Alert archive / Ohio / Flood Watches in 2014

Flood Watch 1, NWS Cleveland, OH

February 19, 2014Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania; 28 counties in Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this flood watch at Feb 19, 2014, 3:53 PM EST for Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania; 28 counties in Ohio. It took effect at Feb 20, 2014, 3:00 PM EST. It was in force for 19 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 19, 2014, 3:53 PM EST (20:53 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 20, 2014, 3:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 21, 2014, 9:50 AM EST
In force
19 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH
Flood severity
None
All 30 counties

Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2014-02-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2014-02-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 105 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
927 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
80 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

202 
WGUS61 KCLE 192053
FFACLE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
353 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FLOODING FROM SNOWMELT...RAIN...AND ICE JAMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY...

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-200500-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FA.A.0001.140220T2000Z-140221T1500Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
353 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA 
  INLAND...ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...
   GEAUGA...HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN... 
  LUCAS...MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA... 
  PORTAGE...RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT... 
  TRUMBULL...WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND RAIN WILL PRODUCE A THREAT OF
  FLOODING FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. ICE JAMS ON AREA
  RIVERS MAY ALSO PRODUCE FLOODING.

* A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF WATER WILL BE RELEASED BY THE MELTING
  SNOW AS WARMER TEMPERATURES MOVE IN ON THURSDAY. RAIN WILL
  ENHANCE THE FLOOD THEREAT. ANY HEAVY RAIN COULD PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. SOME RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY. ICE JAM
  FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY AND MAKE FOR A MORE DANGEROUS FLOOD
  RISK. IN ADDITION TO FLOODING ON STREAMS AND RIVERS...FLOODING
  OF BASEMENTS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO POSSIBLE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
347 
WGUS61 KCLE 200337
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1037 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FLOODING FROM SNOWMELT...RAIN...AND ICE JAMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BE DEVELOPING ON THURSDAY ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA AND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT. WITH A HEAVY SNOW PACK...PLENTY OF ICE ON
RIVERS,..STREAMS AND CREEKS...THE WARMING AND UP TO AN INCH OF
RAIN WILL CAUSE RISES IN RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS AND SOME WILL
FLOOD AND SOME ICE JAM FLOODING WILL ALSO DEVELOP. SOME ROADS AND
BASEMENT FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH THE GROUND FROZEN.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-201145-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.140220T2000Z-140221T1500Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
1037 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND RAIN WILL PRODUCE A THREAT 
  OF FLOODING FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. ICE JAMS ON 
  AREA RIVERS MAY ALSO PRODUCE FLOODING. 

* A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF WATER WILL BE RELEASED BY THE MELTING
  SNOW AS WARMER TEMPERATURES MOVE IN ON THURSDAY. RAIN WILL
  ENHANCE THE FLOOD THREAT. ANY HEAVY RAIN COULD PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. SOME RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY. ICE JAM
  FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY AND MAKE FOR A MORE DANGEROUS FLOOD
  RISK. IN ADDITION TO FLOODING ON STREAMS AND RIVERS... FLOODING
  OF BASEMENTS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
640 
WGUS61 KCLE 201032
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
532 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOODING FROM SNOWMELT...RAIN...AND ICE JAMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY...

.RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TODAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH
OF LAKE ERIE. A SECONDARY ROUND OF RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT
SWEEPING EAST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. MOST AREAS WILL RECEIVE
BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND AN INCH OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR. ADDITIONAL RUN OFF
WILL BE RELEASED FROM THE MELTING SNOW PACK AS TEMPERATURES
APPROACH 50 DEGREES BY THIS EVENING. WITH THE GROUND FROZEN...RUN
OFF FROM MELTING SNOW AND RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO RISES ON AREA
RIVERS. MOST RIVERS CONTAIN A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF ICE WHICH
COULD BREAK UP AND JAM AS RIVERS RISE AND TEMPERATURES WARM.
PONDING OF WATER AND FLOODING OF SOME ROADS AND BASEMENTS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS SNOW CONTINUES TO BLOCK DRAINAGE SYSTEMS.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-202200-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.140220T2000Z-140221T1500Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
532 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND RAIN WILL PRODUCE A THREAT 
  OF FLOODING FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. ICE JAMS ON 
  AREA RIVERS MAY ALSO PRODUCE FLOODING. 

* NEW RAINFALL OF A HALF TO ONE INCH IS EXPECTED. LOCALIZED
  AMOUNTS UP TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THUNDERSTORMS.

* A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF WATER WILL BE RELEASED BY THE MELTING
  SNOW AS WARMER TEMPERATURES MOVE IN ON THURSDAY. RAIN WILL
  ENHANCE THE FLOOD THREAT AND ANY HEAVY RAIN COULD PRODUCE
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. SOME RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY. ICE JAM
  FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY AND MAKE FOR A MORE DANGEROUS FLOOD
  RISK. IN ADDITION TO FLOODING ON STREAMS AND RIVERS... FLOODING
  OF BASEMENTS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
436 
WGUS61 KCLE 201451
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
951 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOODING FROM SNOWMELT...RAIN...AND ICE JAMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY...

.RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN OHIO
AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. THE
SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MELT AND WILL CONTRIBUTE SIGNIFICANTLY TO
THE WATER RUNOFF ESPECIALLY SINCE THE GROUND WILL REMAIN FROZEN.
ICE JAMS ON AREA RIVERS POSE A THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED
FLOODING.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-202300-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.140220T2000Z-140221T1500Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
951 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND RAIN WILL PRODUCE A THREAT OF
  FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. ICE JAMS ON AREA RIVERS MAY
  ALSO PRODUCE FLOODING. PONDING OF WATER AND FLOODING OF SOME
  ROADS AND BASEMENTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS SNOW AND ICE MAY
  CONTINUE TO BLOCK SOME DRAINAGE SYSTEMS.

* RAINFALL WILL AVERAGE THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH...WITH LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVIER RAIN WILL PRODUCE A
  RISK OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
965 
WGUS61 KCLE 202000
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
300 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOODING FROM SNOWMELT...RAIN...AND ICE JAMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT 
INTO FRIDAY...

.RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP OVER ILLINOIS AND INDIANA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE EASTWARD INTO NORTHERN OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW
WILL CONTINUE TO MELT AND WILL CONTRIBUTE SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE
WATER RUNOFF ESPECIALLY SINCE THE GROUND WILL REMAIN FROZEN. ICE
JAMS ON AREA RIVERS POSE A THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED
FLOODING.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-210400-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-140221T1500Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
300 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND RAIN WILL PRODUCE A THREAT OF
  FLOODING THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY. ICE JAMS ON AREA RIVERS WILL
  ADD TO THE FLOODING PROBLEMS. PONDING OF WATER AND FLOODING OF
  SOME ROADS AND BASEMENTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS SNOW AND ICE
  MAY CONTINUE TO BLOCK SOME DRAINAGE SYSTEMS.

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL AVERAGE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN
  INCH...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY
  RAINFALL RATES IN THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE A RISK OF
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
829 
WGUS61 KCLE 210240
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
940 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOODING FROM SNOWMELT...RAIN...AND ICE JAMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY...

.RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MELT
AND WILL CONTRIBUTE SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE WATER RUNOFF ESPECIALLY
SINCE THE GROUND WILL REMAIN FROZEN. ICE JAMS ON AREA RIVERS POSE
A THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED FLOODING.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-211045-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-140221T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
940 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND RAIN WILL PRODUCE A THREAT 
  OF FLOODING THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY. ICE JAMS ON AREA RIVERS 
  WILL ADD TO THE FLOODING PROBLEMS. PONDING OF WATER AND 
  FLOODING OF SOME ROADS AND BASEMENTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS 
  SNOW AND ICE MAY CONTINUE TO BLOCK SOME DRAINAGE SYSTEMS. 

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL AVERAGE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN 
  INCH...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY 
  RAINFALL RATES IN THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE A RISK OF 
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
430 
WGUS61 KCLE 210949
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
449 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOODING FROM SNOWMELT...RAIN...AND ICE JAMS POSSIBLE INTO
FRIDAY...

.RAIN WILL EXIT TO THE EAST THIS MORNING WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. LOCATIONS
RECEIVED BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND AN INCH AND A HALF OF RAIN ON
THURSDAY AND RUN OFF FROM RAIN AND SNOW MELT WILL CONTINUE TO
CHANNEL INTO AREA WATERWAYS TODAY. AS FLOWS INCREASE...THERE
REMAINS A THREAT OF ICE JAMS ON AREA RIVERS. 

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-211500-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-140221T1500Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
449 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING

* RUN OFF FROM MELTING SNOW AND RAIN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS WILL
  PRODUCE A THREAT OF FLOODING TODAY. PONDING OF WATER AND
  FLOODING OF SOME ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
  AS SNOW AND ICE MAY CONTINUE TO BLOCK SOME DRAINAGE SYSTEMS. ICE
  JAMS REMAIN A THREAT AS AREA RIVERS RISE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
943 
WGUS61 KCLE 211450
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
950 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-211600-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-140221T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
950 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

EVEN THOUGH THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED...THERE IS STILL A
THREAT FOR ICE JAM FLOODING ON THE MAIN STEM RIVERS. THESE
FLOODING EVENTS WILL BE HANDLED ON A CASE BY CASE BASIS AS ICE
JAMS DEVELOP AND POTENTIAL FLOODING OCCURS.

IF YOU LIVE NEAR MAIN STEM RIVERS WHERE ICE JAMMING HAS BECOME A
PROBLEM IN THE PAST...ALWAYS REMAIN AWARE THAT POSSIBLE ICE JAMS
COULD OCCUR CAUSING RAPID CHANGES IN RIVER LEVELS. PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE MADE TO GATHER NEEDED PERSONAL BELONGINGS IN THE EVENT
EVACUATION IS NECESSARY.

$$

LOMBARDY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Feb 19, 12:09 PM EST, 3 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 12:09 PM EST, 3 hours 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1209 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS EVENING. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING AS
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE LOW
WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES THURSDAY
NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING BRINGING A RETURN BACK TO THE COLDER AIR
FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE WEAK COLD FRONT IS EAST OF THE AREA. TRAILING SHORT WAVE OVER
NORTHERN INDIANA WILL CROSS EXTREME NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED
OVER NORTHERN INDIANA. WILL MENTION A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER FOR THE
LAKE SHORE COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WERE AT OR NEAR
THE HIGHS FOR THE DAY BY LATE MORNING. WITH COLD ADVECTION THIS
AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK A FEW DEGREES WHERE THERE
ARE ENOUGH CLOUDS AND A SHOWER. ELSEWHERE THE TEMPS WILL BE NEARLY
STEADY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE REGION WILL MOVE EAST ALLOWING UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT ALONG WITH SURFACE
RIDGE. MORE TROUGHINESS DIGGING IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS REGION AND
THEN WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL SET IN MOTION THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE FOR THE CLASSIC
PANHANDLE HOOK. THE TRACK OF THE STORM WILL BE CLOSER TO THE TYPICAL
FALL TRACK WHERE THE CENTER STAYS WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA KEEPING
THIS AREA IN THE WARM SECTOR. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES UPSTREAM APPEAR TO
BE QUITE MILD CONSIDERING THE EXTENSIVE SNOW PACK IN PLACE OVER A
LARGE PART OF THE NORTHERN U.S.  THINKING IS THAT EVEN THOUGH WE
HAVE AN EXTENSIVE SNOW PACK AS WELL...INCREASED GRADIENT WINDS WILL
LIKELY PUSH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 50S OVER THE SOUTHWEST
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA AND AROUND 50 ELSEWHERE.

DUE TO THE INSTABILITY EXPECTED WITH THE COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA LATE THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG OR AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
CURRENT UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS INDICATE QUITE A BIT OF SHEAR. IF THIS
HODOGRAPH REMAINS PRESENT THROUGH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD
FRONT...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA. ACTUALLY...LATEST DAY TWO OUTLOOK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS HAS THE WESTERN HALF OF OUR FORECAST AREA IN A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AS ALWAYS...WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THIS
SITUATION AND SEE HOW IT DEVELOPS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. I CANT
REMEMBER A TIME WHEN WE HAD AN EXTENSIVE SNOW PACK ON THE GROUND AND
WE HAD TO WORRY ABOUT SEVERE WEATHER. WILL SEE HOW MUCH SNOW PACK AS
AN EFFECT ON REDUCING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

LATEST GUIDANCE IS NOT IN AGREEMENT ON HOW MUCH QPF WE WILL RECEIVE
WITH THE STORM SYSTEM ON THURSDAY. SOME INDICATIONS ARE THAT WE WILL
GET A QUICK SHOT OF RAIN AND THEN BEGIN TO QUICKLY DRY SLOT WITH THE
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE GFS AND EUROPEAN SOLUTIONS APPEAR TO BE
THE WETTEST...WHILE THE SREF AND NAM ARE DRIER. WILL TAKE THE MIDDLE
OF THE ROAD AND GO WITH QPF AMOUNTS OF AROUND A HALF AN INCH ACROSS
THE AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW PACK CONTAINS A LOT OF
DRY SNOW WITHIN IT AND CAN HOLD A LITTLE BIT OF RAIN BEFORE RUNOFF
BEGINS. AT THIS TIME...WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY FLOOD WATCHES DUE TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF A QUICK SHOT OF RAIN ON THE SNOW PACK. WARMER
TEMPERATURES YESTERDAY THROUGH TOMORROW WILL CAUSE SNOW PACK TO
MOISTEN UP A BIT.  CRITICAL INGREDIENTS FOR FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL BE
THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE AND WINDS. WET BULBS ARE PROGGED TO BE
ABOVE FREEZING SO WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE SNOW MELT THROUGH
FRIDAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL ACT AS A
WARM BLOW DRIER ON THE SNOW PACK AND THIS COULD VERY WELL CAUSE THE
SNOW PACK TO MELT AT A FASTER THAN USUAL RATE. RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT
AND RAINFALL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SOME PROBLEMS ON RIVERS DUE
TO THE ICE COVER. IF THE DRY SLOT SHOOTS IN HERE FAST LIKE THE NAM
SUGGESTS THEN QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER.

ONCE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WE WILL SEE A RETURN
BACK TO SOME FAIR WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR HIGHS
AND LOWS. MUCH COOLER AIR REALLY DOES NOT ARRIVE UNTIL SATURDAY
NIGHT SO WILL ADJUST TEMPERATURES ACCORDINGLY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE DIFFERENCES IN THE LONG TERM SO CONFIDENCE
IS BELOW AVERAGE TODAY.  ABOUT THE ONLY THING THAT IS CERTAIN IS
THAT TEMPS WILL RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.  SOME OF
THE GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT A WEAK WAVE PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF
THE AREA ON SUNDAY.  MOISTURE APPEARS TO BE LIMITED SO WILL KEEP
THINGS DRY FOR NOW.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOMETIME SUNDAY
NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.  AGAIN IT LOOKS FAIRLY DRY AND WILL LIMIT
PRECIP CHANCES TO FAR NE OH AND NW PA.  IT APPEARS THE BEST CHANCES
FOR PRECIP DURING THE PERIOD WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS
ANOTHER WAVES MOVES THROUGH IN THE FAST FLOW ALOFT.  HIGH TEMPS BOTH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE AT LEAST 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A COLD FRONT IS JUST ABOUT TO ENTER THE WEST END OF THE AREA.
CURRENTLY NO PRECIP AND VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUDINESS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. NEW GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME
MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING LATER THIS MORNING OVER THE SE END OF THE
AREA AS THE FRONT ARRIVES. WILL GO WITH A TEMPO MENTION OF MVFR
CIGS FOR A FEW HOURS AT KMFD...KCAK AND KYNG. THERE COULD BE SOME
VFR CIGS ELSEWHERE THROUGH ABOUT 18Z AND THEN EXPECTING NO MORE
THAN SOME HIGH CLOUDS. SW FLOW WILL BECOME WEST BEHIND THE FRONT
AND THEN SOUTHERLY AGAIN TONIGHT. JUST SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS
EXPECTED TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...NON-VFR REDEVELOPING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THURSDAY
NIGHT...LINGERING IN NE OH/NW PA INTO FRIDAY. SOME NON-VFR
POSSIBLE SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE LAKE THIS MORNING CAUSING THE FLOW TO
BECOME WESTERLY.  THE FLOW WILL BECOME EAST TO SOUTHEAST BY DAYBREAK
THURSDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE WESTERN LAKES.  EXPECT
SPEEDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE.  SPEEDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY LATE
THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  THE FRONT WILL
EVENTUALLY CROSS THE LAKE THURSDAY NIGHT.  SOUTHWEST WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE FRIDAY.  SPEEDS WILL
DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW THEN EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KOSARIK
NEAR TERM...KOSARIK
SHORT TERM...LOMBARDY
LONG TERM...KUBINA
AVIATION...KUBINA
MARINE...KUBINA
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 4:33 AM EST, 11 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
433 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-200945-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
433 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MELTING SNOW AND RAINFALL COULD POSSIBLY CAUSE RUNOFF INTO STREAMS
AND CREEKS LATE THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW MUCH RAINFALL OCCURS AND HOW
FAST THE SNOW MELTS. AT THIS TIME...THE COMPUTER MODELS ARE
CONSIDERABLY DIFFERENT IN THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL EXPECTED. THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FLOODING FROM RUN OFF AND ICE JAMMING IF
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OCCUR ALONG WITH RAPID SNOW MELT.

IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-200945-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
433 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT
AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 19, 3:43 PM ESTGale WatchCLE18 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in Ohio, 2014Flood Watches in Pennsylvania, 2014Every flood watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.