Gale Watch 13, NWS Buffalo, NY

844 
WHUS71 KBUF 161446
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
946 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

LEZ040-041-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T1200Z-141119T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
946 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING...15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WINDS TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES TUESDAY...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T1200Z-141119T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
946 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WINDS TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES TUESDAY...12 TO 16 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T1200Z-141119T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
946 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WINDS TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES TUESDAY...12 TO 16 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-062>065-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T1200Z-141119T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
946 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...13 TO 17 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

817 
WHUS71 KBUF 162043
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
343 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

LEZ040-041-170445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0300Z-141119T0600Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
343 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING...3 TO 5 FEET.

* WINDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-170445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
343 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

* WINDS THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WINDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...SOUTHWEST TO 35
  KNOTS.

* WAVES MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...12 TO 16 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-170445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
343 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

* WINDS THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WINDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...SOUTHWEST TO 35
  KNOTS.

* WAVES MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...12 TO 16 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-062>065-170445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
343 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...13 TO 17 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

414 
WHUS71 KBUF 170025
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
725 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

LEZ040-041-170830-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0300Z-141119T0600Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
725 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING...3 TO 5 FEET.

* WINDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST TO 35 
  KNOTS.

* WAVES MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-170830-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
725 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WINDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...SOUTHWEST TO 
  35 KNOTS. 

* WAVES MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...12 TO 16 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-170830-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
725 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WINDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...SOUTHWEST TO 
  35 KNOTS. 

* WAVES MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...12 TO 16 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-062>065-170830-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
725 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...13 TO 17 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

SMITH

806 
WHUS71 KBUF 170306
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1006 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

LEZ040-041-171115-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0300Z-141119T0600Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1006 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WINDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST TO 35 
  KNOTS. 

* WAVES MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1006 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WINDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...SOUTHWEST TO 
  35 KNOTS. 

* WAVES MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...12 TO 16 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-141117T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1006 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES THROUGH 1 AM MONDAY...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WINDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...SOUTHWEST TO 
  35 KNOTS. 

* WAVES MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...12 TO 16 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-062>065-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1006 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...13 TO 17 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

SMITH

090 
WHUS71 KBUF 170941
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
441 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

LEZ040-041-171745-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0300Z-141119T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0013.141118T0600Z-141119T0600Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
441 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-171745-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0013.141118T0200Z-141119T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0013.141118T0600Z-141119T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
441 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...14 TO 18 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
333 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
TODAY WILL FEATURE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS THAT WILL PRODUCE MINOR
SNOW TOTALS TO THE NORTHEAST OF BOTH GREAT LAKES. A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL THEN PASS ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY
WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL. A REINFORCING BLAST OF COLDER AIR MONDAY
NIGHT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES LIKELY TOWARDS THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD THERE WILL BE SOME LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
TO START THE PERIOD...THEN THE ONSET OF A GENERAL SYNOPTIC SNOW
EVENT BY THE CLOSE OF THE PERIOD.

THIS EARLY MORNING REGIONAL RADARS DISPLAY LIGHT LAKE EFFECT
SNOW/NEAR SHORE RAIN TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. DRIER
AIR ENTRAINING INTO THE LAKE ERIE BAND SATURDAY EVENING HAD GREATLY
ERODED THE BAND...HOWEVER THERE APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH MOISTURE EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO FOR ADDITIONAL MINOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SUNDAY.

TWO SHORTWAVES SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING WILL DRIVE
THE SYNOPTIC FLOW FOR THIS PERIOD. THE FIRST SHORTWAVE IS CURRENTLY
CROSSING INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. THE SECOND SHORTWAVE
IS DROPPING SOUTHWARD...AND IS NORTHWEST OF LAKE WINNIPEG. BOTH
WAVES ARE WITHIN A LARGER LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND
EASTERN US REGION.

WINDS TODAY WILL FAVOR A SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WIND DIRECTION.
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL STILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO CREATE UNSTABLE
LAPSE RATES...WITH 850 HPA TEMPERATURES AROUND -9C. SLIGHT FALLING
OF THE LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS TODAY (8-9K FEET) AND A FAIR
AMOUNT OF WIND SHEAR WILL KEEP LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS BROAD...WITH
THE SSW WIND DIRECTION FAVORING THE NIAGARA COUNTY AND SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY REGIONS OFF BOTH LAKE ERIE AND ONTARIO. WITH
MOISTURE RETURNING TO THE SNOW DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE THIS MORNING
EXPECT A BAND OF SNOW TO AGAIN FORM OFF LAKE ERIE. ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINOR...ON THE ORDER OF AN INCH OR SO.
OTHERWISE THE REGION WILL REMAIN DRY TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
WITHIN THE MEAN LONGWAVE TROUGH.

TONIGHT THE BEGINNINGS OF A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT OUR
REGION. A FAST MOVING SURFACE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE
NORTHWARD FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE OHIO VALLEY
TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL DRAW MID LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD...WHILE
THE AFOREMENTIONED SECOND SHORTWAVE DEEPENS THE SURFACE WAVE. LAKE
EFFECT SNOW THAT HAS BEEN ONGOING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BOTH
LAKES WILL EVENTUALLY BE OVERTAKEN BY THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC SNOWS
ARRIVING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH THIS SURFACE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE.

CONVERGENCE AND LIFT WITH THIS FEATURE...ALONG WITH SLIGHT
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL PRODUCE LIGHT SNOWFALL...ESPECIALLY DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF THE OVERNIGHT. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS PROJECT TO
BE A COUPLE OF INCHES BY DAYBREAK. THERE WILL BE A TIGHT THERMAL
GRADIENT ALOFT...WITH -4C 850 HPA AIR NEAR THE STATE LINE/CENTRAL
NEW YORK TO -8C AIR CLOSER TO THE GREAT LAKES. LOOKING AT POINT
SOUNDING OF SE ALLEGANY COUNTY THROUGH THE SOUTHERN TUG HILL SUGGEST
THAT EVEN HERE...CLOSER TO THE WARMER AIR ALOFT THAT THE ENTIRE
SOUNDING WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW. EVEN THOUGH
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND FREEZING TO JUST BELOW...WE
SHOULD SEE SOME ACCUMULATION FOR ALL AREAS TONIGHT.

WINDS SHOULD NOT BE A PROBLEM THIS PERIOD WITH SSW WINDS EVENTUALLY
BACKING AROUND TO EASTERLY TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE SURFACE WAVE TO THE
SOUTH. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE ABOUT 15 MPH OR LESS THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS OR SO.

TEMPERATURES UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES TODAY WILL BE AROUND 5 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL. TONIGHT MOST AREAS WILL DROP DOWN TO WITHIN A FEW
DEGREES OF THE FREEZING MARK. INLAND AREAS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND
NORTH COUNTRY WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT STILL APPEARS LIKELY DOWNWIND
OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT AND LASTING INTO
WEDNESDAY...

BEFORE WE GET TO THE LAKE EFFECT EVENT...WE WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH
THE WEATHER ON MONDAY.

AMPLIFICATION OF A NORTHERN STREAM WAVE NOW PUSHING DOWN THROUGH THE
CANADIAN PLAINS WILL ROTATE INTO THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY. THIS WILL
ENHANCE AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES...
PLACING THE REGION IN A FAVORABLE REGION OF ENHANCED LIFT WITH
INCREASING DIVERGENCE ALOFT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL
OCCUR UNDER A SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW. THIS COMBINED WITH ENHANCED
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ALONG THE APPROACHING SURFACE COLD FRONT AND
WEAK SURFACE WAVE LIFTING INTO NEW YORK STATE FROM THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS WILL SUPPORT A LARGE SWATH OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE
REGION.

BOUNDARY LAYER THERMODYNAMICS PROVIDING SOME FORECAST CONCERN...AS
THERE LOOKS TO BE A RAIN/SNOW TRANSITION ZONE THAT WILL BE WORKING
NORTH AND WEST INTO THE REGION UNDER A WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN
SETTING UP TO THE EAST OF THE SURFACE WAVE. THE PRE-EXISTING COLD
AIR WILL ALLOW FOR ALL SNOW TO START. HOWEVER...MODEL SOUNDINGS
SUGGESTING THAT AFTER SATURATION...THE LOWEST 5000 FEET WILL BE
NEARLY ISOTHERMAL MAKING THE RAIN/SNOW TRANSITION VERY SENSITIVE TO
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWEST LEVELS. MODEL CONSENSUS OF THE SURFACE
LOW TRACK GIVES THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN AN ALL SNOW EVENT TO
WESTERN AREAS...GENERALLY WEST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY. BETTER CHANCES
TO SEE MIXED PRECIPITATION OR EVEN A CHANGE OVER TO RAIN FOR A
PERIOD SEEMS TO BE A DECENT POSSIBILITY FOR SOME EASTERN AREAS.

MODEL QPF CONSENSUS ALONG WITH SNOW RATIOS BASED ON BOUNDARY LAYER
TEMPERATURES SUGGESTING A GENERAL 2-4 INCH SNOWFALL FORECAST.
ALTHOUGH...DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF WARM AIR THAT WRAPS INTO THE
AREA THESE NUMBERS COULD BE A TOUCH HIGH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN
AREAS.

THE SYNOPTIC PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST
MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT MAKES IT WAY
ACROSS THE ACROSS. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION IN WAKE OF THE FRONT
WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO TURN SHARPLY COLDER AND WESTERLY WINDS TO
INCREASE. THIS WILL BEGIN THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS IN EARNEST.

LAKE EFFECT MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE ARCTIC AIR
THAT WILL BE DRIVEN ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES DURING THIS
PERIOD WILL BE QUITE COLD FOR MID NOVEMBER WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES
DROPPING TO -14C TO -16C...SOME 2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW
NORMAL. THE INITIAL LOW LEVEL FLOW SET UP WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR A
DOMINATE WEST-SOUTHWEST SNOW BAND OFF BOTH LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO. THE PASSAGE OF A SURFACE TROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT WILL VEER THE FLOW SLIGHTLY TO WESTERLY.

VERY IMPRESSIVE OMEGA WITHIN FAVORABLE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE SHOWN
ON BUFKIT OVERVIEWS. PROFILES SUCH AS THESE OFTEN ARE SIGNALS FOR
INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES PER HOUR WITH THE HIGH
LIKELIHOOD OF THUNDER AND LIGHTING. SNOWFALL TOTALS DURING THIS
PERIOD SHOULD BE RATHER IMPRESSIVE AND LIKELY OF SUBSTANTIAL IMPACT.

IN ADDITION...MOMENTUM TRANSFER PROFILES WOULD SUGGEST WIND GUSTS
COULD EXCEED 35 MPH ENHANCING IMPACTS WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW AND SIGNIFICANT VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS.

BY THE TIME WE GET INTO WEDNESDAY...A CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM SHOULD BE
RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE REGION...WITH THIS FEATURE AND ITS ATTENDANT
SYNOPTIC SNOWS REACHING THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN THE
PROCESS...THIS SYSTEM SHOULD FORCE A RAPID BACKING OF THE WINDS
WHILE ALSO INTRODUCING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SHEAR WEDNESDAY
MORNING...BOTH OF WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO THE LAKE SNOWS QUICKLY
SHIFTING TO AREAS NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES AND DRAMATICALLY
WEAKENING BY MIDDAY...BEFORE GIVING WAY TO MORE GENERAL LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF WEDNESDAY'S CLIPPER SYSTEM...ANOTHER
SIGNIFICANT SHOT OF COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FOR THE
BALANCE OF THE WORK WEEK. COUPLED WITH WHAT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE...THIS WILL IN ALL LIKELIHOOD RESULT IN A SECOND ROUND OF
SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS EAST-NORTHEAST AND/OR EAST OF THE LAKES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LAKE ONTARIO PERHAPS
HAVING THE MORE FAVORABLE SETUP DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

LATER ON IN THE WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE AND MUCH DRIER AIR WILL
GRADUALLY BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WHILE
ALSO PROVIDING A LOWERING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND INCREASING
AMOUNTS OF SHEAR. ALL OF THIS SHOULD RESULT IN THE LAKE SNOWS
WEAKENING AND PERHAPS EVENTUALLY FALLING APART ALTOGETHER DURING
THE COURSE OF FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE SNOWS...CONDITIONS SHOULD BE LARGELY DRY WITH
JUST A FEW FLURRIES OR SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES.
OTHERWISE...TEMPS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS
REMAINING CONFINED TO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT 06Z VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WERE
FOUND ACROSS THE REGION.

OFF LAKE ERIE DRIER AIR ENTRAINING INTO THE SNOWBAND YESTERDAY
EVENING HAS ALL BUT ENDED THE SNOWBAND. AS MOISTURE REPLENISHES
WITHIN THE SNOW DENDRITIC GROWN ZONE THIS BAND OFF LAKE ERIE WILL
LIKELY RETURN.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A VERY MINOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CONTINUES TO
FALL DOWNWIND OF THE LAKE...THOUGH THE NARROW BAND IS LIKELY
REDUCING FLIGHT CONDITIONS TO MVFR. WILL MAINTAIN A VCSH IN THE KART
TAF FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS WITH VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS DOMINATE.
THERE MAY BE A BRIEF DETERIORATION TO MVFR AS THIS NARROW BAND
ADVANCES NORTHWARD BUT TIMING WOULD BE TOO LIMITED TO INCLUDE IN THE
TAF.

OUTSIDE OF THESE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE 06Z TAF CYCLE. LATER IN THE TAFS...WEAK SYNOPTIC SNOWS
WILL NEAR SW NYS. THIS WILL POTENTIALLY BRING SOME MVFR/IFR FLIGHT
CONDITIONS TO KJHW TAF CYCLE SUNDAY EVENING WITH SYNOPTIC SNOWS
SPREADING ACROSS ALL TAF SITES BY THE END OF 06Z.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...AREAS OF IFR IN SNOW...MIXED WITH RAIN IN CENTRAL NY.
TUESDAY...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES
WITH LOCAL VERY LOW IFR. MAINLY VFR ELSEWHERE.
WEDNESDAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES WITH LOCAL
IFR. AREAS OF MVFR ELSEWHERE WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES
WITH LOCAL VERY LOW IFR. MAINLY VFR ELSEWHERE.

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLIES WILL CONTINUE ON BOTH LAKES TODAY WITH
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS CONTINUING ON THE EASTERN PORTION OF BOTH
GREAT LAKES. WINDS DIMINISH FOR A TIME LATER TODAY AND INTO MONDAY
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS. WINDS WILL BACK AROUND TO EASTERLY
SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...THOUGH CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
JUST BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA.

A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES MONDAY EVENING. LOW
PRESSURE WILL THEN QUICKLY DEEPEN ACROSS QUEBEC AND MAY PRODUCE GALE
FORCE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY MORNING AND INTO THE EVENING
HOURS ON BOTH LAKES. FOR WHICH A GALE WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE
LAKES WITH THIS PACKAGE. STRONG WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE TROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK WITH PERSISTENT LOW PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WITH AT
LEAST HIGH END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES PROBABLE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     NYZ007.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ006>008-010>012-019>021-085.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
         EVENING FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ044-045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...THOMAS
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...THOMAS
MARINE...THOMAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

NYZ001-002-162045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-011-162045-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-085-162045-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-162045-
WYOMING-
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>005-013-014-162045-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-162045-
ALLEGANY-
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-008-162045-
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-162045-
JEFFERSON-
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-162045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
341 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE RAPIDLY DEEPENS
OVER QUEBEC.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK