Small Craft Advisory 31, NWS Cleveland, OH

493 
WHUS71 KCLE 101353
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
953 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

LEZ142>145-102200-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.140910T1353Z-140911T1300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
953 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE
  EVENING THEY MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KNOTS. WAVES WILL
  GENERALLY BE 1 TO 3 FEET THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL BUILD TO AT
  LEAST 2 TO 4 FEET AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST IN
  THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT TONIGHT.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

643 
WHUS71 KCLE 101900
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
300 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

LEZ145-110300-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140911T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0032.140910T1900Z-140911T2000Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO THE
  SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. WAVES WILL
  BUILD TO 2 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LEZ146>149-110300-
/O.EXB.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.140910T1900Z-140911T2000Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO THE
  WEST TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS. WAVES OF 2 TO 4
  WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LEZ142>144-110300-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140911T1400Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO THE
  WEST INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. WAVES WILL BUILD TO
  3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

181 
WHUS71 KCLE 110230
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1030 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

LEZ146>149-111030-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140911T2000Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1030 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO 
  THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS. WAVES OF 2 TO 
  4 WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LEZ142>144-111030-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140911T1400Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
1030 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO 
  THE WEST INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. WAVES WILL 
  BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LEZ145-111030-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-140911T2000Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
1030 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO 
  THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. WAVES 
  WILL BUILD TO 2 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

543 
WHUS71 KCLE 110803
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
403 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

LEZ146>149-111615-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140911T2000Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
403 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL BECOME WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 30
  KNOTS BY SUNRISE. WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET THIS MORNING SUBSIDING TO
  3 TO 5 FEET FOR THE AFTERNOON. WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
  DECREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LEZ142>144-111400-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140911T1400Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
403 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS
  MORNING WITH 3 TO 5 FOOT WAVES POSSIBLE. WINDS AND WAVES WILL
  DECREASE BY LATE MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LEZ145-111615-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-140911T2000Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
403 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS
  MORNING WITH 3 TO 5 FOOT WAVES POSSIBLE. WINDS AND WAVES WILL
  DECREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

756 
WHUS71 KCLE 111400
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1000 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

LEZ142>144-112000-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140911T2000Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
1000 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY
  WITH WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET. WINDS AND WAVES WILL DECREASE BY LATE
  AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LEZ146>149-112000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140911T2000Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1000 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL BE FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 15
  TO 30 KNOTS. WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS
  AFTERNOON. WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH
  LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LEZ145-112000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-140911T2000Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
1000 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL BE FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 15
  TO 25 KNOTS WITH WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET. WINDS AND WAVES WILL
  DECREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

832 
WHUS71 KCLE 111955
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
355 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

LEZ142>144-112100-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140911T2000Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
355 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 



$$

LEZ145-112100-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-140911T2000Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
355 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 



$$

LEZ146>149-120200-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-140912T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
355 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25
  KNOTS THROUGH EARLY EVENING AND THEN DIMINISH TO 5 TO 15 KNOTS
  LATE THIS EVENING. WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4
  FEET THIS EVENING.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
333 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA WILL MOVE ACROSS LAKE HURON PULLING A STRONG
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE UP THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY THEN HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE REGION
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY EVENING/...
THE QUESTION TODAY IS HOW FAR OUT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT WILL THE TSRA OCCUR. THE LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE QPF RAPIDLY
SPREADING ESE ACROSS THE CWA BETWEEN 18Z AND 00Z. WILL INCREASE POPS
MORE FOR TODAY. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS STILL LOOKS GOOD BASED
ON INSTABILITY AND FAIRLY GOOD WIND SHEAR. PW'S RISE BACK TO AROUND
2 INCHES SO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED.

TODAY WILL BE THE LAST RELATIVELY WARM DAY FOR A WHILE...POSSIBLY
THE REST OF THE SEASON BASED ON UPPER TROUGHING THAT IS GOING TO SET
UP OVER THE LAKES FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 10 DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
A FINAL BAND OF TSRA WITH THE STRONG COLD FRONT SHOULD PROGRESS
ACROSS THE CWA BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z SO AFTER 12Z THU ONLY THE SE HALF
OF THE CWA SHOULD STILL HAVE A THREAT FOR RAIN WITH THE STRONGER
CONVECTION THEN EXITING THE CWA.

DRIER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT ALONG WITH THE LEADING PART OF A
MUCH COOLER AIRMASS. MARGINAL LAKE EFFECT CONDITIONS START TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THU NIGHT SO A FEW SHRA COULD BREAK OUT OVER
THE SNOWBELT AND NEARBY AREAS.

A SHARP S/W IS PROGGED TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE LAKES FRI NIGHT INTO
SAT AND INDUCE A SURFACE WAVE THAT MOVES UP THE OH VALLEY. MOISTURE
POOLS BACK OVER THE AREA WITH WIDESPREAD SHRA DEVELOPING FRI NIGHT
AND CONTINUING INTO SAT BEFORE SHIFTING INTO MAINLY THE EAST SAT
AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE IS SHOWN TO BE QUICKLY SPREADING OVER THE AREA BY SAT
NIGHT BUT LAKE EFFECT CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BASED ON TEMP
DIFFERENCES. DUE TO WIND ISSUES AND SUBSIDENCE FROM THE HIGH WILL
KEEP ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE GOING SAT NIGHT IN THE NE.

TEMPS WILL TREND COOLER FOR FRI AND SAT WITH HIGHS BOTH DAYS MOSTLY
60 TO 65 DEGREES. SOME SPOTS ON SAT MAY NOT EVEN GET TO 60 DEGREES
IN THE INLAND EAST IF CLOUD COVER AND SHRA PERSIST. THE INCREASING
CLOUDS FRI NIGHT SHOULD HOLD UP LOWS IN A 45 TO 50 RANGE BUT BY SAT
NIGHT THE DECREASED CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR LOWS IN
THE LOW TO MID 40S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY BUT IT
WILL BE SHIFTING OFF TO THE EAST AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AS THIS TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD IT WILL
BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE BETTER CHANCES OF THE
SHOWERS WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE SHOWERS MAY LINGER
DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE INTO TUESDAY EVENING. THE NEXT AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN DRY THINGS OUT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

IT WILL BE COOL THROUGH THE LONG TERM WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW
SEASONAL AVERAGES. HIGHS AT MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN IN THE 60S.
HOWEVER BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THE WESTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA
WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE 70.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SOME MVFR FOG TOWARD SUNRISE BUT DO NOT THINK IT WILL BE
WIDESPREAD.

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY MID TO LATE MORNING ACROSS
THE REGION AS A COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE REGION. WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH 30 TO 35 KNOTS NEAR THE LAKESHORE FROM CLEVELAND AND POINTS
WEST FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE STRENGTH OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. THERE COULD BE A LEAD PIECE OF JET
ENERGY THAT INITIATES A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OHIO THIS AFTERNOON. AS THESE DECREASE IN
COVERAGE DURING THE EVENING (PROBABLY BY 00Z) THE CONVECTION ALONG
THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BE MOVING INTO NW OHIO. THESE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL THEN SLOWLY TRACK ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWER CEILINGS MAY LINGER OVER NE OHIO
AND NW PA INTO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TODAY WITH
INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL INCREASE THE EARLIEST ACROSS THE WESTERN BASIN WITH
SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE. WINDS WILL BE OFFSHORE
SO WAVES SHOULD NOT BUILD ALL THAT MUCH. SINCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE IN THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE WE HOISTED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY SHIFT AROUND TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST IN THE
WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE EAST OF THE LAKE
BY 12Z THURSDAY. THE REMAINDER OF THE LAKE WILL NEED TO HAVE A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY AT SOME POINT THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. LATER
SHIFTS WILL ISSUE IT WHEN IT IS NEEDED. THE COLD ADVECTION IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL KEEP LARGER WAVES (4-6 FEET) GOING INTO AT
LEAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES OVER THE
REGION WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEAST BY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL SET
UP A LONG FETCH INTO THE WESTERN HALF OF THE LAKE. IF THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT CAN REMAIN TIGHT ENOUGH WE MAY NEED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
AGAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. MORE DETAILS TO COME ON THIS SCENARIO
THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT
AND TRACK ACROSS MUCH OF THE LAKE. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF SPECIAL MARINE
WARNINGS FOR THIS EVENING AND POSSIBLY INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ADAMS
NEAR TERM...ADAMS
SHORT TERM...ADAMS
LONG TERM...MULLEN
AVIATION...MULLEN
MARINE...MULLEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1008 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-101415-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
1008 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS WITH A LESSER THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE CONDUCIVE FOR A THREAT OF
TORNADOES ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHWEST OHIO.

THE AIRMASS IS MOIST SO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.