Dust Storm Warning 2, NWS Amarillo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
709 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

.UPDATE...
COLD FRONT HAS PLOWED THROUGH THE AREA...WHERE IT IS CURRENTLY OVER
THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. AS ADVERTISED...STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED BEHIND THIS FRONT. CALLS MADE TO CIMARRON COUNTY
REVEALED BLOWING DUST REDUCING VISIBILITY TO AROUND 1 MILE. OKLAHOMA
MESONET OBS INDICATE WINDS GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH IN THIS AREA. SINCE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS PRESSURES RISE BEHIND THE
FRONT...HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A HIGH WIND WARNING AND BLOWING DUST
ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE
NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE UNTIL 1 AM. THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WIND
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA UNTIL 4 PM
SUNDAY. MAY HAVE TO EXPAND THE HIGH WIND WARNING AND BLOWING DUST
ADVISORY THIS EVENING...ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY REMAIN SHY OF WARNING
CRITERIA ONCE THE SUN SETS. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
SUNDAY BUT WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY.

OUTSIDE OF THE WIND CONCERN...SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE
TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER FAIRLY DRY AIR REMAINS ACROSS THE
AREA...SO ONLY EXPECTING A FEW SPRINKLES WITH PRECIP AMOUNTS AROUND A
TENTH TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

CLK

&&

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/ STRONG WINDS ARE THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN THROUGH THE 24
HOUR PERIOD.

A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS PLOWED SOUTH OF THE TERMINALS...WHERE STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED IN ITS WAKE. STRONG PRESSURE RISES
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL EXACERBATE WINDS TONIGHT WHERE WIND GUSTS AOA
40 KTS ARE LIKELY AT ALL THREE TERMINALS. WILL CONTINUE THE
AVIATION WARNING FOR KAMA UNTIL 17Z SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH EXPECT THE
PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
THESE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE AREAS OF BLDU WHERE KDHT
HAS RECENTLY REPORTED VISBYS DOWN TO 1/2 MILE. WINDS WILL SLOWLY
DIMINISH SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH STILL EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 20-25 KTS
BETWEEN 15-00Z SUN.

HAVE CONTINUED TO CARRY VCSH MENTION AT KAMA THROUGH 02Z THIS EVENING
AS LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE. ANY RAIN WILL BE LIGHT AND NOT HAVE AN IMPACT ON CIGS OR
VISBYS AND WILL MOVE SOUTH OF KAMA THIS EVENING. HOWEVER LOW CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO FILL IN AT THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT...REDUCING CIGS TO
MVFR.

CLK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 526 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROF CURRENTLY DIGGING SWD ALONG ERN SLOPES OF
CNTRL AND SRN ROCKIES WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THIS EVENING. CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLD TSTM WILL BE GRATEST ACROSS SRN TX
PNHDL AND LOWEST ACROSS OK PNHDL AND NW TX PNHDL. NO POPS AFTER 06Z
TONIGHT. WIND AND DUST WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER STORY ACROSS THE
REGION THRU SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS OPPOSED TO PRECIPITATION. A WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE TX AND OK PNHDLS THRU 4 PM
SUNDAY. SOME LOCATIONS MAY VERY WELL EXPERIENCE VSBYS NEAR OR PSBLY
BELOW ONE MILE ALONG WITH HIGH WIND CRITERIA BEING MET AS WELL. LATER
SHIFTS MAY NEED TO ISSUE THESE APPROPRIATE HIGHLIGHTS IF NECESSARY.

COOLER TEMPS SUNDAY. DRY WEATHER FROM SUNDAY THRU SATURDAY OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE MONDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY...WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONTAL PASASGE EXPECTED
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. MAJOR MODELS SUCH AS THE GFS
AND ECMWF ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO AND WERE
ACCEPTED.

ANDRADE

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS
OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO NORTH
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH FORECAST MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR 20 PERCENT. ELEVATED TO POSSIBLY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON MONDAY ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA
AND TEXAS PANHANDLES DUE TO SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH HIGHER GSUTS ALONG WITH FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AND
THURSDAY AFTERNOONS ACROSS MOST OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES
DUE TO WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH
FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT.

ANDRADE

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ARMSTRONG...CARSON...COLLINGSWORTH...DEAF SMITH...DONLEY...
     GRAY...HANSFORD...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...
     MOORE...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...
     WHEELER.

     BLOWING DUST ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: DALLAM...HARTLEY...SHERMAN.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 1 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     DALLAM...HARTLEY...SHERMAN.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: DALLAM...HARTLEY...SHERMAN.

OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BEAVER.

     BLOWING DUST ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 1 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CIMARRON...TEXAS.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
605 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-161100-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
605 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS PANHANDLES. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AT THIS TIME.

A HIGH WIND WARNING AND A BLOWING DUST ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT UNTIL
1 AM SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AS
WELL AS THE FAR NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO NORTH WINDS OF 35 TO
40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES TO AROUND
ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS PANHANDLES DUE TO NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
50 TO 55 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING DUST
TONIGHT...WHICH MAY RESULT IN SHARPLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A WIND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS PANHANDLES UNTIL 4 PM SUNDAY DUE TO NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 TO 55 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN
AREAS OF BLOWING DUST...WHICH MAY RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES DUE TO NORTH
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH FORECAST MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR 20 PERCENT.

ELEVATED TO POSSIBLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
OCCUR ON MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES
DUE TO SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
ALONG WITH FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 10 TO 15
PERCENT.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AND
THURSDAY AFTERNOONS ACROSS MOST OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES
DUE TO WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH
FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AREA FIRE MANAGERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR ELEVATED
OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY...MONDAY...TUESDAY AND
THURSDAY AFTERNOONS.

ANDRADE

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