Alert archive / Ohio / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2014

Lake Effect Snow Warning 3, NWS Cleveland, OH

November 20, 2014Ashtabula County, Cuyahoga County, Ohio; Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this lake effect snow warning at Nov 20, 2014, 4:10 AM EST for Ashtabula County, Cuyahoga County, Ohio; Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Nov 20, 2014, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 22 hr. 30 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 20, 2014, 4:10 AM EST (09:10 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 20, 2014, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 21, 2014, 9:31 AM EST
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH

Counties Ashtabula County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 20, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 2.3Erie Airport, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 20, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Girard, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 20, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 3Millcreek Twp, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 20, 8:36 PM ESTSNOW 3Cranesville, PASNOWFALL PAST 2 HOURS. TOTAL FOR THE DAY 4 INCHES.
Nov 20, 9:30 PM ESTSNOW 66 S Erie, PASNOWFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT
Nov 20, 10:30 PM ESTSNOW 6Cambridge Spgs, PASNOWFALL SINCE 730 PM.
Nov 20, 10:40 PM ESTSNOW 2Meadville, PASNOWFALL SINCE 9PM
Nov 20, 11:45 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Broadview Hts, OHSINOWFALL SINCE 7PM
Nov 21, 6:41 AM ESTSNOW 2Jefferson, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 2.73 Wnw Springboro, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 2.76 Sw Erie, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 51 Nne Meadville, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 7:08 AM ESTSNOW 3Roaming Shores, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 7:19 AM ESTSNOW 3.8North Royalton, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 7:50 AM ESTSNOW 5Parma Heights, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 7:59 AM ESTSNOW 4.5Meadville 5w, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 2.81 E Chagrin Falls, OH24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:01 AM ESTSNOW 6Cambridge Springs, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:03 AM ESTSNOW 3.5Chagrin Falls, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:20 AM ESTSNOW 2.9Canadohta Lake, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:33 AM ESTSNOW 2.8Cranesville, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:34 AM ESTSNOW 5Euclid, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:35 AM ESTSNOW 3Northeast 6sw, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:36 AM ESTSNOW 4.5Pierpont 2se, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:46 AM ESTSNOW 2.2Fairview, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 8:55 AM ESTSNOW 6Broadview Hts, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 9:00 AM ESTSNOW 51 Sse Parma, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 9:10 AM ESTSNOW 3.4Amity Twp, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 9:10 AM ESTSNOW 4.4Solon, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 21, 9:27 AM ESTSNOW 4.5Corry, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 00:00Z on 2014-11-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 00:00Z on 2014-11-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 420 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1414 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
420 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
558 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

926 
WWUS41 KCLE 200910
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
410 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

.A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER LAKE ERIE WILL PUSH INLAND INTO
EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA TODAY. THE SNOW
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY END FROM THE WEST ON
FRIDAY.

PAZ001>003-201715-
/O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0003.141120T2000Z-141121T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.LE.W.0003.141120T1700Z-141121T2000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
410 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 PM
EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS
  NORTHEAST ERIE COUNTY WHERE THEY MAY REACH A FOOT...AND THE
  LESSER ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTY.

* SNOW BEGINNING...THIS MORNING ALONG THE LAKESHORE AND THIS
  AFTERNOON INLAND.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG
  THE LAKESHORE AND TONIGHT INLAND.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY COULD BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND UNTREATED
  SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.
  SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH COULD CAUSE BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING OF SNOW...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ014-089-201715-
/O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0003.141120T2000Z-141121T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.LE.Y.0006.141120T1700Z-141121T2000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA
410 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 PM
EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* SNOW BEGINNING...THIS MORNING NEAR THE LAKESHORE AND THIS
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING FARTHER SOUTH.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY COULD BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND UNTREATED
  SURFACES COULD QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.
  SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH COULD CAUSE BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING OF SNOW...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN
6 follow-up statements
766 
WWUS41 KCLE 201459
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
959 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

.A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER LAKE ERIE WILL PUSH INLAND INTO
EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA TODAY. THE SNOW
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY END FROM THE WEST ON
FRIDAY.

OHZ014-089-202300-
/O.UPG.KCLE.LE.Y.0006.141120T1700Z-141121T2000Z/
/O.EXA.KCLE.LE.W.0003.141120T1700Z-141121T2000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA
959 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST FRIDAY.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES SOUTH AND UP TO 10
  INCHES NORTH.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BE NEAR THE LAKESHORE EARLY TODAY AND THEN
  POSSIBLY SHIFT NORTH FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
  RETURNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. SNOW WILL THEN
  PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY COULD BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES COULD QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH COULD CAUSE BLOWING 
  AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

PAZ001>003-202300-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.141120T1700Z-141121T2000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
959 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS 
  NORTHEAST ERIE COUNTY WHERE THEY MAY REACH A FOOT...AND THE 
  LESSER ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY AT FIRST
  AND THEN SHIFT SOUTH TO INCLUDE CRAWFORD COUNTY LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING. SHOW WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH
  THE NIGHT AND INTO MID DAY FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG 
  THE LAKESHORE AND TONIGHT INLAND.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY COULD BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH COULD CAUSE BLOWING 
  AND DRIFTING OF SNOW... MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012-202300-
/O.NEW.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.141120T1700Z-141121T1500Z/
LAKE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MENTOR
959 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND UNTREATED
  SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ013-202300-
/O.NEW.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.141120T2100Z-141121T1500Z/
GEAUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHARDON
959 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES SOUTH UP TO LOCALLY 8
  INCHES FAR NORTH.

* SNOW BEGINNING...MAINLY THIS EVENING. 

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...OVERNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND UNTREATED
  SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
235 
WWUS41 KCLE 202027
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
327 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

.A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER LAKE ERIE WILL PUSH INLAND INTO
EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL END FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY.

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-210430-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141121T2000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
327 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS
  NORTHEAST ERIE COUNTY WHERE THEY MAY REACH A FOOT...AND THE
  LESSER ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN CRAWFORD AND ASHTABULA
  COUNTY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN ASHTABULA AND ERIE
  COUNTY AT FIRST AND THEN SHIFT SOUTH TO INCLUDE CRAWFORD AND
  INLAND ASHTABULA COUNTY THIS EVENING. SHOW WILL THEN PERSIST
  THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MID DAY FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THIS EVENING ALONG THE LAKESHORE
  AND OVERNIGHT INLAND.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY COULD BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH COULD CAUSE BLOWING 
  AND DRIFTING OF SNOW... MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012-210430-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-141121T1500Z/
LAKE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MENTOR
327 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ013-210430-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.141120T2100Z-141121T1500Z/
GEAUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHARDON
327 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES SOUTH UP TO LOCALLY 8 
  INCHES FAR NORTH.

* SNOW BEGINNING...MAINLY THIS EVENING.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...OVERNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
880 
WWUS41 KCLE 210318
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1018 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

.A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER LAKE ERIE WILL PUSH INLAND INTO
EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL END FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY.

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-211130-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141121T2000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
1018 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...OVERNIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
  AND 1 TO 3 INCHES FRIDAY MORNING.


* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD
  ACROSS THE SNOWBELT OVERNIGHT WITH SOME DECREASE NEAR THE
  LAKE SHORE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND TAPER ELSEWHERE FRIDAY MORNING.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY COULD BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND UNTREATED
  SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.
  SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH COULD CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
  OF SNOW... 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012-013-211130-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-141121T1500Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON
1018 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT ALONG THE LAKE SHORE FROM
  CLEVELAND INTO GEAUGA COUNTY.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
508 
WWUS41 KCLE 210743
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
243 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

.LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND BRING
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. THE MOST ORGANIZED BANDS WILL OCCUR
FROM LORAIN COUNTY INTO WESTERN AND SOUTHERN CUYAHOGA COUNTY AND
ALSO ACROSS ERIE COUNTY PA. SNOW WILL END FROM THE WEST STARTING
MID MORNING...AND TAPER IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA BY MID
AFTERNOON.

OHZ011-211600-
/O.EXB.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141121T1700Z/
CUYAHOGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND
243 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO LOCALLY 7 INCHES. THE HIGHER AMOUNTS
  WILL BE LOCATED ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE TURNPIKE FROM
  OLMSTED FALLS TO BROADVIEW HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...ONGOING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THROUGH 6 AM.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND UNTREATED
  SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-211600-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141121T2000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
243 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO LOCALLY 9 INCHES WHERE LAKE EFFECT
  BANDS PERSIST.

* TIMING...ONGOING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THE MORNING HOURS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND UNTREATED
  SURFACES COULD QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ010-211600-
/O.EXB.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-141121T1700Z/
LORAIN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LORAIN
243 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO LOCALLY 6 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN
  LORAIN COUNTY. ELSEWHERE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN 2
  INCHES. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG AND JUST NORTH
  OF THE TURNPIKE FROM LORAIN TO NORTH RIDGEVILLE.

* TIMING...ONGOING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THROUGH 6AM.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012-013-211500-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-141121T1500Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON
243 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THIS MORNING...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO LOCALLY 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...ONGOING THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THE MORNING HOURS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN
931 
WWUS41 KCLE 211105
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
605 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

.LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND BRING
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. SNOW WILL END FROM THE WEST STARTING
MID MORNING...AND TAPER IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA BY MID
AFTERNOON.

OHZ011-211215-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141121T1700Z/
CUYAHOGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND
605 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS NO LONGER EXPECTED
THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

OHZ010-211215-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-141121T1700Z/
LORAIN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LORAIN
605 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

ANY REMAINING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL ONLY
BRING VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS NORTHERN
LORAIN COUNTY. THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED.

$$

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-211915-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141121T2000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
605 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO LOCALLY 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...ONGOING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THE MORNING HOURS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES COULD QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012-013-211500-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-141121T1500Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON
605 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THIS MORNING...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES.

* TIMING...ONGOING THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...THE MORNING HOURS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE RAPIDLY WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  BANDS PERSIST. VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND 
  UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN
580 
WWUS41 KCLE 211431
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
931 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

.THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WERE DECREASING AS DRIER AIR WILL BE
MOVING IN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...VISIBILITIES CAN BE LOW
IN SOME OF THE SNOW SHOWERS. UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE
SLIPPERY...MOTORISTS WILL HAVE TO USE CAUTION.

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-211545-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141121T2000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
931 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WERE DECREASING. SOME SNOW SHOWERS
WILL LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL WILL BE 1 TO
LOCALLY 2 INCHES. UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE SLIPPERY...MOTORISTS
WILL HAVE TO USE CAUTION.

$$

OHZ012-013-211545-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-141121T1500Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON
931 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

SOME SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL
SNOWFALL WILL BE MAINLY AN INCH OR LESS. UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE
SLIPPERY...MOTORISTS WILL HAVE TO USE CAUTION.



$$

KIELTYKA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Nov 19, 11:40 PM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 19, 11:40 PM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1140 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL DRAG ANOTHER
ARCTIC FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT.  LARGE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES ON FRIDAY AND MOVE OFF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
COLD FRONT IS NOW EAST OF A CLEVELAND MANSFIELD LINE. COLDER AIR
TO FOLLOW THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES DIPPED INTO THE UPPER 20S IN THE
WESTERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA. LIGHT SNOW REMAINS JUST AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT. CANT RULE OUT A FEW FLAKES IN THE WEST AND SOME
LIGHT SNOW IN THE EAST REMAINING. FLOW IS BECOMING WELL ALIGNED UP
THE LAKE ON THE WEST END AND THIS SHOULD SEND A BAND OF SNOW UP
THE LAKE OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE...NORTHEAST OHIO WILL STILL SEE THE
THREAT FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW OVERNIGHT. WESTERN AREAS SHOULD ALSO
BEGIN TO DRY OUT IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT LATE TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES STILL ON TARGET TOWARD CURRENT OVERNIGHT LOWS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
WINDS ON LAKE ERIE WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST MOST OF TOMORROW
THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE WEST TO NORTHWEST THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

TOMORROW EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT WILL HAVE MODERATE INSTABILITY
ON THE LAKE...PLENTY OF MOISTURE...AND AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
MOVING ACROSS THE LAKE TO ENHANCE THE LIFT.  BANDS WILL GRADUALLY
PUSH ONSHORE TOWARD THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. ERIE COULD POTENTIALLY
PICK UP SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATIONS WITH LESSER AMOUNTS
EXTENDING WEST TO CLEVELAND. THAT ALL SAID WENT WITH A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH FOR ASHTABULA AND NW PA FOR NOW...MAY NEED AN ADVISORY
FOR LAKE AND GEAUGA DEPENDING UPON HOW QUICKLY THE 850MB RIDGE
BUILDS IN.

CONDITIONS GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT BUT
POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE SETTING UP ALONG THE SHORELINE
FRIDAY MORNING. LUCKILY BY THEN THE MOISTURE IS BEGINNING TO
DIMINISH. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY END FROM THE WEST DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY AS THE 850MB RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS OVER THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE LONG TERM BEGINS SUNDAY WITH MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING AN
INVERTED TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH A SURFACE
LOW OVER MO/AR. DEEP MOISTURE OUT OF THE GLFMX WILL BE STREAMING
NORTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WHICH WILL BRING RAIN
TO THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.  GIVEN THE SOUTH FLOW...EXPECT
TEMPS NEAR NORMAL (50ISH) BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  WILL HAVE LIKELY
POPS FOR RAIN SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AND DROP TO CHANCE POPS MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. COLDER AIR MOVES
IN TUESDAY WITH A SECONDARY COLD FRONT.  WILL HAVE RAIN AND SNOW
MIXED MONDAY NIGHT CHANGING TO ALL SNOW IN THE WEST.  TUESDAY
EXPECTING A NON DIURNAL TREND OR AT BEST MINIMAL RISE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH SNOW SHOWERS.  THROUGH THE DAY 850MB TEMPS DROP TO
-12C SO EXPECT LAKE EFFECT TO GET GOING AGAIN.  BIG QUESTION IS
WHETHER IT GETS ONSHORE BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SUGGEST YES BUT
TIMING IS DIFFERENT.  FOR NOW WILL HAVE LIKELY POPS CLOSE TO THE
LAKESHORE TUESDAY AND THEN MOVE FURTHER INLAND TUESDAY NIGHT.
WEDNESDAY WILL HOLD ONTO CHANCE POPS THERE.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE LAKE EFFECT IS TRYING TO GET ORGANIZED. IT APPEARS THAT KERI
WILL SEE PERIODS OF SNOW MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD. VSBYS SHOULD BE
MVFR MOST OF THE TIME BUT SOME IFR IS POSSILBE OVERNIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING. KCLE SHOULD ALSO SEE SOME SHSN BUT SHOULD
PROBABLY NOT GO BELOW MVFR. SOME POCKETS OF MVFR CIGS PERSIST BUT
MOST OF THE NIGHT SHOULD SEE VFR CIGS. WINDS HAVE DIED DOWN
SLIGHTLY BUT GUSTS IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT
WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY. THE FLOW
SHOULD BECOME MORE WESTERLY LATE IN THE PERIOD AND THIS WILL SHIFT
THE SNOW BACK ACROSS THE EASTERN END OF THE AREA. AT THE SAME TIME
DRIER AIR WILL MOVES INTO THE WEST ALLOWING AT LEAST PARTIAL
CLEARING THURSDAY EVENING.

.OUTLOOK...NON VFR CONDITIONS IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST
THURSDAY NIGHT THRU FRIDAY OVER EXTREME NE OH/NW PA. AREAS OF NON
VFR SHOULD RETURN SAT NIGHT AND CONTINUE SUN IN RAIN SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AS IT IS.  WATER LEVELS
ON THE WESTERN BASIN ARE CURRENTLY WELL ABOVE THE CRITICAL LEVEL
HOWEVER LATER TONIGHT THEY MAY DROP TO OR BELOW THE CRITICAL LEVEL.
WILL MENTION IN THE MWW BUT NO HEADLINE AT THIS TIME. SOUTH WINDS
WILL TURN SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE
WINDS WILL VEER TO WEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT THEN BEGIN TO DROP OFF.
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.  ON
SUNDAY LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM ARKANSAS TO THE WESTERN LAKES ON
MONDAY. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHEAST SUNDAY AND THEN INCREASE TO 15 TO
25 KNOTS SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE TURNING SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR OHZ014-089.
PA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ144>149.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ142-143.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJB
NEAR TERM...LOMBARDY
SHORT TERM...DJB
LONG TERM...TK
AVIATION...KUBINA
MARINE...TK
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 19, 2:43 PM EST, 13 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
243 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014

OHZ003-006>013-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-201945-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
243 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-201945-
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
243 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-201945-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
243 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 20, 4:10 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCLEAshtabula6 hr
Nov 20, 5:12 AM ESTLow Water AdvisoryCLE23 hr
Nov 20, 9:59 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCLEGeauga, Lake, Lorain24 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Ohio, 2014Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2014Every lake effect snow warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.