHORT TERM...MULLEN
LONG TERM...KEC
AVIATION...KEC
MARINE...KEC
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 6, 4:15 AM EDT, 5 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
415 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2014

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-070815-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
415 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Ohio, 2014Every small craft advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.