Small Craft Advisory 42, NWS Buffalo, NY

089 
WHUS71 KBUF 260850
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
450 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2014

LOZ042-043-261000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-140426T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
450 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-261300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-140426T1300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
450 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

769 
WHUS71 KBUF 260949
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
549 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2014

LOZ042-043-261100-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-140426T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
549 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

WINDS HAVE DIMINSIHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS AT THIS TIME.

$$

LOZ044-045-261300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-140426T1300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
549 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

324 
WHUS71 KBUF 261145
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
745 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2014

LOZ044-045-261300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-140426T1300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
745 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1041 PM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NEW YORK TONIGHT WITH COLD AIR
ALOFT MOVING IN ON SATURDAY.  EXPECT A PERIOD OF RAIN WITH THE
LOW...MAINLY THIS EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND COOLER
WEATHER FOR SATURDAY.  A RIDGE WILL MOVE IN ON SUNDAY FOR DRY
WEATHER LASTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  SOME SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE MIDWEEK PERIOD AS A SLOW MOVING LOW MOVES INTO THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE BACK EDGE OF THE STEADY AND HEAVIER RAIN IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG
THE GENESEE VALLEY AT 1030PM WITH A TRAILING AREA OF LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG WESTWARD TO CENTRAL LAKE ERIE. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
CLEARING OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES OVERNIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY...BUT
THIS SHOULD FILL IN QUICKLY AS THE COLD CORE ALOFT MOVES IN WITH LOW
LEVEL DESTABILIZATION IN THE MOIST AND COOLING AIRMASS.

BEHIND THE RAIN...WILL HAVE TO BE WARY FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT IF SKIES
DO INDEED CLEAR QUICKLY. TEMPERATURES HOWEVER SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE
FREEZING WITH MINIMAL THREAT FOR BLACK ICE.

FOR SATURDAY...THE COOLING AIRMASS ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
SCATTERED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT BY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME DRIZZLE OR
SPRINKLES AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABOUT 10-15F COOLER THAN
FRIDAY MAX VALUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...THE CORE OF A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER NEW
YORK STATE WILL DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...
WHILE SURFACE-BASED RIDGING WILL BUILD EASTWARD FROM THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES AND ONTARIO PROVINCE. LINGERING MOISTURE AND WRAPAROUND
CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE DEPARTING UPPER LOW WILL KEEP A LIKELIHOOD
OF LIGHT PRECIP ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
LOWER-END PRECIP CHANCES EXTENDING BACK AS FAR WEST AS PORTIONS OF
THE FINGER LAKES AND SOUTHERN TIER...BEFORE ALL OF THIS WINDS DOWN
FROM WEST TO EAST DURING SUNDAY WITH INCREASING DRYING AND RIDGING.
WHILE THE BULK OF THIS PRECIP WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF RAIN
SHOWERS...NOCTURNAL COOLING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL ALLOW SOME
SNOW SHOWERS TO MIX IN ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTH
COUNTRY SATURDAY NIGHT AND VERY EARLY SUNDAY...SOME OF WHICH COULD
PRODUCE A DUSTING OF ACCUMULATION. OTHERWISE...EXPECT FAIRLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS TO BE THE RULE SATURDAY NIGHT THANKS TO AN UPSLOPE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF COOL AIR AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...
WITH SOME PARTIAL SUNSHINE THEN DEVELOPING FROM THE GENESEE VALLEY
WESTWARD ON SUNDAY.

AFTER THAT...SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY LOOK TO FEATURE DRY WEATHER AND
A CONTINUED TREND TOWARD PARTLY CLOUDY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES AS THE
AXIS OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE RIDGE SLOWLY DRIFTS EAST ACROSS
NEW YORK STATE.

TEMPERATURE-WISE...MUCH OF THIS PERIOD WILL FEATURE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...BEFORE SOME LIMITED MODERATION IN OUR AIRMASS AND
GREATER AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE ALLOW READINGS TO RECOVER CLOSER TO
NORMAL DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. MORE SPECIFICALLY...EXPECT LOWS TO
GENERALLY RANGE IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S SUNDAY
WARMING TO THE MID AND UPPER 50S ON MONDAY. THIS STATED...AREAS
DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER BOTH DAYS THANKS TO
AN ONSHORE LOW LEVEL FLOW...WITH THE GREATEST COOLING FOUND
SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES ON SUNDAY...AND SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING
MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
IN A NUTSHELL...THIS PERIOD WILL BE UNSETTLED AS A MASSIVE CUTOFF
FLOW SLOWLY LIFTS FROM THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHEASTWARD
TO ONTARIO PROVINCE. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING FREQUENT OPPORTUNITIES
FOR SHOWERS TO OUR REGION...WITH THESE APPEARING TO BE MOST LIKELY
DURING THE TUESDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME AS AN
OCCLUDING FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED PLUME OF DEEPER MOISTURE
SLOWLY LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO NEW YORK
STATE.

AS FOR TEMPS...WITH OUR AREA LIKELY REMAINING ON THE EAST AND WARMER
SIDE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THROUGH THURSDAY...TEMPS SHOULD RANGE
FROM NEAR NORMAL TO A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THAT TIME. AFTER
THAT...TEMPS WILL FALL BACK TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TO END
THE WORK WEEK AS THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION LIFTS
INTO ONTARIO PROVINCE AND DRAWS SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LOOK FOR ROUGHLY A 3 HR PERIOD OF RAIN/IFR CONDITIONS EARLY IN THE
TAF PERIOD. RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF LATER TONIGHT AS THE LOW PRESSURE
MOVES NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. AFTER THE RAIN...EXPECT SOME
IMPROVEMENTS TO CIGS WITH EVEN SOME UNRESTRICTED CONDITIONS AT TIMES
FAR WEST...BUT OVERALL EXPECT LINGERING MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE FLOW
MAINTAINING IFR/MVFR AND FORMATION OF PATCHY FOG. AS A SECONDARY
SURFACE LOW FORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER...THERE MAY BE A REBOUND IN SHOWERS DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
ANY CLEARING EARLY SATURDAY SHOULD BE REPLACED BY WIDESPREAD
STRATO-CU WITH BORDERLINE MVFR CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED -SHRA.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS E.
MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE ACROSS FAR
WESTERN NEW YORK.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR WITH CHANCE OF RAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
INCREASING SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL HELP BUILD WAVES ALONG THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN LAKE
SHORES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WHILE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND
HIGHEST WAVES SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE... CONDITIONS SHOULD REACH
LOWER-END ADVISORY LEVELS ACROSS THE WESTERNMOST NEARSHORE WATERS OF
LAKE ONTARIO. WINDS VEER TO WEST TONIGHT BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE WITH BORDERLINE SCA CRITERIA ALONG THE SOUTHERN LAKE
ONTARIO SHORELINE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ZAFF
NEAR TERM...WCH/ZAFF
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...WCH/ZAFF
MARINE...ZAFF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
516 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-260930-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
516 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-260930-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
516 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF