Special Weather Statement, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
249 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2014

.DISCUSSION...

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE BROUGHT INCREASED MOISTURE BACK TO
CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH DEWPOINTS NOW AT 60 DEGREES
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST. THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MENTIONED IN THE
EARLIER DISCUSSION...A RESULT OF CONVECTION ACROSS MISSISSIPPI
THIS MORNING...CROSSED THE I-20 CORRIDOR AND A COUPLE THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPED AND PUSHED NORTHEASTWARD. STILL LOOKING BACK TO THE
NORTHWEST FOR DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG SHORTWAVE
ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THE LARGER TROUGH OVER MUCH OF THE
EASTERN CONUS.

INSTABILITY WITHIN THE AIRMASS TO THE NORTH AND WEST IS BECOMING
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE...WITH CAPE VALUES NOW OVER 1000 J/KG. THIS
IS ALSO THE AREA OF BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SHORT WAVE. AS OF 1930Z...SEEING SHOWER DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHWEST ALABAMA INCREASE AND PUSH
TO THE NORTHEAST. FORCING IS NOT QUITE AS GOOD THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOW LEVEL JET TO OUR NORTH AND
UPPER LEVEL JET NOT NOSING INTO THE AREA UNTIL TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...INSTABILITY AND SHEAR VALUES ARE HIGH ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN
THUNDERSTORM UPDRAFTS AND A LOW CONFIDENCE MENTION OF SEVERE IN
THE HWO FOR THROUGH THIS EVENING.

THE STORM ACROSS EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON WAS NOT A
NECESSARILY TALL STORM BUT IT DID PRODUCE SMALL HAIL. EXPECT ANY
THUNDERSTORM THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL POSE A HAIL THREAT. NEAR TERM
GUIDANCE REMAINS INCONSISTENT IN HANDLING THE IMPULSES ROTATING
AROUND THE TROUGH AND WHICH ONES PRODUCE ORGANIZED CONVECTION
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THEY DO GENERALLY SHOW SCATTERED STORMS
TONIGHT...WITH A MORE ORGANIZED LINE OF STORMS MOVING INTO
LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-20 LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
WILL MAINTAIN HIGH POPS FOR THOSE PERIODS. A WEAK FRONT FINALLY
PUSHES INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY AS THE MAIN TROUGH
EJECTS TO THE EAST. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A COUPLE DRY PERIODS
AROUND MID WEEK.

14
&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 00Z EXCEPT NEAR CONVECTIVE AREAS.
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR
REMAINS AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH UPPER TROUGH PASSING
NEARBY. BETTER CHANCES OF SEEING SOME THUNDERSTORMS AS WE APPROACH
THE EARLY EVENING SO INCLUDED VCTS FOR THE EVENING HOURS AS STORMS
DEVELOP TO THE NORTH AND MOVE SOUTH. WINDS FROM THE SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST. STILL NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING SIGNIFICANT NEAR MGM AND
TOI AT THIS TIME.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL BEGIN ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA. THE FORECAST WILL BEGIN OCTOBER 5TH AT 00Z
AND LAST THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     57  81  60  83  56 /  70  60  30  10  10
ANNISTON    60  81  62  84  59 /  60  40  30  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  63  82  65  83  61 /  60  40  30  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  61  85  64  85  60 /  60  30  30  10  10
CALERA      61  83  63  84  60 /  50  30  20  10  10
AUBURN      60  81  64  84  63 /  30  10  10  10  10
MONTGOMERY  60  86  61  86  60 /  30  10  10  10  10
TROY        58  84  60  85  59 /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1239 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2014

ALZ011>015-017>050-071745-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
1239 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM
AROUND 2 PM TO 8 PM AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY. THE MAIN THREAT AREA WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM VERNON TO CORDOVA. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE
NEEDED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
421 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2014

ALZ014-062200-
WINSTON AL-
421 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN WINSTON COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM CDT...

AT 421 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ASHRIDGE...OR 9 MILES EAST OF HALEYVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  WINSTON FREE STATE BARN...
  DOUBLE SPRINGS...
  HOUSTON RECREATIONAL AREA...
  MORELAND...
  BRUSHY LAKE...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3430 8733 3430 8711 3430 8710 3419 8710
      3413 8711 3414 8745 3431 8745 3431 8734
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 266DEG 30KT 3423 8743

19

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
513 PM CDT MON OCT 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             ADDISON                 34.20N 87.18W
10/06/2014  E1.00 INCH       WINSTON            AL   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN ADDISON. RELAYED VIA
            SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

TGOGGINS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
523 PM CDT MON OCT 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0518 PM     HAIL             3 W ARLEY               34.09N 87.25W
10/06/2014  E0.50 INCH       WINSTON            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DIME SIZE HAIL FALLING AT THIS TIME ALONG CR 3135 IN THE
            YELLOW CREEK AREA.

&&

TGOGGINS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
530 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2014

ALZ014-017-062300-
BLOUNT AL-WINSTON AL-
530 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WINSTON AND NORTHERN
BLOUNT COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 530 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR ARLEY...AND A SECOND STORM NEAR DOUBLE
SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  BLOUNTSVILLE...
  HELICON...
  NESMITH...
  ADDISON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...
  ADDISON TOWN HALL...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3411 8710 3409 8668 3415 8659 3409 8657
      3407 8670 3409 8671 3409 8675 3411 8710
      3401 8712 3400 8729 3415 8741 3422 8710
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 255DEG 29KT 3408 8714

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
618 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2014

ALZ017-070000-
BLOUNT AL-
618 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BLOUNT COUNTY UNTIL
700 PM CDT...

AT 619 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES WEST OF BLOUNTSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  BLOUNTSVILLE...
  STRAWBERRY...
  BROOKSVILLE...
  SUSAN MOORE...
  SNEAD...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8644 3411 8630 3406 8633 3404 8671
      3409 8671 3409 8666 3413 8663 3412 8661
      3418 8656 3420 8656 3425 8653 3427 8649
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 263DEG 28KT 3413 8669

19