River Flood Warning 13, NWS Bismarck, ND

686 
WGUS83 KBIS 151633
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1133 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING CREEK IN NORTH 
DAKOTA... 

  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. 

.WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR MINOR 
FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FEET FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS RECENT RISE IS 
DUE TO SNOWMELT RUNOFF FROM THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE BASIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK INTO FLOODED AREAS. 

&&

NDC009-049-162233-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140415T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1133 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 11:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH 
  SUNDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS BACKING UP INTO RAVINES AND 
  GETS TO TOP OF ROAD BY THE GAGE. 

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.3 TUE 11 AM  10.2   10.2   10.2   10.2   10.2

LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      


$$

MM

479 
WGUS83 KBIS 160253
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
953 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...

  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE AFFECTING BOTTINEAU COUNTY...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. 
 
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  

.THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE IS AT MINOR FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 
FEET...AND IS EXPECTED REMAIN THERE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE 
WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY IS AT 10.4 FEET...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
CREST AT 10.7 FEET FRIDAY. THESE RECENT RISES ARE DUE TO SNOWMELT 
RUNOFF FROM THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE BASIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER TOPS THE  
ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. AVOID DRIVING ON FLOODED ROADS.  

A FOLLOW-UP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED.

&&

NDC009-170253-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTN8.1.SM.140416T0600Z.140416T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR MINOR FLOOD 
  STAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER IS ALMOST VALLEY-WIDE, BUT THE AREA 
  FLOODED IS GRASS COVERED AND NO BUILDINGS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WESTHOPE     10 10.0 TUE 9 PM   10.0   10.0   10.0   10.0   10.0


LAT...LON 4900 10099 4900 10093 4886 10090 4875 10080
      4875 10088 4890 10099      

$$

NDC009-049-170253-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140418T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.7 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS BACKING UP INTO RAVINES AND 
  GETS TO TOP OF ROAD BY GAGE.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.4 TUE 9 PM   10.5   10.6   10.7   10.6   10.5


LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      

$$

226 
WGUS83 KBIS 161458
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
958 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE AFFECTING BOTTINEAU COUNTY 

  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE AND THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW 
CITY...MINOR FLOODING IS ONGOING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE. 

.THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE AT 10.1 FEET THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW 
CITY IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO 10.7 FEET ON THURSDAY EVENING AND REMAIN 
NEAR THIS LEVEL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER TOPS THE 
ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. AVOID DRIVING ON FLOODED ROADS. 


A FOLLOW-UP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED.

&&

NDC009-172058-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTN8.1.SM.140416T0345Z.140416T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.1 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER IS ALMOST VALLEY-WIDE, BUT THE AREA 
  FLOODED IS GRASS COVERED AND NO BUILDINGS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WESTHOPE     10 10.1 WED 9 AM   10.1   10.1   10.1   10.1   10.1



LAT...LON 4900 10099 4900 10093 4886 10090 4875 10080
      4875 10088 4890 10099      



$$

NDC009-049-172058-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140418T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.7 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS BACKING UP INTO RAVINES AND 
  GETS TO TOP OF ROAD BY GAGE.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.4 WED 9 AM   10.6   10.7   10.7   10.6   10.4



LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      



$$

AYD

429 
WGUS83 KBIS 170309
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1009 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA... 

  SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE AFFECTING BOTTINEAU COUNTY 
 
  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES 
 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING WESTHOPE AND THE WILLOW CREEK 
NEAR WILLOW CITY...MINOR FLOODING IS ONGOING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. 
 
.THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY IS EXPECTED 
TO RISE TO 10.7 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING AND REMAIN NEAR THIS LEVEL 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 
SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. AVOID DRIVING ON FLOODED ROADS. 
 
&&

NDC009-180309-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTN8.1.SM.140416T0345Z.140416T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1009 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER IS ALMOST VALLEY-WIDE, BUT THE AREA 
  FLOODED IS GRASS COVERED AND NO BUILDINGS ARE AFFECTED. 
 
&&
 
             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WESTHOPE     10 10.0 WED 9 PM   10.1   10.1   10.1   10.1   10.1

LAT...LON 4900 10099 4900 10093 4886 10090 4875 10080
      4875 10088 4890 10099      

$$

NDC009-049-180309-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140418T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1009 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.7 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS BACKING UP INTO RAVINES AND 
  GETS TO TOP OF ROAD BY GAGE. 

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.5 WED 9 PM   10.7   10.7   10.6   10.5   10.3

LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      

$$

712 
WGUS83 KBIS 171457
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
957 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE AFFECTING BOTTINEAU COUNTY 
  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE AND THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW 
CITY...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE. 

.THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR FLOOD 
STAGE OF 10.0 FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW 
CITY IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY RISE TO 10.7 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON... 
REMAINING ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INTO NEXT WEEK. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER TOPS THE 
ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. AVOID DRIVING ON FLOODED ROADS. 


A FOLLOW-UP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED.

&&

NDC009-182057-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTN8.1.SM.140416T0345Z.140416T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
957 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT  9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.0 FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER IS ALMOST VALLEY-WIDE, BUT THE AREA 
  FLOODED IS GRASS COVERED AND NO BUILDINGS ARE AFFECTED. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WESTHOPE     10 10.0 THU 9 AM   10.0   10.0   10.0   10.0   10.0



LAT...LON 4900 10099 4900 10093 4886 10090 4875 10080
      4875 10088 4890 10099      



$$

NDC009-049-182057-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140418T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
957 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT  9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.7 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS BACKING UP INTO RAVINES AND 
  GETS TO TOP OF ROAD BY GAGE. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.6 THU 9 AM   10.6   10.7   10.6   10.4   10.3



LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      



$$

AYD

334 
WGUS83 KBIS 180211
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
911 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA... 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE AFFECTING BOTTINEAU COUNTY 
  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...WESTHOPE...AND WILLOW 
CITY...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS FORECAST.

.FOR THE SOURIS RIVER AT WESTHOPE AND WILLOW CREEK AT WILLOW CITY RUNOFF 
FROM SNOWMELT WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT 
WEEK.
THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM WILL RISE TO JUST ABOVE MINOR FLOOD 
STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A RESULT OF INCREASED RELEASES FROM LAKE 
DARLING AND ALAMEDA DAMS. THIS PROACTIVE EARLY RELEASE IS INTENDED 
TO CREATE MORE ROOM IN THE RESERVOIRS FOR A SERIES OF RAIN EVENTS 
STARTING THIS COMING WEEKEND WHICH WILL LAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF 
NEXT WEEK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK INTO FLOODED AREASS. 

&&

NDC101-190211-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0015.140418T2100Z-140424T0448Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.140418T2100Z.140419T1200Z.140423T1648Z.NO/
911 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
* AT 8:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.4 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...RURAL FLOODING BEGINS.

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10  8.8 THU 8 PM   10.1   10.4   10.4   10.4   10.4


LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      

$$

NDC009-190210-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTN8.1.SM.140416T0345Z.140416T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL REMAIN RIGHT AT FLOOD STAGE 
  INTO NEXT WEEK. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER IS ALMOST VALLEY-WIDE...BUT THE AREA 
  FLOODED IS GRASS COVERED AND NO BUILDINGS ARE AFFECTED.

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WESTHOPE     10  9.9 THU 8 PM   10.0   10.0   10.0   10.0   10.0


LAT...LON 4900 10099 4900 10093 4886 10090 4875 10080
      4875 10088 4890 10099      


$$

NDC009-049-190210-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140418T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE CREEK LEVEL OFF NEAR 10.7 FEET LATE TONIGHT. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS BACKING UP INTO RAVINES AND 
  GETS TO THE TOP OF THE ROAD BY GAGE. 

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.6 THU 8 PM   10.7   10.7   10.6   10.5   10.5


LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      


$$

862 
WGUS83 KBIS 181547
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1047 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 

  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AND THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW 
CITY MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 

.RELEASES FROM LAKE DARLING WILL BE INCREASED TO APPROXIMATELY 1000 
CFS TODAY...AND WILL REMAIN AT THIS LEVEL INTO NEXT WEEK. THESE 
RELEASES WILL CAUSE THE SOURIS RIVER BELOW LAKE DARLING NEAR FOXHOLM 
TO RISE ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE. THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY 
WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.6 FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. AROUND ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER 
OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST ACROSS THE BASIN TONIGHT. A SECOND AND 
STRONGER SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER TOPS THE 
ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. AVOID DRIVING ON FLOODED ROADS. 


A FOLLOW-UP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED.

&&

NDC101-192147-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0015.140419T0400Z-140424T0448Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.140419T0400Z.140419T1200Z.140423T1648Z.NO/
1047 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM. 
* FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
* AT 10:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 10.4 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...RURAL FLOODING BEGINS.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10  9.0 FRI 10 AM  10.4   10.4   10.4   10.4   10.4



LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      



$$

NDC009-049-192146-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140424T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1047 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.6 FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. 
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...OVERFLOW OCCURS ON LEFT BANK.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.7 FRI 10 AM  10.6   10.6   10.6   10.5   10.7



LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      


$$

AYD

807 
WGUS83 KBIS 190344
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1044 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 

  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES 
 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING FOXHOLM...WILLOW CITY...MINOR 
FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
 
.RELEASES FROM LAKE DARLING WERE INCREASED TO APPROXIMATELY 1000 
CFS FRIDAY...AND WILL REMAIN AT THIS LEVEL INTO NEXT WEEK. THESE 
RELEASES WILL CAUSE THE SOURIS RIVER BELOW LAKE DARLING NEAR FOXHOLM 
TO RISE ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE. THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY 
WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.6 FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. AROUND ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER 
OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST ACROSS THE BASIN FRIDAY NIGHT. A SECOND 
AND STRONGER SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 
 
SAFETY MESSAGE...AVOID DRIVING ON FLOODED ROADS. 
 
&&

NDC101-200344-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0015.140419T0518Z-140424T0448Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.140419T0518Z.140419T1200Z.140423T1648Z.NO/
1044 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.4 FEET ON SATURDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...RURAL FLOODING BEGINS. 

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10  9.7 FRI 10 PM  10.4   10.4   10.4   10.4    9.4


LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      

$$

NDC009-049-200344-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140424T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.6 FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. 
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...OVERFLOW OCCURS ON LEFT BANK. 

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.6 FRI 10 PM  10.6   10.6   10.5   10.6   10.7

LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      

$$
TWH

992 
WGUS83 KBIS 191428
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
928 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 

  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AND THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW 
CITY...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 

.RELEASES FROM LAKE DARLING WILL BE INCREASED TO 1000 CFS BY MONDAY... 
AND WILL REMAIN AT THIS LEVEL THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THESE 
RELEASES WILL CAUSE THE SOURIS RIVER BELOW LAKE DARLING NEAR FOXHOLM 
TO RISE ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE. THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY 
WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.6 FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM 
MAY IMPACT THE SOURIS BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER TOPS THE 
ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. AVOID DRIVING ON FLOODED ROADS. 


A FOLLOW-UP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED.

&&

NDC101-202028-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-140424T0448Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.140420T0600Z.140421T0000Z.140423T1648Z.NO/
928 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 10.4 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...RURAL FLOODING BEGINS.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10  9.8 SAT 9 AM   10.1   10.4   10.4   10.4    8.3



LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      



$$

NDC009-049-202028-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140425T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
928 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.6 FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...OVERFLOW OCCURS ON LEFT BANK.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.7 SAT 9 AM   10.6   10.6   10.6   10.6   10.9



LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      



$$

489 
WGUS83 KBIS 201424
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
924 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AFFECTING WARD COUNTY 

  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES 

FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM AND THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW 
CITY...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 

.AS OF SUNDAY MORNING...LAKE DARLING IS CURRENTLY RELEASING APPROXIMATELY 
870 CFS. THIS PLACES THE SOURIS RIVER BELOW LAKE DARLING NEAR FOXHOLM 
JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.8 FEET. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MAY CAUSE THE RIVER TO RISE TO MINOR FLOOD 
STAGE OF 10.0 FEET. THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY IS EXPECTED 
TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL BUT REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FEET 
THROUGH MID WEEK. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER TOPS THE 
ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. AVOID DRIVING ON FLOODED ROADS. 


A FOLLOW-UP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED.

&&

NDC101-212024-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-140424T1200Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.140423T1200Z.140423T1200Z.140424T0000Z.NO/
924 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR FOXHOLM.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...RURAL FLOODING BEGINS.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 FOXHOLM      10  9.8 SUN 8 AM    9.8    9.8   10.0    9.9    9.8




LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      



$$

NDC009-049-212023-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-140425T1800Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140420T0430Z.140425T0600Z.NO/
924 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO POSSIBLY BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE THURSDAY NIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS BACKING UP INTO RAVINES AND 
  GETS TO TOP OF ROAD BY GAGE.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.5 SUN 9 AM   10.4   10.3   10.2   10.0    9.9




LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      



$$

804 
WGUS83 KBIS 211746
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1246 PM CDT MON APR 21 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES 
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN INCLUDING WILLOW CITY...MINOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

.THE WILLOW CREEK CONTINUES A STEADY AND SLOW FALL FROM MINOR FLOODING. 
THIS DOWNWARD TREND WILL CONTINUE WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER THE 
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER TOPS THE 
ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. AVOID DRIVING ON FLOODED ROADS. 


A FOLLOW-UP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED.

&&

NDC009-049-222346-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-140424T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140420T0430Z.140423T1200Z.NO/
1246 PM CDT MON APR 21 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 12:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS BACKING UP INTO RAVINES AND 
  GETS TO TOP OF ROAD BY GAGE.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10 10.3 MON 12 PM  10.2   10.0    9.8    9.6    9.5


LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      



$$

738 
WGUS83 KBIS 221635
FLSBIS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1135 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...
 
  WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY AFFECTING MCHENRY AND BOTTINEAU 
  COUNTIES
FOR THE SOURIS RIVER BASIN NEAR WILLOW CITY...NO FLOODING IS IN THE  
FORECAST.

.WILLOW CREEK HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND SHOULD REMAIN THERE 
EVEN AS LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. 

&&

NDC009-049-221705-
/O.CAN.KBIS.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-140424T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.140414T1500Z.140420T0430Z.140422T1548Z.NO/
1135 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WILLOW CREEK NEAR WILLOW CITY.
* AT 11:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10:48 AM TUESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 9.9 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS BACKING UP INTO RAVINES AND 
  GETS TO TOP OF ROAD BY GAGE.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

SOURIS RIVER BASIN
 WILLOW CITY  10  9.9 TUE 11 AM   9.9    9.7    9.5    9.4    9.2


LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
651 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 651 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS HAVE EXITED THE SOUTHERN JAMES RIVER BASIN THIS
EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST STATEWIDE
OVERNIGHT AS A SURFACE ANTICYCLONE CRESTS OVER THE REGION. UPDATED
THE FORECAST TO REMOVE LATE AFTERNOON SNOW/RAIN SHOWER WORDING
FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN ZONES.

THE COMBINATION OF THE DRY AIRMASS AND WEAKENING WINDS SHOULD
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RADIATE NICELY OVERNIGHT...PRIMARILY EAST OF
HIGHWAY 83 WHERE WINDS WILL BE WEAKEST DURING THE EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER...INCREASING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD
TEMPER RADIATIONAL COOLING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS A
RESULT...LOWERED FORECAST LOWS A FEW DEGREES EAST OF HIGHWAY 83
TONIGHT...AND MAINTAINED LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S WEST.

THE REST OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. THE UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)

ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND
BECOME PRIMARILY LIMITED TO THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON. WITH RELATIVELY WARM GROUND AND ROAD TEMPS...NO
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...BUT MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR QUICK REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN SNOW SHOWERS.

FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT DECREASING CLOUDS EARLY FOLLOWED BY
INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM WEST TO EAST...WHICH WAY
BE ENOUGH TO OBSCURE THE LUNAR ECLIPSE OVERNIGHT. THE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL SETTLE OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES AND TEMPS
THERE ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE TEENS. ON TUESDAY...EXPECT
EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WITH A LARGE TEMPERATURE CONTRAST FROM THE
LOWER 30S IN THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS TO THE UPPER 50S IN THE FAR
SOUTHWEST. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH MID LEVEL FORCING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST...WHERE A
RAIN/SNOW MIX IS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)

ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS TO MORE ZONAL FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD TUESDAY NIGHT HELPING TO STEER AN EMBEDDED S/WV INTO
SOUTH DAKOTA/NORTHERN NEBRASKA BY 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING. ASSOCIATED
SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM EASTERN MONTANA SOUTHEAST INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS TUESDAY NIGHT. WHILE MOST PRECIPITATION GENERATED
FROM THE MID LEVEL WAVE LOOKS TO REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH...STRONG
THERMAL UPGLIDE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON THE NORTH/NORTHEAST
SECTOR OF THE LOW WILL BRING A HEALTHY SWATH OF MOISTURE ACROSS MY
NORTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN COUNTIES...FROM FAR SOUTHEAST
SASKATCHEWAN SOUTHEAST THROUGH MINOT AND INTO THE JAMES RIVER
VALLEY. FORCING WILL BE ENHANCED ACROSS THIS SAME AREA BY ANOTHER
AREA OF PVA MOVING SOUTHEAST OUT OF SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA.
PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY AS FORCING DECREASES.

MODELS STILL NOT IN AGREEMENT ON QPF. WHILE THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF ARE ON
THE DRY SIDE WITH AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF WATER OVER MY FAR
NORTHEAST (ROLETTE COUNTY) TAPERING OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST...THE 12Z
GEM (WHICH NAILED SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAYS SNOWFALL) IS WETTER WITH A
SWATH OF THREE TENTHS NORTH CENTRAL AND EAST. BASED ON ITS SUPERIOR
PERFORMANCE LAST NIGHT/TODAY...LEANED IN THE GEM'S DIRECTION. CAA
NORTH TO SOUTH TUESDAY EVENING WILL CHANGES MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE
RAIN OR RAIN/SNOW MIX INTO SNOW. APPLYING THE 12Z/GFS/NAM RATIOS...I
CALCULATE 1-3 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NORTH CENTRAL AND EAST...WITH
HALF AN INCH AT KISN AND NEAR ONE INCH AT BISMARCK.

MODEL SPREAD INCREASES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED
PERIOD...REGARDING THE TRACK OF A CLOSED LOW IN SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA
THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT...AND ANOTHER RATHER POTENT S/WV CROSSING
THE ROCKIES FRIDAY AND PROGRESSING EAST INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS/SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA THE FIRST HALF OF THIS COMING EASTER
WEEKEND. WILL NEED TO WATCH BOTH THESE WAVES AS EACH HAS SOME
POTENTIAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 651 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS ACROSS THE REGION. SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW WILL DEVELOP AND INCREASE TUESDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE NEXT
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO AFFECT THE STATE. LIGHT SNOW AND
ASSOCIATED MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTH
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA (KMOT) TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...VFR
CIGS SHOULD PREVAIL.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

UPDATE...TM
SHORT TERM...RP KINNEY
LONG TERM...NH
AVIATION...TM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
644 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

NDZ002>005-010>013-021>023-025-035>037-047-048-050-051-152345-
BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE-
MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
644 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL THROUGH
THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
ONE TO THREE INCHES ACCUMULATION BY WEDNESDAY NOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ001-009-017>020-031>034-040>046-152345-
DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-
BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
EMMONS-
644 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014 /544 PM MDT MON APR 14 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

TM/RP KINNEY/NH