Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 19, 2014Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm warning at Jan 19, 2014, 5:28 PM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 19, 2014, 5:28 PM EST (22:28 UTC)
Expired
Jan 20, 2014, 9:00 AM EST
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-01-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-01-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -20 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
712 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

331 
WWUS41 KBUF 192228
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
528 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

NYZ007-008-200630-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140120T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.140119T2228Z-140120T1400Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
528 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES. HIGHEST
  FOCUSED ACROSS THE TUG HILL.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW CAUSING BRIEF WHITEOUT
  CONDITIONS. SNOW ACCUMULATING AND DRIFTING ACROSS ROADWAYS WILL
  MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006-200630-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.140119T2228Z-140120T1400Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
528 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES MAINLY
  FOCUSED ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW CAUSING BRIEF WHITEOUT
  CONDITIONS. SNOW ACCUMULATING AND DRIFTING ACROSS ROADWAYS WILL
  MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

SMITH
3 follow-up statements
618 
WWUS41 KBUF 200254
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
954 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

NYZ006>008-201100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140120T1400Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
954 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES....DOWN TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN BLOWING
  SNOW.

* IMPACTS...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF SNOW AND
  BLOWING SNOW OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING CAUSING BRIEF WHITEOUT
  CONDITIONS. SNOW ACCUMULATING AND DRIFTING ACROSS ROADWAYS WILL
  MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

SMITH
079 
WWUS41 KBUF 200859
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
359 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014

NYZ007-008-201700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0004.140121T0400Z-140121T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.A.0004.140121T2300Z-140122T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140120T1400Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
359 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND
CHILL WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH 9 AM...WIND CHILL
  ADVISORY LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AND WIND CHILL
  WATCH TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

* HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOW EARLY THIS MORNING. DANGEROUSLY LOW
  WIND CHILL VALUES OF 25 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT AND 30 BELOW TUESDAY
  NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES THIS MORNING. 

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...UNDER A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES EARLY THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING IN SNOW...WHICH WILL
  CONTINUE TO CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.  

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

A WIND CHILL WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH
COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-201700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0004.140121T0400Z-140121T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.A.0004.140121T2300Z-140122T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140120T1400Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
359 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND
CHILL WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY.

* TIMING...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH 9 AM...WIND CHILL
  ADVISORY LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AND WIND CHILL
  WATCH TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

* HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOW EARLY THIS MORNING. DANGEROUSLY LOW
  WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT AND 20 TO
  25 BELOW TUESDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES THIS MORNING.

* VISIBILITIES...UNDER A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES EARLY THIS
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING IN SNOW...WHICH WILL
  CONTINUE TO CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

A WIND CHILL WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH
COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

RSH/JJR
277 
WWUS41 KBUF 200937
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
437 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014

NYZ007-008-201745-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140120T1400Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0004.140121T0400Z-140121T1600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.A.0004.140121T2300Z-140122T1800Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
437 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EST TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH 9 AM...WIND 
  CHILL ADVISORY LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AND WIND 
  CHILL WATCH TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. 

* HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOW EARLY THIS MORNING. DANGEROUSLY 
  LOW WIND CHILL VALUES OF 25 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT AND 30 
  BELOW TUESDAY NIGHT. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES THIS MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...UNDER A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES EARLY THIS 
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING IN SNOW...WHICH 
  WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

A WIND CHILL WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH
COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-201745-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140120T1400Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0004.140121T0400Z-140121T1600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.A.0004.140121T2300Z-140122T1800Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
437 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EST TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY.

* TIMING...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH 9 AM...WIND 
  CHILL ADVISORY LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AND WIND 
  CHILL WATCH TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. 

* HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOW EARLY THIS MORNING. DANGEROUSLY 
  LOW WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT AND 
  20 TO 25 BELOW TUESDAY NIGHT. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 4 INCHES THIS MORNING.

* VISIBILITIES...UNDER A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES EARLY THIS 
  MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING IN SNOW...WHICH 
  WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

A WIND CHILL WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH
COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-201745-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.140120T0937Z-140120T1900Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
437 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER
  LAKES REGIONS.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOWS PRODUCING HAZARDOUS DRIVING
  CONDITIONS. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...TWO TO FOUR INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...UNDER A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE 20S AND INTO THE TEENS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING
  CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ019>021-201745-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.140120T1200Z-140120T2200Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
437 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOWS PRODUCING HAZARDOUS DRIVING
  CONDITIONS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TWO TO FOUR INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...UNDER A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE 20S AND INTO THE TEENS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING
  CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

RSH/JJR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 19, 3:58 PM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 3:58 PM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG WINDS AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF WESTERN
AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING ARCTIC
FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY USHERING IN A
PERIOD OF VERY COLD WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES THAT WILL AVERAGE 15
DEGREES BELOW MID-JANUARY NORMALS. THIS COLD SNAP WILL LAST THROUGH
THE COMING WEEK AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
ANOTHER BATCH OF SNOW THAT MADE ITS WAY THROUGH THE NIAGARA FRONTIER
OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HORUS IS NOW APPROACHING THE ROCHESTER METRO
AREA. THIS BATCH OF ENHANCED SNOWFALL WITH RATES OF ROUGHLY
ONE-QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST IN
ASSOCIATION WITH YET ANOTHER MID/UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TRACKING
ACROSS THE AREA. AFTER THAT EXPECT A GENERAL LULL IN SNOWFALL FOR
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA AS A SUBSEQUENT SHORTWAVE RIDGE PASSES
OVERHEAD. NONETHELESS...STILL EXPECT THAT PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER
THANKS TO PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OFF LAKE ERIE AND 850MB
TEMPS THAT ARE JUST COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT LIMITED LAKE EFFECT
FLURRIES/LIGHT SNOW. THE STORY IS DIFFERENT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
WHERE 850MB TEMPS ARE COLDER BY 2 DEGREES AND DOWN-LAKE FETCH
LONGER...PARTICULARLY AS WINDS VEER A LITTLE MORE TOWARDS 240-260
DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT 210-220 DEGREES.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...ONCE THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE PASSES EAST
OF THE FORECAST AREA...THE BULK OF TONIGHT/S SNOWFALL SHOULD BE
CONFINED TO THE LAKE-EFFECT PRONE AREAS EAST/NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES.
AMOUNTS EAST OF LAKE ERIE SHOULD RUN IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF 1-2
INCHES WHILE THE MORE ROBUST LAKE ENHANCEMENT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
COULD PUSH AMOUNTS INTO THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE...HIGHEST ACROSS THE
TUG HILL PLATEAU. SNOWFALL SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
TOWARDS DAYBREAK ON MONDAY MORNING AS THE MUCH ANTICIPATED ARCTIC
FRONT PUSHES ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. STEADY SNOWFALL SHOULD END BY
EARLY AFTERNOON ON MONDAY...GIVING WAY TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ON
INCREASINGLY COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

TONIGHT WILL BE THE /RELATIVELY SPEAKING/ WARMEST NIGHT WE CAN
EXPECT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH READINGS HOLDING IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 20S. TEMPERATURES WILL TOP UP IN THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS BEFORE THE ARCTIC FRONT PLUNGES SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION.
EXPECT READINGS TO FALL INTO THE TEENS THROUGH THE DAY WITH SINGLE
DIGITS LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MONDAY NIGHT THE ARCTIC FRONT WILL BE WELL TO OUR SOUTH WITH A
NORTHWEST...COLD FLOW OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION.
TEMPERATURES AT 850 HPA WILL BE DROPPING FROM -18/-21 DOWN TO
-20/-23C THROUGH THE NIGHT. THIS COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL DROP OUR
TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS...AND LIKELY BELOW ZERO
INLAND AWAY FROM THE LAKES. ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TEMPERATURES
WILL LIKELY PLUMMET INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS. WINDS MAY REMAIN
SUSTAINED ENOUGH TO BRING WIND CHILLS INTO THE MINUS 20S HERE...FOR
WHICH A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED.

AS THE COLD AIR DEEPENS MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY SOME
RESEMBLANCE OF A LAKE AGGREGATED TROUGH WILL FORM OVER THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. THIS WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
AND FLURRIES NEAR THE LAKES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. GREATEST THREAT
FOR SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...MAINLY NORTH
OF THE THRUWAY WHERE LIKELY POP WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY.
ALSO CHANCE POPS WILL CARRY FOR AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE. THE
DRIER NATURE TO THIS AIRMASS COMBINED WITH A DECENT AMOUNT OF WIND
SHEAR WILL KEEP SNOW ACCUMULATION ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

TUESDAY NIGHT THE CORE OF THE DEEP COLD AIR POOL WILL PASS OVER THE
CWA WITH TEMPERATURES AT 850 HPA AS COLD AS -24 TO -25C. HIGHS TUESDAY
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...AND SOME PLACES ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY MAY NOT EVEN RISE TO THE POSITIVE SIDE OF ZERO THROUGH THE
DAY. WITH A COLD START TO THE EVENING...OVERNIGHT LOWS STAND A GOOD
CHANCE AT DROPPING BELOW ZERO FOR JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE
REGION...EXCEPT FOR AREAS IMMEDIATELY NEAR THE LAKES THAT WILL
LIKELY REMAIN IN THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS.

ON WEDNESDAY A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. HOWEVER A LAKE AGGREGATED
SURFACE TROUGH WILL LIKELY BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
AND THIS WILL MAINTAIN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AROUND THE
LAKES...WHILE THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY. HOWEVER WITH
THE DRIER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ACTIVITY ON
WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE LESS THAN MONDAY-TUESDAY WITH LIKELY JUST
FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS FALLING. EVEN THROUGH THE CORE OF THE
COLD AIR WILL BE SHIFTING EASTWARD TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL
STILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...AND
WARMER LOWER ELEVATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING DOUBLE DIGITS.

LAKE ACTIVITY WILL FIZZLE OUT EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT A
DEVELOPING LOW TO THE WEST OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL BRING
THE THREAT OF A LIGHT SYNOPTIC SNOW INTO THE REGION LATER OVERNIGHT.
THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND THE WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL YIELD OVERNIGHT
LOWS NOT AS COLD AS RECENT NIGHTS...WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS...AND NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
COLD TEMPERATURES TO START THIS TIME PERIOD WILL MODERATE
SOME...BEFORE PLUNGING BACK TO FRIGID EXTREMES. A CONTINUATION OF
LIGHT SNOWS EVENTS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD.

ON THURSDAY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AND TOWARDS NEW ENGLAND. THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL LIKELY SPAWN A SURFACE LOW...FORMING ALONG A CONVERGENT
BOUNDARY OF A LAKE AGGREGATED SURFACE TROUGH...WITH THE SURFACE LOW
THEN BRINGING A LIGHT AREA OF SNOW ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY.
GREATEST CHANCES FOR SNOW WILL BE AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO...THOUGH WILL KEEP A LOW CHANCE POP IN THROUGH THE NORTH
COUNTRY.

BEHIND THIS SURFACE LOW AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE...BROAD IN COVERAGE
AREA WILL BE DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. AS THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDS
OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY EXPECT MUCH OF THE TIME
PERIOD TO REMAIN DRY. EXCEPTION WILL BE AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
WHERE SOME LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DRIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

BEHIND THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ANOTHER CLIPPER TYPE STORM SYSTEM
WILL NEAR US LATER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOWS. GIVEN MODEL (12Z GFS/ECMWF) AGREEMENT WILL
BRING POPS TO LIKELY FOR SATURDAY WITH LIGHT SNOW. AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 20S...AND
POSSIBLY NEAR 30 ON SATURDAY. BEHIND THIS FEATURE TEMPERATURES WILL
PLUMMET LATER SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. HIGHS SUNDAY MAY VERY WELL
STRUGGLE TO REACH THE TEENS...WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY FALLING
THROUGH THE DAY AS THE COLD AIR DEEPENS OVER THE REGION. THIS ARCTIC BLAST
WILL PREVAIL INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE LAST WEEK OF JANUARY WITH
TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE
MONTH.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA HAS IMPROVED TO MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS OVER
THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AREAS NORTHEAST OF
THE LAKES WHERE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW COMBINED WITH MARGINAL LAKE
INSTABILITY HAS BEEN SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO CONTINUE TO GENERATE LAKE
ENHANCED SNOWS THAT HAVE KEPT IFR CONDITIONS IN PLAY AT KBUF/KART.
EXPECT THESE IFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST AT THESE TERMINALS FOR MUCH
OF THE NIGHT UNTIL FLOW VEERS NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND AN APPROACHING
ARCTIC FRONT AFTER 06Z AT KART AND APPROXIMATELY 12Z AT KBUF.

ELSEWHERE...THE IMPROVED CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE WILL BE RELATIVELY
SHORT-LIVED AS CONDITIONS SHOULD AGAIN DETERIORATE AROUND/AFTER 00Z
AS DEEPER SYNOPTIC MOISTURE AND LIFT ARRIVES AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONT. MEANWHILE...STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING AS
HIGH AS 40-45KT WILL AFFECT THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND AREAS NEAR LAKE
ERIE AS WELL AS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL
MECHANICAL TURBULENCE TO BE HAD EVERYWHERE.

EXPECT A WIDESPREAD SWATH OF IFR CONDITIONS IN -SN TO ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT AS IT SWEEPS SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN 12-18Z
FOLLOWED BY WINDS VEERING TO THE NORTHWEST WITH SCATTERED LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND AN IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR CONDITIONS
THEREAFTER..

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR...WITH OCCASIONAL RESTRICTIONS
TO MVFR/IFR IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
GALES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING ARCTIC FRONT.
THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER LATE EVENING AS THE
FRONTAL TROUGH CROSSES THE LAKES.

FRESH NORTHWESTERLIES IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY KEEP
THE LAKES CHURNED UP ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY LAKE ONTARIO WHERE SCA'S
WILL BE NEEDED. WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD FINALLY DROP BELOW SCA
CRITERIA ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EASE ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT
LAKES.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ001>003-007-
     010>012-019-020-085.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ007-008.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ030-
         042>045-062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WOOD
NEAR TERM...WOOD
SHORT TERM...THOMAS
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...WOOD
MARINE...RSH/WOOD
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 11:05 AM EST, 6 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1105 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

NYZ004>006-013-014-021-201615-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
1105 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A BITTERLY COLD AIRMASS WILL BEGIN OVERSPREADING OUR AREA ON
MONDAY...WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BETWEEN MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. DURING THIS PERIOD...NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM ZERO TO 20 BELOW...AND DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE WITHIN A
FEW DEGREES OF ZERO...WITH WIND CHILLS RUNNING WELL BELOW ZERO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-020-085-201615-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1105 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A BITTERLY COLD AIRMASS WILL BEGIN OVERSPREADING OUR AREA ON
MONDAY...WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BETWEEN MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. DURING THIS PERIOD...NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL
RANGE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF ZERO...AND DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE
CONFINED TO THE SINGLE DIGITS...WITH WIND CHILLS RUNNING WELL
BELOW ZERO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-201615-
JEFFERSON-
1105 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

A BITTERLY COLD AIRMASS WILL BEGIN OVERSPREADING OUR AREA ON
MONDAY...WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BETWEEN MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. DURING THIS PERIOD...NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM 10 BELOW TO 20 BELOW ZERO...AND DAYTIME HIGHS WILL ONLY
REACH TO AROUND ZERO...WITH WIND CHILLS RUNNING WELL BELOW ZERO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ008-201615-
LEWIS-
1105 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

A BITTERLY COLD AIRMASS WILL BEGIN OVERSPREADING OUR AREA ON
MONDAY...WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BETWEEN MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. DURING THIS PERIOD...NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM ZERO TO 20 BELOW...AND DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE WITHIN A
FEW DEGREES OF ZERO...WITH WIND CHILLS RUNNING WELL BELOW ZERO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ030-042>045-062>065-201615-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
1105 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-201615-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1105 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-201615-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1105 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 19, 4:49 PM EST, 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
449 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

NYZ001-002-010-011-085-200100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
449 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...

WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH THIS EVENING ARE BRINGING REDUCED
VISIBILITIES WITH BRIEF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
NIAGARA FRONTIER. VISIBILITIES WILL BE TEMPORARILY REDUCED TO A
HALF MILE OF LESS WITH DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS AREA ROADWAYS MAKING
FOR DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. DRIVERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
REDUCED SPEEDS...KEEP A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN VEHICLES AND ALLOW
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATIONS.

SMITH
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 4:51 PM EST, 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
451 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

NYZ007-008-200000-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
451 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

...AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

THERE WILL BE AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WATERTOWN AND
SURROUNDING LOCATIONS. EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SNOW TO FALL THROUGH
700 PM...WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A HALF MILE AT TIMES...AND SNOWFALL
RATES OF AN INCH AN HOUR. THERE WILL ALSO BE AREAS OF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN
AND NEAR THE IMMEDIATE LAKE SHORE. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY IMPROVE
LATER THIS EVENING...BUT ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE
TONIGHT AS AN ARCTIC FRONT DROPS ACROSS THE REGION. MOTORISTS
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AND AVOID UNNECESSARY TRAVEL EARLY THIS
EVENING.

APFFEL
Local storm report, Jan 19, 4:59 PM EST, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
459 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0434 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST NY BUFFALO INTL ARPT    42.93N  78.73W
01/19/2014  M58 MPH          ERIE               NY   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1400013

DK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 19, 10:50 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFJefferson, Lewis7 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.