Severe Thunderstorm Warning 115, NWS Cleveland, OH

415 
WWUS51 KCLE 202339
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
739 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

OHC095-173-210015-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0115.000000T0000Z-140921T0015Z/
WOOD OH-LUCAS OH-
739 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR LUCAS AND WOOD COUNTIES...

AT 738 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF HARBOR VIEW TO WALBRIDGE TO
MILTON CENTER...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
TOLEDO TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF TOLEDO TO CUSTAR...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WHITEHOUSE...WESTON...WATERVILLE...TOLEDO...ROSSFORD...PERRYSBURG...
OREGON...NORTHWOOD...NORTH BALTIMORE...HOLLAND...CUSTAR AND BOWLING
GREEN

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE NOW AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

&&

LAT...LON 4174 8367 4174 8345 4172 8341 4170 8342
      4169 8337 4172 8334 4163 8318 4162 8341
      4117 8342 4117 8386 4117 8388 4143 8389
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 263DEG 41KT 4178 8348 4154 8352
          4129 8375

$$

504 
WWUS51 KCLE 210014
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
814 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

OHC095-173-210019-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0115.000000T0000Z-140921T0015Z/
WOOD OH-LUCAS OH-
814 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LUCAS AND WOOD COUNTIES WILL
EXPIRE AT 815 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND STARTED TO 
MOVE OUT OF THE WARNING AREA.

THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO ABOUT 40 MPH WERE OBSERVED AT THE TOLEDO 
EXPRESS AIRPORT AND IN PERRYSBURG ABOUT 745PM


A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4174 8367 4174 8345 4172 8341 4170 8342
      4169 8337 4172 8334 4163 8318 4162 8341
      4117 8342 4117 8386 4117 8388 4143 8389
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 263DEG 41KT 4182 8303 4158 8307
          4133 8330

$$

TK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
702 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE
REGION ON MONDAY AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...UPDATED FOR SEVERE WATCH.

ORIGINAL...A COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL SLOWLY
MOVE TOWARD THE REGION THIS EVENING. THERE HAVE BEEN A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG SEVERAL PREFRONTAL BOUNDARIES THIS
AFTERNOON OVER MICHIGAN. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE OUTFLOW FROM
THESE THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY GET CLOSER TO NW OHIO. IF THESE
INITIAL STORMS DO NOT GET INTO THE TOLEDO AREA THROUGH 00Z WE WILL
BE WAITING UNTIL NEAR OR AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR ANY CONVECTION TO
ARRIVE. INSTABILITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THROUGH SUNSET AS WE
ADVECT SOME BETTER MOISTURE INTO THE REGION AND THE BETTER SHEAR
ARRIVES. THIS MAY ALLOW A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME STRONGER
WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM POSSIBLE.

HIGHER LEVELS OF MOISTURE AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP THE
REGION WARMER TONIGHT WITH MOST LOCATIONS REMAINING IN THE 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT WILL TAKE ITS TIME MOVING ACROSS THE COUNTY WARNING
AREA ON SUNDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES. WE ARE A BIT MORE CONCERNED ABOUT SEVERE CHANCES ON SUNDAY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MEADVILLE TO MARION. THIS IS THE
REGION THAT WILL BE THE WARMEST ON SUNDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. AFTER THE FRONT CLEARS THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT THE REGION WILL HAVE INCREASING HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH WITH COLDER AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE
IT WILL MEAN SOME LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS. THESE SHOWERS WILL MAINLY
BE LOCATED FROM THE CENTRAL LAKESHORE REGION EASTWARD INTO NW PA.
THESE SHOWERS MAY PERSIST INTO MONDAY EVENING ACROSS NW PA. THE
ENTIRE AREA SHOULD BE DRY BY MONDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN THAT WAY
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

SUNDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE SHORT TERM WITH MOST
LOCATIONS STILL IN THE 70S...MIDDLE TO MAYBE UPPER 70S ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA. MONDAY WILL BE MUCH
COOLER WITH HIGHS IN MANY LOCATIONS STRUGGLING TO GET OUT OF THE
50S. SLIGHTLY WARMER ON TUESDAY WITH MORE SUNSHINE WITH HIGHS BACK
INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UNEVENTFUL FROM WEDNESDAY ON INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND.
PATTERN BEGINS TO BLOCK AND RARE RIDGING RESIDES OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY. THIS WILL BRING TEMPERATURES THAT ARE NEAR NORMAL AND A
PERIOD OF MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FIRST BAND OF CONVECTION WITH A COLD FRONT THAT WILL CROSS THE AREA
SUN MORNING SHOULD PUSH ESE INTO TOL AREA SOON THEN REACH CLE TO MFD
LINE AROUND 04Z WHILE WEAKENING. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
TO REDEVELOP BACK CLOSER TO THE COLD FRONT AND THIS PUSH SHOULD THEN
SWEEP ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FROM 06Z INTO SUN MORNING. WILL
CONTINUE TO JUST USE VCTS FOR THE EASTERN PART OF THE AREA DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW STRONG THE CONVECTION MAY BE BY THE LATTER
PART OF THE NIGHT/SUN MORNING. THERE SHOULD BE A LULL FOR A WHILE
SUN MORNING INTO MIDDAY AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSES BUT A STRONG
UPPER TROUGH WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL SHRA AND A FEW TSRA TO DEVELOP.
CIGS AND VSBY'S SHOULD IMPROVE INTO MIDDAY SUN THEN WILL DEPEND ON
WHEN ANY OF THE SCT SHRA/TSRA MAY BE AFFECTING A GIVEN AIRPORT.

SW WINDS GUSTING AROUND 20 KNOTS SHOULD DIMINISH A LITTLE LATER
TONIGHT THEN VEER TO W TO NW SUN MORNING INTO AFTERNOON AND WINDS
SHOULD INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

.OUTLOOK...NON-VFR SUNDAY EVENING LINGERING OVER NE OH/NW PA INTO
MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS STAYING JUST UNDER SCA CRITERIA SO ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD WHEN WINDS REACH SCA
CRITERIA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE WINDS STRONG ENOUGH FOR POSSIBLE SPECIAL MARINE
WARNINGS...ESPECIALLY FROM THE ISLANDS WEST.

COLD FRONT ACROSS THE WESTERN LAKES WILL TAKE A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE LAKE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND THEN BE FOLLOWED BY A SECONDARY
FRONT/TROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS THEREFORE CAN BE EXPECTED TO
SHIFT FROM THE SSW TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT AND THEN TO THE NORTH
SUNDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE A GOOD CHOP ON THE LAKE AND BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY NEED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE ENTIRE
LENGTH OF THE NEARSHORE WATERS WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION AIDING IN THE
ELEVATED WIND SPEEDS. WIND/WAVES SETTLE DOWN SLOWLY THROUGH MONDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN IN
CONTROL OF THE LAKE WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY AS IT SLOWLY SHIFTS
EAST.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MULLEN
NEAR TERM...TK/MULLEN
SHORT TERM...MULLEN
LONG TERM...OUDEMAN
AVIATION...ADAMS
MARINE...OUDEMAN/ADAMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
659 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

LEZ142>147-162>167-OHZ003-006>012-017>021-027>031-036>038-047-211100-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-LUCAS-
WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-HANCOCK-SENECA-
HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-
MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
659 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-148-149-168-169-OHZ013-014-022-023-032-033-089-PAZ001>003-
211100-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
659 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTHEAST OHIO
AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AS A STRONG
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.