Flood Watch 5, NWS Buffalo, NY

489 
WGUS61 KBUF 120240
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1040 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

...FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT
WEEK...

MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED SNOWMELT AND RISES ON SMALLER CREEKS AND
STREAMS.

CURRENTLY A LARGE QUANTITY OF STORED WATER...GENERALLY 6 TO
12 INCHES IS LOCKED UP WITHIN THE SNOW PACK ON THE TUG HILL. THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS MAY EXCEED A FOOT OF LIQUID WATER EQUIVALENT.

WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS HAVE STEADILY RISEN
DURING THE PAST WEEK...WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS
WEEKEND. THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WILL OCCUR
IN THE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME AS SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION.

THE COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF. RUNOFF FROM RAIN WILL
COMBINE WITH MELTED SNOW TO RESULT IN A HEIGHTENED POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS...BASEMENTS...SMALL CREEKS AND
STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE ALSO
LIKELY. SOME AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY STILL BE COVERED IN ICE
WHICH MAY BREAKUP AND INCREASE THE RISK FOR ICE JAMS AND RAPIDLY
RISING WATER.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT ANY FLOODING THIS WEEKEND IS LIKELY
TO BE MINOR WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ICE JAMS CONTRIBUTING TO SOME
FLOODING. THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WILL OCCUR
IN THE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME ON SMALL CREEKS AND
STREAMS...AS WELL AS LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...EVEN ALONG LARGER MAIN
STEM RIVERS...AND AREAS PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD TAKE
TIME TO PREPARE NOW FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
INTO NEXT WEEK AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

NYZ006>008-121045-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.140413T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1040 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO. 

* FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* RAIN AND SNOW MELT WILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. ICE JAM FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. 

* RUNOFF WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING OF 
  STREETS...LOW LYING AREAS...AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...BASEMENTS 
  AND SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG MAJOR 
  STEM RIVERS IS ALSO LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

374 
WGUS61 KBUF 120832
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
432 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE LATER THIS WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK...

MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WILL RESULT IN RAPID SNOWMELT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG
HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. A LARGE QUANTITY OF STORED
WATER IS STILL PRESENT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL
AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS WITH A LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF 5 TO 8 INCHES.

WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES BRING AN ALMOST COMPLETE MELT OF THE REMAINING
SNOWPACK. RAIN WILL ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY...WHICH WILL PRODUCE FURTHER RUNOFF AND PRODUCE AN
ENHANCED RISK OF FLOODING. THE COMBINATION OF WEEKEND SNOWMELT
FOLLOWED BY RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL EVENTUALLY RESULT IN A
GREATER RISK OF FLOODING ALONG THE LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS.

THE INITIAL FLOODING POTENTIAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE
RELATIVELY MINOR FROM SNOWMELT ALONE. A HIGHER RISK OF FLOODING
WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOLLOWING THE EXPECTED RAINFALL.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...EVEN ALONG LARGER
MAIN STEM RIVERS...AND AREAS PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD TAKE
TIME TO PREPARE NOW FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
INTO NEXT WEEK AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

NYZ006>008-121645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FA.A.0005.140413T1300Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
432 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO. 

* FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG HILL
  PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS.

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS LATER IN THE PERIOD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

984 
WGUS61 KBUF 121520
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1120 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE LATER THIS WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK...

MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WILL RESULT IN RAPID SNOWMELT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
TUG HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. A LARGE QUANTITY OF
STORED WATER IS STILL PRESENT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
TUG HILL AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS WITH A LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF 5 TO
8 INCHES.

WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES BRING AN ALMOST COMPLETE MELT OF THE REMAINING
SNOWPACK. RAIN WILL ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY...WHICH WILL PRODUCE FURTHER RUNOFF AND PRODUCE AN
ENHANCED RISK OF FLOODING. THE COMBINATION OF WEEKEND SNOWMELT
FOLLOWED BY RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL EVENTUALLY RESULT IN A
GREATER RISK OF FLOODING ALONG THE LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS.

THE INITIAL FLOODING POTENTIAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE
RELATIVELY MINOR FROM SNOWMELT ALONE. A HIGHER RISK OF FLOODING
WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOLLOWING THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...EVEN ALONG LARGER MAIN
STEM RIVERS...AND AREAS PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD TAKE
TIME TO PREPARE NOW FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
INTO NEXT WEEK AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

NYZ006>008-122300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.140413T1300Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1120 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG 
  HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG 
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL 
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS LATER IN THE PERIOD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

APFFEL

661 
WGUS61 KBUF 121950
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
350 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE LATER THIS WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK...

MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WILL RESULT IN RAPID SNOWMELT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
TUG HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. A LARGE QUANTITY OF
STORED WATER IS STILL PRESENT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
TUG HILL AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS WITH A LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF 5 TO
8 INCHES.

WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES BRING AN ALMOST COMPLETE MELT OF THE REMAINING
SNOWPACK. RAIN WILL ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY...WHICH WILL PRODUCE FURTHER RUNOFF AND LEAD TO AN
ENHANCED RISK OF FLOODING. THE COMBINATION OF WEEKEND SNOWMELT
FOLLOWED BY RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL EVENTUALLY RESULT IN A
GREATER RISK OF FLOODING ALONG THE LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS.

THE INITIAL FLOODING POTENTIAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE
RELATIVELY MINOR FROM SNOWMELT ALONE. A HIGHER RISK OF FLOODING
WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOLLOWING THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...EVEN ALONG LARGER MAIN
STEM RIVERS...SHOULD TAKE TIME TO PREPARE NOW FOR THE POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING INTO NEXT WEEK AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

NYZ006>008-130400-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.140413T1300Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
350 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG 
  HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG 
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL 
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS LATER IN THE PERIOD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

APFFEL

494 
WGUS61 KBUF 130243
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1043 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE LATER THIS WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK...

MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WILL RESULT IN RAPID SNOWMELT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
TUG HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. A LARGE QUANTITY OF
STORED WATER IS STILL PRESENT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
TUG HILL AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS WITH A LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF 5 TO
9 INCHES.

WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES BRING AN ALMOST COMPLETE MELT OF THE REMAINING
SNOWPACK. RAIN WILL ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY...WHICH WILL PRODUCE FURTHER RUNOFF AND LEAD TO AN
ENHANCED RISK OF FLOODING. THE COMBINATION OF WEEKEND SNOWMELT
FOLLOWED BY RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL EVENTUALLY RESULT IN A
GREATER RISK OF FLOODING ALONG THE LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS.

THE INITIAL FLOODING POTENTIAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE
RELATIVELY MINOR FROM SNOWMELT ALONE. A HIGHER RISK OF FLOODING
WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOLLOWING THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...EVEN ALONG LARGER MAIN
STEM RIVERS...SHOULD TAKE TIME TO PREPARE NOW FOR THE POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING INTO NEXT WEEK AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

NYZ006>008-131045-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.140413T1300Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1043 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO. 

* FROM 9 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG 
  HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG 
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL 
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS LATER IN THE PERIOD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

THOMAS

821 
WGUS61 KBUF 130739
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

...POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING THROUGH MID WEEK...

MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY AND MONDAY WILL RESULT IN RAPID
SNOWMELT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND
WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. A LARGE QUANTITY OF STORED WATER IS STILL
PRESENT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN
ADIRONDACKS WITH A LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF 5 TO 9 INCHES.

WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
TODAY AND MONDAY AS VERY WARM TEMPERATURES BRING AN ALMOST COMPLETE
MELT OF THE REMAINING SNOWPACK. RAIN WILL ARRIVE MONDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE ENDING AS SNOW. THIS WILL PRODUCE
FURTHER RUNOFF AND LEAD TO AN ENHANCED RISK OF FLOODING. THE
COMBINATION OF SNOWMELT AND RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY RESULT IN A
GREATER RISK OF FLOODING ALONG THE LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS.

THE INITIAL FLOODING POTENTIAL TODAY AND MONDAY WILL BE
RELATIVELY MINOR FROM SNOWMELT ALONE. A HIGHER RISK OF FLOODING
WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOLLOWING THE EXPECTED RAINFALL.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...EVEN ALONG LARGER MAIN
STEM RIVERS...SHOULD TAKE TIME TO PREPARE NOW FOR THE POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING INTO MID WEEK AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

NYZ006>008-131545-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.140413T1300Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
339 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO. 

* FROM 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG 
  HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG 
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL 
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS LATER IN THE PERIOD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

541 
WGUS61 KBUF 131430
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1030 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

...POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING THROUGH MID WEEK...

WARM TEMPERATURES TODAY AND MONDAY WILL RESULT IN RAPID SNOWMELT
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN
ADIRONDACKS. A LARGE QUANTITY OF STORED WATER IS STILL PRESENT
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS
WITH A LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF 5 TO 9 INCHES.

WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
NEAR BANKFULL TODAY AND MONDAY AS VERY WARM TEMPERATURES BRING AN
ALMOST COMPLETE MELT OF THE REMAINING SNOWPACK. RAIN WILL ARRIVE
MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE ENDING AS SNOW.
THIS WILL PRODUCE FURTHER RUNOFF AND LEAD TO AN ENHANCED RISK OF
FLOODING. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWMELT AND RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY
RESULT IN A GREATER RISK OF FLOODING ALONG THE LARGER MAIN STEM
RIVERS.

THE INITIAL FLOODING POTENTIAL TODAY AND MONDAY WILL BE
RELATIVELY MINOR FROM SNOWMELT ALONE. A HIGHER RISK OF FLOODING
WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOLLOWING THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...EVEN ALONG LARGER MAIN
STEM RIVERS...SHOULD TAKE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING INTO MID WEEK AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

NYZ006>008-132230-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1030 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG 
  HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

APFFEL

118 
WGUS61 KBUF 131903
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
303 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

...POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK...

WARM TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY WILL RESULT IN RAPID SNOWMELT
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN
ADIRONDACKS. A LARGE QUANTITY OF STORED WATER IS STILL PRESENT
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS.

WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
NEAR BANKFULL TODAY AND MONDAY AS VERY WARM TEMPERATURES BRING AN
ALMOST COMPLETE MELT OF THE REMAINING SNOWPACK. RAIN WILL ARRIVE
MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE ENDING AS
SNOW. THIS WILL PRODUCE FURTHER RUNOFF AND LEAD TO AN ENHANCED
RISK OF FLOODING. 

SNOW MELT WILL CAUSE RIVERS AND CREEKS TO REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY
RISE THROUGH MONDAY. A GREATER RISK FOR FLOODING WILL COME TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY DUE TO RUN OFF FROM RAINFALL ON MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG LARGER MAIN
STEM RIVERS...SHOULD TAKE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING INTO MID WEEK AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SLOWER RESPONDING RIVERS MAY REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
FOR SOME TIME...POSSIBLY LASTING UNTIL LATE WEEK.

NYZ006>008-140400-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
303 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG 
  HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG 
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL 
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

APFFEL

327 
WGUS61 KBUF 140232
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1032 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

...POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK...

WARM TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY WILL RESULT IN RAPID SNOWMELT
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN
ADIRONDACKS. A LARGE QUANTITY OF STORED WATER IS STILL PRESENT
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN
ADIRONDACKS.

WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
NEAR BANKFULL TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS VERY WARM TEMPERATURES BRING
AN ALMOST COMPLETE MELT OF THE REMAINING SNOWPACK. RAIN WILL
ARRIVE MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE ENDING
AS SNOW. THIS WILL PRODUCE FURTHER RUNOFF AND LEAD TO AN ENHANCED
RISK OF FLOODING.

SNOW MELT WILL CAUSE RIVERS AND CREEKS TO REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY
RISE THROUGH MONDAY. A GREATER RISK FOR FLOODING WILL COME
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY DUE TO RUN OFF FROM RAINFALL ON MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG
LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS...SHOULD TAKE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING INTO MID WEEK AND LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SLOWER RESPONDING RIVERS MAY REMAIN ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE FOR SOME TIME...POSSIBLY LASTING UNTIL LATE WEEK.

NYZ006>008-141045-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1032 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO. 

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG 
  HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG 
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL 
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

THOMAS

153 
WGUS61 KBUF 140819
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
419 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

...POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK...

WARM WEATHER TODAY WILL RAPIDLY MELT A SNOWPACK IN THE TUG HILL
AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS THAT CONTAINS A LARGE QUANTITY OF STORED
WATER. RUNOFF FROM THE MELTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WATER
LEVELS ON CREEKS AND STREAMS NEAR BANKFULL TODAY.

RAIN WILL ARRIVE LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE ENDING AS SNOW. THIS WILL PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RUNOFF AND LEAD TO A HIGHER RISK OF FLOODING.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG
LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS...SHOULD TAKE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING INTO MID WEEK AND LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SLOWER RESPONDING RIVERS MAY REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE FOR SOME TIME...POSSIBLY LASTING UNTIL LATE WEEK.

NYZ006>008-141630-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
419 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO. 

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG 
  HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG 
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL 
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

935 
WGUS61 KBUF 141532
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1132 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

...POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK...

WARM WEATHER TODAY WILL RAPIDLY MELT A SNOWPACK IN THE TUG HILL
AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS THAT CONTAINS A LARGE QUANTITY OF STORED
WATER. RUNOFF FROM THE MELTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WATER
LEVELS ON CREEKS AND STREAMS NEAR BANKFULL TODAY.

RAIN WILL ARRIVE LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE ENDING AS SNOW. THIS WILL PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RUNOFF AND LEAD TO A HIGHER RISK OF FLOODING.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG
LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS...SHOULD TAKE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING INTO MID WEEK AND LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SLOWER RESPONDING RIVERS MAY REMAIN ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE FOR SOME TIME...POSSIBLY LASTING UNTIL LATE WEEK.

NYZ006>008-142345-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1132 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW MELT FOLLOWED BY RAIN WILL BRING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR 
  FLOODING. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG 
  STREAMS AND RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG 
  HILL PLATEAU AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* THE INITIAL FLOOD RISK FROM EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL BE ALONG 
  SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS. EVENTUALLY THAT FLOOD RISK WILL 
  SPREAD TO THE LARGER STEM RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

APFFEL

200 
WGUS61 KBUF 142216
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
616 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014

NYZ006>008-150630-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
616 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO. 

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT CAUSED BY WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE PAST
  FEW DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WATER LEVELS ON CREEKS AND
  STREAMS NEAR BANKFULL. PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY WILL
  PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RUNOFF BRINGING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR
  FLOODING. THE RAIN WILL END AS SNOW LATE TUESDAY.

* THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG STREAMS AND
  RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND
  WESTERN ADIRONDACKS.

* PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG
  LARGER MAIN STEM RIVERS...SHOULD TAKE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THE
  POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING INTO MID WEEK AND LISTEN FOR
  POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SLOWER RESPONDING RIVERS MAY REMAIN ABOVE
  FLOOD STAGE FOR SOME TIME...POSSIBLY LASTING UNTIL LATE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

TMA

600 
WGUS61 KBUF 150540
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
140 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

NYZ006>008-151600-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
140 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO. 

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT CAUSED BY WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE PAST
  FEW DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WATER LEVELS ON CREEKS AND
  STREAMS NEAR BANKFULL. PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH TODAY WILL ALSO
  PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RUNOFF BRINGING AN ENHANCED RISK FOR
  FLOODING. THE RAIN WILL END AS SNOW LATE TODAY.

* THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG STREAMS AND 
  RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU 
  AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

JJR

456 
WGUS61 KBUF 151532
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1132 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

NYZ006>008-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1132 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* THE COMBINATION OF RAIN AND SNOW MELT HAS CAUSED NUMEROUS AREA
  CREEKS AND STREAMS TO RISE NEAR BANKFULL. SOME SLOWER RESPONDING
  CREEKS AND SMALL RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH
  TONIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL FLOODING STILL POSSIBLE.

* GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG STREAMS AND
  RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND
  WESTERN ADIRONDACKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

APFFEL

037 
WGUS61 KBUF 152048
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
448 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

NYZ006>008-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
448 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  COUNTIES...JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO.

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* THE COMBINATION OF RAIN AND SNOW MELT HAS CAUSED NUMEROUS AREA 
  CREEKS AND STREAMS TO RISE NEAR BANKFULL. SOME SLOWER 
  RESPONDING CREEKS AND SMALL RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE 
  THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL FLOODING STILL POSSIBLE. 

* GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE ALONG STREAMS AND 
  RIVERS WHICH HAVE SOURCE REGIONS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU 
  AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$

RSH

401 
WGUS61 KBUF 160328
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1128 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

NYZ006>008-160430-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140417T0600Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1128 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

WHILE AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING IS STILL IN EFFECT FOR LEWIS COUNTY
AND A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BLACK RIVER...NO
ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

IN REGARDS TO THE BLACK RIVER...MODERATE FLOODING WILL TAKE PLACE
DOWNSTREAM FROM BOONVILLE. THIS WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS...
PARTICULARLY FROM CARTHAGE TO WATERVILLE. 

MAINLY DRY WEATHER AND SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR WATER LEVELS TO SUBSIDE ON THE
SMALLER FEEDER CREEKS AND STREAMS...EVEN THOUGH LEVELS ON THE
LARGER TRIBUTARIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

$$

RSH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
359 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH WARM
TEMPERATURES RETURNING FOR THE WEEKEND. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON SUNDAY. THE WARM WEATHER WILL PERSIST
INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE UPCOMING WEEK BEFORE THE PASSAGE OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT USHERS IN A RETURN OF MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES BY
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW A BAND
OF OVERCAST SKIES AND SWATH OF RAIN SHOWERS ALONG THE STALLED FRONT
WHICH IS SLOWLY SHIFTING EAST. ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK SUNNY SKIES HAVE ALLOWED SOME WEAK INSTABILITY CUMULUS TO FORM
INLAND FROM THE LAKES ALONG WITH WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S.

TONIGHT THE DIURNAL CUMULUS WILL DISSIPATE AFTER AROUND SUNSET WITH
THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING LEAVING SKIES INTO THIS EVENING. TOWARD
MIDNIGHT A QUICK MOVING AREA OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A
WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES WILL CROSS OVER
LAKE ONTARIO CLOUDING UP SKIES ACROSS THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE
BORDERING COUNTIES FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE SHIFTING EAST WITH CLEAR
SKIES REDEVELOPING. A LACK OF DEEPER MOISTURE COUPLED WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL RESULT IN A DRY FORECAST. TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP INTO THE 30S OVERNIGHT WITH THE COOLER SPOTS FOUND ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIER AND NORTH COUNTY. AREAS NEAR THE LAKE SHORES
SHOULD ONLY FALL TO AROUND 40 DEGREES. BUFKIT CROSSOVER FOG
FORECASTING SCHEME AND LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OFF LAKE
ERIE EARLY SATURDAY SUPPORT AT LEAST PATCHY FOG TO THE EAST OF LAKE
ERIE. DRIER AIR ADVECTING EAST WILL BRING LOWER DEWPOINTS THAN WHAT
WE SAW THIS EARLIER FRIDAY MORNING SO DO NOT FEEL THE FOG WILL BE AS
DENSE IF IT DOES IN FACT SET UP.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE REGION TO START ON SATURDAY WILL
SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE DAY. THIS WILL KEEP A DRY FORECAST THROUGH
THE DAY WITH A GOOD AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY THANKS TO A INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW BY
THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS INLAND WILL REACH TO NEAR 70 DEGREES WHILE
AREAS ALONG THE LAKE SHORES WILL BE A GOOD 10-15 DEGREES COOLER.
SIMILAR TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON SOME SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL
DEVELOP INLAND FROM THE LAKES WITH INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS
ARRIVING FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE DAY AHEAD OF A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE SHIFTING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
ON SATURDAY A WEAK SURFACE HIGH WILL DRIFT FROM PA AND THE LOWER
LAKES IN THE MORNING TO OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY EVENING. A
RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS AND SUBSIDENCE WILL SUPPORT A GOOD AMOUNT OF
SUNSHINE ON SATURDAY. 850MB TEMPS RECOVER TO THE +3C TO +5C RANGE BY
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S IN MANY
AREAS. IT APPEARS THE SSW FLOW WILL BE JUST STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT
LAKE BREEZES...SO THE ONLY LAKE COOLING WILL BE ALONG THE NIAGARA
RIVER OFF LAKE ERIE AND NEAR CAPE VINCENT OFF LAKE ONTARIO.

SATURDAY NIGHT WARM ADVECTION WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES
AS A LEAD SHORTWAVE AND WEAK SURFACE LOW MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
LAKES AND INTO THE NICKEL BELT OF ONTARIO BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE GFS
AND NAM ARE LIKELY TOO FAST AND TOO STRONG WITH THIS FEATURE GIVEN
THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF SOLUTION. NONETHELESS...AN INCREASE IN
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE SUPPORTED BY A 40-50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET MAY ALLOW
A FEW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. SOME LIMITED ELEVATED
INSTABILITY MAY EVEN SUPPORT AN ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORM. THE
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW AND CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPS VERY MILD
WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S ON THE LAKE PLAINS OF WESTERN NY AND MID
TO UPPER 40S ELSEWHERE.

THE LOW LEVEL JET AND WARM ADVECTION PATTERN WILL STILL BE IN PLACE
SUNDAY MORNING...SO A FEW MORE SPOTTY SHOWERS MAY CONTINUE
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. BY AFTERNOON THE WARM SECTOR
WILL BECOME BETTER ESTABLISHED ACROSS OUR REGION...WHICH SHOULD
ALLOW MOST OF THE SHOWERS TO END AND SHOULD ALSO LEAD TO INCREASING
AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE LATER IN THE DAY. THE GFS AND NAM BOTH LOOK TOO
FAR SOUTH WITH THEIR FRONTAL POSITION AND TOO WET...LIKELY DUE TO
GRIDSCALE CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. HAVE CONTINUED TO FAVOR THE DRIER
ECMWF SOLUTION. 850MB TEMPS REACH AT LEAST +10C BY AFTERNOON...
WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE MID 70S ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS
AND UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN AND THE NORTH
COUNTRY. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP AREAS NORTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO COOLER.

SUNDAY NIGHT WE WILL REMAIN IN THE WARM SECTOR AS LOW PRESSURE
BEGINS TO CONSOLIDATE UPSTREAM ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
ANOTHER PERIOD OF STRONGER WARM ADVECTION MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO
THE NORTH COUNTRY OVERNIGHT...BUT OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE AREA
SHOULD BE MAINLY DRY. THE VERY WARM AIRMASS AND DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES VERY MILD OVERNIGHT...WITH THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS LIKELY NOT DROPPING ANY LOWER THAN THE MID 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST WILL CROSS THE REGION DURING THE START
OF THE LONG TERM AS A DEEP TROUGH DIGS INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
AND THEN PUSHES SLOWLY EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND. AFTER ONE MORE VERY
WARM DAY ON MONDAY...THIS WILL BRING A SHARP COOLING TREND THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

ON MONDAY OUR REGION WILL STILL BE SOLIDLY IN THE WARM SECTOR FOR
THE BULK OF THE DAY WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AND AT LEAST SOME
SUNSHINE. 850MB TEMPS SOARING TO AROUND +12C WILL SUPPORT HIGHS IN
THE MID OR EVEN UPPER 70S ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS.

BY THE END OF THE DAY A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH WESTERN
NY...SUPPORTED BY A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION
UPPER LEVEL JET DYNAMICS. A PLUME OF DEEPER MOISTURE WILL BE
CAPTURED BY THIS SYSTEM...WITH PWAT RISING TO AROUND 1.25 INCHES
ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE QUALITY OF MOISTURE AND
STRONG DYNAMICS COMING TOGETHER WILL SUPPORT A FAIRLY WIDE AND
EXPANDING BAND OF RAIN ALONG THE COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT AS IT
PUSHES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE AREA. AT LEAST SOME INSTABILITY WILL
BE IN PLACE JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SO EXPECT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
INITIALLY MONDAY EVENING. THE STRONG WIND FIELDS AND DYNAMICS WOULD
SUGGEST A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG DESPITE THE LIMITED
SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY.

AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
COOLER AIR WILL BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. THE
FRONT WILL BECOME MORE AND MORE ANABATIC IN NATURE OVERNIGHT AS THE
STRONGEST UPPER LEVEL FORCING COMES TOGETHER BEHIND THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT...AND ONE OR MORE SUBTLE WAVES DEVELOP ALONG THE ADVANCING
FRONTAL ZONE. THIS WILL LEAVE PLENTY OF RAIN ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE
FRONT...WHICH WILL LINGER RIGHT THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. THE AIRMASS
MAY BECOME COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A CHANGE TO WET SNOW BY TUESDAY
MORNING ACROSS WESTERN NY...WITH SNOW CHANCES SPREADING TO THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY TUESDAY EVENING AS COLDER AIR FILTERS
EAST. THE PRECISE TIMING OF VARIOUS FRONTAL WAVES AND THE ARRIVAL OF
THE COLD AIR WILL DECIDE WHETHER THERE WILL JUST BE WET FLAKES IN
THE AIR...OR WHETHER SOME ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE. GIVEN MODEL
DIFFERENCES FROM RUN TO RUN AND BETWEEN VARIOUS MODEL SUITES...IT
WILL STILL BE SEVERAL DAYS BEFORE THIS BECOMES MORE APPARENT.

THE MUCH COLDER AIR ARRIVING BEHIND THE FRONT IS MUCH MORE
CERTAIN...WITH HIGHS ON TUESDAY SOME 35 DEGREES COOLER THAN MONDAY
ACROSS WESTERN NY. SOME AREAS MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 40F.

ANY PRECIP THAT IS LEFT TUESDAY EVENING SHOULD CHANGE TO MAINLY
SNOW...AND SHOULD BE CONFINED MAINLY TO CENTRAL NY AND THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION. THIS WILL SLOWLY END FROM WEST TO EAST
OVERNIGHT AS THE COMPLEX FRONTAL ZONE MOVES EAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY WITH A
RETURN TO DRY WEATHER AND SUNSHINE. IT WILL STILL BE VERY CHILLY
HOWEVER WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOW TO MID 40S AT BEST. THE AIRMASS
WILL BEGIN TO RECOVER A LITTLE BY THURSDAY. HAVE FAVORED THE DRIER
ECMWF SOLUTION FOR THIS PERIOD WHICH MATCHES PREVIOUS MODEL
CONTINUITY BETTER.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT IS STALLED TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE THICKER CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT ALSO EAST AND SOUTH OF THE TAFS SITES.
SUNNY SKIES HAVE DEVELOPED WITH VFR LEVEL SCATTERED DIURNAL CUMULUS
CLOUDS POPPING UP INLAND FROM THE LAKES.

TONIGHT WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVER THE REGION BRINGING LIGHT
WINDS AND KEEPING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. A QUICK MOVING AREA OF MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS WILL DRIFT ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WHICH MAY BRING BRIEF VFR
CIGS TO KIAG/KROC /KART OVERNIGHT. RESULTS FROM THE CROSSOVER FOG
FORECASTING TECHNIQUE INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY FOR PATCHY IFR FOG
06-12Z SATURDAY ACROSS KBUF/KIAG/KJHW. THIS HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN THE
TAFS. DRIER AIR ADVECTING ACROSS WNY SHOULD PREVENT VLIFR DENSE FOG.
ANY FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE EARLY SATURDAY THEN VFR AT ALL TERMINALS
WITH SOME DIURNAL CU DEVELOPING AGAIN IN LAND FROM THE LAKES.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR.
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MONDAY...DETERIORATION TO MVFR WITH RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING ALONG
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
TUESDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISHING.
WEDNESDAY...VFR EXPECTED WITH A CHANCE FOR LOCAL IFR FOG.

&&

.MARINE...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO TONIGHT
WITH LIGHT WINDS RESULTING IN TRANQUIL CONDITIONS ON THE LAKES AT
LEAST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL THEN INCREASE AS
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CROSSES THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND SLIDES BY
ACROSS THE OTTAWA VALLEY. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL APPROACH SMALL
CRAFT CRITERIA ON LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY NIGHT THOUGH THE BULK OF THE
WAVE ACTION SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN/NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE LAKE. FLOW SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH INTO MONDAY NIGHT
BEFORE ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CROSSING THE REGION SWEEPS A
STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RISE OVER THE WEEKEND (UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S) AND WITH OVER A FOOT OF SNOW STILL ON THE GROUND...THERE
REMAINS SOME HYDROLOGICAL CONCERNS WITH THE BLACK RIVER. THE BLACK
RIVER AT WATERTOWN HAS REACHED ACTION STAGE (9.36 FT AT 4PM FRIDAY).
THE FORECAST IS FOR THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN TO REMAIN AT
THIS LEVEL...NEAR BANKFULL AS SNOW MELT CONTINUES TO FEED ITS
TRIBUTARIES.

ONE OTHER LOCATION OF CONCERN IS AT BOONVILLE ON THE BLACK RIVER.
THIS LOCATION IS EXPECTED TO REACH ACTION STAGE LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST SHOWS THE RIVER CRESTING AT 8.2 FT
WHICH WILL BRING THE RIVER NEAR BANKFULL BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
BOTH THESE LOCATIONS WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED AND AT THIS POINT
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THE ONLY OTHER CONCERN IS ICE
JAMS...NONE HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SMITH
NEAR TERM...SMITH
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK/WCH
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/WCH
AVIATION...SMITH
MARINE...SMITH/WOOD
HYDROLOGY...REYNOLDS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
501 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-120915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
501 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-120915-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
501 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK