River Flood Warning 37, NWS Cleveland, OH

484 
WGUS81 KCLE 062003
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
403 PM EDT SUN APR 6 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  MAUMEE RIVER AT WATERVILLE
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR PROSPECT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC095-173-070403-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-140408T0900Z/
/WTVO1.1.ER.140404T1010Z.140405T2030Z.140408T0300Z.NO/
403 PM EDT SUN APR 6 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER AT WATERVILLE.
* AT  3:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL...AND IT
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS NEAR THE RIVER.

$$

OHC101-070403-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140406T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT SUN APR 6 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR PROSPECT.
* AT  3:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO A STAGE OF 9.5 FEET BY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HIGHWAY 203 IS INACCESSIBLE NORTH OF PROSPECT. 
  FLOODING OCCURS NEAR ELM STREET IN NORTHERN PARTS OF PROSPECT. 

$$

OHC075-169-062033-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-140406T2249Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140406T1630Z.140406T1726Z.NO/
403 PM EDT SUN APR 6 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK.
* AT  3:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  1:26 PM SUNDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO 14.1 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...SEVERAL LOW LYING ROADS IN HOLMES COUNTY INCLUDING 
  COUNTY ROAD 1...TOWNSHIP ROAD 91...AND COUNTY ROAD 621 ARE FLOODED.
  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
703 AM EDT SUN APR 6 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER OHIO WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST COAST
TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE GULF COAST AND DEEPEN AS
IT TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA MONDAY NIGHT. THE LOW
WILL MOVE TO NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY. A RIDGE WILL BUILD EAST
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
IT SHOULD BE A NICE DAY ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. HIGH PRESSURE OVER
OHIO WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST COAST TODAY. AS THIS HAPPENS HIGH
CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE WEST. SKIES
SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN CLOUDS
WILL BEGIN TO THICKEN. A LAKE BREEZE IS LIKELY LATER TODAY SO
TEMPS ARE KIND OF TRICKY NEAR THE LAKE. THINK WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
AREAS WILL MAKE A RUN FOR 60 BUT NEAR THE LAKESHORE IT WILL
STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE UPPER 40S BEFORE THE WINDS FLIP.
THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE SEEMED TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THIS AND HAVE
MADE ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE PREVIOUS HIGH FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT ALLOWING A LOW
NEAR THE GULF TO RACE NORTHEAST. HAVE CONTINUED TO FINE TUNE THE
TIMING OF THE PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW. IT WILL PROBABLY BE
CLOSE TO MIDDAY BEFORE NE OH GETS PRECIP AND EARLY AFTERNOON FOR NW
PA. DEWPOINTS CREEP INTO THE 40S DURING THE DAY BUT DO NOT THINK
THERE WILL BE ENOUGH FORCING...INSTABILITY AND DYNAMICS TO SUPPORT
MORE THAN ISOLATED THUNDER. WILL OMIT FROM THE FORECAST FOR NOW.
THE SURFACE LOW IS NOW FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS NW OHIO MONDAY
NIGHT WHICH MEANS A DRY SLOT COULD MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AT SOME
POINT MONDAY. WILL STILL GO WITH NEAR 100 POPS BOTH MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT BUT A FEW HOUR BREAK IN THE PRECIP IS LIKELY AT SOME
POINT. NEW GUIDANCE IS SHOWING ABOUT AN INCH OF QPF OVER MUCH OF
THE AREA. SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE THAT AMOUNT AFTER A COUPLE OF
DRY DAYS SO NO FLOOD HEADLINES ARE NEEDED. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY AND WILL NEED MORE HIGH
POPS. DECENT COLD AIR ADVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED BEHIND THE LOW
AND SOME INSTABILITY SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
CRITICAL THICKNESSES SHOW MIXED PRECIP FROM LATE EVENING ON.
RIDGING OCCURS QUICKLY ON WEDNESDAY AND DRY WEATHER WILL FINALLY
RETURN.

WITH THE MORE WESTERN LOW TRACK...TEMPS WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER
MONDAY THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. HAVE BUMPED MOST AREAS UP A COUPLE
OF DEGREES. TEMPS THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
AND HAVE USED A BLEND OF GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE WEATHER PATTERN STILL LOOKS ON TRACK TO SEE A BRIEF WARM UP ON
THU BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSES BY THU NIGHT. WITH THE TIMING
STILL LOOKING GOOD..WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW A SMALL CHANCE POP FOR
SHRA IN THE NW BY LATE IN THE DAY THU...THE BEST CHANCE THU NIGHT
THEN THE CHANCE SHIFTING INTO MAINLY THE SE FOR FRI AS THE FRONT
MOVES SE OF THE AREA. TEMPS BY FRI ARE BACK BELOW NORMAL...BUT STILL
WARM ENOUGH TO SEE RAIN VERSUS SNOW.

A WEAK RIDGE MOVES OVER THE AREA FOR FRI NIGHT BUT THEN QUICKLY
SHIFTS NE ON SAT. THE MODELS DIFFER SOME ON HOW QUICKLY WARMER AND
MORE MOIST AIR TRIES TO SPREAD BACK INTO THE REGION. COULD BE SOME
LATE DAY SHRA IN THE WEST BUT BASED ON LATEST PROGS THINK SAT MAY
HAVE A GOOD CHANCE TO STAY DRY WHILE TEMPS MODERATE BACK CLOSER TO
NORMAL. HOWEVER...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A NE WIND...THE LAKESHORE
COUNTIES MAY STAY COOL DUE TO FLOW OFF THE CHILLY LAKE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
PATCHY HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE IN THROUGH MID AFTERNOON THEN TEND TO
HANG AROUND TONIGHT. SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS MAY PUSH INTO THE
SOUTHERN TAF SITES TOWARD 12Z. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL TURN
OUT OF THE SE AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS...BUT ERI AND CLE SHOULD SEE A
LAKEBREEZE DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON WITH WINDS OUT OF THE NE. THE
REST OF THE SITES SHOULD SEE WINDS GRADUALLY BACK TO EAST TONIGHT.

.OUTLOOK...NON VFR WILL REDEVELOP MONDAY AND PERSIST INTO TUESDAY.

&&

&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW TODAY WITH AFTERNOON NE LAKE BREEZE WILL
LINE UP OUT OF THE EAST TONIGHT THEN BACK TO NE MON WHILE INCREASING
TO ABOUT 15 TO 25 KNOTS AHEAD OF A LOW THAT WILL CROSS THE LAKE LATE
MON NIGHT. WINDS SHOULD BECOME NW INTO TUE AND STILL LOOK TO RUN
ABOUT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD MOVE EAST THRU
THE LAKE WED TO DIMINISH THE FLOW SOME BEFORE WINDS BACK TO THE SW
BY WED NIGHT. WINDS INCREASE WED NIGHT AND THU BACK TO ABOUT 15 TO
25 KNOTS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THRU THU NIGHT AND
SHIFT THE WINDS TO WNW AT ONLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KUBINA
NEAR TERM...KUBINA
SHORT TERM...KUBINA
LONG TERM...ADAMS
AVIATION...ADAMS
MARINE...ADAMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
527 AM EDT SUN APR 6 2014

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-070930-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
527 AM EDT SUN APR 6 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-070930-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
527 AM EDT SUN APR 6 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.