Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 154, NWS Amarillo, TX

September 2, 2014Carson County, Potter County, Texas

NWS Amarillo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 2, 2014, 7:01 PM CDT for Carson County, Potter County, Texas. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 2, 2014, 7:01 PM CDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2014, 7:36 PM CDT
In force
35 min
Issued by
NWS Amarillo, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Carson County, TX, Potter County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 305 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2014-09-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1189 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2014-09-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 7 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1189 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1409 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 2, 6:35 PM CDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 2, 6:35 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
635 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.AVIATION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS DEVELOPING AT THIS TIME JUST SOUTH OF KAMA
ALONG INSTABILITY AXIS AND CONVERGENCE ZONE.  WILL INCLUDE VCTS AND
TEMPO TSRA FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS AT KAMA.  COULD SEE BRIEF GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 KT WITH THUNDERSTORMS.

OTHERWISE...SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS EXPECTED TO VEER TO SOUTH AND
SOUTH SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT UNDER A GENERALLY CLEAR SKY.  SOUTH
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS EXPECTED TO COMMENCE GUSTING INTO THE 25 TO
30 KT RANGE AROUND 14Z OR 15Z WEDNESDAY.  CLEAR SKY EXPECTED MOST OF
THE DAY...WITH HIGH-BASED CUMULUS DEVELOPING AROUND KDHT AROUND 21Z
WEDNESDAY.

COCKRELL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014/

DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY

NO OVERWHELMING CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AS UNCERTAINTY
CONTINUES TO ABOUND LATER IN THE PERIOD.  ONE OF THE MAIN SOURCES OF
UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES TO BE THE TROPICS AS TS DOLLY IN THE WRN GULF
AND TS NORBERT IN THE ERN PACIFIC WILL CERTAINLY CONTRIBUTE MOISTURE
TO THE PATTERN EVENTUALLY. THESE SYSTEMS WILL ALSO AFFECT THE OVERALL
UPR AIR PATTERN EVOLUTION IN WAYS THAT WILL NOT BE WELL MODELED.

TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE MINIMAL DURING THIS PERIOD. AFTER THE LIGHT
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON...WED AND THU WILL BE MUCH BREEZIER DAYS AS SSW
WINDS PICK UP.

THURSDAY NIGHT...
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES IN THE WRN OK PANHANDLE THIS PERIOD AS MODELS
HAVE COME INTO FAIR AGREEMENT WITH A COLD FRONT SLIPPING IN AND ERLY
UPSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPING IN ADVANCE OF A WEAK SHRTWV.

FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
TRIED VERY HARD TO PIN DOWN A TIME PERIOD OR LOCATION WHERE PRECIP
CHANCES WILL BE HIGHEST BUT WEAK FORCING IN THE PRESENCE OF DEEP
MOISTURE MEANS CONVECTION WILL BE DIFFICULT TO FORECAST. DO THINK
MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE RAIN AT ONE TIME OR ANOTHER IN THIS
PERIOD. MODELS SEEM TO BE CONGEALING A BIT BETTER ON TEMPERATURES
WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL HIGHS EXPECTED.

SIMPSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                69  94  68  92  67 /  10   5   5   5   5
BEAVER OK                  71  99  73  96  68 /  10  10   5   5  20
BOISE CITY OK              66  95  67  92  62 /   5  10   5  10  30
BORGER TX                  72  97  71  96  70 /  10   5   5   5  10
BOYS RANCH TX              69  96  69  94  69 /   5   5   5   5  10
CANYON TX                  68  93  67  92  66 /   5   5   5   5   5
CLARENDON TX               70  94  69  94  69 /  10   5   5   5   5
DALHART TX                 66  96  66  93  64 /   5   5   5   5  20
GUYMON OK                  69  99  70  95  65 /  10  10   5   5  30
HEREFORD TX                67  93  65  91  65 /   5   5   5   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                72  96  72  95  70 /  10  10   5   5  10
PAMPA TX                   70  94  69  93  68 /  10   5   5   5  10
SHAMROCK TX                72  94  71  94  69 /  10   5   5   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              74  95  73  96  71 /  10   5   5   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

03/13
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 2, 3:18 PM CDT, 3 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
318 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-031200-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
318 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND
NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AND AREA WIDE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. IF STORMS DEVELOP...THEY COULD BE
MARGINALLY SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 2, 6:47 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Local storm report, Sep 2, 6:49 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Local storm report, Sep 2, 6:51 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Local storm report, Sep 2, 6:57 PM CDT, 4 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Local storm report, Sep 2, 6:58 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

The office that day

Everything else NWS Amarillo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 8:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMAPotter45 min
Sep 2, 9:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMACarson44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2014Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.