Alert archive / Massachusetts / Frost Advisories in 2014

Frost Advisory 8, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

October 19, 20144 counties in Rhode Island; 6 counties in Massachusetts

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this frost advisory at Oct 19, 2014, 3:08 AM EDT for 4 counties in Rhode Island; 6 counties in Massachusetts. It took effect at Oct 20, 2014, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 19, 2014, 3:08 AM EDT (07:08 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 20, 2014, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 20, 2014, 9:00 AM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Barnstable County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Essex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 9 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2014-10-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2014-10-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1306 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

369 
WWUS71 KBOX 190708
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
308 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT...

CTZ002>004-MAZ005-006-009>014-017-018-RIZ001-003-191515-
/O.UPG.KBOX.FZ.A.0001.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...WEST GREENWICH
308 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXCEPT FOR THE IMMEDIATE
  EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND LOCATIONS SURROUNDING
  NARRAGANSETT BAY. 

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ020-021-RIZ006-191515-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
308 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY.

* LOCATION...MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXCEPT FOR THE IMMEDIATE
  EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND LOCATIONS SURROUNDING
  NARRAGANSETT BAY. 

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-RIZ002-004-005-007-191515-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FR.Y.0008.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...
PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NEWPORT
308 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY.

* LOCATION...THE IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND
  LOCATIONS SURROUNDING NARRAGANSETT BAY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
  PROVIDENCE AND BOSTON.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...TENDER VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY THE COLD
  TEMPERATURES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

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WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

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@NWSBOSTON
6 follow-up statements
122 
WWUS71 KBOX 190708 CCA
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
308 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT...

CTZ002>004-MAZ005-006-009>014-017-018-RIZ001-003-191515-
/O.UPG.KBOX.FZ.A.0001.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
/O.COR.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...WEST GREENWICH
308 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
  EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND LOCATIONS SURROUNDING
  NARRAGANSETT BAY.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ020-021-RIZ006-191515-
/O.COR.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
308 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY.

* LOCATION...SOUTHERN BRISTOL AND SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH COUNTIES IN
  MASSACHUSETTS AND WASHINGTON COUNTY IN RHODE ISLAND...WHICH
  INCLUDES THE CITIES OF FALL RIVER...NEW
  BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...NARRAGANSETT AND WESTERLY.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-RIZ002-004-005-007-191515-
/O.COR.KBOX.FR.Y.0008.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...
PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NEWPORT
308 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY.

* LOCATION...THE IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND
  LOCATIONS SURROUNDING NARRAGANSETT BAY...INCLUDING CAPE
  COD...MARTHAS VINEYARD...AND THE CITIES OF
  BOSTON...PROVIDENCE...PLYMOUTH...WARWICK...BRISTOL AND NEWPORT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...TENDER VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY THE COLD
  TEMPERATURES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON
106 
WWUS71 KBOX 191428
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1028 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT...

CTZ002>004-MAZ005-006-009>014-017-018-020-021-RIZ001-003-006-
192230-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
WEST GREENWICH...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
1028 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATION...MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
  EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND LOCATIONS SURROUNDING
  NARRAGANSETT BAY. THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF
  HARTFORD...SPRINGFIELD...WORCESTER...LOWELL...FRAMINGHAM...
  FOXBORO...TAUNTON...WOONSOCKET...AND WEST GREENWICH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER 
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-RIZ002-004-005-007-192230-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0008.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...
PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NEWPORT
1028 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATION...THE IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND 
  LOCATIONS SURROUNDING NARRAGANSETT BAY...INCLUDING CAPE COD... 
  MARTHAS VINEYARD...AND THE CITIES OF BOSTON...PROVIDENCE... 
  PLYMOUTH...WARWICK...BRISTOL AND NEWPORT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...TENDER VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY THE COLD 
  TEMPERATURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON
965 
WWUS71 KBOX 191956
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
356 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT...

CTZ002>004-MAZ005-006-009>014-017-018-020-021-RIZ001-003-006-
200400-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
WEST GREENWICH...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
356 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATION...MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AWAY FROM THE 
  IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND LOCATIONS 
  SURROUNDING NARRAGANSETT BAY. THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF 
  HARTFORD... SPRINGFIELD...WORCESTER...LOWELL...FRAMINGHAM... 
  FOXBORO... TAUNTON...WOONSOCKET...AND WEST GREENWICH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOW 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER 
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-RIZ002-004-005-007-200400-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0008.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...
PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NEWPORT
356 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATION...THE IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND 
  LOCATIONS SURROUNDING NARRAGANSETT BAY...INCLUDING CAPE COD... 
  MARTHAS VINEYARD...AND THE CITIES OF BOSTON...PROVIDENCE... 
  PLYMOUTH...WARWICK...BRISTOL AND NEWPORT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...TENDER VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY THE COLD 
  TEMPERATURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON
955 
WWUS71 KBOX 200218
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1018 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT...

CTZ002>004-MAZ005-006-009>014-017-018-020-021-RIZ001-003-006-
201030-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
WEST GREENWICH...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
1018 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATION...MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AWAY FROM THE 
  IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND LOCATIONS 
  SURROUNDING NARRAGANSETT BAY. THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF 
  HARTFORD... SPRINGFIELD...WORCESTER...LOWELL...FRAMINGHAM... 
  FOXBORO... TAUNTON...WOONSOCKET...AND WEST GREENWICH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO LOW 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER 
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-RIZ002-004-005-007-201030-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0008.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...
PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NEWPORT
1018 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATION...THE IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND 
  LOCATIONS SURROUNDING NARRAGANSETT BAY...INCLUDING CAPE COD... 
  MARTHAS VINEYARD...AND THE CITIES OF BOSTON...PROVIDENCE... 
  PLYMOUTH...WARWICK...BRISTOL AND NEWPORT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...TENDER VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY THE COLD 
  TEMPERATURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
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341 
WWUS71 KBOX 200808
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
408 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS TODAY...

CTZ002>004-MAZ005-006-009>014-017-018-020-021-RIZ001-003-006-
201300-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141020T1300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
WEST GREENWICH...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
408 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATION...MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AWAY FROM THE 
  IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND LOCATIONS 
  SURROUNDING NARRAGANSETT BAY. THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF 
  HARTFORD... SPRINGFIELD...WORCESTER...LOWELL...FRAMINGHAM... 
  FOXBORO... TAUNTON...WOONSOCKET...AND WEST GREENWICH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO LOW 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER 
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-RIZ002-004-005-007-201300-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-141020T1300Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...
PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NEWPORT
408 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATION...THE IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE AND 
  LOCATIONS SURROUNDING NARRAGANSETT BAY...INCLUDING CAPE COD... 
  MARTHAS VINEYARD...AND THE CITIES OF BOSTON...PROVIDENCE... 
  PLYMOUTH...WARWICK...BRISTOL AND NEWPORT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...TENDER VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY THE COLD 
  TEMPERATURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

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WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

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@NWSBOSTON
448 
WWUS71 KBOX 201259
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
859 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014


CTZ002>004-MAZ005-006-009>014-017-018-020-021-RIZ001-003-006-
201400-
/O.EXP.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141020T1300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
WEST GREENWICH...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
859 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

TEMPERATURES WERE QUICKLY RISING ABOVE FREEZING AS OF MID MORNING.
THEREFORE...THE FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE ON TIME AT 9 AM.

$$

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-RIZ002-004-005-007-201400-
/O.EXP.KBOX.FR.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-141020T1300Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...
PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NEWPORT
859 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

TEMPERATURES WERE QUICKLY RISING AS OF MID MORNING.
THEREFORE...THE FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE ON TIME AT 9 AM.

$$

FRANK

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

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WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

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@NWSBOSTON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this frost advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this frost advisory went out at Oct 18, 9:59 PM EDT, 5 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 18, 9:59 PM EDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
959 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT USERS IN A CHILLY AIRMASS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
SUNDAY ALONG WITH BLUSTERY CONDITIONS. COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY
NIGHT WILL GIVE TO SOME MODERATION MON ALONG WITH A DIMINISHING WIND
AS HIGH PRES SLIDES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. A LONG DURATION COASTAL
STORM IS LIKELY DURING THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK BUT THE AXIS
OF HEAVIEST RAIN AND STRONGEST WINDS REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME
RANGE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...

10 PM UPDATE...

OVERALL TREND IN THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. A FEW SPOTTY
SHOWERS ARE STILL LINGERING OUT THERE THIS EVENING. ANTICIPATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT HOUR AS SURFACE
DEWS CONTINUE TO DROP AS THE FRONT PASSES. WINDS WILL STAY UP
ESPECIALLY OVER COASTAL REGIONS FROM CAA OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM
WATERS. OTHERWISE MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT
TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...
INITIAL SHORTWAVE MOVES OFFSHORE...PUSHING A COLD FRONT THROUGH
OUR AREA. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVES DOWN FROM ONTARIO TONIGHT AND
PUSHES THE TROUGH AXIS OVER NEW ENGLAND BY MORNING. THIS WILL
BRING COLDER TEMPS ALOFT WHICH WILL DESTABILIZE THE AIRMASS. THUS
EXPECT SHOWER COVERAGE TO DIMINISH EARLY TONIGHT...THEN INCREASE
AGAIN OVERNIGHT. EXPECT SCATTERED/CHANCE POPS FOR TONIGHT.

MIN TEMPS UPSTREAM IN ONTARIO WERE IN THE UPPER 30S AND
40S...THIS IS A REASONABLE TARGET FOR TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
SUNDAY...
SECOND SHORTWAVE AND TROUGH AXIS MOVE OFFSHORE IN THE MORNING.
THIS WILL ALLOW LINGERING SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CLEARING
AND DRYING TREND BY AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING COLDER
AIR AT ALL LEVELS AND SUPPORT DAYTIME MIXING OF THE AIRMASS TO 850
MB. TEMPS AT 850 MB WILL BE -2C TO -5C...WHICH SUPPORTS MAX SFC
TEMPS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WINDS IN THE MIXED LAYER WILL
BE AT LEAST 25 KNOTS. WE WILL USE THESE VALUES.

SUNDAY NIGHT...
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER NEW ENGLAND THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH
DURING THE EARLY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL
ALLOW FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING. DEWPOINTS IN THE COLDER AIRMASS
WILL BE IN THE 20S...EXCEPT 30-35 ALONG THE COASTLINE AND ISLANDS.
THIS WILL SET UP THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES AT AND
BELOW FREEZING ACROSS OUR AREA...THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE SEASON
SO FAR. MOST AREAS ALONG THE COAST WILL COLD ENOUGH FOR A FROST.
WE WILL ISSUE A FREEZE WATCH FOR ALL AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST
WHERE THE SEASON HAS NOT ALREADY ENDED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* TRANQUIL WEATHER MON WITH COOL TEMPS/SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WINDS

* A LONG DURATION COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT NEW ENGLAND FROM TUE
  THROUGH FRI...HOWEVER AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN...STRONGEST WIND AND
  MAGNITUDE OF COASTAL FLOODING REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME

SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW AND MODEL/GUIDANCE EVALUATION...

NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS WITH GOOD AGREEMENT ON AN
EVOLVING LONG DURATION HIGH AMPLITUDE COASTAL STORM BEGINNING OFF
DELMARVA TUE/WED AND THEN TRACKING NORTHEAST OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST THU/FRI. MODELS DIFFER ON FAR SOUTH DOWN THE EASTERN
SEABOARD CLOSED LOW INITIALLY DIGS...THEN HOW QUICKLY THE MID
LEVEL CIRCULATION CAPTURES THE SURFACE LOW /OCCLUSION/ WHICH WILL
DETERMINE TIMING/TRACK AND DURATION OF WARM CONVEYOR BELT RAINS
OVER THE REGION BEFORE DRY SLOT ARRIVES. AS EXPECTED THE
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE DISPLAYS SOME SMALL VARIATIONS FROM RUN TO
RUN. THUS AT THIS TIME RANGE THE MOST SKILLFUL SOLUTION IS A MODEL
BLEND WHICH IS VERY CLOSE TO THE 12Z GEFS AND 00Z ECENS ENSEMBLE
MEANS.

DAILIES...

MONDAY...

OTHER THAN A CHILLY START TO THE DAY WITH MORNING LOWS IN THE 30S
REGIONWIDE...IT WILL BE A QUIET WEATHER DAY AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING
DEVELOPS OVER NEW ENGLAND AHEAD OF NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE. WHILE
TEMPS WILL ONLY BE A FEW DEGS HIGHER THAN SUNDAY IT WILL FEEL
CONSIDERABLY WARMER GIVEN MORE SUNSHINE /LESS STRATO-CU/ AND LESS
WIND AS HIGH PRES SLIDES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EASILY THE PICK OF
THE WEEK.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

PROLONG PERIOD OF RAIN AND WIND OF VARYING INTENSITY AS LARGE
AMPLITUDE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE MID ATLC REGION AND
EVENTUALLY SLIDES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND COAST. AS MENTIONED ABOVE
TIMING AND POSITION DIFFERENCES ON EXACT EVOLUTION WHICH CREATES
UNCERTAINTY ON STORM DETAILS...SUCH AS AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN...
STRONGEST WIND AND MAGNITUDE OF COASTAL FLOODING. THE NEW 12Z GEFS
INDICATES STRONGEST 925 MB AND 850 MB ONSHORE LOW LEVEL WIND
ANOMALIES /+3 STD/ OCCUR FROM 12Z WED TO 12Z THU ACROSS INTERIOR
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND THEN LIFTING INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND LATER THU INTO FRI. THIS WOULD SUGGEST THE STRONGEST WINDS
AND HEAVIEST RAINFALL LATE TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY THU FOR SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND BEFORE LIFTING INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH DRY SLOT
APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH.

DETERMINISTIC RUNS OF THE 12Z GFS AND ECMWF CONCUR WITH THIS
EVOLUTION YIELDING EVENT RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1-2" ACROSS CT/RI AND
SOUTHEAST MA...INCREASING TO 3-4" OVER NORTHERN MA INTO SOUTHWEST
NH. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN THE UPSLOPE
REGIONS OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF MA AND NH. A SUPERBLEND OF ALL
MODEL SOURCES YIELDS THE SAME QPF RESULTS...AREAL COVERAGE AND IN
MAGNITUDE. THUS AT THIS TIME RANGE ENSEMBLES AND A MODEL BLEND OF
DETERMINISTIC GUID SUGGEST GREATEST THREAT OF FLOODING RAINS/STRONG
WINDS-DOWN TREE LIMBS-POWER OUTAGES AND COASTAL FLOODING WOULD BE
ACROSS NORTHERN MA INTO SOUTHERN NH. GIVEN THE TIME RANGE OBVIOUSLY
THIS CAN SHIFT FARTHER SOUTH OR NORTH. THUS NEED TO REMAIN
PROBABILISTIC AT THIS TIME RANGE.

REGARDING COASTAL FLOODING...AS MENTIONED ABOVE LATEST GUIDANCE AND
TRENDS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST LONGEST DURATION OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL
OCCUR FROM NORTHERN MA NORTHWARD ACROSS NH AND MAINE COASTLINE. THUS
GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION IS CAPE ANN/SALISBURY
NORTHWARD. HOWEVER AT THIS TIME RANGE IT/S POSSIBLE FOR THIS RISK
AREA TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD OR NORTHWARD. WHILE ASTRO TIDES ARE SOMEWHAT
LOW THIS WILL LOWER THE RISK OF MORE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING.
HOWEVER LONG DURATION EVENT OCCURRING OVER MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES CAN
OFFSET THIS. FOR THIS REASON THE RISK OF EROSION APPEARS GREATER
THAN INUNDATION GIVEN LARGE SURF WILL BATTER THE COASTLINE FOR A
NUMBER OF CONSECUTIVE DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...

7 PM UPDATE...

INITIAL FRONT MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST MA AT 7 PM. A FEW SHOWERS
ARE ACCOMPANYING THIS FRONT AND WILL MOVE OFFSHORE 8-830 PM.
BEHIND THE FRONT A WIND SHIFT TO THE WNW. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT MAINLY DRY WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ALONG WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. THUS NO MAJOR CHANGES FROM
18Z TAFS. EARLIER DISCUSSION BELOW.

==================================================================

TONIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. GENERALLY VFR WITH BRIEF
MVFR CIGS IN SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.

SUNDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE. VFR. MORNING CLOUDS BREAK TO MOSTLY
CLEAR IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 25 KT FROM
LATE MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY MORNING.

SUNDAY NIGHT...HIGH CONFIDENCE. VFR. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND WINDS
BECOME LIGHT. TEMPERATURES AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL FALL TO NEAR
FREEZING OR A LITTLE BELOW...TURNING ANY WET SPOTS ON THE GROUND
INTO PATCHES OF ICE.

KBOS...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

KBDL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

MON...HIGH CONFIDENCE. VFR/DRY RUNWAYS AND LIGHT WINDS.

TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY/THU...HIGH CONFIDENCE ON OVERALL THEME...WITH
CONDITIONS LOWERING TO MVFR/IFR IN DEVELOPING RAIN BUT LOW
CONFIDENCE ON EXACT TIMING OF DETAILS. STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST
WINDS POSSIBLE WED INTO EARLY THU ACROSS NE MA AND S NH.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...HIGH CONFIDENCE.

TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST SWELL FROM GONZALO CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE NEW
ENGLAND WATERS WITH A 14 SECOND PERIOD AND HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 8 FEET.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ON ALL EXPOSED WATERS. SOUTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH. SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES CONTINUE FOR ALL WATERS
EXCEPT BOS HARBOR/NARRAGANSETT BAY/MASSACHUSETTS BAY.

SUNDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE WATERS WILL BRING GUSTS OF 25 TO
30 KNOTS TO THE SURFACE. SOUTHEAST SWELL WILL CONTINUE ALTHOUGH
DIMINISHED A LITTLE FROM SATURDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN
PLACE FOR ALL WATERS.

SUNDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE HIGH GETS CLOSER. SOUTHEAST
SWELL FROM GONZALO WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. SMALL CRAFTS WILL END
ON THE NEARSHORE WATERS BUT LINGER ON THE OUTER WATERS.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

*** POWERFUL/DANGEROUS EARLY SEASON COASTAL STORM TO MARINERS LIKELY
  WED/THU ***

MONDAY...WINDS SLACKEN AS HIGH PRES SLIDES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.
THUS SUBSIDING SEAS. GOOD VSBY IN DRY WEATHER.

TUE/WED/THU...COASTAL STORM DEVELOPS OFF THE DE COAST YIELDING
INCREASING EAST WINDS BEGINNING TUE WITH STRONGEST E-NE WINDS LIKELY
WED INTO THU AS LOW PRES APPROACHES BETWEEN NANTUCKET AND THE
40N/70W BENCHMARK. E-NE GALES LIKELY WITH GREATEST RISK NORTHERN
WATERS ALONG WITH INCREASING SEAS OF 15+...AGAIN OCEAN WATERS
NORTHEAST OF BOSTON TO CAPE ANN. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL REDUCE
VSBY.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
     CTZ002>004.
MA...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
     MAZ005-006-009>014-017-018.
NH...NONE.
RI...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
     RIZ001-003.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY FOR ANZ231>235-237.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO 2 AM EDT MONDAY FOR
     ANZ230-236-251.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY FOR ANZ250-254>256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/NOCERA
NEAR TERM...WTB/NOCERA/DUNTEN
SHORT TERM...WTB
LONG TERM...NOCERA
AVIATION...WTB/NOCERA
MARINE...WTB/NOCERA
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 18, 4:38 PM EDT, 10 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
438 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

MAZ002>004-007-008-015-016-019>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ002-004>008-
192045-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
438 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES ARE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT FOR A PORTION OF
THE REGION.

A SLOW MOVING COASTAL STORM WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE REGION TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM ARE HEAVY
RAIN...STRONG WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING. HOWEVER THE PLACEMENT
OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN...STRONGEST WINDS AND MAGNITUDE OF COASTAL
FLOODING REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME RANGE AND WILL DEPEND ON
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE COASTAL STORM. IT IS POSSIBLE THE WORST OF
THE RAIN...WIND AND COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE IN NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND BUT CANT RULE OUT A GREATER IMPACT FURTHER SOUTH IN
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS COULD BE A HIGH IMPACT STORM SO STAY
TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS/DISCUSSIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ002>004-MAZ005-006-009>014-017-018-RIZ001-003-192045-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
438 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WATCH.

FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES ARE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT FOR A PORTION OF
THE REGION.

A SLOW MOVING COASTAL STORM WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE REGION TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM ARE HEAVY
RAIN...STRONG WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING. HOWEVER THE PLACEMENT OF
THE HEAVIEST RAIN...STRONGEST WINDS AND MAGNITUDE OF COASTAL
FLOODING REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME RANGE AND WILL DEPEND ON
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE COASTAL STORM. IT IS POSSIBLE THE WORST OF
THE RAIN...WIND AND COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE IN NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND BUT CANT RULE OUT A GREATER IMPACT FURTHER SOUTH IN
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS COULD BE A HIGH IMPACT STORM SO STAY
TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS/DISCUSSIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-192045-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
438 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM TUE THROUGH FRI FOR MARINERS
ON THE NEW ENGLAND WATERS. STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST GALES WITH
LONG DURATION AND FETCH WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS SEAS BUILDING
OVER THE OCEAN WATERS OF 15 FEET OR GREATER. THE GREATEST IMPACTS
MAY OCCUR OVER THE NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WATERS BUT IT/S TOO EARLY
TO BE CERTAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 19, 3:08 AM EDTFreeze WarningBOXKent, Providence, Washington30 hr

Nearby

Frost Advisories in Massachusetts, 2014Frost Advisories in Rhode Island, 2014Every frost advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.