Alert archive / Ohio / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2014

Lake Effect Snow Warning 2, NWS Cleveland, OH

November 17, 2014Erie County, Pennsylvania; Ashtabula County, Lake County, Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this lake effect snow warning at Nov 17, 2014, 3:15 AM EST for Erie County, Pennsylvania; Ashtabula County, Lake County, Ohio. It took effect at Nov 17, 2014, 3:00 PM EST. It was in force for 35 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2014, 3:15 AM EST (08:15 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 17, 2014, 3:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 19, 2014, 2:21 AM EST
In force
35 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH

Counties Ashtabula County, OH, Lake County, OH, Erie County, PA

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 17, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 3Cranesville, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 17, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 3.5Northeast 6sw, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 18, 8:30 AM ESTSNOW 2Madison-On-The-Lake, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 18, 9:53 AM ESTSNOW 2Corry, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Nov 18, 8:29 PM ESTSNOW 2Madison-On-The-Lake, OH12 HOUR SNOWFALL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 00:00Z on 2014-11-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 00:00Z on 2014-11-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 229 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
959 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
87 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
236 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

005 
WWUS41 KCLE 170815
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
315 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014


OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-171615-
/O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0002.141117T2000Z-141119T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.LE.W.0002.141117T2000Z-141119T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T2000Z/
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO
315 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...WIDESPREAD 3 TO 6 INCHES THROUGH LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW OF A FOOT OR MORE
  EXPECTED LOCALLY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY MID
  AFTERNOON THEN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND
  CONTINUE UNTIL TAPERING OFF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY TONIGHT WITH GUSTS
  TO 35 MPH CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
  TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. VISIBILITY
  WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED...ESPECIALLY WHEN BLOWING SNOW OCCURS.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR SNOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-171615-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T1700Z/
WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...
UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...MARION...
MOUNT GILEAD...MOUNT VERNON
315 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS
  MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.

* WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON
  AND SOME BLOWING SNOW IS LIKELY.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY AND THE
  VISIBILITY WILL BE LOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR SNOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ011-013-020>023-031>033-038-PAZ003-171615-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T2000Z/
CUYAHOGA-GEAUGA-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WAYNE-STARK-
MAHONING-HOLMES-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...CHARDON...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MILLERSBURG...
MEADVILLE
315 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTALS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OF 3
  TO 5 INCHES IN MOST PLACES.

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS
  MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.

* WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY LATE TODAY AND SOME
  BLOWING SNOW IS LIKELY.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY AND THE
  VISIBILITY WILL BE LOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR SNOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.


&&

$$
8 follow-up statements
490 
WWUS41 KCLE 171536
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1036 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...SNOW WILL BE TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY AND THEN SOME
INTENSE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP FOR THE SNOWBELT...

.SNOW AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BE TAPERING OFF TODAY AND
IT WILL BECOME BREEZY BEHIND THE FRONT. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP. THE WIND DIRECTION WILL BE 
CRITICAL TO INDICATE HOW FAR INLAND THE SNOW BANDS WILL GET. AT
THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THEY WILL WIGGLE I.E. MOVE INLAND A FEW
MILES AND THEN MOVE BACK OFFSHORE.  THESE SNOW BANDS COULD HAVE SNOWFALL RATES
AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES AN HOUR AND COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AND TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT IF
NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PEOPLE TRAVELLING FROM LAKE COUNTY INTO ERIE
COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA ON INTERSTATE 90 AND POINTS NORTHEAST TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT MAY NEED TO POSTPONE TRAVEL. UPDATED
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED ON THIS
IMPENDING MAJOR LAKE EFFECT EVENT.

OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-172345-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0002.141117T2000Z-141119T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T2000Z/
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO
1036 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO LOCALLY 4 INCHES THROUGH
  EARLY EVENING. 

* TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY 
  MID AFTERNOON THEN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND 
  CONTINUE UNTIL TAPERING OFF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY TONIGHT WITH GUSTS 
  TO 35 MPH CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDS WILL 
  DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. VISIBILITY
  WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED...ESPECIALLY WHEN BLOWING SNOW OCCURS.
  ONCE THE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT DEVELOP ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AND
  COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL
  OCCUR. SOME ROADS COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE AND TRAVEL COULD BE
  DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THIS IS ALL DEPENDENT ON
  WHERE THE SNOW BANDS LINE UP. THE SNOW BANDS WILL BE MOVING
  AROUND THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO
  THE LAKESHORE WHICH WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 90.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR SNOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-171700-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T1700Z/
WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...
UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...MARION...
MOUNT GILEAD...MOUNT VERNON
1036 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN AN INCH. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS 
  MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.

* WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON 
  AND SOME BLOWING SNOW IS LIKELY.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY AND THE 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE LOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR SNOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ011-013-020>023-031>033-038-PAZ003-172000-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T2000Z/
CUYAHOGA-GEAUGA-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WAYNE-STARK-
MAHONING-HOLMES-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...CHARDON...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MILLERSBURG...
MEADVILLE
1036 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF ONE TO
  LOCALLY 2 INCHES.

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY LATE TODAY AND 
  SOME BLOWING SNOW IS LIKELY.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY AND THE 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE LOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR SNOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
451 
WWUS41 KCLE 171735
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1235 PM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...SNOW WILL BE TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
THEN SOME INTENSE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP FOR THE
SNOWBELT...

.SNOW AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BE TAPERING OFF TODAY
AND IT WILL BECOME BREEZY BEHIND THE FRONT. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP. THE WIND DIRECTION WILL BE
CRITICAL TO INDICATE HOW FAR INLAND THE SNOW BANDS WILL GET. AT
THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THEY WILL WIGGLE I.E. MOVE INLAND A FEW
MILES AND THEN MOVE BACK OFFSHORE.  THESE SNOW BANDS COULD HAVE
SNOWFALL RATES AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES AN HOUR AND COMBINED WITH
STRONG WINDS...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AND TRAVEL
COULD BE DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PEOPLE TRAVELLING FROM LAKE
COUNTY INTO ERIE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA ON INTERSTATE 90 AND POINTS
NORTHEAST TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT MAY NEED TO POSTPONE
TRAVEL. UPDATED FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED ON THIS IMPENDING MAJOR LAKE EFFECT EVENT.

OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-180145-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0002.141117T2000Z-141119T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T2000Z/
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO
1235 PM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ONE TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES THROUGH DARK.
  ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW OF A FOOT OR MORE EXPECTED LOCALLY
  TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY 
  MID AFTERNOON THEN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND 
  CONTINUE UNTIL TAPERING OFF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY TONIGHT WITH GUSTS 
  TO 35 MPH CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDS WILL 
  DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. VISIBILITY 
  WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED...ESPECIALLY WHEN BLOWING SNOW OCCURS. 
  ONCE THE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT DEVELOP ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AND 
  COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL 
  OCCUR. SOME ROADS COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE AND TRAVEL COULD BE 
  DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THIS IS ALL DEPENDENT 
  ON WHERE THE SNOW BANDS LINE UP. THE SNOW BANDS WILL BE MOVING 
  AROUND THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO 
  THE LAKESHORE WHICH WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 90.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR SNOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ011-013-020>023-031>033-038-PAZ003-172000-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T2000Z/
CUYAHOGA-GEAUGA-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WAYNE-STARK-
MAHONING-HOLMES-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...CHARDON...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MILLERSBURG...
MEADVILLE
1235 PM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MAINLY AN INCH OR LESS THIS AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY THIS 
  AFTERNOON.

* WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY LATE TODAY AND 
  SOME BLOWING SNOW IS LIKELY.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY AND THE 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE LOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR SNOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
206 
WWUS41 KCLE 172027
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
327 PM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...THE GENERAL SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. BANDS
OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN THE
SNOW BELT...

.SNOW AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT HAS TAPERED OFF AND SOME
FLURRIES WILL LINGER BEHIND THE FRONT FOR A TIME THIS EVENING.
SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING. THE WIND
DIRECTION WILL BE CRITICAL TO INDICATE HOW FAR INLAND THE SNOW
BANDS WILL GET. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THEY WILL WIGGLE I.E.
MOVE INLAND A FEW MILES AND THEN MOVE BACK OFFSHORE. THESE SNOW
BANDS COULD HAVE SNOWFALL RATES AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES AN HOUR AND
COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
AND TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PEOPLE TRAVELLING
FROM LAKE COUNTY INTO ERIE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA ON INTERSTATE 90
AND POINTS NORTHEAST ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT MAY NEED TO POSTPONE TRAVEL. UPDATED FORECASTS AND
STATEMENTS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED ON THIS IMPENDING MAJOR LAKE
EFFECT EVENT.

OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-180430-
/O.EXP.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T2000Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO
327 PM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO
  12 INCHES MAINLY NORTHEAST OF PAINESVILLE AND NORTH OF WATERFORD
  AND CORRY. SOME LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST
  ERIE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA COULD ACCUMULATE UP TO 24 INCHES BY
  DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND
  MAY TAPER OFF FOR A TIME OVERNIGHT AND THEN INTENSIFY ON TUESDAY
  BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY TONIGHT WITH GUSTS
  TO 40 MPH CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDS WILL
  DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE OR BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED...ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAVY
  SNOW BANDS AND WHEN BLOWING SNOW. ONCE THE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT
  DEVELOP ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AND COMBINED WITH THE STRONG
  WINDS...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. SOME ROADS COULD
  BECOME IMPASSABLE AND TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT IF NOT
  IMPOSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THIS IS ALL DEPENDENT ON WHERE THE SNOW
  BANDS LINE UP. THE SNOW BANDS WILL BE MOVING AROUND THROUGH
  TUESDAY NIGHT. THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO THE
  LAKESHORE...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF PAINESVILLE WHICH WILL AFFECT
  INTERSTATE 90.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ011-013-020>023-031>033-038-PAZ003-172130-
/O.EXP.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-141117T2000Z/
CUYAHOGA-GEAUGA-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WAYNE-STARK-
MAHONING-HOLMES-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...CHARDON...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MILLERSBURG...
MEADVILLE
327 PM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE GENERAL SNOWFALL HAS JUST ABOUT ENDED EXCEPT FOR SOME
LINGERING FLURRIES. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S THIS
EVENING AND WET ROADS AND SIDEWALKS COULD BECOME SLIPPERY.
MOTORISTS AND PEDESTRIANS WILL NEED TO USE CAUTION.

$$
151 
WWUS41 KCLE 180828
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
328 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014


OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-181630-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO
328 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...THROUGH TONIGHT SHOULD RANGE FROM 6 TO 12
  INCHES MAINLY NORTHEAST OF PAINESVILLE AND NORTH OF WATERFORD
  AND CORRY. SOME LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST ERIE
  COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA COULD ACCUMULATE UP TO 24 INCHES BY DAYBREAK
  WEDNESDAY.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST INTENSITY LIKELY
  LATER TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT.

* WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAUSING BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING SNOW. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE OR BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED...ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAVY
  SNOW BANDS AND DURING BLOWING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
328 
WWUS41 KCLE 181518
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1018 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG THE LAKESHORE AND IT WILL MOVE INLAND
THIS AFTERNOON...
.STILL SOME QUESTION HOW MUCH IMPACT THE SNOW BAND OVER LAKE ERIE
WILL HAVE IN LAKE AND ASHTABULA COUNTIES...HOWEVER...IT WILL HAVE
SOME IMPACT IN ERIE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA AS THE BAND TRIES TO MOVE
INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL RATES CAN BE 3 INCHES AN
HOUR...ESPECIALLY IN PENNSYLVANIA.

OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-182330-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO
1018 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...THROUGH TONIGHT SHOULD RANGE FROM 6 TO 12
  INCHES MAINLY NORTHEAST OF PAINESVILLE AND NORTH OF WATERFORD
  AND CORRY. SOME LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST ERIE
  COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA COULD ACCUMULATE UP TO 24 INCHES BY DAYBREAK
  WEDNESDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW IS OCCURRING ALONG THE LAKESHORE. THE SNOW BAND
  THAT IS OVER THE LAKE EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND
  THEN MOVE BACK OUT OVER THE LAKE LATE TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST
  INTENSITY OF THE SNOW WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT.

* WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAUSING BLOWING 
  AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE OR BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED...ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAVY
  SNOW BANDS AND DURING BLOWING SNOW. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE
  POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVY SNOW BAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
858 
WWUS41 KCLE 182025
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
325 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG THE LAKESHORE AND IT WILL MOVE INLAND
THIS EVENING... 

.STILL SOME QUESTION HOW MUCH IMPACT THE SNOW BAND WILL HAVE IN
LAKE AND ASHTABULA COUNTIES. IN LAKE COUNTY THE THREAT WILL BE
MAINLY NORTHEAST OF PAINESVILLE AND IN ASHTABULA COUNTY NORTH OF
JEFFERSON. IT WILL HAVE SOME IMPACT IN ERIE COUNTY
PENNSYLVANIA...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD AS THE BAND TRIES TO
MOVE INLAND THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES CAN BE 1 TO POSSIBLY 2
INCHES AN HOUR...ESPECIALLY IN PENNSYLVANIA.

OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-190430-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO
325 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...BY DAYBREAK 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE WITH
  THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST ERIE COUNTY
  PENNSYLVANIA AND THE LOWEST AMOUNTS OVER LAKE AND ASHTABULA COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...SNOW IS OCCURRING ALONG THE LAKESHORE. THE SNOW BAND
  THAT IS OVER THE LAKE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND THIS EVENING
  AND THEN MOVE BACK OUT OVER THE LAKE LATE TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST
  INTENSITY OF THE SNOW WILL BE EARLY TONIGHT.

* WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAUSING BLOWING 
  AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE OR BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED...ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAVY 
  SNOW BANDS AND DURING BLOWING SNOW. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS 
  ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVY SNOW BANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
159 
WWUS41 KCLE 190221
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
921 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG THE LAKESHORE AND IT WILL MOVE INLAND
THIS EVENING...

.STILL SOME QUESTION HOW MUCH IMPACT THE SNOW BAND WILL HAVE IN
LAKE AND ASHTABULA COUNTIES. IN LAKE COUNTY THE THREAT WILL BE
MAINLY NORTHEAST OF PAINESVILLE AND IN ASHTABULA COUNTY NORTH OF
JEFFERSON. IT WILL HAVE SOME IMPACT IN ERIE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA...
MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD AS THE BAND TRIES TO MOVE INLAND
OVERNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES CAN BE 1 TO POSSIBLY 2 INCHES AN
HOUR...ESPECIALLY IN PENNSYLVANIA.

OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-191030-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO
921 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO LOCALLY 10 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW IS OCCURRING ALONG THE LAKESHORE. THE SNOW BAND
  THAT IS OVER THE LAKE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND LATE THIS
  EVENING AND THEN MOVE BACK OUT OVER THE LAKE LATE TONIGHT. THE
  HIGHEST INTENSITY OF THE SNOW WILL BE EARLY TONIGHT.

* WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAUSING BLOWING 
  AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE OR BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED...ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAVY 
  SNOW BANDS AND DURING BLOWING SNOW. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS 
  ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVY SNOW BANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
778 
WWUS41 KCLE 190721
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
221 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014


OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-190830-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO
221 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS HAVE BEEN SHIFTING BACK NORTH OUT OVER LAKE
ERIE OVER THE LAKE COUPLE HOURS. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS REMAIN
POSSIBLE ALONG THE ASHTABULA AND ERIE COUNTY SHORELINES HOWEVER
ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION WILL BE MINOR.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Nov 16, 11:38 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 11:38 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1138 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP TROUGH ALOFT AND AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE AREA MONDAY. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR WILL MOVE IN MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY AND THEN ANOTHER TROUGH WILL BE IN THE AREA FOR THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...REMOVED EVENING WORDING AND MOST AFTER MIDNIGHT
REFERENCES ALTHO DID KEEP AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR LUCAS COUNTY.

ORIGINAL (CORRECTED)...THE SNOW WILL BE DEVELOPING SOMEWHAT
QUICKLY EARLY TONIGHT. ON THE EDGE WHETHER SOME MIX PRECIPITATION
WILL OCCUR. THIS MENTION A MIX OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES BUT DID
NOT MENTION FREEZING RAIN. THE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF VERY TRICKY.
PLENTY OF OMEGA AND THE RIGHT REAR QUAD OF THE JET WILL HELP
THINGS. KEPT SNOWFALL IN ADVISORY CATEGORY BUT IT COULD BE CLOSE
OVER NE OH AND NW PA. THE CRITERIA FOR A WINTER WEATHER WARNING IS
6 INCHES IN 12 HOURS AND 8 INCHES IN 24 HOURS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
THE SNOWFALL COULD SOME 7 OR 8 INCH AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR BUT IT
WOULD OCCUR IN MORE THAN 12 HOURS...THUS THE REASONING FOR THE
ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES MAY BE STEADY OR EVEN RISE A BIT DURING THE
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE SYNOPTIC SNOW WILL BE ENDING FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY...SOME QUESTION
HOW QUICKLY THAT WILL HAPPEN. THE FLOW IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMES
WEST FOR A FEW HOURS AND THAT CONCERNS ME WHETHER THAT COULD
ENHANCE THE SNOWFALL IN THE SNOW BELT AREAS AND THEN THE FLOW
BECOMES SOUTHWEST. MANY OF THE MODELS TRY TO KEEP THE BANDS OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW JUST OFF SHORE OR ONLY BRUSHING ERIE COUNTY
PA...THAT IS THE REASON FOR ONLY WARNING A PORTION OF THE
LAKESHORE INCLUDING THE NORTHERN HALF OF ASHTABULA COUNTY. THE
FLOW BECOMES SOUTHWEST BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT MOVES
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY CAUSING MORE SNOW SHOWERS. ANOTHER LAKE
EFFECT WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE SNOW BELT. ALL AREAS MAY HAVE A
THREAT OF SNOW SHOWERS FROM THIS FRONT.

THUNDERSNOW IS LIKELY IN THE SNOW BANDS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. IT WILL ALSO BE WINDY CAUSING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY AND THAT MEANS MORE LAKE EFFECT. THE MOISTURE WILL
BE DECREASING SO THE AMOUNTS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED. THE LAKE
AND 850 MB TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE WILL BE OVER 26C AT FIRST AND
THEN START WARMING.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AS
UPPER LEVEL BROAD RIDGE TRIES TO WORK ITS WAY EAST. THIS WILL
CHANGE THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN GOING INTO THE THANKSGIVING DAY
WEEK. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER MOVES TO THE EAST COAST...A
RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP AND HENCE A RETURN TO SOME
FAIRLY STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION. A STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE A TRACK
UP THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND BRING WITH IT SOME MOISTURE AND A
THREAT FOR RAIN TO THE AREA ESPECIALLY BY SUNDAY.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...WARM AIR ADVECTION TAKES PLACE AND COULD SEND
TEMPERATURES BACK WELL INTO THE 40S OVER THE WEEKEND. LOWS SHOULD BE
GENERALLY IN THE 30S AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WIDESPREAD IFR WILL CONTINUE WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW. ONE WAVE OF
SNOW EXITING AND EXPECTING A LULL ESPECIALLY FOR TOL/FDY WHERE
CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY IMPROVE TO MVFR. STILL LOOKING AT ANOTHER
WAVE OF SNOW...A HEAVIER PERIOD...TOWARD MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE
MOVES UP ACROSS WESTERN PA. THIS MAY BRING IFR SNOW BACK WEST AS
FAR AS TOLEDO. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR FREEZING FOR
CAK/YNG/ERI...OTHERS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW 32 FOR THE NIGHT.
ALL WILL BE BELOW FREEZING BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW TAPERS/PULLS
AWAY DURING THE MORNING HOURS FOR MOST...EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE EAST. SOME CEILING IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED AT THE SAME TIME.
WHILE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT/VARIABLE TO NEAR CALM FOR ALL OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT...AS SNOW ENDS WEST WINDS WILL PICK
UP. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AFTER
DARK MONDAY...WITH GUSTS CONTINUING FOR CLE/ERI ESPECIALLY.

.OUTLOOK...NON VFR CONDITIONS PROBABLE IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY EAST OF CLEVELAND.
THUNDERSNOW POSSIBLE. AREAS OF NON-VFR AGAIN WEDNESDAY IN LIGHT
SYNOPTIC SNOW. MORE LAKE EFFECT POSSIBLE FOR THURSDAY CLEVELAND
EAST.

&&

.MARINE...
GALES OF NOVEMBER COULD POSSIBLY BE RAGING STARTING MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST AFTER THE COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES.
THEREFORE WILL GO AHEAD AND HOIST THE GALE WATCH AT THIS TIME. WINDS
DIMINISH AND BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
ARCTIC COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. WINDS KICK AROUND TO WEST SOUTHWEST AGAIN ON THURSDAY BUT
AT THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW GALE FORCE.  WINDS WILL
DIMINISH EVEN FURTHER BY FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     MORNING FOR OHZ012-014-089.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST MONDAY FOR OHZ011>014-
     020>023-031>033-038-089.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY FOR OHZ006>010-
     017>019-027>030-036-037-047.
PA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     MORNING FOR PAZ001-002.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST MONDAY FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
     LEZ061-142>149-162>169.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KIELTYKA
NEAR TERM...KIELTYKA/TK
SHORT TERM...KIELTYKA
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...OUDEMAN
MARINE...LOMBARDY
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 6:04 PM EST, 9 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
604 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

OHZ006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-172315-
WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
604 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

WIND CHILLS WILL LIKELY DROP TO AROUND ZERO AT TIMES FROM MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ011-020>023-031>033-038-172315-
CUYAHOGA-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-
604 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

WIND CHILLS WILL LIKELY DROP TO AROUND ZERO AT TIMES MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ003-172315-
LUCAS-
604 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY MORNING. WIND CHILLS WILL LIKELY DROP
TO AROUND ZERO AT TIMES FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ012-014-089-PAZ001-002-172315-
LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
604 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO NEAR ZERO.
ANOTHER LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ013-PAZ003-172315-
GEAUGA-CRAWFORD PA-
604 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO NEAR ZERO.
ANOTHER LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-172315-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
604 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 16, 9:30 PM EST, 5 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
930 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     SNOW             TOLEDO/OREGON           41.66N  83.49W
11/16/2014  M2.0 INCH        LUCAS              OH   SNOW SPOTTER

            12 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0700 PM     SNOW             WATERVILLE              41.49N  83.79W
11/16/2014  M2.3 INCH        LUCAS              OH   SNOW SPOTTER

            12 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0700 PM     SNOW             WATERVILLE              41.49N  83.79W
11/16/2014  M2.5 INCH        LUCAS              OH   SNOW SPOTTER

            12 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1401699
EVENT NUMBER CLE1401700
EVENT NUMBER CLE1401701

JAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 4:10 AM ESTGale WarningCLE42 hr
Nov 17, 4:10 AM ESTLow Water AdvisoryCLE48 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Ohio, 2014Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2014Every lake effect snow warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.