Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS La Crosse, WI

213 
WWUS53 KARX 162346
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
646 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

MNC039-099-109-170030-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0043.000000T0000Z-140617T0030Z/
MOWER MN-OLMSTED MN-DODGE MN-
646 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR MOWER...OLMSTED AND DODGE COUNTIES...

AT 645 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR WEST CONCORD TO NEAR BLOOMING PRAIRIE TO NEAR
NORTHWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT. THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING 
         DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL NEAR ALBERT LEA 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WEST CONCORD...BROWNSDALE AND CLAREMONT AROUND 650 PM CDT.
  DODGE CENTER...MANTORVILLE AND HAYFIELD AROUND 655 PM CDT.
  ROSE CREEK AND KASSON AROUND 705 PM CDT.
  BYRON...ADAMS...STEWARTVILLE AND ORONOCO AROUND 710 PM CDT.
  ROCHESTER AROUND 715 PM CDT.
  GRAND MEADOW AND LE ROY AROUND 720 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
RAMSEY...MARION...HIGH FOREST...LANSING AND WASIOJA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA...SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN AND NORTHEAST IOWA.

LAT...LON 4418 9304 4418 9232 4385 9231 4385 9245
      4350 9245 4350 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 250DEG 47KT 4418 9299 4384 9298 4349 9315 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

ZT

583 
WWUS53 KARX 170005
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
705 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

MNC039-099-109-170030-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0043.000000T0000Z-140617T0030Z/
MOWER MN-OLMSTED MN-DODGE MN-
705 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR MOWER...OLMSTED AND DODGE COUNTIES...

AT 703 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR WEST CONCORD TO NEAR HAYFIELD TO LYLE...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT. THESE STORMS HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF         
         PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. WIND GUSTS OF 51   
         MPH WERE REPORTED AT THE ALBERT LEA AIRPORT BY AN AUTOMATED 
         WEATHER OBSERVATION.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MANTORVILLE...HAYFIELD AND WEST CONCORD AROUND 710 PM CDT.
  DODGE CENTER AROUND 715 PM CDT.
  KASSON AROUND 720 PM CDT.
  ADAMS AROUND 725 PM CDT.
  BYRON...ROCHESTER...STEWARTVILLE...LE ROY...GRAND MEADOW AND
ORONOCO AROUND 730 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
RAMSEY...MARION...HIGH FOREST...LANSING AND WASIOJA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND 
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT 
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE 
LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. THESE STORMS MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY 
AND SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA...SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN AND NORTHEAST IOWA.

LAT...LON 4418 9304 4418 9232 4385 9231 4385 9245
      4350 9245 4350 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 249DEG 37KT 4419 9293 4386 9293 4351 9298 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

AJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
625 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS ARE ON SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL TONIGHT
THEN AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. FLASH FLOODING WILL
BE GROWING CONCERN TONIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH REPEATED
ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS.

A WARM FRONT CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH THIS AFTERNOON...STRETCHING FROM
NEAR SIOUX FALLS SOUTH DAKOTA SOUTHEAST ACROSS IOWA TO NEAR
DAVENPORT. THIS FRONT WILL PUSH NORTHWARD APPROACH THE INTERSTATE
90 CORRIDOR THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...A SHORTWAVE WAS LIFTING
NORTHEAST OUT OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA TOWARD THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY. CONVECTION  HAS BEEN ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON OVER
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA ON THE NOSE OF
INCREASING 925-850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT. EARLIER CONVECTION OVER
WESTERN INTO CENTRAL IOWA HAS DIED OUT THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
ALLOW THE WARM FRONT TO MAKE ITS NORTHWARD SHIFT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THE ONGOING THUNDERSTORM  COMPLEX
WILL WORK EAST WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS LIKELY FIRING OVER
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST IOWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
SHORTWAVE MOVES IN. THE LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES INTO THE WARM
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON  AND EVENING ENHANCING THE 0-3 KM
SHEAR...ESPECIALLY  IN THE 0-1KM LAYER. 0-6 KM SHEAR FURTHER WEST
WOULD SUPPORT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES EARLIER ON BUT THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD EVOLVE INTO A BOWING STRUCTURE OR A LINE WITH BOWING
SEGMENTS. WITH THE WARM FRONT IT THE NEIGHBORHOOD AND INCREASING
0-1 KM SHEAR THIS EVENING THERE IS A CONCERN FOR A FEW TORNADOES
IN THE LINE IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE BOWING
STRUCTURES. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR ALSO THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS THAT COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OVER
URBAN AREAS. RAINFALL TONIGHT WILL CERTAINLY PRIME SOME LOCATIONS
FOR FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL IN THE COMING DAYS. THE HIGHER
CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 90 CORRIDOR THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN EXIT TO THE EAST LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AS STRONG INSTABILITY BUILDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE MAIN
QUESTION  IS WHERE WILL THE WARM FRONT SET UP AND WHERE WILL THE
STORM INITIATE. 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR OF 35 TO 45 KT AND 0-1 KM MUCAPE VALUE
IN EXCESS OF 3500 J/KG WOULD FAVOR SUPERCELL STORMS WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR
TWO NEAR THE WARM FRONT. ALSO...WARM CLOUD DEPTHS OF 4KM AND
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES WILL HAVE TO
KEEP A CLOSE ON HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WITH AN THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  WILL BE ONGOING TUESDAY NIGHT NEAR THE
BOUNDARY BUT SHOULD THEN TAPER OFF LATE AS THE LOW LEVEL JET
WEAKENS. A TROUGH APPROACHES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. SHEAR
ISN/T AS STRONG BY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY SO HEAVY RAIN MAY BE
MORE OF A CONCERN WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
PUSHES INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THURSDAY EVENING  WITH YET ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. THE PATTERN LOOKS TO FINALLY TURN A LITTLE
DRIER AS FLOW TURNS MORE ZONAL AND THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS SOUTH OF
THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY BUT THEN ANOTHER
TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH ON SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE THROUGH RST AND LSE THIS EVENING.
STRONG WINDS AND SUB-IFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS THEY COME
THROUGH. MAIN TIMING AT RST IS BETWEEN 00-03Z AND AT LSE BETWEEN
02-05Z. AFTER A BREAK LATER TONIGHT/TOMORROW MORNING, MORE STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGING
FROM 1.5 TO 2.0 INCHES AND WARM CLOUD DEPTHS APPROACHING 4.0 KM.
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE FLASH FLOODING
CONCERNS THIS WEEK. HAVE ISSUED A HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE
NEED...ESPECIALLY AFTER TONIGHTS THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR MNZ079-086>088-
     094>096.

IA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR IAZ008>011-018-019-
     029-030.

&&

SHORT TERM...WETENKAMP
LONG TERM...WETENKAMP
AVIATION...HALBACH
HYDROLOGY...WETENKAMP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
350 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-172100-
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-
CLAYTON-WABASHA-DODGE-OLMSTED-WINONA-MOWER-FILLMORE-HOUSTON-
TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-
ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
350 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
IOWA...SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING BETWEEN 5 PM AND
MIDNIGHT WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND 7 PM TO 2 AM EAST OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THE HIGHEST THREAT WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 90 WITH THE MAIN THREATS TO BE DAMAGING
WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL. ALSO EXPECT THESE
THUNDERSTORMS TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...WHICH COULD
PRODUCE SOME FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT.
THE TIMING APPEARS TO BE DURING THE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINS LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING ARE
THE MAIN THREATS. SOME DAMAGING WINDS COULD ALSO OCCUR.

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT DETAILS ON THIS ARE
STILL UNCERTAIN.

FLASH FLOODING FROM REPEATED ROUNDS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL
BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS WEEK WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND. SOME OF
THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN MAINTAINING THE THREAT FOR
FLASH FLOODING.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCERN IF THERE WOULD BE A SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT OUTSIDE OF THE FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL FROM THURSDAY INTO
SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULE AT THIS TIME.

DTJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
515 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

IAZ030-WIZ061-162345-
CLAYTON-GRANT-
515 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

...STORMS TO IMPACT SOUTHERN CLAYTON AND GRANT COUNTIES BY 6 PM...

AT 515 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM NEAR COGGON TO NEAR CANTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
THESE STORMS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT SOUTHERN CLAYTON AND GRANT
COUNTIES AROUND 6 PM. PENNY SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PLATTEVILLE...LANCASTER...GUTTENBERG...CUBA CITY...HAZEL GREEN...
DICKEYVILLE...CASSVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...GEORGETOWN...BEETOWN...
ARTHUR...POTOSI...LIVINGSTON...ELLENBORO...GLEN HAVEN...BAGLEY...
TENNYSON...UNION...NORTH BUENA VISTA AND OSTERDOCK.

LAT...LON 4257 9066 4264 9071 4267 9088 4264 9090
      4265 9129 4292 9107 4290 9042 4251 9043
      4251 9064
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 229DEG 40KT 4230 9150 4218 9099

ZT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
528 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

IAZ008-009-018-019-MNZ086-087-094-095-170130-
FLOYD-MITCHELL-HOWARD-CHICKASAW-OLMSTED-FILLMORE-DODGE-MOWER-
528 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST IOWA THIS EVENING...

AT 522 PM CDT...AN APPROACHING LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED
FROM NEAR MANKATO TO 11 MILES EAST OF IOWA LAKE TO NEAR RUSH
LAKE...AND MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...GUSTS NEAR
70 MPH...LARGE HAIL...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES. THESE STORMS
WILL APPROACH THE AREA BETWEEN 630 AND 700 PM...AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS.

NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER. SECURE OR REMOVE ANY
OUTDOOR OBJECTS. HAVE A PLAN IN PLACE FOR WHEN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

LOCATIONS LIKELY TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCHESTER...AUSTIN...CHARLES CITY...BYRON...CRESCO...OSAGE...NEW
HAMPTON...DODGE CENTER...SPRING VALLEY...PRESTON...MANTORVILLE...
KASSON...STEWARTVILLE...CHATFIELD...EYOTA...RUSHFORD...NASHUA...NORA
SPRINGS...HAYFIELD AND ORONOCO.

LAT...LON 4420 9305 4420 9273 4408 9210 4385 9208
      4384 9176 4350 9177 4350 9208 4291 9209
      4291 9303
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 292DEG 32KT 4412 9405 4346 9423 4296 9479

ZT