Alert archive / North Dakota / Blizzard Watches in 2014
Blizzard Watch 4, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this blizzard watch at Mar 29, 2014, 4:15 AM CDT for 7 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Mar 31, 2014, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 29, 2014, 4:15 AM CDT (09:15 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 31, 2014, 1:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 30, 2014, 4:21 AM CDT
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
Counties Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Stutsman County, ND
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1064 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 119 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 225 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
658 WWUS43 KBIS 290915 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 415 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 ...EARLY SPRING STORM TO IMPACT NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY... .A POTENT EARLY SPRING STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS FROM LINTON AND STEELE...EAST THROUGH JAMESTOWN AND ELLENDALE. HEAVY SNOW GREATER THAN SIX INCHES...AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS FROM BOWMAN TO ELGIN...BISMARCK...MANDAN...THROUGH MCCLUSKY AND CARRINGTON. THESE AREAS COULD RECEIVE SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG IN THESE AREAS...BUT REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE EVENTUAL STORM PATH AND INTENSITY...RESULTING SNOWFALL AND POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. STAY INFORMED THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH UPDATED FORECASTS...AND POSSIBLE NEW WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES. NDZ036-037-046>048-050-051-291715- /O.NEW.KBIS.BZ.A.0004.140331T0600Z-140401T0000Z/ KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 415 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * TIMING...LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...NORTH WIND GUSTING TO 50 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE POSSIBLE...POTENTIALLY DOWN TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN SIX INCHES OF SNOW. * IMPACTS...VERY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SNOW...AND OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. && $$ NDZ020-022-023-025-034-035-040>045-291715- /O.NEW.KBIS.WS.A.0001.140331T0000Z-140401T0000Z/ OLIVER-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-BURLEIGH-SLOPE-HETTINGER- GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTER...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY... CARRINGTON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN... BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES 415 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 /315 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * TIMING...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...POTENTIAL FOR SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE. NORTH WIND GUSTING AROUND 35 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES. && $$ RP KINNEY/AYD
5 follow-up statements
399 WWUS43 KBIS 291605 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1105 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 ...EARLY SPRING STORM TO IMPACT NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY... .A POTENT EARLY SPRING STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LINTON AND STEELE...THROUGH JAMESTOWN AND ELLENDALE. HEAVY SNOW GREATER THAN SIX INCHES...AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BOWMAN THROUGH ELGIN...BISMARCK...AND MCCLUSKY TO CARRINGTON. SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG IN THESE AREAS...BUT REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE STORM PATH AND INTENSITY. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS... ADVISORIES...AND WARNINGS. NDZ036-037-046>048-050-051-300015- /O.CON.KBIS.BZ.A.0004.140331T0600Z-140401T0000Z/ KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 1105 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * TIMING...LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...NORTH WIND GUSTING TO 50 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE POSSIBLE WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN SIX INCHES OF SNOW. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SNOW...AND OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. && $$ NDZ020-022-023-025-034-035-040>045-300015- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.A.0001.140331T0000Z-140401T0000Z/ OLIVER-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-BURLEIGH-SLOPE-HETTINGER- GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTER...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY... CARRINGTON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN... BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES 1105 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 /1005 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...POTENTIAL FOR SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE. NORTH WIND GUSTING TO 35 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. && $$ KS/JPM
700 WWUS43 KBIS 292032 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 332 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 ...EARLY SPRING STORM TO IMPACT NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY... .A POTENT EARLY SPRING STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LINTON AND STEELE... THROUGH JAMESTOWN AND ELLENDALE. HEAVY SNOW GREATER THAN SIX INCHES...AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BOWMAN THROUGH ELGIN...BISMARCK...AND MCCLUSKY TO CARRINGTON. SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG IN THESE AREAS...BUT REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE STORM PATH AND INTENSITY. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS... ADVISORIES...AND WARNINGS. NDZ036-037-046>048-050-051-300445- /O.CON.KBIS.BZ.A.0004.140331T0600Z-140401T0000Z/ KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 332 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * TIMING...LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...NORTH WIND GUSTING TO 50 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE POSSIBLE WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN SIX INCHES OF SNOW. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SNOW...AND OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. && $$ NDZ020-022-023-025-034-035-040>045-300445- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.A.0001.140331T0000Z-140401T0000Z/ OLIVER-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-BURLEIGH-SLOPE-HETTINGER- GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTER...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY... CARRINGTON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN... BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES 332 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 /232 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...POTENTIAL FOR SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE. NORTH WIND GUSTING TO 35 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. && $$ KS/JPM
138 WWUS43 KBIS 300252 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 952 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 ...EARLY SPRING STORM TO IMPACT NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY... .A POTENT EARLY SPRING STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LINTON AND STEELE... THROUGH JAMESTOWN AND ELLENDALE. HEAVY SNOW GREATER THAN SIX INCHES...AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BOWMAN THROUGH ELGIN...BISMARCK...AND MCCLUSKY TO CARRINGTON. SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG IN THESE AREAS...BUT REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE STORM PATH AND INTENSITY. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS... ADVISORIES...AND WARNINGS. NDZ036-037-046>048-050-051-301100- /O.CON.KBIS.BZ.A.0004.140331T0600Z-140401T0000Z/ KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 952 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * TIMING...LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...NORTH WIND GUSTING TO 50 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE POSSIBLE WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN SIX INCHES OF SNOW. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SNOW...AND OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. && $$ NDZ020-022-023-025-034-035-040>045-301100- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.A.0001.140331T0000Z-140401T0000Z/ OLIVER-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-BURLEIGH-SLOPE-HETTINGER- GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTER...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY... CARRINGTON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN... BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES 952 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 /852 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...POTENTIAL FOR SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE. NORTH WIND GUSTING TO 35 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. && $$ TWH
157 WWUS43 KBIS 300544 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1244 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...EARLY SPRING STORM TO IMPACT NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY... .A POTENT EARLY SPRING STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LINTON AND STEELE... THROUGH JAMESTOWN AND ELLENDALE. HEAVY SNOW GREATER THAN SIX INCHES...AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BOWMAN THROUGH ELGIN...BISMARCK...AND MCCLUSKY TO CARRINGTON. SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG IN THESE AREAS...BUT REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE STORM PATH AND INTENSITY. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS... ADVISORIES...AND WARNINGS. NDZ036-037-046>048-050-051-301345- /O.CON.KBIS.BZ.A.0004.140331T0600Z-140401T0000Z/ KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 1244 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * TIMING...LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...NORTH WIND GUSTING TO 50 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE POSSIBLE WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN SIX INCHES OF SNOW. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SNOW...AND OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. && $$ NDZ020-022-023-025-034-035-040>045-301345- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.A.0001.140331T0000Z-140401T0000Z/ OLIVER-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-BURLEIGH-SLOPE-HETTINGER- GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTER...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY... CARRINGTON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN... BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES 1244 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 /1144 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...POTENTIAL FOR SNOWFALL OF SIX INCHES OR MORE. NORTH WIND GUSTING TO 35 MPH. BLOWING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. && $$ RP KINNEY
980 WWUS43 KBIS 300921 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .WIDESPREAD...HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY BY MONDAY EVENING. NORTHERLY WINDS TO 45 MPH WILL RESULT IN BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR THESE AREAS...AND A BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. THIS INCLUDES BISMARCK...MANDAN...FORT YATES...LINTON...STEELE...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...JAMESTOWN...ELLENDALE AND OAKES. 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED FROM HETTINGER...BOWMAN AND BEACH....THROUGH DICKINSON...KILLDEER...CENTER...GARRISON AND HARVEY. WHILE WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER FOR THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED...AND A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT. FURTHER NORTH...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE FORECAST FOR WATFORD CITY THROUGH MINOT AND RUGBY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE LOCATIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE...ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY. STAY UP TO DATE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS...ADVISORIES...AND WARNINGS. NDZ036-037-047-048-050-051-301730- /O.UPG.KBIS.BZ.A.0004.140331T0600Z-140401T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBIS.BZ.W.0004.140331T0300Z-140401T0600Z/ KIDDER-STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...NAPOLEON... EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT TUESDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 45 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW...AND OR BLOWING SNOW...COUPLED WITH STRONG WINDS...WILL RESULT IN EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. && $$ NDZ046-301730- /O.UPG.KBIS.BZ.A.0004.140331T0600Z-140401T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBIS.BZ.W.0004.140331T0300Z-140401T0000Z/ EMMONS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LINTON 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 45 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW...AND OR BLOWING SNOW...COUPLED WITH STRONG WINDS...WILL RESULT IN EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. && $$ NDZ034-035-042-045-301730- /O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0001.140331T0000Z-140401T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBIS.BZ.W.0004.140331T0300Z-140401T0000Z/ MORTON-BURLEIGH-GRANT-SIOUX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANDAN...BISMARCK...ELGIN...FORT YATES 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 /321 AM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014/ ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ MONDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 45 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW...AND OR BLOWING SNOW...COUPLED WITH STRONG WINDS...WILL RESULT IN EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. && $$ NDZ023-025-301730- /O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0001.140331T0000Z-140401T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBIS.BZ.W.0004.140331T0300Z-140401T0600Z/ WELLS-FOSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARVEY...CARRINGTON 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT TUESDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 45 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW...AND OR BLOWING SNOW...COUPLED WITH STRONG WINDS...WILL RESULT IN EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. && $$ NDZ040-041-043-044-301730- /O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0001.140331T0000Z-140401T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBIS.WS.W.0001.140331T0000Z-140331T2100Z/ SLOPE-HETTINGER-BOWMAN-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARMARTH...MOTT...BOWMAN...HETTINGER 321 AM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM MDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM MDT MONDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES TO ONE HALF MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. THE NORTH DAKOTA STATE PATROL ADVISES...REMAIN ALERT AND DO NOT USE THE CRUISE CONTROL IN THESE DANGEROUS WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. && $$ NDZ020-022-301730- /O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0001.140331T0000Z-140401T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBIS.WS.W.0001.140331T0300Z-140401T0000Z/ OLIVER-SHERIDAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTER...MCCLUSKY 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES TO ONE HALF MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. THE NORTH DAKOTA STATE PATROL ADVISES...REMAIN ALERT AND DO NOT USE THE CRUISE CONTROL IN THESE DANGEROUS WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. && $$ NDZ018-031>033-301730- /O.NEW.KBIS.WS.W.0001.140331T0000Z-140331T2100Z/ DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KILLDEER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 /321 AM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 4 PM CDT /3 PM MDT/ MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 4 PM CDT /3 PM MDT/ MONDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES TO ONE HALF MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. THE NORTH DAKOTA STATE PATROL ADVISES...REMAIN ALERT AND DO NOT USE THE CRUISE CONTROL IN THESE DANGEROUS WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. && $$ NDZ019-021-301730- /O.NEW.KBIS.WS.W.0001.140331T0300Z-140401T0000Z/ MERCER-MCLEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEULAH...HAZEN...GARRISON 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES TO ONE HALF MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. THE NORTH DAKOTA STATE PATROL ADVISES...REMAIN ALERT AND DO NOT USE THE CRUISE CONTROL IN THESE DANGEROUS WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. && $$ NDZ010-017-301730- /O.NEW.KBIS.WW.Y.0010.140331T0000Z-140331T2100Z/ MOUNTRAIL-MCKENZIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW TOWN...WATFORD CITY 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW..WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM CDT MONDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES TO ONE HALF MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. THE NORTH DAKOTA STATE PATROL ADVISES...DO NOT USE THE CRUISE CONTROL IN THESE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. && $$ NDZ011>013-301730- /O.NEW.KBIS.WW.Y.0010.140331T0300Z-140401T0000Z/ WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MINOT...TOWNER...RUGBY 421 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. * TIMING...SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH VISIBILITIES TO ONE HALF MILE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. THE NORTH DAKOTA STATE PATROL ADVISES...DO NOT USE THE CRUISE CONTROL IN THESE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. && $$ AYD/RP KINNEY
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this blizzard watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard watch went out at Mar 29, 12:55 AM CDT, 3 hours 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 12:55 AM CDT, 3 hours 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1255 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 1255 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 AS OF 545 UTC...TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE LOW 20S AND THE TEENS OUTSIDE OF THE STRATUS. THUS HAVE UPDATED THE TEMPERATURE CURVE TO MATCH THIS TREND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE LATE TONIGHT WITH INCREASING WARM AIR ADVECTION AND MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER. UPDATE ISSUED AT 935 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014 REGIONAL RADARS INDICATE A DECREASING TREND IN SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS EVENING. THE DECREASING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THE STRONGEST ISENTROPIC ASCENT LIFTS INTO SOUTHERN CANADA. ADJUSTED POPS DOWN ACCORDINGLY FOR LATE EVENING...THEN FORECAST DRY CONDITIONS AREAWIDE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE REMAINING WEATHER ELEMENTS ARE IN GOOD SHAPE. THE UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT. UPDATE ISSUED AT 650 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014 AN AREA OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS EVENING. NEW SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LESS THAN AN INCH. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH NO UPDATES REQUIRED. THE FRESHENED UP PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT. UPDATE ISSUED AT 508 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014 KMBX RADAR AND SURFACE OBS INDICATE AN AREA OF SNOW SHOWERS OVER NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA MOVING EAST AT 20 KNOTS. UPDATED THE FORECAST TO INCREASE POPS TO CATEGORICAL OVER THE AFFECTED AREAS BASED ON CURRENT RADAR OBS/TRENDS. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN ONE INCH BY THE END OF THIS EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF 700MB-300MB LAYER Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT ALONG THE 280K- 285K THETA SURFACES. THE SHORT RANGE MODELS PROG THE GREATEST SYNOPTIC ASCENT TO SHIFT EAST INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA BY 06Z TONIGHT AS THE STRONGEST ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHIFTS NORTH INTO SOUTHERN MANITOBA AFTER 06Z. AS A RESULT...THINK THERE WILL BE A RAPID END TO SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY LATER THIS EVENING AS THESE TWO FEATURES BREAK APART FROM EACH OTHER. THE UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT. && .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 251 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014 THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL BE SKY COVER AND PRECIPITATION LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THEN TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY. CURRENTLY...SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. MESOSCALE MODEL HAVE HAD A HARD TIME PICKING UP ON THE LIGHT PRECIPITATION TODAY...BUT WILL CARRY SOME SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...WILL KEEP THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL THIS EVENING AS MID LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES OVER THIS AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. THE SURFACE HIGH THAT IS CURRENTLY SITUATED OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA GETS SHUNTED EAST TONIGHT AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SITUATED OVER WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TODAY WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EAST TONIGHT...AND THEN LIFT NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY AS A WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE WARM FROM MOST MODEL GUIDANCE IS PROGGING LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. THE PROBLEM IS THAT A GOOD PORTION OF THE WEST RECEIVED 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY. THINK THAT THE SNOW SHOULD INHIBIT TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY ACROSS THE WEST...SO CUT A FEW DEGREES OFF MAX TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WHERE THE SNOW ACCUMULATED TODAY. ALSO A BIT WORRIED ABOUT POSSIBLE LOW STRATUS AND FOG DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT OR SATURDAY MORNING. BUT INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE AN INHIBITING FACTOR. WILL PASS THIS ALONG BUT NOT ADD TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 251 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014 FOCUS FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD REMAINS IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON TIME FRAME. A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT WAS ISSUED AND WILL LET SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS CONTINUE TO ANALYZE THE LATEST DATA FOR POSSIBLE HEADLINES IN THE NEAR FUTURE. MODEL SUMMARY...NOT A LOT OF CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. THE ECMWF CONTINUES AS THE MOST DIRE/AGGRESSIVE WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS MAINTAINS A SWATH OF SNOW ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN JAMES RIVER VALLEY. THE 12Z GEM...WHICH PREVIOUSLY WAS IN LINE WITH THE GFS...IS NOW IN BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS IN TERMS OF AREAL COVERAGE OF THE SNOW. AFTER COLLABORATING WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES...USED A BLEND OF THE GFS/GEM AND LIMITED THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF SNOW MUCH BEYOND INTERSTATE 94 AT THIS TIME. THERE IS VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE THAT MOVES INTO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA 12Z SUNDAY. A CONSOLIDATED UPPER TROUGH BECOMES DISJOINTED AS IT ADVANCES EAST WITH A SPLIT IN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN BRANCH JET STREAM DEVELOPING. THE MAIN CHALLENGE IS FORECASTING A SHORTWAVE SKIPPING ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...AND TRYING TO NAIL DOWN EXACTLY WHERE DOES THIS SHORTWAVE DEVELOP INTO AN UPPER LOW. THE GFS CONTINUES TO DEVELOP THE UPPER LOW OVER SOUTH DAKOTA...WHILE THE ECMWF DEVELOPS AN UPPER LOW IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...HENCE SUPPORTING A MORE NORTHERN SOLUTION. THE LATEST 12Z GEM WHICH HAD BEEN IN TANDEM WITH THE GFS THE LAST FEW DAYS IS NOW IN BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS UPPER LOW FORECAST...WHICH WOULD BE ALONG THE ND/SD BORDER. WENT WITH A BLEND OF THE GFS/GEM IN THE GRIDDED DATA WHICH SUGGESTS A SHARP TRANSITION FROM A DRY/COLD NORTHEAST FLOW TO CATEGORICAL POPS DEVELOPING JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY NEED SOME ADJUSTMENT IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS BETTER DATA BECOMES AVAILABLE ONCE THE SHORTWAVE REACHES THE COAST. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE FALLING SNOW RESULTING IN SOME BLOWING SNOW. BEYOND MONDAY...UNCERTAINTY IN THE REST OF EXTENDED REMAINS HIGH. THE ECMWF DEVELOPS ANOTHER POTENTIAL SNOWSTORM BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY AND POTENTIALLY LINGERING INTO FRIDAY. THE GFS IS MUCH FARTHER SOUTH WITH THIS IDEA. HAVE NOT DEVIATED FROM THE THE ALLBLEND WHICH KEEPS SOME MENTION OF SNOW IN THE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY TIME FRAME. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 1255 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 VFR STRATUS WILL CLEAR KBIS BY 08 UTC AND KMOT/KJMS BY 12-13 UTC. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS POSSIBLE AT KDIK AND KBIS SATURDAY MORNING AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT KMOT FRIDAY EVENING. && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && UPDATE...AYD SHORT TERM...TWH LONG TERM...KS AVIATION...AYD
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 12:46 AM CDT, 3 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1246 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 NDZ012-300600- MCHENRY- 1246 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOURIS RIVER NEAR TOWNER. DETAILS AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM AND SNOW AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST SNOW POTENTIAL CURRENTLY APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH MAY CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW. KEEP UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION ABOUT THIS POTENTIAL SNOWSTORM AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NDZ001>005-009>011-013-017>019-021>023-031-032-300600- DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-GOLDEN VALLEY- BILLINGS- 1246 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 /1146 PM MDT FRI MAR 28 2014/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM AND SNOW AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST SNOW POTENTIAL CURRENTLY APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH MAY CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW. KEEP UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION ABOUT THIS POTENTIAL SNOWSTORM AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NDZ020-025-033>037-040>048-050-051-300600- OLIVER-FOSTER-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-SLOPE- HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH- DICKEY- 1246 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014 /1146 PM MDT FRI MAR 28 2014/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM AND SNOW AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST SNOW POTENTIAL CURRENTLY APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH MAY CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW. KEEP UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION ABOUT THIS POTENTIAL SNOWSTORM AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. AYD
The office that day
Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 4:15 AM CDT | Winter Storm Watch | BIS | Adams, Bowman, Burleigh, Foster, Grant, Hettinger and 4 more | 24 hr |
Nearby
Blizzard Watches in North Dakota, 2014Every blizzard watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.