Severe Thunderstorm Warning 131, NWS La Crosse, WI

783 
WWUS53 KARX 041522
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1022 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

WIC119-041545-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0131.000000T0000Z-140904T1545Z/
TAYLOR WI-
1022 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT
FOR TAYLOR COUNTY...

AT 1020 AM...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE 
EXTENDING FROM NEAR RIB LAKE TO NEAR THORP...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 
MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO TREES AND POWER LINES.

THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MEDFORD AROUND 1025 AM CDT.
  GOODRICH AROUND 1033 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
STETSONVILLE...GOODRICH...LUBLIN...HIGHWAY 64 AND COUNTY D D AND THE
TAYLOR COUNTY AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TREES OR LARGE BRANCHES THAT COULD FALL FROM HIGH WINDS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4538 9004 4512 9004 4512 9020 4503 9020
      4503 9081 4538 9048
TIME...MOT...LOC 1520Z 293DEG 43KT 4532 9013 4496 9072 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

SHEA

974 
WWUS53 KARX 041528
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1028 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

WIC119-041545-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0131.000000T0000Z-140904T1545Z/
TAYLOR WI-
1028 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY...

AT 1026 AM...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE 
EXTENDING FROM NEAR NEW WOOD WILDLIFE AREA TO NEAR OWEN...MOVING 
SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THESE STORMS WILL PASS THROUGH MEDFORD...STETSONVILLE...
AND RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY THROUGH 1045 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE INDOORS AS THESE STORMS PASS THROUGH. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS 
AND BE ALERT FOR FALLING TREES OR LARGE BRANCHES.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4538 9004 4512 9004 4512 9020 4503 9020
      4503 9066 4538 9021
TIME...MOT...LOC 1526Z 293DEG 43KT 4530 9005 4494 9064 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

SHEA

551 
WWUS53 KARX 041540
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1040 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

WIC119-041545-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0131.000000T0000Z-140904T1545Z/
TAYLOR WI-
1040 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY...

AT 1038 AM...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM RIB LAKE THROUGH 
MEDFORD TO NEAR STETSONVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN NORTH AND WEST OF MEDFORD.

THESE STORMS WILL EXIT THE AREA SO NO ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
WARNINGS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY AWAY FROM TREES THAT COULD TOPPLE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4538 9004 4512 9004 4512 9020 4503 9020
      4503 9046
TIME...MOT...LOC 1538Z 293DEG 43KT 4525 8988 4489 9047 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

SHEA

754 
WWUS53 KARX 041550
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1050 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

WIC119-041559-
/O.EXP.KARX.SV.W.0131.000000T0000Z-140904T1545Z/
TAYLOR WI-
1050 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR TAYLOR COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA. THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

THERE WAS ADDITIONAL REPORTS OF DIME SIZE HAIL 3 MILES NORTH OF 
MEDFORD AROUND 1035 AM.

LAT...LON 4538 9004 4512 9004 4512 9020 4503 9020
      4503 9046
TIME...MOT...LOC 1547Z 293DEG 43KT 4525 8988 4489 9047 

$$

SHEA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
608 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 326 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

SURFACE MAP AS OF 3 AM THIS MORNING HAD A DEEP 996MB LOW  OVER
EASTERN SD WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHERN MN AND INTO
SOUTHWEST WI. CURRENTLY WATCHING ONE CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
DEPARTING THE AREA INTO NORTHEAST WI. WITHIN THE LAST 1/2 HOUR...A
CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POPPED UP OVER FAR NORTHEAST
IA/SOUTHWEST WI. FURTHER ANALYSIS SHOWING THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS
FORMING IN RESPONSE TO A NOSE OF STRONG 850MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT
WORKING NORTHEAST ACROSS IA...AND OCCURRING ABOVE A VERY STRONG 700-
750MB CAP OF 14C PER THE RAP BUFKIT AT BLUE RIVER WI. OTHERWISE...
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WERE IN THE 60S
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL WI...AND IN THE 70S ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE ARX
FORECAST AREA.

WARM FRONT MAKES A PUSH NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING. THINKING THOSE SHOWERS/STORMS WILL SHOVE OUT OF THE AREA AS
CAP STRENGTHENS IN WARM SECTOR. WILL BE WATCHING AN MCS OVER ND
MAKING ITS WAY EAST-SOUTHEAST...WHICH COULD CLIP CLARK AND TAYLOR
COUNTIES AS IT MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS FAR NORTHERN WI/UPPER MI. MAY
HAVE TO ADJUST POPS ACCORDINGLY.

OTHERWISE...STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL TAKE PLACE ACROSS THE
AREA WITH STRENGTHENING 700-750MB CAP. THIS SHOULD HOLD OFF ANY
FURTHER CONVECTION AND PUSH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S...TO A
FEW LOWER 90S ALONG/SOUTH OF I-90. DEW POINTS WILL ALSO BE
INCREASING INTO THE LOWER 70S THROUGH THE DAY...PRODUCING VERY
WARM/MUGGY/UNCOMFORTABLE CONDITIONS. HEAT INDICES FOR THE MOST PART
LOOK TO BE IN THE 90-100 RANGE...BUT COULD SEE A FEW HOURS OF 100-
105 IN A FEW SPOTS IN THE MISSISSIPPI/WISCONSIN RIVER VALLEYS. NOT
THINKING A HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED AT THIS POINT DUE TO THE
BRIEF TOUCH IN THE CRITERIA RANGE. WILL HIT IT HARD WITH OUR OTHER
PRODUCTS.

CAP HOLDS STRONG INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHERN WI/SOUTH CENTRAL MN. MODELS AT ODDS AT
HANDLING CONVECTION OR LACK THEREOF WHICH HEDGES ON STRENGTH OF
CAP...WHICH IS VERY STRONG FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN
DETERMINISTIC MODELS ALL HOLD OFF DEVELOPING CONVECTION THROUGH 7PM.
NAM IS A BIT MORE GUNG-HO FIRING ALONG THE FRONT BASICALLY NORTH OF
I-94 BETWEEN 4-7PM. NMM/ARW WRF MODELS SIDE WITH THE NAM. REASON
BEING... BUFKIT SOUNDINGS REVEAL POSSIBLY SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION
BURBLING ABOVE THE CAP AS MID-LEVEL COOLING/STEEPENING LAPSE RATES
TAKE PLACE WITH INCOMING MID-LEVEL TROUGH. THIS WOULD COMPROMISE THE
CAP AND LET SURFACE BASED/DEEP CONVECTION RELEASE ALONG THE FRONT.
WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS FOR SEVERE WIND/HAIL POTENTIAL AS 0-
3KM BULK SHEAR IS PLENTIFUL IN THE 30-40KT RANGE ALONG WITH MUCAPE
IN THE 3000-4000J/KG RANGE.

THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT FOR CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD
BE REMAIN SEVERE AT LEAST INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 326 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

WITH THE COLD FRONT PUSHED INTO NORTHERN IL BY FRIDAY MORNING...
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DRAW DRIER/COOLER AIR OVER THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECTING FAIRLY BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 15-25MPH RANGE WITH
HIGHS ONLY TOPPING OFF IN THE UPPER 60S TO TO LOWER 70S.

MORE EARLY FALL-LIKE CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND
AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE CENTRAL CONUS/UPPER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY REGIONS. LOOK FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGHS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY IN THE 70S AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DEEPENING CYCLONIC FLOW OVER CANADA
AND NORTHERN CONUS WILL DRIVE A COUPLE TROUGHS THROUGH THE REGION FOR
A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH ON/OFF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR A FEW DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 608 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE REGION UNDERNEATH THE CAP HAS ALLOWED
AN AREA OF IFR/MVFR CEILINGS TO FORM OVER THE AREA. THE 04.09Z RAP
AND 04.06Z NAM SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THIS SHOULD PERSIST INTO THE
MIDDLE OF THE MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING AND WITH THE CAP OVER THE
AREA...CONDITIONS SHOULD GO UP TO HIGH VFR CEILINGS. THE COLD
FRONT OVER WESTERN MINNESOTA WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA STARTING LATE
THIS AFTERNOON WITH INIDATIONS THAT THE CAP WILL START TO BREAK TO
ALLOW MORE STORMS TO BEGIN DEVELOPING. WILL HAVE VCTS FOR A GOOD
SHARE OF THE EVENING WITH A TWO HOUR TEMPO GROUP BASED ON THE
04.00Z HI-RES ARW WHEN THE STORMS ARE MOST PROBABLE TO MOVE
ACROSS THE TAF SITES WITH MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE. THE FRONT WILL THEN COME THROUGH IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SWINGING THE WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DAS
LONG TERM...DAS
AVIATION...04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
456 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

WIZ017-029-051100-
TAYLOR-CLARK-
456 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
WISCONSIN AND NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO CLIP
AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 10 LATER THIS MORNING. DAMAGING
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS ALONG WITH SOME
LARGE HAIL.

A COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRIGGER STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. DAMAGING
WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ032>034-
041>044-053>055-061-051100-
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-
CLAYTON-WABASHA-DODGE-OLMSTED-WINONA-MOWER-FILLMORE-HOUSTON-
BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
456 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
IOWA...SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...CENTRAL WISCONSIN...SOUTHWEST
WISCONSIN AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO TRIGGER STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST
WISCONSIN INTO NORTHEAST IOWA FRIDAY MORNING. SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

DAS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
853 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

WIZ017-041515-
TAYLOR-
853 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CROSS NORTHERN TAYLOR COUNTY...

A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING THROUGH
NORTHERN WISCONSIN THIS MORNING PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PASS THROUGH NORTHERN TAYLOR COUNTY
WISCONSIN...MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64...INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES
OF JUMP RIVER AND WESTBORO.

BESIDES THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING...THERE IS A RISK
FOR SOME STRONGER WINDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS POSSIBLE
IF THE WINDS APPEAR STRONG.

MOVE INDOORS AND AWAY FROM TREES IF THESE STORMS CROSS INTO YOUR
AREA.

LAT...LON 4538 9005 4512 9005 4512 9017 4518 9092
      4538 9092
TIME...MOT...LOC 1348Z 240DEG 49KT 4539 9090

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1003 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1002 AM     TSTM WND GST     JUMP RIVER              45.36N 90.80W
09/04/2014  E60 MPH          TAYLOR             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL ALSO

&&

ZT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1006 AM CDT THU SEP 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0958 AM     HAIL             1 N JUMP RIVER          45.37N 90.80W
09/04/2014  E0.88 INCH       TAYLOR             WI   PUBLIC

            HAD WIND...NO DAMAGE.

&&

DANB