Alert archive / North Dakota / Flood Watches in 2014
Flood Watch 2, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this flood watch at Aug 22, 2014, 2:50 PM MDT for 28 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Aug 23, 2014, 12:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 25 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 22, 2014, 2:50 PM MDT (20:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 23, 2014, 12:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- Aug 24, 2014, 1:09 AM MDT
- In force
- 25 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
- Flood severity
- None
All 28 counties
Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 35 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -61 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 810 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 54 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
057 WGUS63 KBIS 222050 FFABIS URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 350 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 ...HEAVY RAIN THIS WEEKEND... .A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN END FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ON SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS. RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK HAS KEPT SOIL MOISTURE VERY HIGH ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN COULD LEAD TO OVERLAND FLOODING...AND FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND SOME RIVERS. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS AND FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL MEDIA. NDZ017>020-031>034-040>046-050-230500- /O.NEW.KBIS.FA.A.0002.140823T0600Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON- SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-MCINTOSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH... HAZEN...CENTER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON...ASHLEY 350 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 /250 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014/ ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...MCKENZIE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... EMMONS...GRANT...MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER AND SIOUX. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...MCINTOSH. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... ADAMS...BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN...GOLDEN VALLEY... HETTINGER... SLOPE AND STARK. * FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-035-036-047-230500- /O.NEW.KBIS.FA.A.0002.140823T1500Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...BISMARCK...STEELE... NAPOLEON 350 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU...MCHENRY...PIERCE... RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... BURKE...DIVIDE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BURLEIGH...KIDDER...MCLEAN...SHERIDAN AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...LOGAN. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
7 follow-up statements
699 WGUS63 KBIS 230338 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1038 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 ...HEAVY RAIN THIS WEEKEND... .A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA BEGINNING EARLY SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA EARLY SATURDAY REACHING THE CENTRAL SECTIONS BEFORE SUNRISE. THE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. FINALLY THE PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ON SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS. RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK HAS KEPT SOIL MOISTURE VERY HIGH ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN COULD LEAD TO OVERLAND FLOODING...AND FLOODING OF CREEKS... STREAMS AND SOME RIVERS. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS AND FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL MEDIA. NDZ017>020-031>034-040>046-050-231145- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.140823T0600Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON- SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-MCINTOSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH... HAZEN...CENTER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON...ASHLEY 1038 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 /938 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014/ ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... MCKENZIE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...EMMONS...GRANT... MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER AND SIOUX. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...MCINTOSH. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS... BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN...GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-035-036-047-231145- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.140823T1500Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...BISMARCK...STEELE... NAPOLEON 1038 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU...MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE... ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE... MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... BURLEIGH...KIDDER...MCLEAN...SHERIDAN AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...LOGAN. * FROM 10 AM CDT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ WAA
474 WGUS63 KBIS 230814 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 314 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...HEAVY RAIN TODAY INTO SUNDAY... .A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TODAY INTO SUNDAY. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR TODAY INTO TONIGHT...THEN END FROM SOUTH TO NORTH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS. RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK HAS KEPT SOIL MOISTURE VERY HIGH ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN COULD LEAD TO OVERLAND FLOODING...AND FLOODING OF CREEKS... STREAMS AND SOME RIVERS. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS AND FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL MEDIA. NDZ017>020-031>034-040>046-050-231615- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON- SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-MCINTOSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH... HAZEN...CENTER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON...ASHLEY 314 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 /214 AM MDT SAT AUG 23 2014/ ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... MCKENZIE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...EMMONS...GRANT... MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER AND SIOUX. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...MCINTOSH. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS... BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN...GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-035-036-047-231615- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.140823T1500Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...BISMARCK...STEELE... NAPOLEON 314 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU...MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE... ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE... MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... BURLEIGH...KIDDER...MCLEAN...SHERIDAN AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...LOGAN. * FROM 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ KS
146 WGUS63 KBIS 231458 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 958 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...HEAVY RAIN TODAY INTO SUNDAY... .A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TODAY INTO SUNDAY. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR TODAY INTO TONIGHT...THEN END FROM SOUTH TO NORTH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS. RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK HAS KEPT SOIL MOISTURE VERY HIGH ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN COULD LEAD TO OVERLAND FLOODING...AND FLOODING OF CREEKS... STREAMS AND SOME RIVERS. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS AND FOLLOW NWS BISMARCK ON SOCIAL MEDIA. NDZ017>020-031>034-040>046-050-232300- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON- SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-MCINTOSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH... HAZEN...CENTER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON...ASHLEY 958 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 /858 AM MDT SAT AUG 23 2014/ ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... MCKENZIE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...EMMONS...GRANT... MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER AND SIOUX. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...MCINTOSH. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS... BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN...GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-035-036-047-232300- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.140823T1500Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...BISMARCK...STEELE... NAPOLEON 958 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU...MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE... ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE... MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... BURLEIGH...KIDDER...MCLEAN...SHERIDAN AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...LOGAN. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
298 WGUS63 KBIS 231818 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 118 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...HEAVY RAIN TODAY INTO SUNDAY... .A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH SUNDAY. THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE HIGHEST OBSERVED AND ESTIMATED TOTALS WERE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SELFRIDGE TO KILLDEER AND ACROSS SOUTHERN MCKENZIE COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE TOWNS OF BOWMAN...HETTINGER...BEACH...DICKINSON AND ELGIN. THE HIGHEST TOTALS SO FAR HAVE RANGED BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...THEN END FROM SOUTH TO NORTH SUNDAY. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...RELAY THE INFORMATION TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS AND FOLLOW NWS BISMARCK ON SOCIAL MEDIA. NDZ017>020-031>034-040>046-050-240230- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON- SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-MCINTOSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH... HAZEN...CENTER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON...ASHLEY 118 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 /1218 PM MDT SAT AUG 23 2014/ ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... MCKENZIE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...EMMONS...GRANT... MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER AND SIOUX. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...MCINTOSH. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS... BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN...GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-035-036-047-240230- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...BISMARCK...STEELE... NAPOLEON 118 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU...MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE... ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE... MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... BURLEIGH...KIDDER...MCLEAN...SHERIDAN AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...LOGAN. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ TWH
197 WGUS63 KBIS 232011 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 311 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...HEAVY RAIN TODAY INTO SUNDAY... .A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH SUNDAY. THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE HIGHEST OBSERVED AND ESTIMATED TOTALS WERE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SELFRIDGE TO KILLDEER AND ACROSS SOUTHERN MCKENZIE COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE TOWNS OF BOWMAN...HETTINGER...BEACH...DICKINSON AND ELGIN. THE HIGHEST TOTALS SO FAR HAVE RANGED BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...WHERE ANOTHER INCH OR TWO COULD FALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ON SUNDAY. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...RELAY THE INFORMATION TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS AND FOLLOW NWS BISMARCK ON SOCIAL MEDIA. NDZ017>020-031>034-040>046-050-240415- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON- SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-MCINTOSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH... HAZEN...CENTER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON...ASHLEY 311 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 /211 PM MDT SAT AUG 23 2014/ ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... MCKENZIE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...EMMONS...GRANT... MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER AND SIOUX. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...MCINTOSH. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS... BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN...GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-035-036-047-240415- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...BISMARCK...STEELE... NAPOLEON 311 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU...MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE... ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE... MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... BURLEIGH...KIDDER...MCLEAN...SHERIDAN AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...LOGAN. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
000 WGUS63 KBIS 240243 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 943 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...HEAVY RAIN TODAY INTO SUNDAY NORTH... .A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH SUNDAY. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS NOW EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA...ALONG AND NORTH OF LAKE SAKAKAWEA...WHERE AN INCH OR TWO COULD FALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END NORTH ON SUNDAY. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL HAS BEEN CANCELLED. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...RELAY THE INFORMATION TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS AND FOLLOW NWS BISMARCK ON SOCIAL MEDIA. NDZ017>020-031>036-040>047-050-240345- /O.CAN.KBIS.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON- BURLEIGH-KIDDER-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS- LOGAN-MCINTOSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH... HAZEN...CENTER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK... STEELE...MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER... FORT YATES...LINTON...NAPOLEON...ASHLEY 943 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 /843 PM MDT SAT AUG 23 2014/ ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS AREA. $$ NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-241045- /O.CON.KBIS.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY 943 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... BOTTINEAU...MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...MCLEAN...SHERIDAN AND WELLS. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. * FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAM AND NORMALLY LOW DRAINAGE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ WAA
777 WGUS63 KBIS 240709 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 209 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014 ...THE FLOOD WATCH FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL...AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED... .LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA WILL LESSEN IN INTENSITY AND DIMINISH IN AREAL COVERAGE EARLY THIS MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING...THEN SPREAD INTO NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER...RAINFALL RATES AND AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL BELOW FLOOD CRITERIA. THUS THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-240815- /O.CAN.KBIS.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140824T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY 209 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE NEXT ROUND OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO SUNDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...RAINFALL RATES AND AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL BELOW FLOOD CRITERIA. THUS THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ KS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Aug 22, 2:21 PM MDT, 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 22, 2:21 PM MDT, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 321 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 321 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH SATURDAY THEN LIFTING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THERE HAS BEEN A GOOD CONSENSUS REGARDING A PRECIPITATION MAX OVER EASTERN MONTANA. MODELS HAVE DIFFERED IN A SECOND MAX ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE GFS/ECMWF/GEM WERE FARTHER EAST WITH A SECONDARY MAX... WHILE THE NAM HAS BEEN MORE CONSISTENT WITH BRINGING A SWATH OF HIGHER QPF ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA. MODELS ARE NOW MORE IN LINE WITH THE SECONDARY MAX LIFTING NORTH THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...WITH TWO DAY QPF GREATER THAN 1 INCH ACROSS A MAJORITY OF THE CWA...AND A MAX OF OVER 2 INCHES OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL...ENDING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TYPICALLY A BIG RAIN EVENT LIKE THIS IN AUGUST MIGHT NOT CAUSE TOO MUCH OF A PROBLEM. HOWEVER...WITH OUR CURRENT SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS GIVEN RECENT HEAVY RAINS...THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAIN INCREASES. WITH MANY AREA NEAR SATURATED OR SATURATED...WILL ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH FOR MOST OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. SEE THE SEPARATE FLOOD DISCUSSION BELOW FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 321 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 BY SUNDAY EVENING THE MODELS ARE DEPICTING AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER EASTERN MONTANA/NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA...WITH THE LOW LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD INTO MANITOBA BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS MONTANA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...AND ACROSS THE DAKOTAS ON TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT. THUS ON SUNDAY NIGHT...THE LINGERING SHOWERS SHOULD BE MAINLY CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE WESTERN LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. WEDNESDAY UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TAKES PLACE...KEEPING THE FORECAST AREA MAINLY DRY MID-WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. REGARDING TEMPERATURES...COOLER THAN AVERAGE WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WARMING TO THE 70S WEDNESDAY...AND UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S BY THURSDAY/FRIDAY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...WITH LOWS IN THE 50S THROUGH NEXT WEEK. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 321 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT THEN DETERIORATE BY 06Z TO MVFR/IFR IN CIGS AND VSBYS. AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AND VCSH OR VCTS IN TAFS. LATER THIS EVENING EXPECTING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP SOUTHWEST AND SPREAD NORTH AND EAST OVERNIGHT. INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION. MOST OF SATURDAY AFTER 12Z SHOULD BE MVFR WITH RAIN SHOWERS AND SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. && .HYDROLOGY... ISSUED AT 321 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 GOING INTO THE COMING WEEKEND...THERE IS NO AREA OF THE CWA WHERE LOCALIZED FLOODING CAN BE RULED OUT. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK HAVE KEPT SOIL MOISTURE ABNORMALLY HIGH ACROSS THE CWA. HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO OVERWHELM THE CURRENT INFILTRATION RATES OF THE SOIL AND LEAD TO OVERLAND FLOODING AND CREATE A GREATER THAN NORMAL RUNOFF. THIS ENHANCED RUNOFF RATES WILL ENCOUNTER ALREADY WELL ABOVE NORMAL FLOW IN NEARLY EVERY SIGNIFICANT SMALL STREAM AND RIVER IN THE AREA. WHILE THERE IS NO REASONABLE EXPECTATION OF MAJOR RIVER FLOODING...AT A MINIMUM THERE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT WITHIN BANK RISES...AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING CANNOT BE RULED OUT. && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR NDZ017>020-031>034-040>046-050. FLOOD WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-035-036-047. && SHORT TERM...TWH LONG TERM...JV AVIATION...JV HYDROLOGY...TWH
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 22, 12:12 PM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 112 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 NDZ004-231815- BOTTINEAU- 112 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR WESTHOPE. SEE THE RIVERS AND LAKES TAB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP. THIS COULD LEAD TO OVERLAND FLOODING AND QUICK RISES IN SMALL STREAMS THIS WEEKEND. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE OF AREAS THAT EXPERIENCED SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IN THE LAST WEEK. MORE DETAILS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING NEW FLOODING...TO NWS BISMARCK AT 701-223-4582...OR VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. && MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/BIS. NDZ001>003-005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-231815- DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCHENRY- PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER- GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN- SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE- MCINTOSH-DICKEY- 112 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014 /1212 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TODAY AND REDEVELOP AGAIN LATE TONIGHT. MANY AREAS RECEIVED SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IN THE LAST WEEK. THESE AREAS ARE MOST FAVORED FOR OVERLAND FLOODING. SMALL STREAMS AND COULEES MAY ALSO FLOOD DUE TO EXCESSIVE RUNOFF. MORE DETAILS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP. THIS COULD LEAD TO OVERLAND FLOODING AND QUICK RISES IN SMALL STREAMS THIS WEEKEND. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE OF AREAS THAT EXPERIENCED SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IN THE LAST WEEK. MORE DETAILS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING NEW FLOODING...TO NWS BISMARCK AT 701-223-4582...OR VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. && MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/BIS. TWH
The office that day
Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 7:14 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Bowman | 46 min |
| Aug 21, 8:02 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Bowman | 28 min |
| Aug 21, 8:45 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Bowman | 30 min |
| Aug 21, 9:29 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Bowman | 31 min |
| Aug 21, 9:40 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Adams | 35 min |
Nearby
Flood Watches in North Dakota, 2014Every flood watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.