Alert archive / North Dakota / Wind Chill Advisories in 2014

Wind Chill Advisory 2, NWS Bismarck, ND

January 20, 201418 counties in North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this wind chill advisory at Jan 20, 2014, 4:15 AM CST for 18 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Jan 20, 2014, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for 27 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 20, 2014, 4:15 AM CST (10:15 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 20, 2014, 6:00 AM CST
Expired
Jan 21, 2014, 8:48 AM CST
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND

Counties Bottineau County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Wells County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2014-01-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2014-01-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1273 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

610 
WWUS43 KBIS 201015
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
415 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
TODAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...

.ARCTIC AIR BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO NORTH
DAKOTA TODAY AND TONIGHT. BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL REACH 15 TO 25 MPH TODAY...AND DECREASE TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATER
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE DROPPING DURING THE DAYTIME
TODAY...AND REACH LOWS TONIGHT OF 5 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. THE
COMBINATION OF WINDS AND ARCTIC AIR WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW
AS 35 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. PLACES LIKE STANLEY...GARRISON...
BISMARCK...LINTON...AND POINTS EAST WILL EXPERIENCE THESE LOW WIND
CHILLS. 

CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING ON
TUESDAY AS WARM AIR BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST.

THESE LOW WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO
HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE
SHOULD BE SURE TO WEAR PROPER CLOTHING.

NDZ004-005-013-201815-
/O.NEW.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.140120T1200Z-140121T1500Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-PIERCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...RUGBY
415 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND
  CHILLS THIS COLD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST
VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

NDZ002-003-010-011-021-035-046-201815-
/O.NEW.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.140120T1500Z-140121T0600Z/
BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCLEAN-BURLEIGH-EMMONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT...
GARRISON...BISMARCK...LINTON
415 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
CST TONIGHT. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND
  CHILLS THIS COLD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST
VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

NDZ012-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-201815-
/O.NEW.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.140120T1500Z-140121T1500Z/
MCHENRY-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-
MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOWNER...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...
CARRINGTON...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...
OAKES
415 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 AM
CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 AM CST
TUESDAY. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND
  CHILLS THIS COLD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST
VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

JV
9 follow-up statements
233 
WWUS43 KBIS 201232
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
632 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
TODAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...

.ARCTIC AIR BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO NORTH
DAKOTA TODAY AND TONIGHT. BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL REACH 15 TO 25 MPH TODAY...AND DECREASE TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATER
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE DROPPING DURING THE DAYTIME TODAY...
AND REACH LOWS TONIGHT OF 5 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF
WINDS AND ARCTIC AIR WILL BRING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 35 BELOW
ZERO AT TIMES. PLACES LIKE STANLEY...GARRISON... BISMARCK...
LINTON...AND POINTS EAST WILL EXPERIENCE THESE LOW WIND CHILLS.

CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING ON
TUESDAY AS WARM AIR BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST.

THESE LOW WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO
HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE
SHOULD BE SURE TO WEAR PROPER CLOTHING.

NDZ004-005-013-202045-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-PIERCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...RUGBY
632 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST
VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

NDZ002-003-010-011-021-035-046-202045-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.140120T1500Z-140121T0600Z/
BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCLEAN-BURLEIGH-EMMONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT...
GARRISON...BISMARCK...LINTON
632 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST
VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

NDZ012-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-202045-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.140120T1500Z-140121T1500Z/
MCHENRY-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-
MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOWNER...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...
CARRINGTON...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...
OAKES
632 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST
VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$


JV
565 
WWUS43 KBIS 201458
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
858 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
TODAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...

.BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND
DECREASE TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
DROPPING THROUGH THE DAY... AND REACH LOWS TONIGHT OF 5 TO 20 BELOW
ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AND ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS
AS LOW AS 35 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. PLACES LIKE
STANLEY...GARRISON... BISMARCK...LINTON...AND POINTS EAST WILL
EXPERIENCE THESE LOW WIND CHILLS.

CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING ON
TUESDAY AS WARM AIR BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST.

THESE LOW WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO
HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE
SHOULD BE SURE TO WEAR PROPER CLOTHING.

NDZ004-005-013-202300-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-PIERCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...RUGBY
858 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST
VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

NDZ002-003-010-011-021-035-046-202300-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.140120T1500Z-140121T0600Z/
BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCLEAN-BURLEIGH-EMMONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT...
GARRISON...BISMARCK...LINTON
858 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST
VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

NDZ012-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-202300-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.140120T1500Z-140121T1500Z/
MCHENRY-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-
MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOWNER...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...
CARRINGTON...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...
OAKES
858 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST
VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

RP KINNEY/JV
660 
WWUS43 KBIS 201814
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1214 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

.BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH RAPIDLY
FALLING TEMPERATURES TO CAUSE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 35 BELOW ZERO
ALONG AND EAST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 83. DESPITE DIMINISHING WINDS THIS
EVENING...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL PERSIST. THIS WIND
CHILL ADVISORY INCLUDES THE CITIES OF STANLEY...GARRISON...
BISMARCK...LINTON... HARVEY...BOTTINEAU...RUGBY...JAMESTOWN AND
ELLENDALE.

CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE DURING THE MORNING ON TUESDAY AS WARM
AIR BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST.

WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO WILL CAUSE FROST BITE IF PRECAUTIONS
ARE NOT TAKEN. PACK A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT IF YOU ARE TRAVELING.

NDZ002-003-010-011-021-035-046-210215-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T0600Z/
BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCLEAN-BURLEIGH-EMMONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT...
GARRISON...BISMARCK...LINTON
1214 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-210215-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...TOWNER...RUGBY...
MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...NAPOLEON...
EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
1214 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 

&&

$$

SCHECK/KS
764 
WWUS43 KBIS 202309
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
509 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

.NORTHERLY WINDS UP TO 10 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH RAPIDLY FALLING
SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES TO CAUSE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 35 BELOW
ZERO ALONG AND EAST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 83. THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY
INCLUDES THE CITIES OF STANLEY...GARRISON...BISMARCK...LINTON...
MINOT...HARVEY...BOTTINEAU...RUGBY...JAMESTOWN AND ELLENDALE.

CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY
AROUND MIDNIGHT IN AREAS LIKE STANLEY...MINOT...GARRISON...
BISMARCK AND LINTON. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY...IN AREAS
SUCH AS ROLLA...RUGBY...HARVEY AND JAMESTOWN WILL SEE DANGEROUS
WIND CHILLS PERSIST THROUGH MID MORNING TUESDAY.

WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO WILL CAUSE FROST BITE IF PRECAUTIONS
ARE NOT TAKEN. PACK A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT IF YOU ARE TRAVELING.

NDZ002-003-010-011-021-035-046-210600-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T0600Z/
BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCLEAN-BURLEIGH-EMMONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT...
GARRISON...BISMARCK...LINTON
509 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-210715-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...TOWNER...RUGBY...
MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...NAPOLEON...
EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
509 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$
TWH
157 
WWUS43 KBIS 210403
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1003 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

.NORTHERLY WINDS UP TO 10 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH SUB-ZERO
TEMPERATURES TO CAUSE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 35 BELOW ZERO ALONG
AND EAST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 83. THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY INCLUDES THE
CITIES OF STANLEY...GARRISON...BISMARCK...LINTON...MINOT...
HARVEY...BOTTINEAU...RUGBY...JAMESTOWN AND ELLENDALE.

CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE IN AREAS LIKE STANLEY...MINOT...
GARRISON...BISMARCK AND LINTON AROUND MIDNIGHT. AREAS SUCH AS
ROLLA...RUGBY...HARVEY AND JAMESTOWN WILL SEE DANGEROUS WIND
CHILLS PERSIST THROUGH MID MORNING TUESDAY.

WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO WILL CAUSE FROST BITE IF PRECAUTIONS
ARE NOT TAKEN. PACK A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT IF YOU ARE TRAVELING.

NDZ002-003-010-011-021-035-046-210600-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T0600Z/
BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCLEAN-BURLEIGH-EMMONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT...
GARRISON...BISMARCK...LINTON
1003 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-211215-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...TOWNER...RUGBY...
MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...NAPOLEON...
EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
1003 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$
TWH
553 
WWUS43 KBIS 210607
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1207 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.SOUTHERLY WINDS UP TO 10 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH SUB-ZERO
TEMPERATURES TO CAUSE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 35 BELOW ZERO EAST OF
U.S. HIGHWAY 83. THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY INCLUDES THE CITIES OF
BOTTINEAU...RUGBY...HARVEY...ASHLEY...JAMESTOWN AND ELLENDALE.

CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED IN AREAS LIKE STANLEY...MINOT...
GARRISON...BISMARCK AND LINTON...WHERE THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. AREAS SUCH AS ROLLA...RUGBY...HARVEY AND
JAMESTOWN WILL SEE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS PERSIST THROUGH MID
MORNING TUESDAY.

WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO WILL CAUSE FROST BITE IF PRECAUTIONS
ARE NOT TAKEN. PACK A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT IF YOU ARE TRAVELING.

NDZ002-003-010-011-021-035-046-210715-
/O.EXP.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T0600Z/
BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCLEAN-BURLEIGH-EMMONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT...
GARRISON...BISMARCK...LINTON
1207 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

A SLIGHT RISE IN TEMPERATURES HAS DIMINISHED THE THREAT OF WIND
CHILLS...WITH WIND CHILLS EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE THE ADVISORY THRESHOLD
OF 25 BELOW ZERO.

$$

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-211415-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...TOWNER...RUGBY...
MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...NAPOLEON...
EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
1207 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

JV
474 
WWUS43 KBIS 210936
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
336 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH 9 AM CST...

.SOUTHERLY WINDS OF AROUND 10 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH SUB-ZERO
TEMPERATURES TO CAUSE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 30 BELOW ZERO EAST OF
U.S. HIGHWAY 83. THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY INCLUDES THE CITIES OF
BOTTINEAU...RUGBY...HARVEY...ASHLEY...JAMESTOWN AND ELLENDALE.

THESE AREAS WILL SEE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS PERSIST THROUGH MID
MORNING.

WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO WILL CAUSE FROST BITE IF PRECAUTIONS
ARE NOT TAKEN. PACK A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT IF YOU ARE TRAVELING.

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-211500-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...TOWNER...RUGBY...
MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...NAPOLEON...
EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
336 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

JV
590 
WWUS43 KBIS 211233
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
633 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE JAMES RIVER
VALLEY THROUGH 9 AM CST...

.SOUTHERLY WINDS OF AROUND 10 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH SUB-ZERO
TEMPERATURES TO CAUSE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 30 BELOW ZERO OVER THE
JAMES RIVER VALLEY. THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY INCLUDES THE CITIES
OF CARRINGTON...JAMESTOWN...LA MOURE...AND ELLENDALE.

THESE AREAS WILL SEE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS PERSIST THROUGH MID
MORNING.

WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO WILL CAUSE FROST BITE IF PRECAUTIONS
ARE NOT TAKEN. PACK A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT IF YOU ARE TRAVELING.

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-036-047-050-211345-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-KIDDER-LOGAN-
MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...TOWNER...RUGBY...
MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...STEELE...NAPOLEON...ASHLEY
633 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 

A SLIGHT RISE IN TEMPERATURES HAS DIMINISHED THE THREAT OF WIND
CHILLS...WITH WIND CHILLS EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE THE ADVISORY THRESHOLD
OF 25 BELOW ZERO.

$$

NDZ025-037-048-051-211500-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
FOSTER-STUTSMAN-LA MOURE-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRINGTON...JAMESTOWN...EDGELEY...
OAKES
633 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILLS TO 30 BELOW ZERO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN CAN FREEZE IN MINUTES WITH WIND 
  CHILLS THIS COLD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND VERY COLD
AIR WILL CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE
AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

TM
587 
WWUS43 KBIS 211448
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
848 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY CANCELED FOR THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY...

.WIND CHILLS HAVE RISEN ABOVE THE THRESHOLD FOR AN ADVISORY...25
BELOW ZERO...AND SO THE ADVISORY IS CANCELED.

NDZ025-037-048-051-211600-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140121T1500Z/
FOSTER-STUTSMAN-LA MOURE-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRINGTON...JAMESTOWN...EDGELEY...
OAKES
848 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND THE TEMPERATURE HAS RISEN. THE ADVISORY
IS CANCELED.

$$

JP MARTIN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Jan 20, 12:55 AM CST, 3 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 20, 12:55 AM CST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1255 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1255 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

ARCTIC FRONT EXTENDED FROM NEAR REGINA SASKATCHEWAN SOUTHEASTWARD TO
JUST EAST OF MINOT AND JAMESTOWN. MINOT WAS AT 35 DEGREES BUT RUGBY
WAS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE FRONT AT 14 AND REPORTING LIGHT SNOW.
JAMESTOWN WAS AT 29 WITH NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE WARM SIDE...BUT
VALLEY CITY WAS AT 19 WITH NORTHEAST WINDS. THE FRONT WAS NEAR
HARVEY WITH LIGHT SNOW AND CALM WINDS AT 27 DEGREES...AND CARRINGTON
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LIGHT SNOW WITH 25 DEGREES. THE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...AND CONTINUED
UPPER LEVEL ENERGY MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE COMBINED WITH
THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT LIGHT SNOW. THE TEMPERATURE CONTRAST ACROSS
THE FRONT IS STEEP...AND THERE MAY BE A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN WITH THE
LIGHT SNOW FOR A SHORT TIME AS THE COLD AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE
FRONT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATED MINOT COULD SEE RAIN OR SNOW
(AND THE MINOT AIR BASE REPORTED LIGHT RAIN FOR A SHORT TIME LATE
SUNDAY EVENING). BISMARCK COULD ALSO SEE A SHORT PERIOD OF LIGHT
RAIN...BUT THE JAMESTOWN SOUNDING INDICATED ALL SNOW THERE.

CURRENT FORECAST SNOW AMOUNTS SEEM ON TRACK.

NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TONIGHT TO 25 TO 30 MPH...AND LATER THIS MORNING AS THE
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO SOUTH DAKOTA THE NORTH WINDS ARE
PROGGED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH AS WELL.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 949 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2014

LOW PRESSURE TROUGH SITUATED FROM NEAR REGINA SASKATCHEWAN
SOUTHEAST THROUGH MINOT AND JAMESTOWN. UPPER LEVEL WAVE ON WV
IMAGERY IS CURRENTLY DROPPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHERN
SASKATCHEWAN. AREA OF LIGHT SNOW CURRENTLY INDICATED OVER RENVILLE
AND WESTERN BOTTINEAU COUNTY WITH LIGHTER REFLECTIVITIES NORTHWARD
INTO FAR SOUTHEAST SASKATCHEWAN AND SOUTHWEST MANITOBA. LATEST
MESOSCALE MODELS TRACK THIS AREA OF SNOW SOUTHEAST WITH MORE LIGHT
SNOW FILLING IN FROM THE NORTH AFTER 06 UTC...ASSOCIATED WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE. CURRENT FORECAST TEMPERATURES LOOK
REASONABLE. MAIN ADJUSTMENTS WITH THE EVENING UPDATE WERE UPDATES
TO HOURLY POPS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING BASED ON CURRENT
RADAR...AND FUTURE POPS BASED ON 02Z RAP AND 00Z NAM.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 635 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2014

LOW STRATUS REMAINS OVER NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...JUST EAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA...WITH INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS FROM
THE WEST. MAIN UPDATE THIS EVENING WAS TO CUT BACK ON POPS OVER
THE EASTERN CWA THIS EVENING. COULD BE A FLURRY OR TWO IN THE
STRATUS AND THAT SHOULD SPREAD WEST LATER TONIGHT. SURFACE LOW
WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN THIS
EVENING. 22Z HRRR AND 23Z RAP MESOSCALE MODELS ARE INDICATING
INCREASING POPS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AFTER 06Z. ALSO ADJUSTED SKY
COVER BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)

ISSUED AT 237 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2014

THE MAIN FOCUS OF TODAY'S FORECAST IS WIND TOMORROW. 12 UTC
NAM/GFS SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A COUPLE HOUR
PERIOD OF FAVORABLE MIXING CONDITIONS WITH WINDS A LITTLE OVER 40
KNOTS AT THE TOP OF THE MIXED LAYER. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY AS THE GFS IS MUCH FASTER TO SQUASH MIXING THAN THE
NAM...SUGGESTING THAT GOOD DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER MAY NOT EVEN
MATERIALIZE. THE FORECAST REMAINS BELOW WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA...BUT THAT WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY.

RIGHT NOW...THE BACKDOOR COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD THE
TURTLE MOUNTAINS SHOULD SPEED UP ONCE THE WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTER
OVER SOUTHEASTERN SASKATCHEWAN SLIDES ACROSS THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN
THIS EVENING. LIGHT SNOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL ZONE...AND
THERE IS GREAT MODEL AGREEMENT THAT UP TO 2 INCHES WILL FALL ALONG
THE U.S. HIGHWAY 83 CORRIDOR AND EAST.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)

ISSUED AT 237 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2014

THE NORTHERN PLAINS REMAINS UNDER A QUASI-ACTIVE NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT DURING ALL OF THE COMING WORK WEEK AND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
WILL SEE SEVERAL EMBEDDED S/WV'S TRAVERSING NORTH DAKOTA WITHIN THE
FLOW ALOFT BRINGING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
NON-DIURNAL TEMPERATURE SWINGS.

THE LONG TERM BEGINS MONDAY NIGHT WITH A STRONG 1040MB SURFACE HIGH
PROPAGATING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE DAKOTAS TOWARDS THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. TUESDAY MORNING LOWS WILL NEAR 20 BELOW
OVER MY EAST...BUT SHOULD REMAIN CLOSER TO 15 BELOW WITH CLOUDS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE THERE AFTER MIDNIGHT. WARMER WEST...ZERO TO THE
SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE...THANKS TO RETURN FLOW/WEAK WAA.

FIRST IN A SERIES OF EMBEDDED IMPULSES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A BROADER S/WV TROUGH WEDNESDAY. EACH OF THESE
FEATURES WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SNOW...THE FIRST ACROSS THE EASTERN
THIRD OF THE STATE (GRAZING MY FAR EASTERN COUNTIES) AND THE SECOND
MORE WIDESPREAD WITH LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WEST AND CENTRAL ND. LIMITED
MOISTURE WITH EACH FEATURE SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. THE TROUGH ON WEDNESDAY WILL BRING STRONG CAA
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS...WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES LIKELY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH WIND SPEEDS NEAR
10KTS...WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE WIND CHILL HEADLINES
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING
WITH SUBZERO TEMPERATURES.

MODEL UNCERTAINTY INCREASES FROM THE END OF THE WORK WEEK THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND. BOTH THE 12Z GFS AND ECMWF DIFFER ON THE TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF POSSIBLE WAVES MOVING THROUGH IN THE FLOW ALOFT...AND
ARE ALSO FLUCTUATING MODEL RUN TO RUN. OVERALL...THE ACTIVE PATTERN
REMAINS IN PLACE...WITH THE THERMAL BOUNDARY REMAINING
QUASI-STATIONARY WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES NORTHEAST AND WARMER
SOUTHWEST. THE VERY COLD AIR PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED FOR NEXT WEEKEND
IS NOW CONSISTENTLY (OVER THE LAST 3-4 GFS/ECMWF RUNS) BEING
DEPICTED TO REMAIN WELL TO OUR EAST OVER THE GREAT LAKES...ALTHOUGH
WE MAY STILL EXPERIENCE THE WESTERN EDGE OF THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1255 AM CST MON JAN 20 2014

MVFR TO IFR STRATUS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD OVER ALL TAF SITES TONIGHT. SNOW WILL LAG THE CLOUDS BY
A FEW HOURS AT KJMS/KMOT/KBIS. SOME BLOWING SNOW IS POSSIBLE...BUT
IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON AMOUNT AND TIMING OF SNOWFALL.
THEREAFTER...LOW STRATUS WILL LIKELY REMAIN THROUGH THE MORNING
THEN DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON MONDAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT INCREASING TO 20-25 KNOTS. WINDS
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT BECOME NORTHERLY...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
KNOTS. WINDS DECREASING MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...JV
SHORT TERM...SCHECK
LONG TERM...NH
AVIATION...JV
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 2:49 PM CST, 13 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
249 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2014

NDZ002>005-010>013-019>023-025-034>037-046>048-050-051-202100-
BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE-
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
249 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

UP TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST ALONG AND EAST OF U.S. HIGHWAY
83 BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY BLOWING SNOW IN
THE SOUTHWEST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WIND CHILL VALUES TO 30 BELOW ZERO ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT...AND
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ001-009-017-018-031>033-040>045-202100-
DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-
HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
249 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2014 /149 PM MST SUN JAN 19 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A PERIOD OF NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 40 MPH IS FORECAST
TOMORROW LATE MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

SCHECK/NH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 20, 4:07 AM CSTWind AdvisoryBISAdams, Billings, Bowman, Divide, Dunn, Emmons and 9 more8 hr
Jan 20, 8:26 AM CSTHigh Wind WarningBISAdams, Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, Hettinger and 2 more3 hr

Nearby

Wind Chill Advisories in North Dakota, 2014Every wind chill advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.