Severe Thunderstorm Warning 50, NWS Cleveland, OH

643 
WWUS51 KCLE 220336
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1136 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

PAC049-220346-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0050.000000T0000Z-140522T0400Z/
ERIE PA-
1136 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ERIE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 4157 8051 4185 7960 4162 7961 4161 7982
      4148 8001 4148 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 0336Z 291DEG 33KT 4177 7964

$$

PAC039-220400-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0050.000000T0000Z-140522T0400Z/
CRAWFORD PA-
1136 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
FOR SOUTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...

AT 1134 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF TITUSVILLE...OR 25 MILES NORTH OF OIL 
CITY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. ANOTHER SEVERE STORM WAS MOVING 
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST CORNER OF CRAWFORD COUNTY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TITUSVILLE AND MEADVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE NOW AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4157 8051 4185 7960 4162 7961 4161 7982
      4148 8001 4148 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 0336Z 291DEG 33KT 4177 7964

$$

521 
WWUS51 KCLE 220350
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1150 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

PAC039-220400-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0050.000000T0000Z-140522T0400Z/
CRAWFORD PA-
1150 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

LAT...LON 4157 8051 4185 7960 4162 7961 4161 7982
      4148 8001 4148 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 0350Z 291DEG 33KT 4172 7948

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
842 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AND
FORCE A COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES BY SATURDAY
EVENING AND TO THE CAROLINA COAST BY SUNDAY. A RIDGE WILL EXTEND
BACK NORTH ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. A TROUGH WILL SWING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS SLOWLY SINKING SOUTH AND THE BULK
OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE CWA IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE ISOLATED CELLS MOVING OVER LERI THAT MAY MAKE
A RUN AT THE ERIE AREA. HOWEVER...THINK THE RELATIVELY COLDER LAKE
ERIE AND ITS ASSOCIATED STABILITY WILL WEAKEN THESE CELLS AND THEY
MAY NOT EVEN MAKE IT ALL THE WAY ACROSS THE LAKE IN TO NW PA.

PRECIPITATION THREAT WILL BE ON A GRADUAL DECLINE THROUGH THE NIGHT
FROM NE TO SE.

AS COLD AIR ADVECTION BEGINS TO TAKE PLACE BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT...EXPECTING LOWS TO DROP INTO THE MID 50S IN NORTHWEST OHIO
AND ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. INLAND...THE COLD AIR WILL NOT YET ARRIVE
AND WILL KEEP LOWS AROUND 60 ACROSS THAT AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN TRENDING FROM A NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY. HOWEVER...A TROUGH DIGGING
INTO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF CANADA WILL HELP TO AMPLIFY AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL DIVE INTO THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE UNITED STATES AND THIS WILL
KEEP CONDITIONS ON THE COOL SIDE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTH ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. ONCE THE HIGH
FINALLY MOVES SLIGHTLY EAST AND THEN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA TO
THE CAROLINAS...THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD START TO SEE SOME WARM AIR
ADVECTION JUST IN TIME FOR THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

THE OTHER GOOD NEWS IS THAT THIS HIGH WILL WILL EXTEND A RIDGE BACK
NORTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY AND THIS WILL KEEP THE
FORECAST AREA FOR THE MOST PART DRY. THERE IS A SHOT OF MOISTURE
EXPECTED TO ROTATE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA ON FRIDAY...POSSIBLY FRIDAY NIGHT THAT COULD BRING A
SPRINKLE OR TWO TO THE AREA. OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

850 MB TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DIP TO AROUND PLUS 4 C BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY CLIMB TO PLUS 8 C BY SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR BUT EXPECTING
HIGHS TO CLIMB INTO THE 60S EAST TO LOWER 70S WEST ON THURSDAY...MID
70S WEST TO UPPER 60S EAST FRIDAY...AND MID TO UPPER 70S ON
SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ALMOST OVERHEAD BY SUNDAY
WHICH GIVES RISE TO AN OPTIMISTIC MEMORIAL DAY FORECAST. LAKE
BREEZES ARE LIKELY SUNDAY OTHERWISE SUNNY WEATHER AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED. A FEW DEGREES WARMER ON MEMORIAL DAY ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH. HIGH CLOUDS WILL LIKELY SPREAD IN FROM
THE WEST. SOME OF THE MODELS ARE INDICATING A CHANCE OF WARM FRONTAL
ACTIVITY...PERHAPS GETTING TO THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY... BUT THE
MODELS ARE OFTEN 12 HOURS TOO FAST WITH WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS SO
WILL KEEP IT OUT OF THE MEMORIAL DAY FORECAST AT THIS TIME. HIGHS
MONDAY UP AROUND 80 EXCEPT ALONG THE LAKE ERIE LAKESHORE EAST OF
CLEVELAND WHERE THE WIND WILL COME ONSHORE.

THE GFS HAS BEEN FASTER WITH THE NEXT FRONT AND THE FORECAST BY MID
WEEK NEXT WEEK REALLY BECOMES PROBLEMATIC DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF
THE NEXT FRONT. THE GFS STRONGLY BACK DOORS THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH
ON WEDNESDAY BUT LOOKS ANOMALOUS BASED ON A CLOSED LOW ALOFT
DROPPING THROUGH THE TROUGH. THE ECMWF BUILDS THE SURFACE HIGH
ACROSS EASTERN CANADA SO THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME COOLING WITH A
NORTHEAST FLOW...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE ERIE. FORECAST HIGHS WILL BE A
FEW DEGREES COOLER WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MOST OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT HAD
DECREASED. SOME WERE STILL LINGERING NEAR THE ISLANDS. EXPECTING
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DECREASE. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH OVERNIGHT...SOME CEILINGS NEAR 1000 FEET WILL DEVELOP.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO BROKEN CLOUDS AROUND 3000 FEET DURING
THE AFTERNOON.

.OUTLOOK...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS LAKE ERIE TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS OR PERHAPS
A THUNDERSTORM MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. THE FLOW WILL VEER MORE WEST
TO NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY NORTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST. THE GRADIENT SHOULD
STAY LIGHT ENOUGH THAT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL NOT BE NEEDED BUT
IT WILL BE CLOSE ON THURSDAY AS WAVES WILL LIKELY REACH 2 TO 4 FEET.
THE LAKE SHOULD QUIET DOWN BY THE WEEKEND AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES
OVERHEAD. LAKE BREEZES ARE LIKELY BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WATER
TEMPERATURES ARE MOSTLY IN THE 50S TO AROUND 60...SOME 3-5 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL... NOT SWIMMING WEATHER...AND STILL DANGEROUSLY COLD TO
SPEND ANY EXTENDED TIME IN THE WATER.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LOMBARDY
NEAR TERM...ADAMS/LOMBARDY
SHORT TERM...LOMBARDY
LONG TERM...KOSARIK
AVIATION...KIELTYKA
MARINE...KOSARIK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
327 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-221930-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
327 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-221930-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
327 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LOMBARDY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
704 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HAIL             BELLVILLE               40.62N 82.51W
05/21/2014  E0.75 INCH       RICHLAND           OH   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

KIELTYKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
853 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     HAIL             PORT CLINTON            41.51N 82.94W
05/21/2014  E0.75 INCH       OTTAWA             OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

KIELTYKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
919 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0907 PM     HAIL             LORAIN                  41.44N 82.18W
05/21/2014  E0.75 INCH       LORAIN             OH   AMATEUR RADIO

0909 PM     HAIL             CASTALIA                41.40N 82.81W
05/21/2014  E0.75 INCH       ERIE               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0915 PM     HAIL             2 E CASTALIA            41.40N 82.77W
05/21/2014  E1.00 INCH       ERIE               OH   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

KIELTYKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
954 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     HAIL             MADISON                 41.77N 81.05W
05/21/2014  E0.88 INCH       LAKE               OH   911 CALL CENTER

            HAIL SIZE WAS FROM 7/8 TO 3/4 INCH DIAMETER.

&&

THOMPSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1019 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     HAIL             BELLEVUE                41.28N 82.84W
05/21/2014  E1.50 INCH       SANDUSKY           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0950 PM     HAIL             MADISON                 41.77N 81.05W
05/21/2014  E0.88 INCH       LAKE               OH   911 CALL CENTER

            HAIL SIZE WAS FROM 7/8 TO 3/4 INCH DIAMETER.

&&

THOMPSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1024 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0952 PM     HAIL             MADISON                 41.77N 81.05W
05/21/2014  E1.00 INCH       LAKE               OH   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

KIELTYKA