Alert archive / Massachusetts / Flood Watches in 2014

Flood Watch 9, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

December 23, 201411 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island; Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this flood watch at Dec 23, 2014, 4:22 PM EST for 11 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island; Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut. It took effect at Dec 24, 2014, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2014, 4:22 PM EST (21:22 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 24, 2014, 4:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 25, 2014, 4:46 AM EST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Flood severity
None

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 12:00Z on 2014-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 12:00Z on 2014-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 259 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
443 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
309 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

468 
WGUS61 KBOX 232122
FFABOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
422 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014


CTZ002>004-MAZ002>022-026-RIZ001>007-240530-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0009.141224T2100Z-141225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT
422 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT... 
  MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND 
  WINDHAM. IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE...BRISTOL...ESSEX... 
  FRANKLIN...HAMPDEN...HAMPSHIRE...MIDDLESEX...NORFOLK... 
  PLYMOUTH...SUFFOLK AND WORCESTER. IN RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL... 
  KENT...NEWPORT...PROVIDENCE AND WASHINGTON. 

* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
  GENERATE RAIN WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
  1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCAL 3-INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS MAY GO INTO FLOOD. THE RAIN WILL
  CAUSE MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
802 
WGUS61 KBOX 240328
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1028 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>022-026-RIZ001>007-241130-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.141224T2100Z-141225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT
1028 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE 
  ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN 
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN 
  MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE...BRISTOL...ESSEX...FRANKLIN... 
  HAMPDEN...HAMPSHIRE...MIDDLESEX...NORFOLK...PLYMOUTH...SUFFOLK 
  AND WORCESTER. IN RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL...KENT...NEWPORT... 
  PROVIDENCE AND WASHINGTON. 

* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
  RESULT IN RAIN WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES
  POSSIBLE.

* THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH DAYBREAK CHRISTMAS MORNING WITH LOCALLY
  HEAVY RAINFALL RATES.

* AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING ARE THE
  PRIMARY THREAT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
695 
WGUS61 KBOX 240847
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
347 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>022-026-RIZ001>007-241700-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.141224T2100Z-141225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT
347 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE 
  ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN 
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN 
  MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE...BRISTOL...ESSEX...FRANKLIN... 
  HAMPDEN...HAMPSHIRE...MIDDLESEX...NORFOLK...PLYMOUTH...SUFFOLK 
  AND WORCESTER. IN RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL...KENT...NEWPORT... 
  PROVIDENCE AND WASHINGTON. 

* FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL 
  RESULT IN RAIN WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
  OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES 
  POSSIBLE. 

* THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND MAY BE FOCUSED
  ALONG A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
  THROUGH THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH DAYBREAK CHRISTMAS
  MORNING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES ARE POSSIBLE.

* AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING ARE THE
  PRIMARY THREAT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
469 
WGUS61 KBOX 241631
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1131 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014


CTZ002>004-MAZ002>022-026-RIZ001>007-250045-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.141224T2100Z-141225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT
1131 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE 
  ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN 
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN 
  MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE...BRISTOL...ESSEX...FRANKLIN... 
  HAMPDEN...HAMPSHIRE...MIDDLESEX...NORFOLK...PLYMOUTH...SUFFOLK 
  AND WORCESTER. IN RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL...KENT...NEWPORT... 
  PROVIDENCE AND WASHINGTON. 

* FROM 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL 
  RESULT IN RAIN WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
  OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES 
  POSSIBLE. 

* THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND MAY BE FOCUSED 
  ALONG A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS 
  MOVING THROUGH THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH DAYBREAK 
  CHRISTMAS MORNING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
678 
WGUS61 KBOX 242137
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
437 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>022-026-RIZ001>007-250545-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-141225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT
437 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE 
  ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN 
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN 
  MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE...BRISTOL...ESSEX...FRANKLIN... 
  HAMPDEN...HAMPSHIRE...MIDDLESEX...NORFOLK...PLYMOUTH...SUFFOLK 
  AND WORCESTER. IN RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL...KENT...NEWPORT... 
  PROVIDENCE AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
  RESULT IN PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT. THE RAIN MAY BE
  LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES. EVENT RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE. THE HIGHEST
  RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN
  CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND...AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.

* THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS RAINFALL IS URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
  FLOODING. SOME STREAMS MAY RISE TO AROUND BANKFULL LEVELS. THE
  RAIN IS EXPECTED TO COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS
  SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING CHRISTMAS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
289 
WGUS61 KBOX 250346
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1046 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>022-026-RIZ001>007-251200-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-141225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT
1046 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE 
  ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN 
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN 
  MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE...BRISTOL...ESSEX...FRANKLIN... 
  HAMPDEN...HAMPSHIRE...MIDDLESEX...NORFOLK...PLYMOUTH...SUFFOLK 
  AND WORCESTER. IN RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL...KENT...NEWPORT... 
  PROVIDENCE AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* A SECOND ROUND OF RAIN WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION LATE
  TONIGHT INTO CHRISTMAS MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
  REGION. LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE LIKELY WHICH WILL PUSH EVENT
  RAINFALL TOTALS TO 1 TO 2 INCHES. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  ARE EXPECTED ACROSS RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.

* THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS RAINFALL IS URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
  FLOODING. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO
  EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING CHRISTMAS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
596 
WGUS61 KBOX 250910
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
410 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-026-251015-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-141225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...
NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER
410 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND CENTRAL
AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THIS MORNING WILL NOT BE HEAVY ENOUGH FOR
FLOODING TO BE A CONCERN. 

$$

MAZ005>007-013>022-RIZ001>007-251700-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-141225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...
TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
410 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE...BRISTOL...
  CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX...ESSEX...NORFOLK...PLYMOUTH AND
  SUFFOLK. IN RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL...KENT...NEWPORT...
  PROVIDENCE AND WASHINGTON.

* UNTIL NOON EST TODAY

* LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS MOVING INTO RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS THIS MORNING MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED AREAS OF
  URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. 

* THE RAIN IS EXPECTED END BETWEEN 10 AM AND NOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
128 
WGUS61 KBOX 250946
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
446 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

MAZ005>007-013>022-RIZ001>007-251100-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-141225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...
TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
446 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A BAND OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE EXITING NANTUCKET
AND OUTER CAPE COD BY 6 AM. ALTHOUGH SOME ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL
OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AHEAD OF A FRONT THIS
MORNING...FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$
FIELD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Dec 23, 4:15 PM EST, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 4:15 PM EST, 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
415 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE PASSES OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A MUCH STRONGER STORM
TRACKING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY
WINDS AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WEDNESDAY INTO CHRISTMAS MORNING.
DRY WEATHER WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW FROM
CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON INTO SAT. A COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW RAIN OR
SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY THEN A STORM MAY AFFECT THE REGION SUN NIGHT
INTO MON...BUT IT COULD ALSO PASS WELL TO THE SOUTH.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
TWO AREAS OF SHOWERS ON RADAR ARE MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST...WITH
THE TRAILING EDGES MOVING EAST OF OUR AREA EARLY TONIGHT.
ADDITIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS AND CLOUDS/FOG/DRIZZLE SHOULD LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL EAST-NORTHEAST FLOW OFF THE
GULF OF MAINE CONTINUES. DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM THE MID 30S
NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 40S MOST AREAS...WHICH SHOULD SERVE AT A
LOWER BOUNDARY FOR MIN TEMPS. ACTUALLY TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
NEAR STEADY OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

UPPER RIDGE BUILDS TO HIGHER AMPLITUDE BUT SHIFTS EAST OF NEW
ENGLAND. DEEP TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS MOVES EAST. THIS BRINGS A
DEEP SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE EASTERN USA WITH A STRONG 150
KNOT UPPER JET DRIVING NORTH THROUGH IT. THIS WILL BRING AN
AIRMASS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.5" OR HIGHER...OVER 3
STD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL AND NEAR THE MAXIMUM HISTORICAL VALUE.
LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST JET OF 50-65 KNOTS ARRIVES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN SHIFTS EAST
CHRISTMAS MORNING.

LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTH FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE GREAT
LAKES...THEN SWINGS A COLD FRONT TOWARD NEW ENGLAND. GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT ON MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT...REACHING THE CONNECTICUT
VALLEY BY 12Z THURSDAY.

THIS SYSTEM WILL GENERATE GOOD LOW LEVEL LIFT...AND BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THE APPROACHING UPPER JET SHOULD SUPPORT LIFT FROM THE UPPER
PART OF THE STORM. COMBINE THIS WITH THE VERY HUMID AIRMASS...AND
WE SHOULD EXPECT PERIODS OF RAIN WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS. THIS SHOULD BRING AN
ADDITIONAL 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN. THE DYNAMICS MAY ALSO DRIVE SOME
ISOLATED THUNDER...WITH THE BEST CHANCE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT.

CONCERNS...RAIN. THE AIRMASS HAS A HIGH RAINFALL POTENTIAL BUT MAY
NOT TAP ALL OF THAT POTENTIAL. HOWEVER THERE MAY BE SOME LOCALLY
HEAVIER DOWNPOURS THAT PUSH TOTALS IN A FEW SPOTS ABOVE 2 INCHES.
WITH OR WITHOUT THIS...THE AMOUNT OF RAIN MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE
SOME URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. WE HAVE ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH
FOR MOST OF OUR AREA FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

CONCERNS...WIND...PER BUFKIT THE LOW LEVEL JET OF 55 TO 65 KNOTS
WILL REACH DOWN TO ABOUT 1000 FEET AGL. THIS WILL BE LOW ENOUGH TO
REACH THE HIGHER HILLTOPS AND MAY INCH CLOSER TO THE SURFACE. IT
IS FACING A STRONG TEMPERATURE INVERSION NEAR THE GROUND WHICH MAY
KEEP SOME OF THIS WIND ABOVE THE GROUND. HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY
PROVIDE A CHANNEL TO BRING SOME OF THAT WIND DOWN THE FINAL
THOUSAND FEET TO THE SURFACE. IN ANY CASE...WE EXPECT SOME GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY WITH VALUES
TO AT LEAST 30 KNOTS AND POSSIBLY APPROACHING 40 KNOTS.

CONCERNS...COASTAL FLOODING...ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL REMAIN HIGH
WITH A CONTINUED SOUTHEAST WIND ALONG THE MASS EAST COAST DURING
THE MORNING. MORE ON THIS IN THE COASTAL FLOOD SECTION.

WARM ADVECTION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES
WITH VALUES REACHING THE 50S AND POSSIBLY REACHING 60 IN SOME
SPOTS. TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL NOT FALL
MUCH WITH VALUES LINGERING IN THE 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES AND UNSEASONABLY MILD WEDNESDAY INTO
  CHRISTMAS MORNING WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS IN THE COASTAL PLAIN WED
  NIGHT
* DRY AND WINDY CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE
* CONTINUED DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS FRI AND SAT
* A STORM MAY AFFECT THE REGION SUN NIGHT INTO MON...BUT CONFIDENCE
  IS LOW

OVERVIEW...
HIGH AMPLITUDE TROF OVER THE MS VALLEY ON WED LIFTS NE THROUGH THE
GT LAKES AND INTO CANADA BY CHRISTMAS DAY.  DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW AND
ANOMALOUS PWAT AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE TROF WILL BRING A PERIOD OF
HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE REGION WED AND WED NIGHT BEFORE DRYING OUT
CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON. BEYOND CHRISTMAS...MODELS IN AGREEMENT ON
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SE US FRI THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WHICH WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED MILD CONDITIONS.  BY
SUNDAY...NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE DELIVERS A COLD FRONT...THEN
THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING A SOUTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE EJECTING NE FROM SOUTHERN PLAINS TROF WITH POSSIBLE
FRONTAL WAVE SUN NIGHT INTO MON. PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE ECMWF SHOWED A
MORE AMPLIFIED SHORTWAVE AND FRONTAL WAVE...BUT LATEST RUN OF THE
ECMWF HAS TRENDED FLATTER AND MORE SUPPRESSED ALTHOUGH IT STILL
BRINGS SOME SNOW SUN NIGHT INTO MON.  GFS CONTINUES TO BE WELL
SUPPRESSED WITH THE WAVE WITH HIGH PRES DOMINATING. DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY...WE USED A BLEND OF ECMWF/GFS

CHRISTMAS...
HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING CHRISTMAS MORNING IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN...THEN RAIN MOVES OUT BY MIDDAY WITH SKIES BECOMING PTSUNNY IN
THE AFTERNOON.  GUSTY SW WINDS IN THE MORNING NEAR THE COAST ASSOCD
WITH THE LLJ...THEN ALL AREAS WILL SEE STRONG WEST WIND GUSTS IN THE
AFTERNOON AS COLD ADVECTION DEVELOPS WITH STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES.  WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AND WIND ADVISORIES
MAY BE NEEDED.  MAX TEMPS IN THE 50S TO NEAR 60 DEGREES WILL OCCUR
IN THE MORNING...WITH TEMPS FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY INTO SAT...
HIGH PRES BRINGS DRY WEATHER WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. THE MILDER DAY
WILL BE SATURDAY WITH TEMPS REACHING INTO THE 50S AS THE HIGH SLIDES
TO SE WITH SW FLOW DEVELOPING.

SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...
LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST.  A COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS SUNDAY...THEN WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR POSSIBLE FRONTAL WAVE
SUN NIGHT INTO MON.  THIS WAVE MAY END UP TOO FAR SOUTH BUT WILL
KEEP LOW POPS IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

TONIGHT...WITH MOIST EASTERLY FLOW...WE EXPECT CIGS TO REMAIN
MOSTLY BELOW 1000 FEET AND VSBYS MOSTLY 1 TO 3 MILES THROUGH THE
NIGHT. CLOUDS/FOG/DRIZZLE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...IFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE IN
WIDESPREADY RAIN. LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN
THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING SOUTH WIND AT 1500-2000 FEET WITH
SPEEDS REACHING 50 KNOTS. THIS SHOULD CREATE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
BY THE AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE NIGHT.

KBOS TERMINAL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN IFR CONDITIONS.

KBDL TERMINAL...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. MVFR CIGS SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BUT TIMING UNCERTAIN.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

CHRISTMAS...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.  IFR IN RAIN TO START...THEN
CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR IN THE AFTERNOON. WEST WIND GUSTS TO 35-40
KT POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE. VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...HIGH CONFIDENCE.

TONIGHT...
EAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH. BUT ROUGH SEAS WILL KEEP
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GOING ON MOST WATERS. WEAK LOW PRESSURE
MOVING UP THE COAST WILL PASS JUST OFFSHORE...BRINGING DIMINISHING
LIGHT RAIN ALONG WITH CLOUDS/FOG/DRIZZLE.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL MOVE UP
THE COAST FROM THE CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY...REACHING THE NEW ENGLAND
WATERS IN THE AFTERNOON AND LINGERING THROUGH THE NIGHT. WINDS
WILL REACH 50-65 KNOTS ABOUT 2000 FEET ABOVE THE OCEAN SURFACE.
BUT A STRONG TEMPERATURE INVERSION MAY KEEP ALL OF THIS WIND FROM
REACHING THE SURFACE. EVEN SO...HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY PROVIDE A
CHANNEL FOR SOME OF THIS WIND TO REACH THE SURFACE IN GUSTS. WE
ARE CURRENTLY FORECASTING GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS OR THE LOWER 30S. LOW
CONFIDENCE FOR GUSTS REACHING GALE FORCE. EXPECT FOG AND RAIN
WITH LOCAL HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE

CHRISTMAS...WINDS SHIFT TO SW/W WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE.
IMPROVING VSBYS IN THE AFTERNOON AS RAIN MOVES OUT.

FRI AND SAT...EXPECT WEST WINDS BELOW SCA FRI...THEN INCREASING SW
WINDS SAT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COAST:

HIGH TIDE AT BOSTON WILL BE 11.7 FT AT MIDDAY WEDNESDAY WITH A
SURGE OF AROUND 1.0 FT. THE SURGE TODAY /TUESDAY/ SHOWED MINOR
SPLASHOVER ALONG THE EAST MASSACHUSETTS COAST. EXPECT SIMILAR
EFFECTS WEDNESDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE EAST MASSACHUSETTS COAST FOR THE MIDDAY WEDNESDAY HIGH TIDE.

SOUTH COAST:

WE DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IF ANY COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST.
NOT ENOUGH WIND OR SURGE FOR THE WEDNESDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE.
HIGHEST SURGE OF 1-2 FEET LIKELY TO OCCUR DURING LOW TIDE LATE WED
NIGHT WITH THE SURGE AND SEAS DECREASING DURING THE CHRISTMAS
MORNING HIGH TIDE. WORST CASE IS MINOR SPLASHOVER FOR THE
CHRISTMAS MORNING HIGH TIDE BUT EVEN THIS IS NOT LOOKING
FAVORABLE.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS FOR DEC 24 / DEC 25...

BOS... 61 IN 1996 / 65 IN 1889
PVD... 60 IN 1990 / 63 IN 1964
BDL... 59 IN 1996 / 64 IN 1964
ORH... 57 IN 1996 / 60 IN 1964

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ231-
     232.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ235-237-
     250-251-254>256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/KJC
NEAR TERM...WTB/KJC
SHORT TERM...WTB
LONG TERM...KJC
AVIATION...WTB/KJC
MARINE...WTB/KJC
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 23, 4:16 AM EST, 12 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
416 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>014-017-018-020-021-023-024-026-RIZ001>008-
240930-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
416 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS WEST OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON CHRISTMAS EVE INTO CHRISTMAS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POTENTIAL FOR SOME URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING.

ALSO...A BRIEF PERIOD OF SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH IS
POSSIBLE CHRISTMAS EVE NIGHT ON THE COASTAL PLAIN. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THESE WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION...AS THE WINDS TURN WEST.

FINALLY...SPLASH OVER AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY ON THE
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE MIDDAY HIGH TIDES TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-240930-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-
416 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS WEST OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON CHRISTMAS EVE INTO CHRISTMAS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POTENTIAL FOR SOME URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING.

ALSO...A BRIEF PERIOD OF SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH IS
POSSIBLE CHRISTMAS EVE NIGHT ON THE COASTAL PLAIN. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THESE WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...AS
THE WINDS TURN WESTERLY.

FINALLY...SPLASH OVER AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY ON THE
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE MIDDAY HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-240930-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
416 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR WESTERLY GALE GUSTS THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 4:25 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryBOXBarnstable, Essex, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk23 hr
Dec 23, 4:27 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBOX3 days

Nearby

Flood Watches in Massachusetts, 2014Flood Watches in Rhode Island, 2014Flood Watches in Connecticut, 2014Every flood watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.