Gale Warning 5, NWS Gaylord, MI

379 
WHUS73 KAPX 140347
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1047 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

LMZ345-346-141200-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.140115T0000Z-140115T1000Z/
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1047 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-342-344-141200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.140115T0000Z-140115T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
1047 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO
5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO
5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

281 
WHUS73 KAPX 140844
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
344 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

LMZ344-141645-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.140115T0000Z-140115T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0005.140115T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
344 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ345-346-141645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0005.140115T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
344 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-141645-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.140115T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
344 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-342-141645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.140115T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
344 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

313 
WHUS73 KAPX 141548
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1048 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

LMZ344>346-150000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.140115T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1048 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LMZ323-342-150000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.140115T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1048 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

144 
WHUS73 KAPX 142112
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
412 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

LMZ344>346-151500-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.140115T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
412 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LMZ323-342-151500-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.140115T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
412 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

862 
WHUS73 KAPX 150303
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1003 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

LMZ344>346-151115-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1003 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LMZ323-342-151115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1003 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

094 
WHUS73 KAPX 150918
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
418 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014

LMZ344>346-151730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140116T1200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
418 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-349-LMZ341-151730-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140117T0000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
418 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-LSZ321-322-151500-
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
418 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LMZ323-342-151730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140117T0000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
418 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

548 
WHUS73 KAPX 151458
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
958 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014

LHZ345-LSZ321-322-151600-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140115T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
958 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

$$

LMZ344>346-152300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140116T1200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
958 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-LMZ323-341-342-152300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140117T0000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
958 AM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

426 
WHUS73 KAPX 152047
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
347 PM EST WED JAN 15 2014

LMZ344>346-160500-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140116T1200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
347 PM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-LSZ321-322-160500-
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140117T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
347 PM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-LMZ323-341-342-160500-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140117T0000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
347 PM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

769 
WHUS73 KAPX 160300
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1000 PM EST WED JAN 15 2014

LMZ344>346-161100-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140116T1200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1000 PM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-LSZ321-322-161100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140117T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1000 PM EST WED JAN 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

809 
WHUS73 KAPX 160740
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
240 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014

LMZ344>346-161545-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140116T1600Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
240 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-LSZ321-322-161545-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140117T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
240 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

389 
WHUS73 KAPX 161449
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
949 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014

LMZ344>346-162300-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140116T1600Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140117T0000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
949 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-LSZ321-322-162300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140117T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
949 AM EST THU JAN 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1244 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 327 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

LOW PRESSURE CROSSING NORTHERN ONTARIO TODAY WILL BRING US SOME
MIXED PRECIPITATION...AND EVENTUALLY COLDER AIR FOR LATE TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOW WILL CROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN ON TUESDAY.
THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL SNOW PRODUCER...
ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE
COLD...WITH PERIODIC BOUTS OF SNOW.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1237 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

JUST A FEW LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION.
FORECAST WELL IN HAND. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE STEADY TO SLOWLY
FALLING THIS AFTERNOON.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 929 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

ADJUSTED WEATHER AND POP GRIDS BASED ON LATEST APX RADAR AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. THE RADAR LOOKS LIKE IT SHOULD BE
PRECIPITATING BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY DRY MID LEVELS. NO
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE INDICATING ANY RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS
HITTING THE GROUND SO HAVE SCALED BACK POPS A BIT...WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST COUNTIES.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 647 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

HAVE ADDED SOME DETAIL TO THE MORNING POP/WX FORECAST GRIDS...WITH
HIGHER POPS FROM BEAVER ISL UP INTO EASTERN UPPER...AND LOWER IN
SE SECTIONS. OBS SUPPORT MIXED PRECIP...SKEWED TOWARD SNOW IN
MUCH OF EASTERN UPPER MI...AND MORE TOWARD RAIN IN NORTHERN LOWER
AND ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE MI. IN ANY EVENT...THIS IS AND WILL
REMAIN A LOW QPF EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 327 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

CURRENTLY, THE SFC LOW IS JUST WEST OF JAMES BAY WITH THE COLD FRONT
STRETCHED TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO C UPPER, C WISCONSIN AND INTO C
MISSOURI. THE 500 MB TROUGH AXIS IS CURRENTLY RUNNING THROUGH
CENTRAL PLAINS WITH A JET STREAK AND ITS LFQ BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO
MICHIGAN. MOISTURE ALONG THE FRONT HAS BEEN POOLING, AND IS STARTING
TO GET SOME PRECIPITATION GOING FROM IOWA TO N LAKE MICHIGAN. OTHER
THAN SOME MINOR RAIN SHOWERS AT BEAVER ISLAND (SJX) VERY LITTLE
PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN NOTED WITH THE RADAR RETURNS AT THE OBS
SITES. THIS WILL BE MAIN CONCERN FOR TODAY, AND THE LES ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT.

(1/13)TODAY...THE MODELS SHOW THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW IN
MOVING OUT OF THE REGION UNTIL LATE IN DAY WHICH ALLOWS THE MOISTURE
RETURN TO PROPERLY MOISTEN THE LOWER LEVELS. 00Z SOUNDINGS OUT WEST
(KMPX, KDVN, KILX, KOAX) SHOWED LITTLE TO ANY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AVAILABLE. SO THE STALLING OF THE SYSTEM, AND ALLOWING THE MOISTURE
TO PUMP NORTH FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AND UP ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF
THE FRONT. SO HAVE LOWERED THE POPS IN THE EARLY MORNING AND INTO
THE DAY AS THE MOISTURE STILL LOOKS RATHER THIN IN THE LOWER LEVELS.
THE PROBLEM THAT ARISES IS THAT THE JET STREAK MOVES OUT OF THE
REGION BY 18Z SO THAT WE ARE IN THE LRQ OF THE JET, WHICH IS MAINLY
DOWNWARD MOTION. WHILE THE FRONT BEGINS TO HEAD SOUTH. THIS ALLOWS
SOME RIDGING AND DRY TO TAKE PLACE. SO THE PRECIPITATION WITH THIS
WILL BE SPOTTY. IT DOES LOOK LIKE WE SHOULD BEGIN TO GET WEST FLOW
AFTER 21Z IN AND THAT THE 850 MB TEMPERATURES AND THE SFC
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW. HOWEVER, IT LOOKS LIKE
THAT WILL BE VERY MINOR FOR ACCUMULATIONS.

TONIGHT...THE TEMPERATURES AT THE SFC AND 850 MB CONTINUE TO COOL SO
THAT LES IS MORE LIKELY FROM THE WEST FLOW THAT CONTINUES THROUGH
06Z. THERE ISN'T A LOT OF SYNOPTIC MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AS THE AREA
OF 60% RH IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER IS RATHER SMALL OVER THE W FLOW
COUNTIES. THEN TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE FETCH OF OPEN WATER, AND THE
AMOUNTS, WHILE MEASURABLE, WILL BE MINOR. AFTER 06Z, THE WINDS TURN
FROM THE WEST TO THE SOUTH AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. THIS WILL WARM
TEMPERATURES AT 850 MB AND BEGIN TO SHUT DOWN THE LES BETWEEN 09Z
AND 12Z, ONLY TO HAVE SOME OF THE WARM ADVECTION SNOW FROM THE
SYSTEM BEGIN TO ENCROACH ON THE FORECAST AREA.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 327 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

A RATHER LENGTHY RETURN TO CHILLIER WX APPEARS INEVITABLE IN THE
LONG TERM. THIS PROCESS ALREADY UNDERWAY BY TUESDAY MORNING...AS A
HIGH-AMPLITUDE UPPER TROF SETS UP SHOP OVER ONTARIO...THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES...AND THE TN VALLEY. THERE LOOKS TO BE A BRIEF
INTERRUPTION IN THE COLD OUT TOWARD THURSDAY...THOUGH ACCOMPANIED BY
SYNOPTIC SNOW. TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT ALSO CONTAIN SOME SNOW...IN
FACT (AFTER A QUICK GLANCE)...QUITE A BIT MORE THAN ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME YESTERDAY. THE MAIN CULPRIT IS A BARELY-CLOSED 500/700MB
LOW CROSSING THE SOUTHERN LAKES. PRECIP/TEMPS THE MAIN CONCERNS.

MODELS DIFFER AS TO HOW AGGRESSIVELY TO DIG THE INCOMING SHORTWAVE.
BY TUESDAY EVENING...THE NAM HAS A WEAK 500MB CIRCULATION CENTER
OVER SOUTHERN LAKE MI...WITH THE GFS BETWEEN HTL AND TVC...WHILE THE
ECMWF LACKS ONE ALTOGETHER. AT THE SURFACE...THERE ARE MORE
SIMILARITIES...WITH ALL THREE BRINGING A SURFACE LOW INTO THE SOUTH
HALF OF LOWER MI TUE AFTERNOON. THE GFS IS FURTHEST NORTH AND
DEEPEST...THE ECMWF THE MOST SOUTHERLY AND WEAKEST. A NAM/ECMWF
COMPROMISE IS PREFERRED...IN PARTICULAR STAYING AWAY FROM THE MODEL
(GFS) THAT DEPARTS MOST SUBSTANTIALLY FROM THE ECMWF.

TUESDAY...A COMPACT SURFACE LOW WILL FILL SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES FROM
FAR SW WI TO A BIT SOUTH OF GRR. A SMALL WARM CONVEYOR BELT WILL
HAVE REACHED CENTRAL/SOUTHERN LAKE MI BY 12Z...AND WILL SLOWLY
ADVANCE ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF OF LOWER MI THRU 21Z. MID-LEVEL DRY
SLOTTING WILL BE SEEN JUST TRAILING THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT...THOUGH
AT THIS TIME IT DOES NOT LOOK TO ADVANCE FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO IMPACT
US. INSTEAD...AN AXIS OF PROMINENT 700-500MB DEFORMATION (ALONG
NORTH EDGE OF CLOSED CIRCULATION) ADVANCES INTO CENTRAL/NORTHERN
LOWER MI. SNOW WILL ADVANCE INTO NW LOWER MI BY MID-MORNING...
EXPANDING N AND E WITH TIME. SNOW MAY REACH A BIT NORTH OF THE
BRIDGE VERY LATE IN THE DAY...BUT BY AND LARGE LITTLE SNOW IS
EXPECTED IN EASTERN UPPER.

HOW MUCH? THIS IS NOT A CLASSIC BANDED FGEN SCENARIO...ANY FGEN IS
LARGELY SUB-850MB...AND NEAR-ZERO OR LOWER EPV IS ONLY FOUND NEAR
GRR OR SOUTH. HOWEVER...THE NAM/ECMWF ARE GENERATING CONSIDERABLE
AMOUNTS OF OMEGA...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON IN NW LOWER.
DEFORMATION AND OMEGA BOTH WEAKEN VERY LATE IN THE DAY...AS THE
SURFACE LOW PREPARES TO /JUMP/ EAST WITH SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT.
STILL...THE MODEL PORTRAYAL OF DEFORMATION HAS ME DULY IMPRESSED.
SNOW/LIQUID RATIOS MAY SUFFER A BIT THANKS TO MAX OMEGA BEING
RELATIVELY HIGH (AROUND -20C). WILL HAVE 1-2 INCHES AS FAR NORTH AS
PETOSKEY/ APN...INCREASING TO 3-4 FOR TVC-HTL...AND PERHAPS A BIT
MORE IN THE FAR SW.

MAX TEMPS 20S TO NEAR 30F.

TUE NIGHT...SURFACE LOW JUMPS EAST AND THE MOVES NE...ENDING UP
BETWEEN LAKES HURON AND ONTARIO BY DAWN. SYNOPTIC SNOW WILL
GRADUALLY FADE OUT IN NW/N CENTRAL LOWER (AND EASTERN UPPER...WHERE
IT NEVER REALLY QUITE BEGAN). SNOW MAY LINGER WELL INTO THE NIGHT IN
NE LOWER...ESPECIALLY NEAR LK HURON SOUTH OF APN...AS 850MB TEMPS GO
COLDER THAN -10C WITH NNE 1000-850MB WINDS. CIRCA 3 INCHES OF SNOW
WILL BE PLACED THERE. SOMETHING IN THE 1-2 RANGE WILL WORK NEAR/WEST
OF CAD/TVC...WHERE SOME N FLOW LAKE EFFECT DEVELOPS AFTER SYNOPTIC
SNOW ENDS (850MB TEMPS IN THE MID MINUS TEENS). UNFAVORABLE NNE
FETCH MEANS CHIP/MACK NEVER SEE ALL THAT MUCH...IN FACT SOME PARTIAL
CLEARING CAN BE EXPECTED THERE LATE. MIN TEMPS IN SINGLE DIGITS
ABOVE ZERO EASTERN UPPER...MAINLY TEENS NORTHERN LOWER.

WEDNESDAY...A RELATIVELY QUIET DAY. LOW PRESSURE PULLS AWAY FROM THE
EASTERN LAKES...AND A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
WESTERN LAKES IN THE AFTERNOON. 850MB TEMPS AROUND -15C WILL RESULT
IN PLENTY OF INSTABILITY. BUT A DRYING AIRMASS (850-700MB RH BELOW
40 PERCENT BY THE END OF THE DAY) AND WEAKENING/BACKING WINDS (FROM
N TO NW TO WSW DURING THE DAY) WILL KEEP THIS ACTIVITY LIGHT AND
UNFOCUSED. IT WILL BE CHILLY...WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE TEENS TO AROUND
20F.

REST OF THE FORECAST...MATURE CYCLONE WILL ADVANCE RAPIDLY SE-WARD
FROM CENTRAL CANADA...REACHING SUPERIOR ON THURSDAY. CLOUD COVER
WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE WED NIGHT...AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP INTO THE
REGION EITHER LATE WED NIGHT OR THU MORNING. WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF
THE SYSTEM WILL PUSH TEMPS BACK TO NEAR CLIMO. THAT WILL BE
BRIEF...AS COLDER AIR RETURNS BEHIND IT. MAX TEMPS IN THE TEENS TO
LOW 20S WILL BE COMMON FRIDAY THRU THE WEEKEND...WITH SOME LAKE
EFFECT ACTIVITY IN THE USUAL LOCALES (ESPECIALLY ON THU
NIGHT/FRIDAY).

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1237 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

ALBERTA CLIPPER MOVING BY TO THE NORTH WITH A COLD FRONT SET TO
PUSH ACROSS THE TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON. JUST A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS WITH THIS SYSTEM. LOW PRESSURE IS THEN SET TO AFFECT THE
REGION LATER TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO SPREAD FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE TAF SITES NEAR THE END OF
THE TAF PERIOD. TOUGH CALL ON CIGS BETWEEN LOW END VFR AND HIGH
END MVFR. WILL CONTINUE TO HEDGE WITH MAINLY MVFR EXPECTED THROUGH
MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD...THOUGH WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF CIGS
WERE JUST ABOVE THAT AT TIMES OUT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM DUE IN ON
TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 327 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA AS THE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO SLACKEN. THIS WILL BE THE CASE
THROUGH TONIGHT UNTIL THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THEN THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND INCREASE
SO THAT WE WILL BE AT SMALL CRAFT CONDITION THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
LS...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...AS
SYNOPSIS...JZ
SHORT TERM...JL
LONG TERM...JZ
AVIATION...AS
MARINE...JL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
334 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
141145-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
334 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE TO ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AREA
RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT IN NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS SOUTH OF M-32.

LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE TO ICE JAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.