Severe Thunderstorm Warning 61, NWS Bismarck, ND

986 
WWUS53 KBIS 052304
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
604 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

NDC001-041-052345-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-140705T2345Z/
ADAMS ND-HETTINGER ND-
504 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
HETTINGER AND NORTHEASTERN ADAMS COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM MDT...

AT 503 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTH OF
REGENT...OR 21 MILES NORTH OF HETTINGER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOTT...BURT AND BENTLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4608 10238 4621 10262 4638 10273 4646 10205
      4629 10205 4628 10203 4617 10201 4601 10201
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 269DEG 21KT 4629 10250

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HEINERT

139 
WWUS53 KBIS 052320
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
620 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

NDC001-041-052345-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-140705T2345Z/
ADAMS ND-HETTINGER ND-
520 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
HETTINGER AND NORTHEASTERN ADAMS COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM MDT...

AT 518 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF MOTT...OR 23 MILES NORTHEAST OF HETTINGER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOTT...BENTLEY AND BURT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4617 10240 4622 10255 4638 10259 4646 10205
      4629 10205 4628 10203 4617 10201 4612 10201
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 269DEG 21KT 4629 10236

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HEINERT

474 
WWUS53 KBIS 052336
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
636 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

NDC001-052346-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-140705T2345Z/
ADAMS ND-
536 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ADAMS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 4623 10244 4637 10247 4640 10240 4646 10205
      4629 10205 4628 10203 4621 10201 4620 10240
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 260DEG 32KT 4633 10226

$$

NDC041-052345-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-140705T2345Z/
HETTINGER ND-
536 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
HETTINGER COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM MDT...

AT 535 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MOTT...OR 28
MILES NORTH OF LEMMON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER INDICATED 60 MPH WINDS WERE IN      
         MOTT.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURT AND BENTLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A 
STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4623 10244 4637 10247 4640 10240 4646 10205
      4629 10205 4628 10203 4621 10201 4620 10240
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 260DEG 32KT 4633 10226

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HEINERT

181 
WWUS53 KBIS 052346
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
646 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

NDC041-052355-
/O.EXP.KBIS.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-140705T2345Z/
HETTINGER ND-
546 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HETTINGER COUNTY
HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS.  HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL
POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN AFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN 
HETTINGER COUNTY. 

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM MDT. 

LAT...LON 4623 10244 4637 10247 4640 10240 4646 10205
      4629 10205 4628 10203 4621 10201 4620 10240
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 260DEG 32KT 4629 10230

$$

HEINERT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
542 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 534 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

AS OF 2335 UTC...TWO CELLS NEAR SUPERCELL ORGANIZATION HAVE
FORMED ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA. THIS AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH PER SPC MCD #1277. FOLLOWING THE 20/21 UTC
RAP/HRRR...HAVE FOCUSED THE HIGHEST POPS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
I-94 CORRIDOR...WITH THEIR CURRENT HANDLING OF CONVECTION NORTH OF
THE INTERSTATE A BIT OVERDONE WITH THEIR LATEST ITERATIONS. GIVEN
HIGH LCLS AND FREEZING LEVELS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...WITH HAIL GROWTH AND TORNADO POTENTIAL LIMITED BY THE
WARM ENVIRONMENT AND HIGH STORM BASES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)

ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

MODERATELY UNSTABLE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONG
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTENDING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.
STILL HAVE SOME CONVECTIVE INHIBITION TO OVERCOME. SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH MONTANA THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD EVENTUALLY
PROVIDE LIFT ACROSS THE REGION AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LYING
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA SHOULD PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. NAM BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW THERE IS A
NARROW WINDOW FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE WEST BEFORE THE CAPE
VANISHES AND THE FOCUS WILL SHIFT TO THE CENTRAL AND EAST THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WILL MENTION POSSIBILITY OF STRONG WIND AND
LARGE HAIL IN THE FORECAST THIS EVENING AND EARLY MORNING.
LIFTING CONDENSATION LEVELS ARE RELATIVELY HIGH SO TORNADO
THREAT NOT VERY LARGE. ON SUNDAY COOLER NORTHWEST FLOW/LOW LEVEL
COOLING WILL LIMIT THE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. HOWEVER DID ADD A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON NORTHWEST WHERE
JET STREAM ENERGY MIGHT SUPPORT SOME WEAK CONVECTION.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)

ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE PERIODIC
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...ALONG
WITH A COOL PERIOD FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER WARM UP.

OUR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES COME TO AN END AS UPPER LEVEL FLOW
TURNS NORTHWEST. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER
70S NORTH TO LOWER 80S SOUTH THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
THEN BUILDS OVER THE AREA MID TO LATE WEEK BRINGING TEMPERATURES
BACK ABOVE NORMAL.

OUR NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A SERIES OF UPPER
IMPULSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS...KEEPING DAILY THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES IN THE FORECAST...ALTHOUGH ALSO WITH A FEW DRY PERIODS.
WILL SEE A LEAD IMPULSE PUSH THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY
NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE DROPPING THROUGH THE
LOCAL AREA MONDAY/MONDAY EVENING. THE ECMWF STILL SHOWS A STRONGER
WAVE AND A LITTLE FARTHER WEST THAN THE GFS/GEM...BRINGING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. THE GFS/GEM KEEP
PRECIPITATING CONFINED TO MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA INTO EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA. A BLENDED SOLUTION KEEPS A
SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE WEST WITH CHANCE POPS EAST.

THE ECMWF THEN BRINGS ANOTHER STRONGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTO THE
AREA ON FRIDAY WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN
COOLS THINGS DOWN AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THE GFS KEEPS MOST
OF THE ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM WELL NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA...BUT
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH FROM CANADA WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS
MECHANISM FOR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS BOTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY..WITH MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES OVER THE AREA AS WE HEAD
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. BOTH MODELS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT DURING
THIS TIME FRAME SO WE'LL HAVE TO WAIT TO SEE HOW THINGS PLAY OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 534 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. SOME STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. SEE TAF FORECASTS FOR
TIMING AND THREAT DETAILS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

THE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RUNOFF GENERATED BY RECENT HEAVY
RAINFALL HAS CREATED A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN STORAGE AT BOTH
ALAMEDA DAM AND LAKE DARLING. RELEASES FROM ALAMEDA DAM AND LAKE
DARLING DAMS WILL CAUSE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON THE SOURIS
RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF LAKE DARLING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
BACKWATER FROM CANADA WILL CAUSE WESTHOPE TO REMAIN IN MAJOR
FLOOD THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN FALL SLOWLY BACK TO MODERATE
BY MID TO LAKE WEEK.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...AYD
SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...NH
AVIATION...AYD
HYDROLOGY...WAA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
533 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

NDZ002>004-010>012-062245-
BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCHENRY-
533 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

AN OVERLAND FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

A FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LAKE METIGOSHE AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY. RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MANY PARTS OF
THE SOURIS RIVER. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR MORE DETAILS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY
BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND
AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK AT 701-223-4582...OR ON SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/BIS

NDZ005-013-018>023-025-033>037-041-042-044>048-050-051-062245-
ROLETTE-PIERCE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-
STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-HETTINGER-GRANT-ADAMS-SIOUX-
EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
533 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014 /433 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY
BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND
AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK AT 701-223-4582...OR ON SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/BIS

NDZ001-009-017-031-032-040-043-062245-
DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-SLOPE-BOWMAN-
533 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014 /433 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND
AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/BIS

AYD