Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2014
Small Craft Advisory 72, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this small craft advisory at Nov 22, 2014, 4:28 PM EST. It took effect at Nov 23, 2014, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 22, 2014, 4:28 PM EST (21:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 23, 2014, 6:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Nov 23, 2014, 10:07 PM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
257 WHUS73 KAPX 222128 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 428 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 LMZ323-230500- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0071.000000T0000Z-141122T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0072.141123T1100Z-141123T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- 428 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY. A GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-230500- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0071.000000T0000Z-141122T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 428 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ LMZ341-342-344>346-230500- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0071.000000T0000Z-141123T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 428 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
6 follow-up statements
434 WHUS73 KAPX 230257 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 957 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 LMZ323-231100- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0072.141123T1100Z-141123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- 957 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ LMZ341-342-344>346-231100- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0071.000000T0000Z-141123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 957 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-231100- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 957 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
294 WHUS73 KAPX 230914 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 414 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 LMZ323-231715- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0072.141123T1100Z-141123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- 414 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ LMZ341-342-344>346-231715- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0071.000000T0000Z-141123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 414 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-231715- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 414 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
378 WHUS73 KAPX 231558 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1058 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 LMZ341-342-344>346-240000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0071.000000T0000Z-141123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 1058 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ LMZ323-240000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-141123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- 1058 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-240000- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 1058 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
103 WHUS73 KAPX 232029 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 329 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 LHZ348-349-240430- /O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0028.141124T2100Z-141125T1200Z/ PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 329 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ341-342-344>346-240430- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0071.000000T0000Z-141124T0400Z/ /O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T2100Z-141125T2100Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 329 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-240430- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-141124T0400Z/ /O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T2100Z-141125T2100Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- 329 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345>347-LSZ321-322-240430- /O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0009.141124T1800Z-141125T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T2100Z-141125T2100Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 329 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
992 WHUS73 KAPX 232044 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 344 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 LHZ348-349-240445- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.141124T2100Z-141125T1200Z/ PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 344 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ346-240445- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T0300Z-141125T2100Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 344 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ341-342-344>346-240445- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0071.000000T0000Z-141124T0400Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T2100Z-141125T2100Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 344 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-240445- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-141124T0400Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T2100Z-141125T2100Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- 344 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345-347-LSZ321-322-240445- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T2100Z-141125T2100Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 344 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
327 WHUS73 KAPX 240307 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1007 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 LMZ341-342-344>346-241115- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0071.000000T0000Z-141124T0400Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T2100Z-141125T2100Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 1007 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-241115- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-141124T0400Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T2100Z-141125T2100Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- 1007 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ348-349-241115- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.141124T2100Z-141125T1200Z/ PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 1007 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ346-241115- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.000000T0000Z-141125T2100Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 1007 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345-347-LSZ321-322-241115- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0073.141124T2100Z-141125T2100Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 1007 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 22, 3:45 PM EST, 43 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 22, 3:45 PM EST, 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
345 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 344 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014
MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...ALONG
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN DUE TO A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CROSSING NORTHERN MICHIGAN. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AGAIN LATE MONDAY
WITH COLD READINGS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...ALONG WITH A
RETURN OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 344 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014
OVERVIEW: SOMEWHAT ZONAL FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS TODAY WITH
STRONG JET ENERGY PLOWING INTO THE WEST COAST...AND A SECOND PIECE
OF SHORT WAVE ENERGY ADVANCING THROUGH TEXAS AND SPLIT OFF FROM
THE MAIN FLOW. THESE TWO FEATURES WILL RE-PHASE OVER THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS AND RE-CARVE DEEP TROUGHING ACROSS THE PLAINS AND
GREAT LAKES.
MEANWHILE...STOUT SW FLOW AROUND HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST HAS PULLED MUCH WARMER/MOIST AIR UP THROUGH THE
MIDWEST AND INTO NRN MICHIGAN TODAY. WARM/MOIST AIR OVER A FAIRLY
IMPRESSIVE MID NOVEMBER SNOWPACK HAS...OF COURSE...BROUGHT WIDESPREAD
STRATUS INTO THE REGION...WITH CIGS AND VSBYS CONTINUING TO LOWER
THIS AFTERNOON AS ABOVE FREEZING DEWPOINTS FACILITATE SNOW MELT.
TONIGHT...NOT REALLY MUCH BY WAY OF MEASURABLE PRECIP EXPECTED
THIS EVENING AS WEAK-ISH WARM ADVECTION PERSISTS BUT SHALLOWER
MOISTURE PROFILES SUPPORT JUST OCCASIONAL DRIZZLE (ESPECIALLY
THROUGH THE HIGHER TERRAIN). STRONGER WARM ADVECTION FORCING
AND A SURGE OF DEEPER MOISTURE ARRIVES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WITH LIGHT RAIN STARTING TO MAKE A S-N PUSH INTO THE
CWA...ESPECIALLY AFTER 09Z. SO...WILL CONTINUE WITH THE
DRIZZLE/FOG FORECAST THIS EVENING AND RAMP UP POPS OVERNIGHT
ACCORDINGLY.
SPEAKING OF THE FOG...ALREADY HAVE A FEW LOCATIONS REPORTING 1/4SM
OR LESS VSBY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPS WILL SLOWLY INCH UP TONIGHT BUT
SO WILL DEWPOINTS...BOLSTERED BY ONGOING SNOWMELT/MOISTURE
ADDITION TO THE BOUNDARY LAYER. SO...LOWER VSBYS WILL CERTAINLY BE
AN ISSUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND WE MAY ULTIMATELY NEED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY. BUT WILL LET EVENING SHIFT SEE HOW THINGS EVOLVE.
&&
.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 344 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014
...RETURN TO SNOW AND COLD THROUGH THE WORK WEEK...
HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: GALES POSSIBLE ON THE GREAT LAKES
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...WITH A PERIOD OF INTENSE LAKE ENHANCED
SNOW AND WIND POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT
TIMES.
PATTERN SYNOPSIS/EVOLUTION: LOOKING LIKE A MUCH MORE CLASSIC PRE-
THANKSGIVING WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WITH A BRIEF
INTRUSION OF SOME MUCH-NEEDED MILDER WEATHER INTO EARLY MONDAY...BUT
QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO SUSTAINED COLD AND LAKE SNOWS
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...AND PERHAPS BEYOND. THIS RATHER RAPID
CHANGE HAS COME ABOUT THANKS TO A STRONGER UPPER LOW NEAR THE
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...FORCING STRONG JET ENERGY OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC/GULF OF ALASKA REGION AND HELPING BRIEFLY RID THE OVERALL
SETUP OF PERSISTENT RIDGING THAT HAD BEEN IN PLACE OVER THAT REGION
FOR THE PAST 1-2 WEEKS. THAT SAME ENERGY WILL GO INTO THE PRODUCTION
OF A DEEPENING CENTRAL CONUS TROUGH FOR THE EARLY WORK WEEK...WITH
STRONG LOW PRESSURE ANTICIPATED TO WORK THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON
MONDAY...USHERING IN ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. AS UPPER
RIDGING AGAIN DEVELOPS TOWARD THE GULF OF ALASKA AND THROUGH MID AND
LATE WEEK...A REINFORCEMENT TO THE NEWLY RETURNED CENTRAL CONUS
TROUGH IS EXPECTED...HELPING UNLOAD YET ANOTHER SHOT OF QUITE COLD
AIR BY LATE NOVEMBER STANDARDS. THIS SETUP WILL OF COURSE FAVOR
VARIOUS BOUTS OF LAKE EFFECT/ENHANCED SNOW...WITH AT LEAST THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY ACCUMULATION ONCE AGAIN.
BREAKING IN ALL DOWN:
SUNDAY-MONDAY NIGHT: ONE ACTIVE PERIOD OF WEATHER! STRONG HEIGHT
FALLS EMERGING ONTO THE PLAINS STATES WILL INDUCE LEE CYCLOGENESIS
OVER WESTERN KANSAS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THIS FEATURE
TRACKING QUICKLY NORTHEAST TOWARD THE STRAITS WHILE INTENSIFYING
RAPIDLY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE TRENDS HAVE CONTINUED
TO PEG THIS AS A SUB-975MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...WHICH CERTAINLY
MAKES SENSE GIVEN TREMENDOUS COUPLED UPPER JET FORCING IN
PLACE...NOT TO MENTION AN INCREASINGLY TIGHT BAROCLINIC ZONE LAID
OUT JUST UPSTREAM OF THE WESTERN LAKES. THAT SIMPLE FACT RAISES
EYEBROWS ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME QUITE STRONG WINDS AT SOME
POINT AS A VERY TIGHT GRADIENT ROLLS OVERHEAD...BUT MORE ON THAT
BELOW.
FROM A SENSIBLE WEATHER PERSPECTIVE...CAN'T RULE OUT PERIODIC LIGHT
RAIN/DRIZZLE AND FOG THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY AS WE SORT OF SIT IN NO
MANS LAND WITH ONLY WEAK WARM ADVECTION FORCING BUT CONTINUED
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE ADVECTION (DEW POINTS CLIMBING THROUGH THE
UPPER 30S AND 40S). FOG COULD OF COURSE BE QUITE DENSE OVER EXISTING
MELTING SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...THE REAL ACTION KICKS INTO GEAR LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. ABOVE-MENTIONED JET DYNAMICS
COUPLED WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER WARM ADVECTION ASCENT SHOULD HAVE NO
TROUBLE LIFTING A BAND OF WIDESPREAD RAIN THROUGH THE ENTIRE CWA
FROM LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE SETUP AND
ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PWAT VALUES PUSHING 1 INCH...CERTAINLY EXPECT TO
SEE A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN...WITH OVERALL RAIN AMOUNTS IN THE 0.5-1
INCH RANGE. QUICK-MOVING NATURE OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD LIMIT
THE OVERALL FLOODING POTENTIAL...AS WILL THE FACT THAT CURRENT SNOW
PACK ONLY CONTAINS 1-2 INCHES OF WATER FOR THE HIGHEST DEPTH
LOCATIONS. HOWEVER...SOME RISES CAN CERTAINLY BE EXPECTED ON MANY
AREA RIVERS/STREAMS...WITH A LOW END CHANCE FOR MINOR FLOODING ON
THE MANISTEE/RIFLE RIVERS.
HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD EXIT TO OUR NORTH BY 12Z MONDAY...WITH A STRONG
COLD FRONT MARCHING THROUGH THE CWA INTO MIDDAY. PLENTY OF COLD AIR
BEHIND THAT FEATURE WILL COME RUSHING BACK THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN
INTO THE AFTERNOON....HELPING IGNITE THE LAKE EFFECT MACHINE ONCE
AGAIN RIGHT ON INTO MONDAY NIGHT. SETUP CONTINUES TO LOOK RATHER
IDEAL FOR A PERIOD OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOWS AS DEEPER MOISTURE WRAPS
BACK THROUGH THE REGION COURTESY OF ANOTHER NORTHERN STREAM WAVE
TRAVERSING THE FLOW...EVEN AS OUR PRIMARY UPPER WAVE LIFTS INTO
ONTARIO. BASED ON THE SETUP WITH DEEPER OMEGA INCREASINGLY PEGGED
THROUGH A DEEPENING DGZ...WOULDN'T BE AT ALL SHOCKED TO SEE SOME
SPOTS PICK UP SNOWFALL IN EXCESS OF 4-6 INCHES (NOTE: VERY EARLY
GUESS)...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS COURTESY OF A
LINGERING TIGHTER GRADIENT...HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.
TEMPS OF COURSE WILL CRASH FROM THE MILDER 40S (MAYBE EVEN SOME 50S
EASTERN SPOTS MONDAY MORNING) BACK THROUGH THE 20S INTO THE NIGHT.
WELCOME BACK WINTER!
TUESDAY-SATURDAY: PLENTY OF LITTLE ISSUES TO BE IRONED OUT DURING
THIS PERIOD...BUT THE OVERALL GIST IS FOR A RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPS AS OVERALL UPPER TROUGHING DOMINATES THE REGION...REINFORCED
AT TIMES BY THE PASSAGE OF INDIVIDUAL WEAKER SHORTWAVES. STILL
LOOKING GOOD FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF WEST/NORTHWEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT
INTO TUESDAY AS DECENT LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW PREVAILS WHILE WE
CONTINUE TO ADVECT SLIGHTLY COLDER AIR ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN.
HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD PUT AN END TO THAT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO MUCH OF
WEDNESDAY...WITH PERHAPS NOT MUCH OF ANYTHING ONGOING AS A NARROW
CORRIDOR OF MUCH DRIER AIR ARRIVES AND THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL REGIME
MODERATES BRIEFLY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT NORTHERN STREAM WAVE ARRIVING
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE
STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT A PERIOD OF SNOW ONCE AGAIN APPEARS
POSSIBLE FOR MANY AREAS. NEXT DUMP OF COLDER AIR SHOULD ARRIVE
TOWARD LATE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND...THOUGH THERE ARE MANY FLAVORS OF
WIND REGIMES IN THE GUIDANCE SO FAR OUT. THUS...CHANCES FOR SNOW
SHOWERS WILL REMAIN BUT NOTHING SPECIFIC.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 243 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014
FLIGHT CONDITIONS GOING DOWNHILL THIS AFTERNOON AS WARM/MOIST AIR
CONTINUES TO FLOOD NORTHWARD INTO NRN MICHIGAN OVER THE SNOWPACK.
EXPECT SOLID IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS NRN MICHIGAN AND AT THE
TERMINAL SITES (FOR THE MOST PART...MIGHT BE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR
CIGS) THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
MEANWHILE...STRONG WINDS OFF THE SFC WILL LEAD TO LLWS AT ALL
TERMINAL SITES THROUGH SUNDAY.
&&
.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 344 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY...ALONG AND JUST BEHIND A WARM FRONT LIFTING ACROSS THE
NEARSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON
LAKE MICHIGAN...BUT OVERALL STABILITY WILL HELP MITIGATE ANY THREAT
FOR GALES. STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE WILL MARCH UP THE LAKE
MICHIGAN SPINE AND INTO EASTERN ONTARIO ON MONDAY...WITH A VERY
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPING ALONG WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION.
THAT SETUP SHOULD DELIVER A ROUND OF GALES TO MOST IF NOT ALL WATERS
LATER MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...ALONG WITH A ROUND OF RAIN CHANGING
TO SNOW. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE INTO TUESDAY...AND ESPECIALLY
BY WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
LHZ345>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LMZ323-
341-342-344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LSZ321-
322.
&&
SYNOPSIS...ALM
SHORT TERM...ADAM
LONG TERM...LAWRENCE
AVIATION...ADAM
MARINE...LAWRENCEHazardous weather outlook, Nov 22, 3:59 PM EST, 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 359 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041- 042-231100- STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-CHIPPEWA- MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- 359 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA SUNDAY MORNING. A PERIOD OF HEAVIER RAIN IS EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY LEAD TO VERY SLICK CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED BACK ROADS AS WELL AS MINOR RISES ON AREA RIVERS. COLD AIR WILL ONCE AGAIN SPILL BACK INTO THE REGION LATE MONDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE WEEK RESULTING IN PERIODS OF LAKE EFFECT AND LAKE ENHANCED SNOW. HEAVY SNOW MAY BE POSSIBLE. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. && FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Nov 22, 3:55 PM EST, 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 355 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 MIZ016>023-025>028-031>034-230000- EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE- WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE... CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 355 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 ...AREAS OF DENSE FOG DEVELOPING... WITH MUCH WARMER AIR SPREADING INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN AND THE RESULTING SNOW MELT...AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BECOME COMMON ACROSS THE REGION HEADING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. IF TRAVELING THIS EVENING...BE PREPARED FOR LOCALLY DENSE FOG. SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 4:28 PM EST | Gale Watch | APX | 23 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2014Every small craft advisory in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.