Winter Storm Watch 4, NWS Buffalo, NY

130 
WWUS41 KBUF 081453
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
953 AM EST MON DEC 8 2014

NYZ006>008-082300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141209T2100Z-141211T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
953 AM EST MON DEC 8 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A HALF MILE AT TIMES IN MODERATE SNOW.

* IMPACTS...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOW WILL RESULT IN SLICK 
  ROADWAYS AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL. RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE OVER 
  TO ALL SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH PERIODS OF SNOW EXPECTED TO 
  LAST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ002>005-011>014-082300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141210T0000Z-141211T1200Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...
FAIR HAVEN...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
953 AM EST MON DEC 8 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE LOWER 
  GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGIONS. THE GREATEST AMOUNTS 
  ARE LIKELY TO BE A BIT INLAND FROM LAKE ONTARIO WHERE 
  TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER THROUGHOUT THE EVENT. 

* TIMING...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A HALF MILE AT TIMES IN MODERATE SNOW

* IMPACTS...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOW WILL RESULT IN SLICK 
  ROADWAYS AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL. RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE OVER 
  TO ALL SNOW LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH PERIODS OF SNOW EXPECTED 
  TO LAST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

SMITH

125 
WWUS41 KBUF 082038
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
338 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014

NYZ001-010-019>021-085-090445-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141210T0900Z-141212T0900Z/
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...JAMESTOWN...
OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
338 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATIONS...ERIE...NIAGARA...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...AND
  ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 6 TO 12 INCHES.
  GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF
  THE THRUWAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE A TIMES.

* IMPACTS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH
  RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND LOCATION OF
  HEAVIEST SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ002>005-011>014-090445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141210T0600Z-141212T0900Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...
FAIR HAVEN...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
338 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...ORLEANS...GENESEE...WYOMING...MONROE...WAYNE...
  NORTHERN CAYUGA...LIVINGSTON...AND ONTARIO COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 6 TO 12 INCHES.
  GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF THE
  THRUWAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE A TIMES.

* IMPACTS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH
  RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND LOCATION OF
  HEAVIEST SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-090445-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141209T2100Z-141211T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
338 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 6 TO 12 INCHES.
  GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG
  HILL AND WESTERN FOOTHILLS OF THE ADIRONDACKS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE A TIMES.

* IMPACTS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH
  RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND LOCATION OF
  HEAVIEST SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

889 
WWUS41 KBUF 090245
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
945 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014

NYZ006>008-091100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141209T2100Z-141211T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
945 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 6 TO 12 INCHES. 
  GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG 
  HILL AND WESTERN FOOTHILLS OF THE ADIRONDACKS. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE A TIMES.

* IMPACTS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH 
  RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND LOCATION 
  OF HEAVIEST SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ002>005-011>014-091100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141210T0600Z-141212T0900Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...
FAIR HAVEN...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
945 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...ORLEANS...GENESEE...WYOMING...MONROE...WAYNE...
  NORTHERN CAYUGA...LIVINGSTON...AND ONTARIO COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 6 TO 12 INCHES. 
  GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF 
  THE THRUWAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE A TIMES.

* IMPACTS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH 
  RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND LOCATION 
  OF HEAVIEST SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ001-010-019>021-085-091100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141210T0900Z-141212T0900Z/
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...JAMESTOWN...
OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
945 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...ERIE...NIAGARA...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...AND 
  ALLEGANY COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 6 TO 12 INCHES. 
  GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF 
  THE THRUWAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE A TIMES.

* IMPACTS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH 
  RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND LOCATION 
  OF HEAVIEST SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/JJR

128 
WWUS41 KBUF 090911
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
411 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014

NYZ006>008-091715-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141209T2100Z-141211T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0023.141209T2100Z-141211T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
411 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.
  SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS THIS AFTERNOON...3 TO 5 INCHES
  TONIGHT...2 TO 4 INCHES WEDNESDAY...1 TO 3 INCHES WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT...AND AN INCH OR LESS THURSDAY. GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED
  ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN FOOTHILLS
  OF THE ADIRONDACKS.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ002>005-011>014-091715-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141210T0600Z-141212T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0023.141210T0600Z-141212T0900Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...
FAIR HAVEN...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
411 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM
WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...ORLEANS...GENESEE...WYOMING...MONROE...WAYNE...
  NORTHERN CAYUGA...LIVINGSTON...AND ONTARIO COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT...2 TO 4 INCHES
  WEDNESDAY...1 TO 3 INCHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...2 TO 4 INCHES
  THURSDAY...AND UP TO 2 INCHES THURSDAY NIGHT. GREATEST AMOUNTS
  EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001-010-019>021-085-091715-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0004.141210T0900Z-141212T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0023.141210T0900Z-141212T0900Z/
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...JAMESTOWN...
OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
411 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM
WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...ERIE...NIAGARA...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...AND 
  ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT...1 TO 3 INCHES
  WEDNESDAY...1 TO 3 INCHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...2 TO 4 INCHES
  THURSDAY...AND UP TO 2 INCHES THURSDAY NIGHT. GREATEST AMOUNTS
  EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1133 PM EST SUN DEC 7 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AS HIGH PRESSURE RETREATS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...HIGH
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION OVERNIGHT BEFORE
THICKENING AND LOWERING ON MONDAY. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES MAY PRODUCE A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS TUESDAY...BEFORE A SECONDARY COASTAL STORM DEVELOPS AND
STALLS OVER NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THIS MAY BRING
WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING WET SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE REGION...
ALTHOUGH THERE REMAINS A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE STORM
TRACK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT.
ON ITS BACKSIDE...SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW AND WARM ADVECTION
ALOFT WILL GENERATE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD CIRRUS OF VARYING THICKNESS
ACROSS THE REGION...WITH SKIES GENERALLY RUNNING PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY. IN SPITE OF THIS THERE SHOULD STILL BE DECENT RADIATIONAL
COOLING...WITH LOWS RANGING IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S ON THE
LAKE PLAINS OF WESTERN NY...AND IN THE MID TEENS IN THE COLDEST
SOUTHERN TIER VALLEYS. MEANWHILE THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL REMAIN
WITHIN A COLDER AIRMASS AND WILL EXPERIENCE THINNER OVERALL CLOUD
COVER...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW LOWS TO DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
THERE...WITH READINGS FALLING TO AS LOW AS ZERO ON THE TUG HILL
AND THE WESTERN FOOTHILLS OF THE ADIRONDACKS.

ON MONDAY WARM ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE BETWEEN THE HIGH DEPARTING
ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND A TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE WESTERN
LAKES. THE INCREASING UPPER LEVEL ASCENT AND MOISTURE WILL ALLOW
HIGH CLOUDS TO THICKEN AND LOWER INTO A MID LEVEL DECK WITH ANY
LIMITED MORNING SUNSHINE FADING AWAY. 850MB TEMPS WILL RECOVER TO
AROUND +2C ACROSS WESTERN NY DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL COMBINE
WITH SOUTHEAST DOWNSLOPE FLOW TO BOOST TEMPS ON THE LAKE PLAINS INTO
THE LOWER 40S FROM ROCHESTER WESTWARD. EXPECT MID 30S ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN NY AND THE FINGER LAKES...WITH LOWER 30S
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME A LITTLE BREEZY DURING THE AFTERNOON
ACROSS WESTERN NY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE WHERE
INCREASING DOWNSLOPE FLOW MAY BRING GUSTS TO 30-35 MPH LATE IN THE
DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FORECAST IS STILL ON TRACK FOR AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS NEW YORK STATE. A CUT-OFF LOW WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY FROM A SHORTWAVE
OVER THE GREAT LAKES PHASING WITH A HIGH LATITUDE WAVE AND A
MID-ATLANTIC COASTAL LOW. MODELS HAVE BEEN STRUGGLING WITH THE
COMPLEX EVOLUTION OF THIS CUT-OFF LOW AS THEY USUALLY
DO...HOWEVER...THE 12Z MODEL SUITE HAS COME INTO MUCH BETTER
ALIGNMENT TODAY. THE TRACK OF THE CUT-OFF LOW IS BECOMING BETTER
DEFINED AMONGST THE GLOBAL MODELS...WITH THE MEAN TRACK PLACING A
STACKED LOW OVER NEW JERSEY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND DRIFTING
NORTHWARD INTO THE NEW ENGLAND STATES BY THURSDAY MORNING. NOT ONLY
IS THE NORTH/SOUTH AGREEMENT BETTER ALIGNED...BUT THE MODELS HAVE
ALSO SHOWN A WESTWARD TREND IN THE TRACK. WHILE CLIMATOLOGY OF A
COASTAL LOW WOULD TYPICALLY ARGUE AGAINST THIS SOLUTION...THE
UNUSUALLY STRONG NATURE OF THIS CUT-OFF LOW ALONG WITH COMPLETE
SEPARATION FROM THE JET STREAM MAY INDEED ALLOW FOR THE LOW TO TAKE
A MORE INLAND TRACK AS THE MODELS HAVE SHOWN TODAY.

FIRST...MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE CAUGHT
BETWEEN THE BETTER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE COASTAL LOW TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST AND THE GREAT LAKES WAVE MERGING FROM THE WEST. THE
SCENARIO LEAVES US WILL SYNOPTIC FORCING THAT IS NOT WELL
DEFINED...BUT SHOULD RESULT IN SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. GIVEN THE
LACK OF A STRONG COLD PUSH OF AIR WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM...EXPECT
PRECIPITATION TO START OFF AS ALL RAIN ON THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL STAY FAIRLY MILD...WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40.

...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...
COLDER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSED LOW WILL FILTER ACROSS WESTERN
AND CENTRAL NEW YORK STATE TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH WOULD LEAD TO A
TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW FOR WEDNESDAY.

THE MAIN REASON WE ARE CONCERNED WITH A MORE INLAND TRACK OF THE LOW
IS BECAUSE THIS WOULD SPELL MORE IMPACTS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
FROM ACCUMULATING SNOW. THIS COULD TURN INTO A FAIRLY PROLONGED
SYNOPTIC SNOWFALL THAT COULD LAST FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY AS THE CUT-OFF LOW SIT NEARLY STATIONARY WITH ONLY A SLOW
NORTHWARD DRIFT. THIS TYPE OF SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER A COUPLE DAY PERIOD WHEREVER THE
PIVOT POINT / DEFORMATION BAND SETS UP. THIS IS A DETAIL THAT WILL
TAKE A FEW MORE MODEL RUNS TO PIN DOWN...BUT THE OVERALL TAKE AWAY
FROM THIS MORE INLAND TRACK IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A WIDESPREAD
SNOWFALL ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK AND EVEN EXTENDING INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THE CURRENT TRACK WOULD PLACE THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS FROM
AROUND ROCHESTER EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN FINGER LAKES INTO CENTRAL
NEW YORK. WHILE IT IS A LITTLE EARLY TO GIVE AMOUNTS FOR A PARTICULAR
LOCATION...ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE MOST FAVORED
REGION ARE POSSIBLE OVER THIS MULTIDAY EVENT.

WE WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE TRENDS IN THE MODELS TO MAKE
SURE THE WESTWARD TREND SEEN TODAY IS NOT AN ANOMALY. WINTER WEATHER
HIGHLIGHTS MAY BE NEEDED SHOULD THIS MORE INLAND TRACK HOLD SERVE ON
FUTURE MODEL RUNS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A WARMING TREND REMAINS ON TRACK IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST. THE MAIN
POINT OF UNCERTAINTY ON WHEN THAT MILDER WEATHER WILL ARRIVE HINGES
ON HOW QUICKLY THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST EXITS THE
NORTHEAST. THE MODELS ARE HISTORICALLY POOR AT RESOLVING HOW QUICKLY
THESE CLOSED OFF SYSTEMS WILL MOVE OUT...AND TYPICALLY SEEM TO TRY
TO MOVE THEM OUT TOO QUICKLY. THAT SAID...IT LOOKS LIKE WARMER
WEATHER WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND OR
THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
DURING THE TAF PERIOD...EXPECT CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS. WARM
ADVECTION ALOFT WILL GENERATE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD CIRRUS OVERNIGHT...
WITH THESE HIGH CLOUDS THEN THICKENING/LOWERING THROUGH THE MID
LEVELS MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING.

AS A LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS AND WORKS EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA LATER
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY EVENING...THERE COULD BE SOME MARGINAL
LLWS CONCERNS FROM PORTIONS OF THE FINGER LAKES EASTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY...VFR DETERIORATING TO AREAS OF MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WIDESPREAD IFR IN SNOW.
FRIDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL DRIFT ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. ON ITS BACKSIDE...AN EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA...EXCEPT ON WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO WHERE WINDS AND WAVES WILL
REACH LOW-END ADVISORY LEVELS BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...AT WHICH TIME CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE AS WINDS WEAKEN
AND VEER MORE SOUTHEASTERLY.

LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEAST WINDS ON MONDAY WILL INCREASE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ALTHOUGH THE OFFSHORE WIND DIRECTION WILL
KEEP THE GREATER WAVE ACTION IN CANADIAN WATERS.

WINDS WILL BECOME RELATIVELY LIGHT ON TUESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES. A COASTAL STORM WILL THEN
DEVELOP ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND STALL FROM WEDNESDAY TO
THURSDAY PRODUCING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF NORTHERLY WINDS AND HIGHER
END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON BOTH LAKES.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK/JJR
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJR
SHORT TERM...CHURCH
LONG TERM...CHURCH
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK/JJR
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/JJR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
245 PM EST SUN DEC 7 2014

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-081945-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
245 PM EST SUN DEC 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A COASTAL LOW WILL FORM TUESDAY ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THEN
MOVE NORTH TO NEW ENGLAND AND STALL WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
INITIALLY TEMPERATURES WILL BE MARGINAL FOR RAIN OR SNOW...BUT
SHOULD TURN COLD ENOUGH WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FOR MAINLY WET
SNOW. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

THERE REMAINS A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE
TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE
IN THE EXPECTED TRACK WILL SIGNIFICANTLY CHANGE THE EXPECTED
AMOUNT AND LOCATION OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR ANOTHER SOURCE OF LOCAL FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-081945-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
245 PM EST SUN DEC 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK