Small Craft Advisory 99, NWS Buffalo, NY

704 
WHUS71 KBUF 220232
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
932 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

LOZ042-221045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
932 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-221045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
932 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-221045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
932 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-221045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.141122T1700Z-141123T0600Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
932 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO
1 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

611 
WHUS71 KBUF 220859
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
359 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

LOZ042-221700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
359 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-221700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
359 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-221700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
359 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-221700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.141122T1700Z-141123T0600Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
359 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 AM
EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH

633 
WHUS71 KBUF 221140
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
640 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

LOZ042-221945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
640 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-221945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
640 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-221945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
640 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-221945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.141122T1700Z-141123T0600Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
640 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 AM
EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

286 
WHUS71 KBUF 222042
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
342 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

LOZ042-230445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1700Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
342 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-230445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1700Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
342 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-230445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1400Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
342 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-230445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-141123T0600Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
342 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-230445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1700Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
342 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

008 
WHUS71 KBUF 230302
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

LOZ042-231115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1700Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1002 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-231115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1700Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1002 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-231115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1400Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1002 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-230600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-141123T0600Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1002 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-231115-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1700Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1002 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

964 
WHUS71 KBUF 230553
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1253 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

LOZ043>045-231400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1700Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1253 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.


* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-231400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1700Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1253 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 


* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-230700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-141123T0600Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1253 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA AT THIS
TIME.

$$

LEZ040-041-231400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-141123T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1400Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1253 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON.
  SOUTHWEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
  TUESDAY EVENING.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
  WAVES BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FEET MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-231400-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.141124T1700Z-141126T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1253 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

WOOD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
113 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS...DRIVING LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES NORTHWARD...WHILE
ALSO SIGNALING THE BEGINNING OF A WARM-UP. A FEW LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS...WITH A POSSIBLE WINTRY MIX IN THE HILLS...WILL ARRIVE
TOMORROW AND MODERATE RAINFALL EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE
PASSAGE OF A WARM FRONT. THIS WARM-UP WILL BRING THE RISK OF
FLOODING TO AREAS WHICH WERE BURIED IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WE HAVE DROPPED THE LAKE EFFECT HEADLINES FOR THE SOUTHERN TIER AT
NOONTIME AS DRIER AIR IS WEAKENING THE BANDS FURTHER...AND THE
BACKING WINDS ARE STARTING TO SHIFT THE SNOW BANDS NORTHWARD.

OFF LAKE ERIE...BROAD MULTI BANDED SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SKI
COUNTRY AND THE SOUTHERN TIER. THE BROAD MULTI BANDED STRUCTURES TO
THE SNOW BANDS WILL NOT PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOW RATES BUT WITH
SOME HELP FROM LAKE HURON AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT ADDITIONAL SNOWFALLS
OF SEVERAL INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT NOONTIME. AFTER
WHICH SHIFTING WINDS WILL LOSE THE LAKE HURON CONNECTION...AND THE
WEAKENING SNOW BAND WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE METRO
BUFFALO AREA THIS EVENING. FLURRIES AND LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD BE
ALL THAT IS LEFT BY TIME IT REACHES METRO BUFFALO. LATER THIS
EVENING THE SNOW BAND SHOULD FINALLY END WITH JUST SOME LAKE EFFECT
CLOUDS REMAINING.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A NW FLOW CONTINUES TO BRING LAKE EFFECT SNOW
INLAND ACROSS NE MONROE AND ALONG THE SHORELINE TO OSWEGO AND INLAND
TOWARDS THE NORTHERN FINGER LAKES REGION. THIS BAND OF SNOW IS WEAK
AT THIS TIME...BUT AS WINDS BACK TO A WESTERLY FLOW THROUGH THE
DAY...THERE MAY BE A BRIEF UPTICK IN SNOWFALL TOWARDS THE TUG HILL
REGION AS ADDITIONAL UPSTREAM MOISTURE FROM LAKE HURON...AND A LONG
FETCH ALONG LAKE ONTARIO ENTERS THE BAND OF SNOW. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS TODAY WILL BE MINOR...BUT 3 TO PERHAPS 5 INCHES OF
FRESH SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION TONIGHT.

OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE EFFECT EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY WITH SOME
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AS WARM ADVECTION DEVELOPS ALOFT.
HIGH TEMPS WILL ONLY RISE INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S TODAY THEN FALLING
BACK INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT WITH WIND CHILLS DROPPING INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS WITH A STEADY SOUTHWEST FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE FOCUS FOR THIS PERIOD REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
WIDESPREAD FLOODING...AS MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND RAINFALL PUSH
INTO THE REGION.

THE WATER STORED IN THE RECENTLY FALLEN LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY
TO BE AT LEAST SEVERAL INCHES. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE
GREATEST CONCERN FOR FLOODING WILL BE IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY TIME FRAME. SUNDAY NIGHT WILL REMAIN MILD WITH LOWS
REMAINING WELL ABOVE FREEZING. BY MONDAY...SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL
BE CLIMBING TOWARDS 60 DEGREES WHICH WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S AND SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR MUCH IF NOT ALL OF
THE SNOWPACK TO MELT.

THE HIGH LIQUID IN THE SNOWPACK COMBINED THE FALLING RAINFALL WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO FLOODING...BOTH URBAN AND AREAL AS WELL AS
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LOCAL STREAM/CREEKS AND RIVERS. IT IS DIFFICULT
TO SAY AT THIS POINT HOW SIGNIFICANT THE FLOODING WILL BE WITH THE
EXACT AMOUNT OF WATER STORED IN THE SNOWPACK STILL AN UNKNOWN. ONCE
THIS IS ANSWERED...A BETTER IDEA OF THE SEVERITY OF THE FLOODING
WILL BE BETTER KNOWN.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE CAROLINAS SATURDAY MORNING.
THE RETURN FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL BE ADVECTIING THE LEADING EDGE
OF A WARMER AIRMASS INTO THE REGION ON AN INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW AS 850 MB TEMPERATURES GO ABOVE FREEZING. INITIALLY THIS COULD
BE PROBLEMATIC WITH THE LOW LEVEL ARCTIC AIRMASS STILL ENTRENCHED
ACROSS THE REGION WITH A STRONG INVERSION LIKELY IN PLACE SATURDAY
MORNING. AS THE SHORTWAVE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST EJECTS OUT
OVER THE GREAT LAKES...ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND A SHOT OF PV ADVECTION
SATURDAY WILL SUPPORT A PERIOD OF RAIN DEVELOPING FROM WEST TO EAST.
LATEST PROFILES WOULD SUGGEST THIS FALLS AS MAINLY LIGHT RAIN.
HOWEVER...THERE COULD STILL BE SOME POCKETS OF BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE WHICH MAY PRODUCE SOME PATCHY FREEZING
RAIN AT THE ONSET...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HILLS SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND
ROCHESTER...AND ALSO VALLEYS TO THE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. SHARP
WARMING ALOFT WILL LIMIT MAINTENANCE FOR SUB-ZERO WET BULBING SO
THINK ANY ICING THREAT WILL BE LIMITED...BUT WILL STILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED.

THE WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN SATURDAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 30S OR MUCH OF THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 40 ALONG THE
LAKE ERIE SHORE AND NIAGARA FRONTIER. ALTHOUGH THIS WILL CAUSE SOME
MELTING OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK IN PLACE EAST OF THE LAKE ERIE...
FLOODING CONCERNS AT THIS TIME LOOK MINIMAL AS THE SNOWPACK WILL
ABSORB THIS MELT.

WEAK ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL THEN BE ONGOING THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY...AS A 100 KNOT JET DEVELOPS OVERHEAD IN
RESPONSE TO THE DEEPENING LONGWAVE TROUGH UPSTREAM. THIS WILL HELP
ORIENT A MID-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE AREA WHICH WILL SERVE
AS A FOCUS FOR ONGOING LIGHT PRECIPITATION DURING THIS PERIOD.

TEMPERATURE RECOVERY WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW AND WARM AIR ADVECTION LIKELY KEEPING
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING. DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES LOOK TO
ALSO GO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN...ALBEIT
LIGHT WILL LEAD TO FURTHER RIPENING OF THE DEEP SNOW PACK.

THIS LIFT WILL EXIT THE REGION LATE SUNDAY AS RIDGING DEVELOPS
NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL END THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION
FOR A SHORT TIME...ALTHOUGH LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY KEEP
CLOUD COVER IN PLACE. DEEP LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
ADVECT WARMER AIR INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEARING 50
DEGREES WITH DEWPOINTS CONTINUING TO RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
THE COMBINATION OF WARMING TEMPERATURES...INCREASE SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND RISING DEWPOINTS SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE DEEP SNOWPACK EAST OF BOTH
GREAT LAKES TO CONTINUE TO COMPACT AND DIMINISH IN HEIGHT.

SHORTWAVE EJECTS NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS SUNDAY
LIFTING ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN BRUNT OF DYNAMICS...
MOISTURE AND RAIN WILL QUICKLY SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
EVENING. DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND THE LIFTING SHORTWAVE WILL PROVIDE
DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER THE REGION. ISENTROPIC ASCENT
COMMENCES AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS INTO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT.
PER LATEST GEFS...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FORECAST +2 TO +3
STANDARD DEVIATION AS VALUES INCREASE TO NEAR 1.25 INCHES. PROFILES
INDICATE A DEEPLY SATURATED COLUMN WHICH DOES GIVE AT LEAST SOME
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. HOWEVER..IT DOES APPEAR THAT THIS
WILL BE A RATHER QUICK SHOT OF PRECIPITATION WITH MOST OF THE RAIN
OUT OF THE AREA BY MONDAY MORNING...AS A DRY SLOT PUNCHES INTO THE
REGION IN WAKE OF THE WARM FRONT. WILL MAINTAIN RAINFALL AMOUNTS
DURING THIS PERIOD IN THE ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH RANGE.

THE BASE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ITS COLD AIR WILL REMAIN JUST
TO OUR WEST THROUGH THE COURSE OF MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
ALLOW FOR SNOWPACK MELTING TO CONTINUE. WITH THE TROUGH NEARBY WILL
CARRY A LOW CHANCE POP FOR A PASSING SHOWER.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
FOR THE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME PERIOD COOLING TEMPERATURES
WILL END THE THREAT OF FLOODING...BUT AGAIN RENEW THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW POTENTIAL.

ON TUESDAY AN AMPLIFIED UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AS A LONG
WAVE TROUGH WILL BE FOUND OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND DOWN
TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS TROUGH WILL SPLIT THE
RIDGE TO OUR EAST (PRIOR WARM AIRMASS) AND RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST.

WITH SHORTWAVES PASSING THROUGH THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...AND WITH
THIS TROUGH NOW NEARING OUR REGION WILL MAINTAIN LOW CHANCE POPS FOR
A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW. AS THE COLD AIR DEEPENS THROUGH THE
DAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AGAIN BECOME A CONCERN.

BY TUESDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES ALOFT AT 850 HPA WILL HAVE DROPPED TO
NEAR -10C...AND FALLING. ALOFT THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW TO OUR WEST WILL
NOT BE AS DEEP AS THIS CURRENT WEEK OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW...COLD AIR
NOT AS DEEP AND CAPPING INVERSION HEIGHTS NOT AS TALL. THAT SAID
PARAMETERS ARE STILL LOOKING FAVORABLE FOR ANOTHER BAND OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW STARTING TUESDAY PM ACROSS AREAS NORTHEAST OF THE
LAKES...THEN DROPPING SOUTHWARD THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
WITH THE COLD AIR NOT AS DEEP THERE MAY EVEN BE A LITTLE RAIN MIXED
IN WITH THE BANDS OF SNOW DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

A SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WHICH MAY DISRUPT THE BANDS SOME...BEFORE A WESTERLY WIND
CARRIES THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW INLAND TO AREAS EAST OF THE LAKES...AND
SOUTH OF BUFFALO/WATERTOWN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL FADE EARLY THURSDAY AS WE GET A
LITTLE WARM AIR ADVECTION ALOFT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE.
THIS SHORTWAVE MAY BRING SOME LIGHT GENERAL SNOW TO WNY BY LATE IN
THE DAY THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT 18Z TWO MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWBANDS OFF BOTH GREAT LAKES ARE
BRINGING LOCALIZED IFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS. THESE BANDS OF SNOW WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS...AND WEAKEN. OFF LAKE ERIE THE SNOW BAND MAY JUST HAVE ENOUGH
STRUCTURE TO BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR/IFR VSBYS TO KBUF BEFORE
THE BAND FALLS APART ALL TOGETHER. OFF LAKE ONTARIO THE BAND OF SNOW
WILL ACTUALLY INCREASE IN STRENGTH THIS EVENING AS WESTERLY WINDS
ALIGN ALONG THE LONG FETCH OF THE LAKE. AS THIS BAND TOO LIFTS
NORTHWARD IT MAY BRING SOME BRIEF IFR VSBYS TO THE KART AIRFIELD
LATER OVERNIGHT BEFORE FALLING APART.

OTHERWISE VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST 18 OR SO
HOURS OF THE TAF CYCLE. LATE IN THE CYCLE...ON THE STRENGTH OF A 50
KNOT LLJ...AND NEARING STORM SYSTEM FROM THE WEST A FEW LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS MAY NEAR THE TAF SITES WITHIN THE LAST 6 HOURS. EXPECT
MAINLY MVFR/VFR CIGS WITHIN THIS SYNOPTIC SYSTEM.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...MVFR/VFR WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PERIODS OF IFR/MVFR IN RAIN. LLWS
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING.
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY...IFR POSSIBLE IN LAKE EFFECT SNOWBANDS EAST OF BOTH
LAKES.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN PLACE FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY AND WEAKEN
THE INFLUENCING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT. WINDS WILL FIRST RELAX
THROUGH TODAY BUT WAVES LOOK TO REMAIN ELEVATED INTO THE EVENING
WHERE ADVISORIES THEN EXPIRE.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY TO MICHIGAN BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS DEEPENING
STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME ELEVATED WINDS WITH POSSIBLE GALES ON
LAKE ERIE AND ADVISORIES POSSIBLE ON LAKE ONTARIO BY MONDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ004-005.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR NYZ010>012-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LEZ040-
         041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LOZ043>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...THOMAS
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...THOMAS
MARINE...SMITH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
402 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

NYZ001>005-013-014-222115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
402 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010>012-085-222115-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
402 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-222115-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
402 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-222115-
ALLEGANY-
402 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LIGHT RAIN MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST WILL REACH THE
SOUTHERN TIER SATURDAY. SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY BE NEAR OR JUST
BELOW FREEZING IN A FEW SPOTS WHICH WOULD LEAD TO FREEZING RAIN AT
THE ONSET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-222115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
402 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

LIGHT RAIN MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST WILL REACH THE
SOUTHERN TIER SATURDAY. SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY BE NEAR OR JUST
BELOW FREEZING IN A FEW SPOTS WHICH WOULD LEAD TO FREEZING RAIN AT
THE ONSET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-222115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
402 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

LIGHT RAIN MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST WILL REACH EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY BE
NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING IN A FEW SPOTS WHICH WOULD LEAD TO
FREEZING RAIN AT THE ONSET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

THOMAS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
142 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-211945-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-WYOMING NY-
142 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTHWARD INTO ERIE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON...

* AT 133 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 1
  TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY OF A HALF MILE OR LESS. THIS
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED NEAR SILVER CREEK AND SLOWLY DRIFTING
  NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  SILVER CREEK...
  VERSAILLES...
  LAKE ERIE BEACH...
  EDEN...
  BOSTON...
  STURGEON POINT...

IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION. WATCH OUT FOR SLICK SPOTS ON AREA ROADWAYS.
IN ADDITION...BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4246 7943 4250 7936 4256 7916
      4270 7906 4271 7899 4278 7887 4285 7846
      4246 7845 4227 7976 4228 7976

REYNOLDS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
306 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

NYZ010>012-019-020-085-212100-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-
306 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

...AN AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHWARD
ACROSS ERIE COUNTY...

* AT 248 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
  AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY OF A HALF MILE OR LESS. THIS AREA OF LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW WAS LOCATED OVER STURGEON POINT...EDEN AND LANGFORD AND IS
  SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS ERIE COUNTY.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  STURGEON POINT...
  EDEN...
  LANGFORD...
  WEST SENECA...
  EAST AURORA...
  ORCHARD PARK...
  SOUTH BUFFALO...
  HOLLAND...
  HAMBURG...

DRIVING WITHIN THIS SNOW BAND WILL BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES WITH SNOW
COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADWAYS. IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA SLOW DOWN
AND BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD AND WEATHER CONDITIONS.

LAT...LON 4246 7943 4250 7936 4256 7916 4261 7913
      4265 7907 4270 7905 4271 7899 4278 7886
      4285 7887 4287 7891 4289 7890 4292 7841
      4243 7839 4241 7946

REYNOLDS