Alert archive / Rhode Island / Flood Watches in 2014

Flood Watch 5, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

April 29, 20145 counties in Rhode Island; Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut; 5 counties in Massachusetts

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this flood watch at Apr 29, 2014, 4:21 PM EDT for 5 counties in Rhode Island; Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut; 5 counties in Massachusetts. It took effect at Apr 30, 2014, 6:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 20 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2014, 4:21 PM EDT (20:21 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 30, 2014, 6:00 PM EDT
Expired
May 1, 2014, 1:43 PM EDT
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Flood severity
None

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bristol County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 12:00Z on 2014-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 12:00Z on 2014-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -15 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
496 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

541 
WGUS61 KBOX 292021
FFABOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
421 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-RIZ001>004-006-300430-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0005.140430T2200Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
421 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND
  WINDHAM. IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...HAMPDEN. IN RHODE ISLAND...
  KENT...PROVIDENCE AND MAINLAND WASHINGTON.

* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL
  TO PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND.

* THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO
  AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
9 follow-up statements
884 
WGUS61 KBOX 292044
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
444 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-RIZ001>004-006-300445-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.140430T2200Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
444 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
  RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN WESTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...HAMPDEN. IN RHODE ISLAND...KENT...PROVIDENCE AND
  MAINLAND WASHINGTON.

* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF 
  RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND. 

* THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO 
  AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
810 
WGUS61 KBOX 300516
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
116 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-RIZ001>004-006-301330-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.140430T2200Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
116 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
  RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN WESTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...HAMPDEN. IN RHODE ISLAND...KENT...PROVIDENCE AND
  MAINLAND WASHINGTON

* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
  RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND.

* THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO 
  AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
745 
WGUS61 KBOX 300741
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
341 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-RIZ001>004-006-301545-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.140430T2200Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
341 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
  RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN WESTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...HAMPDEN. IN RHODE ISLAND...KENT...PROVIDENCE AND
  MAINLAND WASHINGTON

* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
  RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO 
  AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
619 
WGUS61 KBOX 301511
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1111 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-RIZ001>004-006-302315-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.140430T2200Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
1111 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
  RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN WESTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...HAMPDEN. IN RHODE ISLAND...KENT...PROVIDENCE AND
  MAINLAND WASHINGTON.

* FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF 
  RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. 

* THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO
  AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. SMALL STREAM FLOODING
  IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
643 
WGUS61 KBOX 301951
FFABOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
351 PM EDT WED APR 30 2014

MAZ012-017>021-RIZ005-007-010400-
/O.EXA.KBOX.FA.A.0005.140430T2200Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILFORD...WORCESTER...TAUNTON...
BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...
BRISTOL...NEWPORT
351 PM EDT WED APR 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
  ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN MASSACHUSETTS...
  PLYMOUTH...BRISTOL AND SOUTHERN WORCESTER. IN RHODE
  ISLAND...BRISTOL AND NEWPORT.

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OF
  TOTAL RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO 
  AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. SMALL STREAM 
  FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-RIZ001>004-006-010400-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.140430T2200Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
351 PM EDT WED APR 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
  RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHERN
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN WESTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...HAMPDEN. IN RHODE ISLAND...KENT...PROVIDENCE AND
  MAINLAND WASHINGTON.

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OF 
  RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. 

* THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO 
  AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. SMALL STREAM 
  FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
554 
WGUS61 KBOX 010533
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
133 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-012-017>021-RIZ001>007-011345-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
MILFORD...WORCESTER...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...
WESTERLY...NEWPORT
133 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...
  TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN MASSACHUSETTS...HAMPDEN...PLYMOUTH...
  BRISTOL...AND SOUTHERN WORCESTER. IN RHODE ISLAND...KENT...
  PROVIDENCE...BRISTOL... NEWPORT...AND MAINLAND WASHINGTON

* THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OF 
  TOTAL RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LOCALLY 
  HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. 

* THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO 
  AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. SMALL STREAM 
  FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
141 
WGUS61 KBOX 010810
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
410 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-012-017>021-RIZ001>007-011615-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
MILFORD...WORCESTER...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...
WESTERLY...NEWPORT
410 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...
  TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN MASSACHUSETTS...HAMPDEN...PLYMOUTH...
  BRISTOL...AND SOUTHERN WORCESTER. IN RHODE ISLAND...KENT...
  PROVIDENCE...BRISTOL... NEWPORT...AND MAINLAND WASHINGTON

* THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OF 
  TOTAL RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LOCALLY 
  HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. 

* THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO 
  AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. SMALL STREAM 
  FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
555 
WGUS61 KBOX 011356
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
956 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014


CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-012-017>021-RIZ001>007-012200-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
MILFORD...WORCESTER...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...
WESTERLY...NEWPORT
956 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
  ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN
  CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD...TOLLAND AND WINDHAM. IN
  MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN HAMPDEN...EASTERN PLYMOUTH...NORTHERN
  BRISTOL...SOUTHERN BRISTOL...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH...SOUTHERN
  WORCESTER...WESTERN HAMPDEN AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH. IN RHODE
  ISLAND...BRISTOL...EASTERN KENT... NEWPORT...NORTHWEST
  PROVIDENCE...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE...WASHINGTON AND WESTERN KENT.

* UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* THE WIDESPREAD AREA OF RAIN THAT PREVIOUSLY AFFECTED THE WATCH
  AREA...HAD MOVED OFFSHORE AS OF LATE THIS MORNING. SOME RIVERS
  AND STREAMS IN THE WATCH AREA RESPONDED SHARPLY TO THESE RAINS.
  THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...SOME MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY
  HEAVY RAINFALL. DUE TO THE CHANCE FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL
  THAT MAY CAUSE OR RENEW FLOODING PROBLEMS...THE FLOOD WATCH
  CONTINUES INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

* THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY RAINFALL INTO THIS AFTERNOON COULD
  LEAD TO AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. SMALL STREAM
  FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
416 
WGUS61 KBOX 011743
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
143 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-012-017>021-RIZ001>007-011845-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BLANDFORD...SPRINGFIELD...
MILFORD...WORCESTER...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...
WESTERLY...NEWPORT
143 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

HEAVY RAINFALL HAS MOVED OUT OF THE REGION LATE THIS MORNING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REST OF
TODAY...YET...RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING. IN
ADDITION...MANY OF THE RIVERS IN THE AREA HAS CRESTED OR WERE
ALREADY RECEDING.

$$

DUNTEN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Apr 29, 2:51 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 2:51 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
251 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ALLOWING FOR DRY
WEATHER TOWARDS THIS EVENING. THEREAFTER...WILL SEE INCREASING
CHANCES FOR RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE. EXPECT THE HEAVIEST OF RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. SEASONABLY MILD WEATHER THEN FOLLOWS FRIDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND WITH MAINLY DRY WEATHER LIKELY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
230 PM UPDATE...
LOW CLOUDS REMAIN ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION AT 18Z...THOUGH
NOTING CIGS SLOWLY RISING OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS BUT TO THE
N OF OUR CWA. ALSO NOTING SOME THINNING OF THE CLOUDS ACROSS THE
MID AND UPPER CT VALLEY INTO S VT/SW NH. COULD SEE CLOUDS BREAK
OUT FOR A BRIEF TIME...BUT LEADING EDGE OF CLOUD SHIELD WITH
PRECIP WORKING ACROSS NY STATE ALREADY STARTING TO APPROACH THE
NY/NEW ENGLAND BORDER.

PRECIP HAS PRETTY MUCH TAPERED OFF...THOUGH STILL NOTING
A LITTLE BIT TRYING TO WORK IN ACROSS E MA ON LATEST KBOX 88D
RADAR IMAGERY. STILL NOTING A RATHER BRISK E-NE WIND IN PLACE
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST...WHILE THE CLEAR BREAKS OFFSHORE HAVE
PRETTY MUCH FILLED IN.

WITH CLOUDS REMAINING ACROSS THE REGION AND THE E-NE WINDS...
TEMPS HAVE NOT RESPONDED AS PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. HAVE UPDATED
FORECAST TO REFLECT MAX TEMPS A BIT LOWER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST.
HAVE ALSO UPDATED REMAINING GRIDS TO BRING CONDITIONS CURRENT AND
INCORPORATED INTO TRENDS THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
TONIGHT...

BATTLE OF THE AIRMASSES. DRY-SINKING AIR TO THE E ASSOCIATED WITH
CONTINUED SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGING ALOFT AGAINST INCREASING
ISENTROPIC LIFT AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT TO THE W OF SOUTHERLY MOISTURE
AHEAD OF THE CENTRAL CONUS LOW.

SOME CHALLENGES AS TO THE SPATIAL- AND TEMPORAL-CHARACTERISTICS OF
ADVECTING RAIN E. AGREE WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECASTER OF MODELS
TENDING TO BREAKDOWN BLOCKING PATTERNS QUICKLY. FAVOR THE LINGERING
INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WITH THE SURGE OF WARMER AIR AHEAD OF THE
CENTRAL CONUS LOW. PER DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS WILL
KEEP THE BEST RAIN CHANCES OVER AND TO THE W OF THE CT-RIVER VALLEY.
LIKELY TO SEE INCREASING AND LOWERING MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WITH THE
RIDGE ALOFT PUSHING E SO EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS.

CHILLY RAIN WITH LOWS DOWN AROUND THE MID- TO UPPER-30S. ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS ARE ALL ABOVE FREEZING BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND JUST ALOFT.

WEDNESDAY...

RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH E ALLOWING FOR
INCREASING INFLUENCE OF SOUTHERLY MOIST FLOW INTO THE REGION. YET
BEST ASCENT...LIFT...AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH DEEPEST
AND ROBUST MOISTURE WILL REMAIN S AND W OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECTING
WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN TO DEVELOP OVER S NEW ENGLAND...THE HEAVIEST
OF WHICH WILL BE W ACROSS THE CT-RIVER VALLEY. NO THUNDER WITH THE
FORECAST.

TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUBSEQUENTLY RESULT IN BREEZY E/SE
WINDS WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH /STRONGEST ALONG THE S-COAST/. CLOUDS
AND WET WEATHER WILL NET TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE DAY BELOW-NORMAL
/AROUND THE MID-40S/.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* SOAKING/WIND-SWEPT RAIN EXPECTED WED NIGHT INTO THU
* COOL TEMPS WED NIGHT THEN MODERATING THU AND INTO THE WEEKEND

HIGH AMPLITUDE BLOCK PATTERN CURRENTLY IN PLACE FEATURING A NEGATIVE
NAO AND AO COMBINED WITH A POSITIVE PNA...YIELDING AN UNSETTLED
WEATHER HERE LATE WED INTO THU.  MORE SPECIFICALLY...UPPER AIR
CONFIGURATION TODAY FEATURES A REX BLOCK WITH A CLOSED ANTICYCLONE
OVER HUDSON BAY AND A CLOSED LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS
PATTERN HAS PRODUCED SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE GULF STATES INTO THE TN
VLY LATE MON INTO LAST NIGHT.

AS THE PATTERN SHIFTS EAST THE FLOW CONFIGURATION WILL TRANSITION TO
MORE OF AN OMEGA BLOCK BY WED/THU...WITH FULL LATITUDE TROUGH OVER
THE MS VLY TRANSPORTING A DEEP PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE
LOWER LATITUDES POLEWARD INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. STRONG JET
DYNAMICS /WIND FIELDS +2 TO +3 STD/ WITHIN THIS PLUME YIELD PWATS OF
+3 STD ADVECTING UP THE EAST COAST INTO NEW ENGLAND WED NIGHT INTO
THU MORNING. IN ADDITION LOTS OF CURVATURE WITHIN THE UPPER LEVEL
JET STREAK WITH ITS RRQ OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND 12Z THU. THIS WILL
ENHANCE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE.

GIVEN ALL THESE PARAMETERS COMMENCE WED NIGHT INTO THU MORNING THIS
WILL BE THE WINDOW OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL...AND POSSIBLY LINGERING
INTO THU AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN MA. EXACT QPF WILL BE TRICK GIVEN
UPSTREAM CONVECTION OVER THE MID ATLC STATES MAY ROB DEEPER MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY FROM ADVECTING NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
THIS MAY BE WHY MOST RECENT RUNS OF THE 00Z GEFS AND ECMWF HAVE
SHIFTED THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST QPF FARTHER SOUTHWEST AWAY FROM
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. GIVEN THIS UNCERTAINTY AND THE FACT THAT ANY
FLOODING WOULD NOT OCCUR UNTIL THE 4TH PERIOD/THU MORNING...WILL
HOLD OFF ON FLOOD WATCHES AT THE MOMENT AND GIVE THE DAY SHIFT AN
OPPORTUNITY TO ANALYZE 12Z MODEL TRENDS.

ALSO GIVEN THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW THIS WILL BE A WINDSWEPT RAIN WED
NIGHT INTO THU MORNING ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN OF RI AND
EASTERN MA...INCLUDING THE BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE CORRIDOR TO CAPE COD
AND THE ISLANDS.

LOW RISK OF SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION LATE WED NIGHT INTO THU MORNING
AS WARM OCCLUSION APPROACHES THE REGION AND THEN OVERSPREADS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. COULD SEE SOME LOW TOP SURFACE BASED CONVECTION
THU AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT AS TEMPS
APPROACH 70...DEW PTS NEAR 60 AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THUS LOW
RISK OF A FEW GUSTY SHOWERS OR ISOLATED TSTM ESPECIALLY WESTERN
CT/MA.

BY THU NIGHT OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE WITH UPPER AIR PATTERN
BEGINNING TO DEAMPLIFY WHICH YIELDS A BROAD LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH
OVER THE GREAT LAKES...YIELDING WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW INTO NEW ENGLAND
FRI/SAT BUT THEN THE MEAN MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST CLOSER
TO NEW ENGLAND SUN/MON. THIS YIELDS MORE CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLDER
TEMPS ALOFT OVER THE REGION SUN/MON. AS A RESULT RISK OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL BE GREATEST SUN/MON WITH DRIER WEATHER LIKELY FRI/SAT.

AS FOR TEMPS...MILD FRI AND SAT WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S BUT THEN
COOLING OFF SOMEWHAT SUN/MON AS COLDER TEMPS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH
LOW AMPLITUDE MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS SUN/MON
LIKELY IN THE U50S AND L60S...SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE WITH
TRENDS BUT LOWER CONFIDENCE CONCERNING SPECIFIC TIMING OF IMPACTS.

THROUGH 00Z...MAINLY MVFR CIGS...WITH LOW END VFR CIGS ACROSS
INTERIOR. MAY SEE BREAK IN CLOUD DECK ACROSS NW MA/SW NH BRIEFLY.
VFR VSBYS.

TONIGHT...CIGS BRIEFLY IMPROVING TO VFR...THEN LOWERING AGAIN TO
MVFR FROM W-E AFTER 03Z. VSBYS MAINLY VFR...BUT MAY SEE LOCAL MVFR
AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS CT VALLEY INTO CENTRAL MA/S NH AS -RA MOVES
E. E WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KT ALONG S COAST.

WEDNESDAY...MAINLY MVFR CIGS/VFR VSBYS TO START...THEN
DETERIORATING TO IFR DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM W-E AS HEAVIER
RAIN MOVES IN. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING ACROSS S COASTAL AREAS. E
WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KT ACROSS S COASTAL AREAS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO GENERAL IFR WITH POCKETS
OF LIFR IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAINLY ACROSS N CT/SW MA INTO W
RI AS NIGHT PROGRESSES. CHANCE FOR TSTMS ACROSS N CT/RI MAINLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SE WINDS GUSTING TO 25 KT.

MID-LEVEL CLOUDS OVERNIGHT LOWERING TOWARDS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
THROUGH THE DAY TO LOW-END VFR / MVFR...INCREASING -SHRA CHANCES
INTO THE CT-RIVER VALLEY SLOWLY SPREADING E WITH POTENTIAL MVFR VSBY
IMPACTS /MAINLY ACROSS THE LOWER CT-VALLEY/. EXACT TIMING OF ONSET
REMAINS UNCERTAIN. WINDS SHIFTING SE WITH CONTINUED GUSTS AROUND 25
KTS.

KBOS TERMINAL...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

KBDL TERMINAL...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THURSDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. A MIX OF IFR/MVFR IN RAIN...HEAVY
AT TIMES. WIND GUSTS MAY REACH ABOUT 20-25 KT WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF SOME LLWS. LOW RISK OF ISOLATED TSTMS. IMPROVING TREND THU
NIGHT.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. MAINLY VFR AND DRY.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...HIGH CONFIDENCE.

THROUGH 00Z...E-NE WINDS GUSTING TO 25-30 KT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
E COAST AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE CAPE AND ISLANDS INTO THE E
BAYS/SOUNDS. SWELLS UP TO 9 FT ON THE EASTERN OPEN WATERS WHICH
WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON BUT REMAIN ABOVE 5 FT.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR THE WATERS
OUTSIDE THE INNER HARBORS AND BAYS WITH THE THREAT OF SEAS OVER 5
FEET AND E-SE WINDS GUSTING AROUND 25 KTS. AMPLIFICATION OF
PARAMETERS IN RESPONSE TO THE STORM SYSTEM PROGRESSING E OUT OF
THE CENTRAL CONUS TOWARDS THE NE CONUS.

OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...

WED NIGHT INTO THU...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT ALONG WITH BUILDING SEAS. VSBY REDUCED 1-3
MILES IN HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES. IMPROVING THU NIGHT WITH A WIND SHIFT
TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST.

FRI/SAT...IMPROVING CONDITIONS WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE MOVING OFFSHORE
THU NIGHT. SEAS REMAIN ROUGH FRI ON THE OCEAN WATERS FROM LEFT OVER
SE SWELLS COMBINED WITH WEST WINDS. GOOD VSBY AND DRY WEATHER BOTH
DAYS.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ231>234.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ230.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ235-237-
     250-251-254>256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOCERA/SIPPRELL
NEAR TERM...EVT
SHORT TERM...SIPPRELL
LONG TERM...NOCERA
AVIATION...NOCERA/SIPPRELL
MARINE...NOCERA/SIPPRELL/EVT
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 4:21 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
421 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

MAZ002>008-010-012>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ005-007-008-302030-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
421 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A PERIOD OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE PROBABILITY THAT THIS HEAVY
RAIN MAY LEAD TO URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IN SOME AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-RIZ001>004-006-302030-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
421 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-302030-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
421 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST GALES ON
THURSDAY.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.BOSTON.GOV

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

Nearby

Flood Watches in Rhode Island, 2014Flood Watches in Massachusetts, 2014Flood Watches in Connecticut, 2014Every flood watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.