Gale Warning 11, NWS Gaylord, MI

125 
WHUS73 KAPX 102044
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
444 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

LMZ323-110445-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0011.140910T2100Z-140911T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
444 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ342-344>346-110445-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.140910T2100Z-140911T1200Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
444 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-110445-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.140911T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
444 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EDT THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-110445-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
444 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-349-110445-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
444 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-110445-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
444 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

659 
WHUS73 KAPX 110222
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1022 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

LMZ323-342-344>346-111030-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140911T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1022 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-111030-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1022 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-111030-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1022 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-349-111030-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1022 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-111030-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1022 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

685 
WHUS73 KAPX 110758
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
358 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

LMZ323-342-344>346-111500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
358 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-111500-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
358 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-111500-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
358 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-349-111500-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
358 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-111500-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
358 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

775 
WHUS73 KAPX 111510
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1110 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

LMZ323-342-344>346-112315-
/O.EXP.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0044.140911T1510Z-140912T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1110 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THE
GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-112315-
/O.EXP.KAPX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0044.140911T1510Z-140912T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1110 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THE
GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-112315-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0044.140911T1510Z-140912T0400Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1110 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-112100-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0044.140911T1510Z-140911T2100Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1110 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-112100-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-140911T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0044.140911T1510Z-140911T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1110 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1200 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 403 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO
THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL DELIVER WET AND WINDY CONDITIONS ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR LATE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...ALONG
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AT TIMES.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1005 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

CIRRUS BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM THE SW...WITH AN AREA
OF MID-CLOUDS DEPARTING EASTERN UPPER MI. ACTUAL PRECIP IS STILL A
WAYS AWAY...ADVANCING INTO NORTHERN IL AND FAR SW WI. 00Z APX AND
GRB OBSERVED SOUNDINGS WERE SOMEWHAT SIMILAR...WITH SOME MID-LEVEL
MOISTURE IN THE 800-700MB LAYER...BUT QUITE DRY FURTHER ALOFT.
RADAR TRENDS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE MOST RECENT SHORT-
TERM MODEL GUIDANCE...GENERALLY HOLDING OFF ON ANY PRECIP IN FAR
SW SECTIONS UNTIL JUST ABOUT 12Z. WILL SLOW THE ONSET OF PRECIP
CHANCES A SMIDGE. OTHERWISE...WILL ADJUST CLOUD COVER TRENDS. MIN
TEMPS COULD STAND A SLIGHT DOWNWARD ADJUSTMENT IN THE EAST...
UPWARD IN THE SW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 403 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: MINIMAL

PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGES: START OF THE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT.

CURRENTLY, RETURN FLOW OUT OF THE SOUTH IS CONTINUING THE MOISTENING
TREND. LOWER LEVELS ARE STILL A BIT DRY, WITH A DECENT SIZED
MID-LEVEL DRY LAYER, AROUND 800 MB IN THE MORNING SOUNDING. TO THE
SOUTH AND WEST OF US, THE MCS THAT WAS IN S WISCONSIN/N ILLINOIS
EARLY THIS MORNING, HAS CUT SOME OF THE MOISTURE RETURN OFF THIS
MORNING, BUT AS THE STORM HAS FALLEN APART AND MOVED BACK INTO THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO STREAM
NORTH. OTHERWISE, THE SFC LOW IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS CONTINUING TO
ORGANIZE WITH THE WARM FRONT/STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE
LOW INTO W LAKE SUPERIOR, TO NORTHERN QUEBEC.

TONIGHT...LOOKS LIKE THE EVENING SHOULD REMAIN DRY AS WELL WITH THE
RETURN FLOW CONTINUING TO MOISTEN THE LOWER LEVELS. HOWEVER, AROUND
MIDNIGHT (04Z), THE FIRST SEMBLANCE OF THE RAIN GETTING INTO THE
FORECAST AREA LOOKS POSSIBLE. AS STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND THE 500
MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH (WITH THE SW COUNTIES GETTING INTO THE PVA AHEAD
OF THE TROUGH) MOVE INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THE QUESTION THEN IS
THE THE MID LEVELS (700-500 MB) TOO DRY? GFS SAYS NO WITH 86% RH IN
THE LAYER AT 06Z, AND THE ECMWF SAYING YES WITH 50%. SO WILL GO WITH
A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS FOR THE MBL AREA. AFTER 06Z, THE
MOISTURE WILL RISE, BUT HOW FAST? THE NAM WAS NO HELP IN THIS
DEPARTMENT WITH A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK(ABOUT 75 MILE NW OF THE ECMWF
TRACK WHICH IS CLOSE TO YESTERDAY'S 12Z RUN). THE GFS IS ABOUT 50
MILES SOUTH OF THE ECMWF TRACK. LOCAL WRF4KM RUN IS ABOUT MID WAY
BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS AND LOOKS LIKE A GOOD COMPROMISE. THINK
THAT THE GFS IS A LITTLE FAST IN THAT CASE WITH THE RAIN TO M-33 BY
12Z, WHILE THE ECMWF AND WRK4KM ARE AROUND SOMEWHERE NEAR THE US-131
TO I-75 CORRIDORS. SO INCREASE THE CHANCES A BIT AND MOVE THEM INTO
AROUND US-131 BETWEEN 06 AND 09Z. BETWEEN 09Z AND 12Z, HAVE A
COMPROMISE WITH THE GFS AS THE RAIN IS JUST GETTING TO THE I-75
CORRIDOR WITH LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL RAIN TO THE WEST.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 403 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

...BIG CHANGES COMING WEDNESDAY...

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: LOW PRESSURE CROSSING NORTHERN
MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY LIKELY TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL...GALE FORCE WINDS
ON THE BACKSIDE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY.  SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THREAT LOOKING LESS LIKELY FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
(MORE PROBABLE DOWNSTATE).

PATTERN SYNOPSIS/FORECAST: FOUR WAVE HEMISPHERIC PATTERN WITH ONE
LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA WITH UPSTREAM RIDGING
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND INTO ALASKA.  MUCH OF ENERGY WITHIN THE
NORTH AMERICAN LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN CANADA...WITH
IMPRESSIVELY COLD TEMPERATURES AT 500MB (AT OR BELOW -30C...2-3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW THE MEAN FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR).  WEST-
EAST ORIENTED SHORT WAVE TROUGH EMANATING FROM THE WESTERN CANADIAN
HIGH LATITUDES WILL BE THE PIECE OF ENERGY TO WATCH.  FLOW ACROSS
THE CONTINENTAL U.S. SOMEWHAT QUASI-ZONAL WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGHING
HEADING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.
SURFACE COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM JAMES BAY SOUTHWEST INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST/DAKOTAS...WITH COLD 1030MB HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND IT OVER
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PRAIRIE PROVINCES (FIRST TIME DRAWING IN A
0C ISOTHERM ON THE NORTH AMERICAN SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS MORNING...SO
I GUESS SUMMER IS OFFICIALLY OVER).  NARROW HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
ALONG THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANS...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW IN BETWEEN
THESE FEATURES DRAWING MOISTURE INTO THE MIDWEST WITH DEW POINTS IN
THE 60S UP INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

MAIN HEIGHT FALLS OUT OF CANADA PLUNGE INTO THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH IN TURN WILL SEND THE COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH A FRONTAL WAVE EXPECTED
TO CROSS LOWER MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.  THIS LOW IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN QUEBEC BY THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN ITS WAKE DRAGGING THE
COLDEST AIR OF THE NASCENT METEOROLOGICAL FALL SEASON INTO THE GREAT
LAKES (850MB TEMPERATURES LIKELY SINKING TOWARDS OR BELOW 0C
THURSDAY NIGHT).  A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL THEN SWING ACROSS
THE MIDWEST FRIDAY AND THROUGH MICHIGAN IN THE SATURDAY TIME FRAME
(AND POSSIBLY A FOLLOW-ON DISTURBANCE FOR SUNDAY).

PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS (NEAR TERM): IMPACTS WITH THE APPROACHING
LOW THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUES...WITH NUMEROUS CONCERNS INCLUDING
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WEDNESDAY...QPF AND HYDROLOGY
CONCERNS...WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM AND MARINE
ISSUES...AND COOL TEMPERATURES HEADING INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK.

NEAR TERM (WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY):  SURFACE LOW EXPECTED TO RAMP UP
ACROSS THE MIDWEST OVERNIGHT...TRACKING NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING (NAM-WRF LOOKS A LITTLE
TOO RAMPED UP...WRAPPING A STRONGER VERSION OF THE SURFACE LOW
ACROSS CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY EVENING).  WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT NORTH INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE DAY...
WITH A SOUTHWESTERLY 40+KT LOW LEVEL JET FOCUSED ON LOWER MICHIGAN
DURING THE DAY.  RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE FORECAST AREA
DURING THE MORNING FROM WEST TO EAST...DRIVEN BY DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
(PRECIPITABLE WATER 1.50-2.00 INCHES...2-3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
THE MEAN/225+ PERCENT NORMAL) AND STRONG UPPER SUPPORT WITH SOME JET
COUPLING IMPLIED AND STRONG LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE.  DEEP
WARM CLOUD LAYER DEPTH WILL ALSO SUPPORT HIGH PRECIPITATION
EFFICIENCY WITH FREEZING LEVELS ABOVE 13.5K FEET...SO HEAVY RAINFALL
IS CERTAINLY A CONCERN...WITH ONLY DURATION BEING THE LIMITING
FACTOR AS RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST
STARTING MID AFTERNOON.  CURRENT THINKING IS THAT 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN
PRETTY MUCH AREAWIDE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON IS A REASONABLE
EXPECTATION.  ALSO SUSPECT THAT THE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL WILL BE
THE MAIN INITIAL THREAT WEDNESDAY...SEEM TO BE TRENDING TOWARD A
RAINY DAY WITHOUT MUCH POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION.  ONE THOUGHT
IS THAT GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF WIND ENERGY IN THE LOW LAYERS...AND A
FAIRLY MOIST ATMOSPHERE THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A LOW-TOPPED LINE
OF CONVECTION PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.  SO THIS WILL BE MORE
OF A MESOSCALE ISSUE BETTER EVALUATED WEDNESDAY.  EXPECT MAIN AREA
OF PRECIPITATION TO BE EXITING THE FORECAST AREA BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING...WITH A LITTLE RAIN POSSIBLY WRAPPING BACK INTO EASTERN
UPPER.  LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION WILL DIMINISH STABILITY OVER THE
WARM LAKES AT LEAST IN A SHALLOW LAYER...THIS COMBINED WITH CYCLONIC
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW MAY ALLOW FOR A LITTLE DRIZZLE TO DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE PROFILE SHALLOWS OUT.  BUT WHILE THE
MAIN RAIN WINDS DOWN WILL SEE THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND
PICK UP...LIKELY GUSTING 20-30MPH INLAND AND 30-40MPH FOR SHORELINE
LOCATIONS EXPOSED TO ONSHORE WINDS.

THURSDAY EXPECTED TO DAWN CLOUDY AND BREEZY...AND AS MENTIONED ABOVE
A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SOME DRIZZLE PROBABLY THROUGH MIDDAY (AT
LEAST...THESE THINGS HAVE A TENDENCY TO LINGER).  PRETTY PESSIMISTIC
ON CLOUD COVER FOR THURSDAY AS ANY BREAKS SHOULD FILL IN WITH
STRATOCUMULUS WITHIN THE COOL AIR MASS OVERSPREADING THE UPPER
LAKES.  HIGHS THURSDAY EXPECTED TO BE STUCK IN THE 50S (AROUND 15
DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE).  WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME CLEARING ACROSS THE
NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT LAKE STRATOCUMULUS WILL STILL BE A
CONCERN ESPECIALLY OFF LAKE HURON WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERING MORE
TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AS SURFACE RIDGE NOSES IN FROM THE WEST.

MEDIUM RANGE (FRIDAY/SATURDAY/SUNDAY): CHILLY AIR MASS BY EARLY
SEPTEMBER STANDARDS WILL STILL BE IN PLACE AT WEEK'S END...SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL BE
RIDGING EAST AND ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.  NEXT SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST LIKELY TO BRING MORE RAIN TO
THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING (PERHAPS EVEN INTO NORTHWEST LOWER BY LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON)...SO COULD BE SOME WET SPECTATORS AT FRIDAY NIGHT
FOOTBALL GAMES.  RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY BEFORE TAPERING
OFF SATURDAY NIGHT.

OUTLOOK (MONDAY/TUESDAY): SOME RAIN POSSIBLE MONDAY...TEMPERATURES
STILL COOLER THAN AVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1158 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

VFR OVERNIGHT...TURNING IFR WITH HEAVY RAIN WEDNESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE IN EASTERN KS WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES
NE...CROSSING FAR NORTHERN LOWER MI LATE WED. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO THICKEN OVERNIGHT. CIGS WILL LOWER AND RAIN WILL
BEGIN WED MORNING...WITH IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. IMPROVEMENT TO
MVFR WILL BE SEEN LATE IN THE DAY AT MBL/TVC/PLN...IN THE EVENING
AT APN. A POSSIBILITY FOR EMBEDDED TSRA...BUT THESE WILL NOT BE
INCLUDED IN THE CURRENT TAF.

LIGHT SE WINDS TONIGHT...GUSTY SE WINDS WEDNESDAY...VEERING NW AND
GUSTY IN THE EVENING. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LLWS WED MORNING AT
TVC/MBL.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 403 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

WIND FORECAST DETAILS FOR WEDNESDAY WILL BE SENSITIVE TO SURFACE LOW
TRACK...WHICH IS FORECAST TO SLIDE THROUGH NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
DURING THE MID/LATE AFTERNOON HOURS WEDNESDAY.  THIS MEANS SHIFTING
WINDS FROM EAST/SOUTHEAST TO MORE NORTH/NORTHWEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS.  WILL CONTINUE WITH THE GALE WATCH FOR THE
NORTHERN LOWER LAKE MICHIGAN (MINUS GRAND TRAVERSE BAY) AND LAKE
HURON (NORTH OF STURGEON POINT LIGHT) NEARSHORE ZONES...HAVE BACKED
THE TIMING UP ABOUT 6 HOURS SO THAT THE LAKE MICHIGAN SIDE STARTS
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND LAKE HURON WATCH STARTS AROUND
MIDNIGHT THURSDAY.  AREAS NOT COVERED BY GALE WATCHES WILL LIKELY
NEED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES AT A MINIMUM.  WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH THURSDAY THOUGH SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS LIKELY AT LEAST
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON IF NOT INTO THE NIGHT (ESPECIALLY IF
WAVES REMAIN CHOPPY).

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 403 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

ANTECEDENT HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS SET UP BY WET WEATHER AT THE END OF
LAST WEEK...WITH 200-400+ PERCENT NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS
NORTHWEST LOWER.  30 DAY STANDARDIZED PRECIP INDEX ALSO REFLECTS
RECENT WET WEATHER OVER NORTHWEST LOWER...AND LONGER TERM ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER FAR NORTHEAST LOWER.  THE LATTER IS
REFLECTED IN ELEVATED TOPSOIL MOISTURE....THOUGH NEAR SURFACE SOIL
MOISTURE HAS IMPROVED OVER NORTHWEST LOWER WITH RECENT RAINFALL
AFTER A RELATIVELY DRY AUGUST.  ANTICIPATED QPF OF 1-2 INCHES IN
ABOUT 12 HOURS EXPECTED TO CAUSE A QUICK RISE ON AREA STREAMS...
SUSPECT THAT RAIN AMOUNTS OVER 2 INCHES WILL BE NEEDED TO CAUSE
PROBLEMS AND THAT IS PROBABLY ON THE LOW END OF THE PROBABILITY
SCALE.  BUT MAY EVENTUALLY NEED TO POP A FLOOD WATCH OUT TOMORROW
FOR SOME AREAS (ALONG AND WEST OF THE US-131 CORRIDOR IS A CONCERN
AREA).

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...GALE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
     FOR LHZ347-348.
LM...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR
     LMZ342-344>346.
LS...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...JZ
SYNOPSIS...AM
SHORT TERM...JSL
LONG TERM...JPB
AVIATION...JZ
HYDROLOGY...JPB
MARINE...JPB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
344 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
111200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
344 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD RAIN...LOCALLY HEAVY...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA
RAPIDLY THIS MORNING. THIS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PONDING ON ROADWAYS.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
LAKE MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LAKE HURON LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKE HURON.

THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR FROST BY SATURDAY NIGHT OVER THE TYPICAL
COLD SPOTS THROUGHOUT NORTHERN MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT SPOTTERS ARE STRONGLY
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL TOTALS AND ANY OBSERVED AREAS OF
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

MSB