Special Weather Statement, NWS Amarillo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
327 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2014

.DISCUSSION...

VERY FEW CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST. OFF AND ON RAIN CHANCES
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK AS A MID LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME WILL
CONTINUE TO RIDE ABOVE A WEAK TO MODERATELY UNSTABLE LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS. OVERALL UPR FORCING WILL BE WEAK, BUT IT IS THE GENERAL LACK
OF STRONG SUBSIDENCE THAT WILL ALLOW THE OFF AND ON SHOWERS AND
STORMS.

MED RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO WAFFLE WRT HANDLING OF A SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNT OF MID/UPR ENERGY EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE NOAM UPR AIR PATTERN
NEXT WEEK. CHANGES WILL EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED TO NEXT WEEK'S FORECAST,
BUT AGAIN IT WILL TAKE BETTER AGREEMENT BEFORE PERIODS OF MORE LIKELY
PRECIP CAN BE DETERMINED.

ONE THING THAT LOOKS LIKE A GOOD BET IS THAT IT WON'T BE AS HOT NEXT
WEEK AS IT WAS FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK.

SIMPSON
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                67  92  67  90  66 /  10  20  20  20  30
BEAVER OK                  68  96  68  93  68 /  20  20  20  30  30
BOISE CITY OK              64  93  64  88  63 /  10  20  20  30  30
BORGER TX                  69  96  70  93  69 /  20  20  20  30  30
BOYS RANCH TX              68  95  67  92  66 /  10  20  20  30  30
CANYON TX                  67  93  66  91  65 /  10  20  20  20  20
CLARENDON TX               70  94  70  93  69 /  20  20  20  20  20
DALHART TX                 64  93  64  89  63 /  10  20  20  30  30
GUYMON OK                  66  96  67  91  66 /  20  20  20  30  30
HEREFORD TX                66  92  65  89  64 /  10  20  20  20  20
LIPSCOMB TX                70  96  69  93  68 /  20  20  20  30  30
PAMPA TX                   67  93  68  92  67 /  20  20  20  30  30
SHAMROCK TX                70  95  71  95  70 /  20  20  20  20  30
WELLINGTON TX              72  97  72  98  71 /  20  20  20  20  20

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

14/09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
328 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-091200-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
328 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. NO WIDESPREAD OR
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...A
FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH AND HAIL UP
TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AND
AGAIN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. NO WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH WIND
GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
319 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2014

TXZ012-017-082045-
POTTER TX-RANDALL TX-
319 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN RANDALL AND
SOUTHEASTERN POTTER COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 318 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAKE TANGLEWOOD...OR 9 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF AMARILLO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN RANDALL AND SOUTHEASTERN POTTER
  COUNTIES.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 73 AND 83.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3510 10187 3530 10173 3529 10162 3508 10162
      3500 10165
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 214DEG 14KT 3510 10173

JACKSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
341 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2014

TXZ012-013-017-018-082130-
ARMSTRONG TX-CARSON TX-POTTER TX-RANDALL TX-
341 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN ARMSTRONG...
SOUTHWESTERN CARSON...NORTHEASTERN RANDALL AND SOUTHEASTERN POTTER
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 339 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WASHBURN...OR 13 MILES EAST OF AMARILLO...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PANTEX...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 78 AND 96.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3534 10178 3535 10146 3521 10139 3511 10162
      3523 10178
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 223DEG 14KT 3517 10159

JACKSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
413 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2014

TXZ012-013-017-018-082200-
ARMSTRONG TX-CARSON TX-POTTER TX-RANDALL TX-
413 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN ARMSTRONG...
SOUTHWESTERN CARSON...NORTHEASTERN RANDALL AND SOUTHEASTERN POTTER
COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 410 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF PALO DURO CANYON...OR 12
MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLAUDE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CLAUDE...             WASHBURN...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3529 10173 3511 10134 3491 10141 3507 10177
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 235DEG 14KT 3504 10155

JACKSON