Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS La Crosse, WI

528 
WWUS53 KARX 121842
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
142 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

WIC001-057-121930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
JUNEAU WI-ADAMS WI-
142 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN JUNEAU AND NORTHERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

AT 141 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER NECEDAH...OR
11 MILES WEST OF FRIENDSHIP...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  DELLWOOD AROUND 145 PM CDT.
  FRIENDSHIP AND ADAMS AROUND 150 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE HIGHWAY
13 AND COUNTY E...MATHER...KENS MARINA AND CAMPGROUND...CAMP
DOUGLAS...HIGHWAYS 13 AND 21...COUNTY ROADS C AND G...COTTONVILLE...
THE COLBURN WILDLIFE AREA...CLOVERDALE AND HIGHWAY 58 AND COUNTY G.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4388 9031 4418 9031 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 257DEG 59KT 4401 9005 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

BOYNE

622 
WWUS53 KARX 121848
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
148 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

WIC001-057-121930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
JUNEAU WI-ADAMS WI-
148 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN JUNEAU AND NORTHERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

AT 146 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER DELLWOOD...OR 
7 MILES WEST OF FRIENDSHIP...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. AT 145 PM... 
SPOTTERES REPORTED HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL IN NECEDAH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FRIENDSHIP AND ADAMS AROUND 155 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE HIGHWAY
13 AND COUNTY E...MATHER...KENS MARINA AND CAMPGROUND...CAMP
DOUGLAS...HIGHWAYS 13 AND 21...COUNTY ROADS C AND G...COTTONVILLE...
THE COLBURN WILDLIFE AREA...CLOVERDALE AND HIGHWAY 58 AND COUNTY G.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4388 9031 4418 9031 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 262DEG 46KT 4400 8997 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

BOYNE

226 
WWUS53 KARX 121852
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
152 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

WIC001-057-121930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
JUNEAU WI-ADAMS WI-
152 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN JUNEAU AND NORTHERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

AT 151 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FRIENDSHIP...
MOVING EAST AT 75 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4388 9031 4418 9031 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1851Z 264DEG 65KT 4401 8983 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

BOYNE

426 
WWUS53 KARX 121858
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
158 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

WIC001-057-121930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
JUNEAU WI-ADAMS WI-
158 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN JUNEAU AND NORTHERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

AT 158 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FRIENDSHIP...
MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4388 9031 4418 9031 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1858Z 264DEG 57KT 4398 8983 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

BOYNE

655 
WWUS53 KARX 121905
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
205 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

WIC001-057-121930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
JUNEAU WI-ADAMS WI-
205 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN JUNEAU AND NORTHERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

AT 204 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FRIENDSHIP...
MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN JUNEAU AND NORTHERN ADAMS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...HIGHWAY 13 AND COUNTY E...MATHER...KENS MARINA
AND CAMPGROUND...CAMP DOUGLAS...HIGHWAYS 13 AND 21...COUNTY ROADS C
AND G...COTTONVILLE...THE COLBURN WILDLIFE AREA...CLOVERDALE AND
HIGHWAY 58 AND COUNTY G.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY 
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4388 9031 4418 9031 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 264DEG 57KT 4399 8970 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

BOYNE

576 
WWUS53 KARX 121911
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
211 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

WIC057-121920-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
JUNEAU WI-

211 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN JUNEAU COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4389 8990 4419 8989 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1910Z 265DEG 51KT 4394 8981 

$$

WIC001-121930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-
211 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN ADAMS COUNTY...

AT 210 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ADAMS...OR
OVER FRIENDSHIP...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4389 8990 4419 8989 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1910Z 265DEG 51KT 4394 8981 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

BOYNE

467 
WWUS53 KARX 121916
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
216 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

WIC001-121930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-
216 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN ADAMS COUNTY...

AT 215 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ADAMS...OR 
NEAR FRIENDSHIP...MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH. AT 215 PM...HALF INCH 
DIAMETER HAIL WAS REPORTED IN ADAMS.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4389 8990 4419 8989 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 262DEG 63KT 4395 8972 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

BOYNE

191 
WWUS53 KARX 121925
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
225 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

WIC001-121930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-
225 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN ADAMS COUNTY...

AT 224 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ADAMS...OR
NEAR FRIENDSHIP...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4389 8990 4419 8989 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1924Z 262DEG 50KT 4394 8975 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

BOYNE

522 
WWUS53 KARX 121930
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
230 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

WIC001-121939-
/O.EXP.KARX.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-
230 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN ADAMS COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 230 PM CDT...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED.  
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 4389 8990 4419 8989 4419 8960 4389 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 264DEG 65KT 4394 8975 

$$

BOYNE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1259 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1259 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

AN INITIAL ROUND OF CONVECTION CAME THROUGH THIS MORNING ALONG THE
NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET/WARM AIR ADVECTION THAT HAS NOW SHIFTED
FURTHER EAST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN. OUTFLOW FROM THESE STORMS HAS
REINFORCED A WARM FRONT BOUNDARY THAT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM ALONG
NORTH CENTRAL IOWA THROUGH NORTHEAST IOWA TO GRANT COUNTY
WISCONSIN. TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT
HAVE QUICKLY JUMPED INTO THE 70S/50S WHILE TEMPERATURES NORTH OF
THE FRONT IN THE RAIN COOLED AIR MASS ARE STUCK IN THE 40S.

THE AIR MASS SOUTH OF THE FRONT IS BECOMING MORE UNSTABLE...BUT
THE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION HAS BEEN HIGH ENOUGH TO KEEP STORMS FROM
FIRING...BUT AS A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW
MOVES INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON EXPECT THAT STORMS WILL
INITIATE ALONG THE FRONT. WITH THE 12.16Z RAP SHOWING AROUND
2000 J/KG OF MUCAPE DEVELOPING WITH 0-6KM SHEAR OF 50KTS
WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL STORM MODE. THE WIND SHEAR WILL
MAINLY BE UNIDIRECTIONAL IN THE WARM SECTOR WITH SURFACE WINDS OUT
OF THE SOUTHWEST AND MID LEVEL WINDS OUT OF THE WEST...SO NOT MUCH
OF A TORNADO THREAT IS ANTICIPATED. LARGE HAIL LOOKS TO BE THE
MAIN CONCERN WITH A TRANSITION TO STRAIGHTLINE WINDS THIS EVENING
THOUGH THAT TRANSITION MAY OCCUR FURTHER SOUTH IN EAST CENTRAL
IOWA/NW ILLINOIS. SO...BASED ON THIS FORECAST...EXPECT THAT THERE
WILL BE A SECOND ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 316 AM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS WITH THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WATER VAPOR SATELLITE THIS MORNING SHOWS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE DAKOTAS. REGIONAL RADARS SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS
OUT AHEAD OF THE WAVE ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA WITH A SMALLER
AREA OVER SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA. THE 12.05Z
HRRR SEEMS TO HAVE A GOOD IDEA ABOUT THE ONGOING
ACTIVITY...ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE A LITTLE UNDERDONE WITH THE ACTION
AROUND OVER NORTHWEST IOWA. THE GENERAL TREND OF THE HRRR AND THE
12.00Z HI-RES ARW IS TO MOVE THE ACTIVITY ALMOST STRAIGHT EAST AS
THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN
WISCONSIN. HAVE TRENDED THE RAIN CHANCES FOR THIS MORNING TOWARD
THESE MESO MODELS WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WITH AT LEAST AT 30 TO 40
PERCENT CHANCE ACROSS THE SOUTH.

ONCE THIS ACTIVITY MOVES BY...THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN THE
ACTIVITY AS THE REGION GETS IN BETWEEN SHORT WAVE TROUGHS FOR A
WHILE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE NEXT SHORT WAVE THROUGH WILL THEN
START TO APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. THIS WAVE WILL BRING THE NEXT
ROUND OF FORCING PRODUCING SOME WEAK PV ADVECTION IN THE 500-300
MB LAYER. THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS WAVE WITH
THE NOSE OF THE 850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT EXPECTED TO BE OVER
EASTERN IOWA AND INTO THE WEAK FRONT THAT GETS PUSHED INTO THE
AREA BY THIS MORNING/S ACTIVITY. THE 12.00Z NAM SHOWS THE WARM AIR
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE WAVE PRODUCING BETWEEN 2 AND 6 UBAR/S OF UP
GLIDE INTO AND OVER THIS FRONT. THE HI-RES ARW SHOWS A LINE OF
CONVECTION FIRING UP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG
THE FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW MUCH MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE AREA AND
THUS THE AMOUNT OF CAPE THAT WILL BE AVAILABLE. HOWEVER...EXPECT
THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH CAPE TO SUPPORT STORMS AND EVEN THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME SEVERE AS THERE WILL BE AMPLE SHEAR IN PLACE
WITH THE NAM SUGGESTING BETWEEN 50 AND 60 KNOTS IN THE 0-6KM
LAYER. APPEARS LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THE BEST LOW LEVEL HELICITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
SOUTH OF THE AREA.

ANOTHER LULL IN THE ACTIVITY IS THEN EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS UNTIL YET ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH COMES IN FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WAVE WILL COME ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY AND
THE MODELS HAVE REMAINED CONSISTENT IN SHOWING THIS TO THE BE THE
STRONGEST OF ALL THE WAVES. IN ADDITION TO THE FORCING FROM THE
WAVE ITSELF...IT APPEARS THERE WILL BE SOME JET DYNAMICS WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF BEING IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE JET COMING IN
WITH THE WAVE AND THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE NORTHERN STREAM
JET AXIS MOVING ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER. WEAK TO MODERATE
FRONTOGENESIS SHOULD OCCUR IN THE 1000-500 MB LAYER ACROSS MAINLY
THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA WITH THE SLOW MOVING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STILL IN THE VICINITY. ANOTHER ROUND OF 2 TO 6 UBAR/S OF
ISENTROPIC UP GLIDE SHOULD OCCUR ON THE 295K SURFACE INTO AND OVER
THE FRONT. THIS PERIOD OF STRONG FORCING IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD RAINS FOR MOST OF THE REGION...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL SHOW 75 TO 100 PERCENT RAIN CHANCES ROUGHLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90. THE HIGH PRECIPITATION CHANCES
WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN PARTS OF THE
AREA...BUT WILL START TO DIMINISH FOR THE REST OF THE AREA AS THE
SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND FORCING STARTS TO MOVE PAST WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF THE PRECIPITATION ENDING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THE FAR WEST. THERE STILL LOOKS TO BE ENOUGH COLD AIR THAT COMES
IN AT THE END OF THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR A CHANGE OVER TO
SOME LIGHT SNOW. ANY ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE
SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE AREA WITH AMOUNTS LESS THAN A HALF INCH.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 316 AM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW DIFFERING SOLUTIONS FOR THE MIDDLE AND
END OF THE UP COMING WEEK. ALL OF THE MODELS SHOW ENERGY MOVING
ON TO THE SOUTHWEST CANADIAN SHORE FROM THE PACIFIC TUESDAY. THE
12.00Z ECMWF THEN TAKES THIS WAVE EAST IN A NEARLY ZONAL FLOW. THE
12.00Z GFS AND THE GEM SHOW THIS WAVE MOVING SOUTHEAST AND FORMING
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH THE GFS CLOSING THIS LOW OFF WHILE THE GEM KEEPS IT AS AN
OPEN SYSTEM. ALL THE MODELS THEN SHOW THIS SYSTEM COMING ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTY THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WHICH IS
GOOD TIMING CONSIDERING THE DIFFERENCES IN STRENGTH. FOR
NOW...WILL STAY WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS GRIDS WHICH PRIMARILY
HAVE 20 TO 30 PERCENT PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. UNFORTUNATELY...TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL
FOR NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL RESULT IN SNOW CHANCES AT NIGHT AND RAIN
CHANCES DURING THE DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1259 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THE TAF SITES THOUGH MOST OF
THE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST. SOME 2-3KFT CEILINGS HAVE SET UP ACROSS THE REGION AND
WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT/TOMORROW MORNING. SOME RAIN
COULD GET INTO LSE THIS EVENING...BUT IS NOT EXPECTED AT RST.
WINDS WILL STAY OUT OF THE EAST-NORTHEAST THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...HALBACH
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM...04
AVIATION...HALBACH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
133 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

MNZ079-086>088-094-WIZ017-029-032>034-131200-
WABASHA-DODGE-OLMSTED-WINONA-MOWER-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-
TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-
133 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA AND NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NO ACTION IS NECESSARY.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ095-096-WIZ041>044-053>055-061-
131200-
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-
CLAYTON-FILLMORE-HOUSTON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
133 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
IOWA...SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
INTO THIS EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF
THESE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ON SUNDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH PONDING OF WATER AND
WITHIN BANK RIVER RISES WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING...MAINLY BETWEEN 3 PM AND MIDNIGHT.  RAINFALL REPORTS
WOULD ALSO BE APPRECIATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

HALBACH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1145 AM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1144 AM     HAIL             5 E CASHTON             43.74N 90.68W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       MONROE             WI   CO-OP OBSERVER

1144 AM     HAIL             ONALASKA                43.89N 91.22W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   PUBLIC

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1205 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 PM     HAIL             TOMAH                   43.99N 90.50W
04/12/2014  E0.75 INCH       MONROE             WI   AMATEUR RADIO

            DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1213 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1202 PM     HAIL             ADAMS                   43.96N 89.82W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       ADAMS              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1240 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     HAIL             VOLK FIELD              43.93N 90.27W
04/12/2014  M0.50 INCH       JUNEAU             WI   AWOS

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
113 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 AM     HAIL             RUSHFORD                43.81N 91.75W
04/12/2014  M1.00 INCH       FILLMORE           MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            RELAYED THROUGH KTTC

0920 AM     TSTM WND GST     CENTERVILLE             44.07N 91.45W
04/12/2014  E60 MPH          TREMPEALEAU        WI   911 CALL CENTER

&&

HALBACH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
117 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 AM     HAIL             AUSTIN                  43.67N 92.97W
04/12/2014  M0.25 INCH       MOWER              MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0910 AM     HAIL             ROCHESTER               44.01N 92.48W
04/12/2014  M0.50 INCH       OLMSTED            MN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            1/4 TO 1/2 INCH HAIL COVERED THE GROUND. MAINLY WEST SIDE
            OF ROCHESTER. FEW BIGGER HAILSTONES.

0915 AM     TSTM WND GST     GALESVILLE              44.08N 91.36W
04/12/2014  M45.00 MPH       TREMPEALEAU        WI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ALSO PEA SIZED HAIL

0919 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 WSW GALESVILLE        44.07N 91.39W
04/12/2014  M48.00 MPH       TREMPEALEAU        WI   NWS EMPLOYEE

0920 AM     TSTM WND GST     CENTERVILLE             44.07N 91.45W
04/12/2014  E60.00 MPH       TREMPEALEAU        WI   911 CALL CENTER

0930 AM     TSTM WND GST     ONALASKA                43.89N 91.22W
04/12/2014  E50.00 MPH       LA CROSSE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            45-50 MPH WIND GUSTS.

0931 AM     TSTM WND GST     4 NNW LA CROSSE         43.88N 91.26W
04/12/2014  M52.00 MPH       LA CROSSE          WI   AWOS

            MEASURED BY ASOS

0935 AM     HAIL             STEWARTVILLE            43.86N 92.49W
04/12/2014  E0.50 INCH       OLMSTED            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0935 AM     HAIL             RUSHFORD                43.81N 91.75W
04/12/2014  M1.00 INCH       FILLMORE           MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            RELAYED THROUGH KTTC

0937 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 N MOUND PRAIRIE       43.82N 91.45W
04/12/2014  E70.00 MPH       HOUSTON            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 TO 2 MILES WEST OF THE WXOW TV TOWERS.

0941 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 E LA CROSSE           43.81N 91.19W
04/12/2014  M43.00 MPH       LA CROSSE          WI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0948 AM     HAIL             HOUSTON                 43.76N 91.57W
04/12/2014  M0.50 INCH       HOUSTON            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SLIGHTLY SMALLER THAN DIMES.

0949 AM     HAIL             NODINE                  43.90N 91.45W
04/12/2014  M1.00 INCH       WINONA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0957 AM     HAIL             5 SW WINONA             44.00N 91.73W
04/12/2014  E0.88 INCH       WINONA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

1000 AM     HAIL             WINONA                  44.05N 91.66W
04/12/2014  E1.00 INCH       WINONA             MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            IN CITY OF WINONA.

1000 AM     HAIL             LA CROSSE               43.83N 91.23W
04/12/2014  M1.00 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FALLING AT CITY HALL.

1007 AM     HAIL             3 E LA CROSSE           43.83N 91.17W
04/12/2014  M0.75 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            FEW PENNY SIZED. MOSTLY 3/8 TO 1/2 INCH, NEARLY COVERED
            THE GROUND AT THE ARX WEATHER OFFICE.

1007 AM     HAIL             LA CROSSE               43.83N 91.23W
04/12/2014  E1.00 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            AT WKBT STUDIO IN DOWNTOWN LA CROSSE.

1010 AM     HAIL             LA CROSSE               43.81N 91.25W
04/12/2014  E0.50 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LOTS OF SMALL HAIL. ROADS BECAME SLIPPERY DUE TO HAIL
            ACCUMULATIONS. HAIL DOWNPOUR LASTED APPROX. 7 MINUTES.

1013 AM     HAIL             BARRE MILLS             43.84N 91.12W
04/12/2014  E0.88 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   AMATEUR RADIO

1013 AM     HAIL             2 SSE LA CROSSE         43.78N 91.23W
04/12/2014  E0.88 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE COVERED THE GROUND NEAR ERICKSON
            POOL ON SOUTH SIDE OF LA CROSSE.

1014 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 S LA CROSSE           43.80N 91.23W
04/12/2014  E50.00 MPH       LA CROSSE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            45-50 MPH WIND GUSTS. PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL AS WELL.

1023 AM     HAIL             HART                    43.88N 91.74W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       WINONA             MN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOTS OF SMALL HAIL...MAKING DRIVING DIFFICULT ALONG
            INTERSTATE 90.

1027 AM     HAIL             TOMAH                   43.99N 90.50W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       MONROE             WI   AMATEUR RADIO

1033 AM     HAIL             SPARTA                  43.94N 90.81W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       MONROE             WI   911 CALL CENTER

1037 AM     HAIL             5 S SPARTA              43.87N 90.81W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       MONROE             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

1049 AM     HAIL             HOKAH                   43.76N 91.35W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       HOUSTON            MN   AMATEUR RADIO

1100 AM     HAIL             LA CRESCENT             43.83N 91.30W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       HOUSTON            MN   NWS EMPLOYEE

1112 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 E LA CROSSE           43.81N 91.19W
04/12/2014  M0.89 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1113 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BANGOR                  43.89N 90.99W
04/12/2014  M1.10 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

1113 AM     HAIL             VOLK FIELD              43.93N 90.27W
04/12/2014  M0.25 INCH       JUNEAU             WI   AWOS

1113 AM     HAIL             BANGOR                  43.89N 90.99W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

1115 AM     HAIL             HOLMEN                  43.96N 91.26W
04/12/2014  M0.25 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   PUBLIC

1119 AM     HAIL             2 N ONALASKA            43.92N 91.22W
04/12/2014  M0.50 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   NWS EMPLOYEE

1141 AM     HAIL             2 N ONALASKA            43.92N 91.22W
04/12/2014  M0.50 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   NWS EMPLOYEE

1144 AM     HAIL             5 E CASHTON             43.74N 90.68W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       MONROE             WI   CO-OP OBSERVER

1144 AM     HAIL             ONALASKA                43.89N 91.22W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       LA CROSSE          WI   PUBLIC

1202 PM     HAIL             ADAMS                   43.96N 89.82W
04/12/2014  E0.25 INCH       ADAMS              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM     HAIL             TOMAH                   43.99N 90.50W
04/12/2014  E0.75 INCH       MONROE             WI   AMATEUR RADIO

            DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED

1230 PM     HAIL             VOLK FIELD              43.93N 90.27W
04/12/2014  M0.50 INCH       JUNEAU             WI   AWOS

&&

SHEA